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Whisper Numbers: Breaking Dawn poised to light up the box office.



Business is about to pick up and explode as Twilight fangirls descend upon multiplexes for The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 [TWLI4], the penultimate installment in Summit’s blockbuster franchise. Taking a page from the Harry Potter series, the last book in Stephenie Meyer’s fantasy romance series has also been split into two movies. Part 1 features the wedding of Bella and Edward and the consummation of their marriage, moments eagerly awaited by the Twihards. The second film The Twilight Saga: New Moon opened exactly three years ago to $142.8 million. The third and previous film The Twilight Saga: Eclipse opened on a summer weekday for a five-day total of $157.6 million. Anticipation and buzz remain unabated for the latest PG-13 rated sequel with thousands of showings already sold out. Cracking into 4061 theaters, Breaking Dawn Part 1 could light up $153 million.

Warner Bros. brings back its animated penguins for another singing and dancing adventure in Happy Feet Two [HPYF2]. The first film opened to $41.5 million exactly five years ago and went on to enjoy a long run to $198 million. The brand has tremendous goodwill with parents who won’t hesitate to bring their family back for the sequel, even with the 3D surcharge.  Landing in 3606 theaters, Happy Feet Two could score an encore at $41 million.

Even with the added competition from Happy Feet Two, Puss in Boots [PUSNB] is unlikely to decline more than 40%. The Shrek spin-off should collect another $15 million.

After topping the weekend box office, the male-targeted Immortals [IMRTL] looks headed for a 60% drop-off to around $13 million. Fellow sophomore release Jack and Jill [JAJIL] could fall more than 50% to $12 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): TWLI4, HPYF2, PUSNB, IMRTL, JAJIL

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 17, 2011 @ 04:38 PM        1622 views


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Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 44961 264.29 (+2.20)         Houdini (HDINI) 9000 0.01 (-0.03)         The Darkest Minds (DRKMN) 11000 30.09 (+3.69)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 1000 191.88 (+0.51)         Houdini (HDINI) 9000 0.01 (-0.03)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 50000 37.02 (-0.04)         The Sisters Brothers (TSBRO) 100000 9.20 (-0.09)         Solo: A Star Wars Story $195M Bl (SWAR2.BW) 20000 6.05 (+1.05)         Sam Mendes (SMEND) 20000 99.13 (+1.20)         Houdini (HDINI) 108 0.01 (-0.03)         Uncle Drew H$15 Call (UDREW.CA) 20000 2.69 (-0.07)         Solo: A Star Wars Story $195M Bl (SWAR2.BW) 10000 6.05 (+1.05)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 50000 37.02 (-0.04)         Houdini (HDINI) 8491 0.01 (-0.03)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 1402 30.00 (0.00)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 2000 431.65 (+1.43)         Fela Kuti (FELA) 109 0.01 (-0.04)         Where is Kyra? (BULSG) 498 0.08 (+0.04)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Outside In (OTSDN) 103 0.05 (-0.02)         The Equalizer 2 (EQLZ2) 2000 78.40 (-0.14)         Unfriended: Dark Web (UNFR2) 100000 25.81 (-1.68)         Outside In (OTSDN) 1003 0.05 (-0.02)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 100000 56.82 (+1.01)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 50000 30.00 (0.00)         Love After Love (LVALV) 5 0.12 (0.00)         Skyscraper (SKYSC) 100000 99.70 (-3.72)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 5000 30.00 (0.00)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 1 30.00 (0.00)         Gemini (GEMIN) 8 0.22 (-0.02)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 43964 200.68 (+2.13)         Bohemian Rhapsody (FREDI) 100000 39.25 (+0.06)         The Last Movie Star (DGYRS) 108 0.01 (-0.09)         Five Feet Apart (5FTAP) 50000 13.43 (+0.52)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 99000 200.68 (+2.13)         Friday the 13th (FRI12) 8535 0.73 (0.00)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Teen Titans Go!: To The Movies (TNTNG) 100000 47.57 (+1.15)         Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 100000 431.65 (+1.43)         Mary Poppins Returns (MPOPN) 33333 144.68 (-0.35)         Fela Kuti (FELA) 9999 0.01 (-0.04)         Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 100000 431.65 (+1.43)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 100000 191.88 (+0.51)         Timeless (TMLES) 6196 0.04 (0.00)         Creed 2 (CREE2) 930 61.08 (+0.20)         Skyscraper (SKYSC) 48286 99.70 (-3.72)