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Whisper Numbers: Breaking Dawn poised to light up the box office.



Business is about to pick up and explode as Twilight fangirls descend upon multiplexes for The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 [TWLI4], the penultimate installment in Summit’s blockbuster franchise. Taking a page from the Harry Potter series, the last book in Stephenie Meyer’s fantasy romance series has also been split into two movies. Part 1 features the wedding of Bella and Edward and the consummation of their marriage, moments eagerly awaited by the Twihards. The second film The Twilight Saga: New Moon opened exactly three years ago to $142.8 million. The third and previous film The Twilight Saga: Eclipse opened on a summer weekday for a five-day total of $157.6 million. Anticipation and buzz remain unabated for the latest PG-13 rated sequel with thousands of showings already sold out. Cracking into 4061 theaters, Breaking Dawn Part 1 could light up $153 million.

Warner Bros. brings back its animated penguins for another singing and dancing adventure in Happy Feet Two [HPYF2]. The first film opened to $41.5 million exactly five years ago and went on to enjoy a long run to $198 million. The brand has tremendous goodwill with parents who won’t hesitate to bring their family back for the sequel, even with the 3D surcharge.  Landing in 3606 theaters, Happy Feet Two could score an encore at $41 million.

Even with the added competition from Happy Feet Two, Puss in Boots [PUSNB] is unlikely to decline more than 40%. The Shrek spin-off should collect another $15 million.

After topping the weekend box office, the male-targeted Immortals [IMRTL] looks headed for a 60% drop-off to around $13 million. Fellow sophomore release Jack and Jill [JAJIL] could fall more than 50% to $12 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): TWLI4, HPYF2, PUSNB, IMRTL, JAJIL

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 17, 2011 @ 04:38 PM        1654 views


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Venom 2 (VENM2) 100000 103.37 (+3.37)         Downton Abbey (DWTAB) 15000 22.29 (+1.42)         Hope Gap (HOPGP) 20000 4.78 (+1.04)         Vigilance (VGLNC) 15000 11.85 (-0.65)         Second Act (2NDAC) 15000 27.45 (-0.91)         Playmobil: The Movie (PMOBL) 15000 21.66 (-0.95)         Artemis Fowl (AFOWL) 4999 58.80 (-0.06)         Will Arnett (WARNE) 20000 74.87 (-0.20)         Chris Pratt (CPRAT) 20000 198.43 (0.00)         Charlie Day (CDAY) 20000 37.23 (+0.08)         Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Vers (ASPDR) 2500 135.46 (-1.67)         Mary Poppins Returns (MPOPN) 5000 191.97 (+0.11)         Alison Brie (ABRIE) 20000 34.51 (+0.08)         Wish Dragon (WDRGN) 99999 42.17 (+0.26)         Second Act (2NDAC) 5000 27.45 (-0.91)         Hope Gap (HOPGP) 99999 4.78 (+1.04)         Venom 2 (VENM2) 100000 103.37 (+3.37)         Mouse Guard (MOUSG) 99999 50.13 (-0.46)         Downton Abbey (DWTAB) 50000 22.29 (+1.42)         Downton Abbey (DWTAB) 50000 22.29 (+1.42)         Downton Abbey (DWTAB) 99999 22.29 (+1.42)         Second Act (2NDAC) 50000 27.45 (-0.91)         A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmage (SHEP2) 100000 11.86 (-0.22)         Vigilance (VGLNC) 100000 11.85 (-0.65)         Hope Gap (HOPGP) 100000 4.78 (+1.04)         48 Hours (48HRS) 15000 15.99 (+1.43)         Bad Education (BDEDU) 100000 16.76 (+1.25)         Bad Education (BDEDU) 15000 16.76 (+1.25)         48 Hours (48HRS) 100000 15.99 (+1.43)         Alexandra Shipp (ASHIP) 20000 80.18 (-0.40)         Hope Gap (HOPGP) 20000 4.78 (+1.04)         Judy Greer (JGREE) 20000 94.30 (-0.20)         Matthias Schoenaerts (MSCHO) 20000 15.03 (-0.08)         Matthias Schoenaerts (MSCHO) 20000 15.03 (-0.08)         Teresa Palmer (TPALM) 20000 34.40 (-0.08)         Virginia Madsen (VMADS) 20000 14.06 (0.00)         Billy Crystal (BCRYS) 20000 95.87 (0.00)         Sofia Boutella (SBOUT) 20000 97.66 (-0.20)         Nikolaj Coster-Waldau (NCOST) 20000 43.54 (0.00)         James Badge Dale (JBDAL) 20000 38.39 (0.00)         Dan Stevens (DSTEV) 20000 50.51 (0.00)         Jack Reynor (JREYN) 20000 7.56 (-0.04)         Vigilance (VGLNC) 15000 11.85 (-0.65)         Playmobil: The Movie (PMOBL) 100000 21.66 (-0.95)         Jude Law (JLAW) 20000 56.45 (0.00)         Playmobil: The Movie (PMOBL) 15000 21.66 (-0.95)         Second Act (2NDAC) 15000 27.45 (-0.91)         Sam Rockwell (SROCK) 50 13.63 (0.00)         Ashley Judd (AJUDD) 20000 71.49 (+0.26)         Harbinger (HARBN) 100000 14.00 (-0.30)