SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Argo beat Taken 2?

Even with high expectations heading into last weekend, Taken 2 [TAKE2] outperformed the competition by a wide margin. As with most highly anticipated sequels, Taken 2 was likely front-loaded by fans and headed for a 50% drop to about $23 million, which may be enough to hold off the slew of newcomers at the box office.

Warner Bros.’ Argo [ARGO] arrives in theaters riding a crescendo of Oscar buzz. Ben Affleck [BAFFL] directs and stars in the film based on the true story of how the CIA rescued six Americans trapped by the 1979 Iranian Revolution. The R-rated thriller has earned overwhelmingly positive reviews, which will bring out the adult moviegoers. Opening in 3232 theaters, Argo could net $20 million.

Kevin James [KJAME] plays a teacher turned MMA fighter in the comedy Here Comes the Boom [HCTBM]. With a PG-rating and formulaic storyline, the film aims to capture a broad audience. However, Here Comes the Boom may be too family-friendly for fans of the fighting sport, which itself could turned off women. Competition for young male moviegoers is also fierce this weekend. Fighting in 3014 theaters, Here Comes the Boom may earn $15 million.

The R-rated horror film Sinister [SINIS] stars Ethan Hawke [EHAWK] as a family man who uncovers some disturbing home videos. The Summit release has generated positive buzz from early reviews, which should attract horror fans. Sinister could scare up $14 million from 2527 locations.

Colin Farrell [CFARR], Woody Harrelson [WHARR] and Christopher Walken [CWALK] star in the R-rated comedy Seven Psychopaths [7PSYC]. Since none of the cast are guaranteed draws, CBS Films has done an admirable marketing job with funny trailers. Opening in just 1512 theaters, Seven Psychopaths could ransom about $7.5 million.

After 3 weeks of limited release, Perks of Being a Wallflower [POBWF] expands nationwide to 762 theaters. Based on a popular young adult novel, the PG-13 rated drama will primarily draw on young women. Perks of Being a Wallflower could dance away with about $3.5 million.

The weekend’s last new release is the sequel based on the Ayn Rand novel, Atlas Shrugged, Part II [ATLA2].  The first film grossed a respectable $4.6 million in limited release. The sequel will open wide in 1012 theaters and could tally $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TAKE2, ARGO, BAFFL, KJAME, HCTBM, SINIS, EHAWK, CFARR, WHARR, CWALK, 7PSYC, POBWF, ATLA2

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 11, 2012 @ 04:15 PM 5846 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Monkey (MONKY) 15000 19.70 (+0.53)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.15 (-0.25)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 1 4.15 (-0.25)          Playdate (PLYDT) 1 16.84 (+0.18)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 499 24.54 (0.00)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 1 17.19 (0.00)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 1 19.41 (0.00)          The History Of Sound (HISND) 101316 2.96 (+0.06)          Daddio (DADIO) 150000 3.87 (+0.26)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 149999 4.15 (-0.25)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 149990 14.02 (+0.68)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 14.02 (+0.68)          Gears of War (GEARS) 150000 0.28 (+0.02)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 150000 6.51 (+0.26)          Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson (VINEL) 1200 30.36 (0.00)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 149999 4.15 (-0.25)          With Love (WOLOV) 149500 25.14 (-0.81)          With Love (WOLOV) 150000 25.14 (-0.81)          The Naked Gun (NKGUN) 3000 34.41 (0.00)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 10000 19.34 (0.00)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 600 19.34 (0.00)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 3000 16.60 (-0.01)          Diego Calva (DCALV) 3999 5.99 (0.00)          Diego Calva (DCALV) 3999 5.99 (0.00)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 5200 16.60 (-0.01)          Playdate (PLYDT) 20000 16.84 (+0.18)          Playdate (PLYDT) 2000 16.84 (+0.18)          Playdate (PLYDT) 10800 16.84 (+0.18)          Playdate (PLYDT) 1200 16.84 (+0.18)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 2000 14.58 (+0.61)          Eva Green (EGREE) 999 58.56 (0.00)          Eva Green (EGREE) 999 58.56 (0.00)          The Nickel Boys (NICKB) 1600 8.11 (+0.21)          Danielle Deadwyler (DADEA) 25000 6.11 (-0.10)          Danielle Deadwyler (DADEA) 25000 6.11 (-0.10)          Cary Elwes (CELWE) 25000 33.12 (+0.25)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire $100 (GHST5.BW) 2 8.08 (0.00)          Cary Elwes (CELWE) 25000 33.12 (+0.25)          Georgina Campbell (GCAMP) 25000 20.06 (-0.25)          Georgina Campbell (GCAMP) 25000 20.06 (-0.25)          Teyana Taylor (TETAY) 1999 19.29 (0.00)          Teyana Taylor (TETAY) 1999 19.29 (0.00)          With Love (WOLOV) 150000 25.14 (-0.81)          With Love (WOLOV) 150000 25.14 (-0.81)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 16.84 (+0.18)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 16.84 (+0.18)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 150000 14.58 (+0.61)          The Monkey (MONKY) 149999 19.70 (+0.53)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 150000 14.58 (+0.61)          Matthew Macfadyen (MMACF) 1000 64.60 (0.00)