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Whisper Numbers: Twilight takes another bite at Thanksgiving.



Three new family films fight for moviegoers over the long Thanksgiving weekend, but none are expected to overtake current box office title holder The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 [TWLI4]. Although the fanbase has crested, plenty of Twihards remain eager to visit and revisit the wedding of Bella and Edward. Breaking Dawn Part 1 looks to crack around $62 million over the 5-day holiday weekend.

After more than a decade of absence from theaters, The Muppets [MUPET] has return to the scene with the help of star and co-writer Jason Segel [JSEGE]. Kermit, Miss Piggy, and the rest of the gang reunite in their first film since Disney bought The Jim Henson Company in 2004. The Muppets have not been seen much since their last film Muppets From Space bombed in 1999, so Disney has spared no avenues in a marketing blitz to promote the PG-rated film. Playing on the nostalgia of those who grew up with the characters, The Muppets will appeal to adults with and without children. Opening in 3440 theaters, The Muppets could grab $44 million over the long Thanksgiving weekend.

Moviegoers weren’t exactly dancing for the return of Happy Feet Two [HPYF2], which debuted at just half of the original film’s opening With families on holiday, the sequel should hold exceptional and tapped out another $21 million over the 5-day weekend.

Sony teams up with Aardman Studios for the CG-animated Arthur Christmas [ARTHC]. With a crowded marketplace for family fares, the PG-rated film is likely to only attract those with very young children. Sledding into 3367 theaters, Arthur Christmas could deliver $20 million from Wednesday through Sunday.

Director Martin Scorsese [MSCOR] has made Hugo [HUGO] his first 3D family-friendly film. Unfortunately, adults may find the PG-rated film more interesting than children. Paramount has dropped the ball in building awareness for Hugo, and has cut the initial theater locations to just 1227. Hugo has earned rave reviews, which should help the film clock in at $14 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): TWLI4, MUPET, JSEGE, HPYF2, ARTHC, MSCOR, HUGO

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By Box Office Whisperer on Wednesday, November 23, 2011 @ 02:21 PM        6203 views


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Tom Hollander (THOLL) 20000 41.41 (0.00)         Substitute Teacher (SUBST) 7805 0.83 (0.00)         Greyhound (GREYH) 100000 39.05 (+0.13)         Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 25000 54.87 (+4.87)         Hell Fest (HELFS) 100000 25.17 (-0.48)         Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (GOTG3) 100000 133.62 (+0.17)         Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 100000 54.87 (+4.87)         Fahrenheit 11/9 (FH119) 25000 9.51 (-1.55)         The Animal Fund (ZOO) 10000 20.01 (0.00)         Joan Allen (JALLE) 20000 38.69 (-0.08)         The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 10000 21.32 (0.00)         Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 50000 0.05 (0.00)         Spy's Kid (SPYSK) 20000 0.01 (-0.01)         Channing Tatum (CTATU) 10000 57.08 (+0.06)         Tom Felton (TFELT) 10000 15.02 (+0.02)         Uncharted (UNCHT) 25000 9.07 (-0.16)         Uncharted (UNCHT) 25000 9.07 (-0.16)         Top Gun 2 (TOPG2) 2672 84.25 (-0.25)         The Nun (THNUN) 25000 110.43 (+1.68)         Johnny English Strikes Again (JENG3) 25000 6.49 (-0.03)         Can You Ever Forgive Me? (CYEFM) 25000 6.29 (+0.01)         Serenity (SRNTY) 25000 21.71 (+0.18)         The Kitchen (TKTCH) 10000 35.06 (+0.05)         The Hate U Give (HTUGV) 25000 24.98 (-0.31)         The Predator (PRED4) 99999 54.20 (-1.50)         After Everything (AFEVT) 100000 2.12 (+0.20)         Bigger (BIGER) 100000 4.16 (-0.10)         Beautiful Boy (BTFUB) 100000 4.90 (-0.05)         The Oath (TOATH) 50000 6.59 (-0.27)         Bad Times at the El Royale (BTAER) 25000 36.05 (-0.22)         Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween (GBUM2) 25000 42.76 (-0.37)         First Man (FIRSM) 25000 86.45 (+0.76)         22 July aka Norway (NORWA) 100000 1.38 (-0.01)         A Star is Born (ASTAR) 25000 88.59 (-2.05)         Matangi Maya M.I.A. (MMMIA) 100000 1.13 (-0.04)         Little Women (LITWM) 50000 8.74 (-0.19)         The Old Man and the Gun (OMATG) 25000 11.98 (+0.19)         Hell Fest (HELFS) 25000 25.17 (-0.48)         Night School (NTSCH) 25000 62.28 (-0.50)         Mary Poppins Returns (MPOPN) 264 168.58 (+0.41)         Smallfoot (SMLFT) 25000 69.71 (+0.41)         The House With a Clock in Its Wa (THWCW) 1000 60.96 (-1.71)         The Raven (TRVEN) 50000 0.03 (-0.05)         How to Train Your Dragon: The Hi (HTYD3) 20000 137.80 (+0.58)         Rocketman (RCKTM) 25000 19.82 (+0.11)         Bumblebee aka Transformers 6 (TFRM6) 20000 103.46 (+1.70)         Rocketman (RCKTM) 25000 19.82 (+0.11)         Queen & Country (QUENC) 50000 12.29 (-0.15)         Queen & Country (QUENC) 50000 12.29 (-0.15)         Galveston (GALVS) 100000 0.68 (-0.05)