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Whisper Numbers: Will Argo rise to the top?

The weekend before Halloween brings four new wide releases, but many moviegoers will be partying in costumes rather than visit the multiplexes. Warner Bros. targets older adults with the sci-fi epic Cloud Atlas [CLATL] directed by the Wachowskis [WACHO] and Tom Tykwer [TTYKW]. The R-rated epic features time-spanning storylines that inter-connect with an all-star cast playing multiple characters lead by Tom Hanks [THANK] and Halle Berry [HBERR]. Despite mostly positive reviews, the ambitious film at nearly 3 hours long may not appeal to a broad audience and attract just sci-fi fans Breaking into 2008 theaters, Cloud Atlas may book around $14 million.

After declining a miniscule 15% in its second weekend, Argo [ARGO] could retain 80% during its third outing for $13 million, which could be enough to finish in first place should the new releases falter.

Silent Hill: Revelation [SHIL2] arrives six years after the release of the first Silent Hill which Sony opened to $20.2 million. The R-rated horror sequel is distributed by Open Roads, and features a couple of new young faces in the lead. Although Silent Hill is based on a videogame series, its best-selling days are in the past, unlike the still popular Resident Evil series. Stepping into 2933 theaters, Silent Hill: Revelation could survive with $12 million.

Paranormal Activity 4 [PNAC4] was down sharply from the previous installment. With horror fans tired of the series and partying for Halloween this weekend, the sequel looks to drop more than 60% to $11 million.

Victoria Justice [VJUST] and Jane Levy [JLEVY] star in the Halloween comedy Fun Size [FUNSZ]. The PG-13 rated film presents a trick or treat dilemma for moviegoers. The film might be too tame for teens, while too for parents with young children. Paramount may have to settle for an audience of tween girls, who could be finicky in their fandom support. Hitting 3014 locations, Fun Size could score $8.5 million.

Gerard Butler [GBUTL] stars in the biographical drama Chasing Mavericks [MVRCK] about the late surfing legend Jay Moriarty. Fox has barely marketed the PG rated film, which looks to wash out with $5 million from 2002 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CLATL, WACHO, TTYKW, THANK, HBERR, ARGO, SHIL2, PNAC4, VJUST, JLEVY, FUNSZ, GBUTL, MVRCK

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 25, 2012 @ 03:46 PM 5905 views

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Tarot H$15 Call (HRSCP.CA) 100 1.54 (0.00)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 8.14 (-0.05)          Danny Huston (DHUST) 25000 23.46 (+0.12)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 100 21.68 (+0.66)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 41.91 (-0.16)          Garrett Hedlund (GHEDL) 25000 22.97 (-0.12)          Will Patton (WPATT) 25000 63.18 (+0.25)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 19.30 (+0.35)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 19.30 (+0.35)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.46 (+0.46)          Mike Faist (MFAIS) 25000 22.85 (+0.11)          Kristen Stewart (KSTEW) 5999 7.31 (0.00)          The Monkey (MONKY) 30000 20.68 (-0.44)          The Monkey (MONKY) 60000 20.68 (-0.44)          Ezra (INAPB) 70000 6.43 (-0.04)          Justice Smith (JUSMI) 25000 104.73 (-0.33)          Tarot H$15 Put (HRSCP.PU) 24 2.89 (0.00)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 44999 13.52 (-0.01)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 50000 13.52 (-0.01)          Save the Green Planet (STGPL) 20000 18.60 (+0.42)          Maria (MARIA) 20000 13.02 (+0.58)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 3.77 (+0.49)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 30000 17.80 (+0.63)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 30000 17.80 (+0.63)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 30000 21.68 (+0.66)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 30000 21.68 (+0.66)          Sight (SIGHT) 150000 8.33 (+0.25)          Sight (SIGHT) 150000 8.33 (+0.25)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 1000 30.36 (+0.07)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 50000 19.30 (+0.35)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 1000 30.36 (+0.07)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 9.20 (+0.30)          George Miller (GMILL) 25000 99.77 (+0.25)          Greg Kinnear (GKINN) 25000 4.29 (+0.05)          Tye Sheridan (TSHER) 25000 35.62 (-0.12)          Sean Penn (SPENN) 25000 33.54 (-0.13)          Maria (MARIA) 150000 13.02 (+0.58)          Maria (MARIA) 150000 13.02 (+0.58)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 9.20 (+0.30)          Jermaine Fowler (JFOWL) 25000 11.24 (+0.10)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 9.20 (+0.30)          June Squibb (JSQUI) 25000 71.20 (-0.25)          Sharlto Copley (SCOPL) 25000 11.86 (-0.10)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.46 (+0.46)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.46 (+0.46)          Alex Garland (AGARL) 25000 31.76 (-0.12)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 150000 19.99 (+0.30)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 150000 19.99 (+0.30)          Liam Neeson (LNEES) 25000 6.32 (+0.05)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 2000 19.99 (+0.30)