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Whisper Numbers: Ghost Rider looks to burn up the box office

Three new wide releases face strong holdovers during the President’s Day holiday weekend. Nicolas Cage [NCAGE] looks to bounce back from a string of recent flops by reprising his role as the demonic antihero in the sequel Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance [GHST2]. The original Ghost Rider debuted at $45.4 million in 2007, but flamed out quickly due to poor word of mouth. As in their other genre series, Sony has added 3D to entice fans back for another go-around. The PG-13 rated film should connect with its target audience of young men, which should be enough to propel the film to first place. Burning up 3174 theaters, Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance could scorch $34 million over the 4-day weekend.

Safe House [SAFEH] exceeded expectations in its debut and older moviegoers should continue to support the film. The actioner could preside over another $27 million over the long weekend.

Couples and women helped The Vow [THVOW] conquered the box office last weekend. With Valentine’s Day over, the romance looks to decay greater than Safe House to around $26 million over the holiday weekend.

The PG-13 rated This Means War [TMWAR] stars Chris Pine [CPINE] and Tom Hardy [THARD] as partners in espionage competing to win the affection of the same woman, played by Reese Witherspoon [RWITH]. Fox has been marketing the film as a romantic comedy when perhaps they should have gone with action bromance. The McG [MCG] directed film has earned horrible reviews and terrible trackings. Opening in 3189 theater, This Means War may bank $23 million over the 4-day weekend.

With kids off for the long holiday weekend, Journey 2: The Mysterious Island [MYSTR] should experience a small drop-off. The 3D sequel spectacle could bring home another $22 million from Friday to Monday.

The Secret World of Arrietty [ARITY] is the latest Studio Ghibli release from Disney. The G-rated animated film looks more accessible than 2009’s Ponyo which managed just a $3.6 million debut. Opening in 1511 theaters, Arrietty could stash $6 million over the long holiday weeekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NCAGE, GHST2, SAFEH, THVOW, TMWAR, CPINE, THARD, RWITH, MCG, MYSTR, ARITY

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 16, 2012 @ 03:50 PM 9936 views

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Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 25000 77.38 (+2.47)          June Squibb (JSQUI) 25000 72.97 (-1.40)          Guy Ritchie (GRITC) 25000 51.83 (-0.83)          Tarot - Opening Weekend (HRSCP.OW) 1426 13.89 (-1.11)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 20000 15.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 50000 251.13 (+0.98)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 99999 51.85 (+1.85)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 10000 18.30 (-1.25)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 60000 38.65 (-0.30)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 150000 51.48 (-0.15)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 100000 167.90 (-0.17)          The Naked Gun (NKGUN) 25000 33.99 (-1.75)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 10000 310.80 (+1.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 20000 251.13 (+0.98)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 11.34 (-0.04)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 17842 3.22 (+1.22)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 8.95 (-0.01)          The Second Act (SECAC) 150000 1.57 (-0.02)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Arcadian (ARCAD) 150000 1.42 (0.00)          Trap (TRAP) 150000 55.13 (+2.41)          Jena Malone (JMALO) 25000 2.81 (+0.02)          Trap (TRAP) 4544 55.13 (+2.41)          The Man in My Basement (TMIMB) 150000 4.69 (+0.02)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 150000 4.67 (-0.04)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 7654 77.38 (+2.47)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 3500 5.75 (-0.25)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 150000 3.93 (-0.06)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 47.26 (-9.59)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 47.26 (-9.59)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 150000 3.66 (-0.05)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 750 15.00 (0.00)          The Friend (FREND) 100000 6.90 (+0.01)          Bag Man (BAGMN) 150000 1.58 (-0.01)          The Janson Directive (JANSD) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          The Chain (TCHAN) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          Untitled Ryan Coogler Event Movi (URCEM) 150000 61.24 (-0.27)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 150000 43.32 (+0.15)          Revival (RVIVL) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          The Shaggs (SHAGG) 150000 0.03 (0.00)          Don't Tell Mom the Babysitter's (DTMBD) 150000 1.53 (-0.08)          The Outside Room (TOSRM) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          A Woman of No Importance (AWONI) 150000 0.02 (-0.01)          The Dead Don't Hurt (TDDH) 25000 2.30 (-0.01)          KIlling Castro (KILLC) 150000 12.72 (-0.12)          Den of Thieves 2: Pantera (DENO2) 30000 9.64 (-0.02)