That Special Powers Hidden Immunity Idol pretty much Guarantees Tony Final Three. With all his bluster, Tony controls the other four (4) in the Alliance conning Jefra into sucking in Jeremiah to believe he would not be Voted out. The huge Risk for Spencer in giving his Hidden Immunity Idol to Jeremiah was that if he had done that and they Voted him Out, he is out of the Game. Still in it - but needs Immunity or finding another Hidden Immunity Idol to keep going.
This Game is Tony's to lose at this stage.