SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: How high will Iron Man 3 fly?

Marvel once again kicks off the summer blockbuster movie season with Iron Man 3 [IRNM3] the third solo outing for the armored superhero played by Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN]. Although the film is technically a sequel to 2010’s Iron Man 2, the story in Iron Man 3 follows the events of last year’s The Avengers, where Iron Man last made his appearance alongside Thor, Captain America and Hulk. As we all know, The Avengers set the all-time opening weekend record at $207.4 million and was beloved by moviegoers. That exceptional goodwill should overcome the underwhelming after-taste of Iron Man 2, which debuted to $128.1 million three years ago this weekend.

While Iron Man 2 played like a set up for The Avengers, the focus of Iron Man 3 is back squarely on Tony Stark. Gwyneth Paltrow [GPALT] is back as his love interest Pepper Potts while, his most famous comic foe The Mandarin, played by Ben Kingsley [BKING], finally makes his appearance. Shane Black takes over as director from Jon Favreau, and reviews so far have been overwhelmingly positive. Disney opened the PG-13 rated film first overseas, and the favorable reception has helped to fuel the buzz. The third Batman film The Dark Knight Rises debuted at $160.9 million without the benefit of 3D, though the theater shooting had a small effect. Blasting into 4235 theaters, Iron Man 3 should reach upwards of at least $160 million.

Despite a number one opening, Pain & Gain [PAING] was not well-received even by its older male target audience. The action comedy may lose 55% in its second session to $9 million. Facing competition in its third week of release, Oblivion [OBLVN] looks to drop 55% to $8 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): IRNM3, RDOWN, GPALT, BKING, PAING, OBLVN

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 2, 2013 @ 03:44 PM 2792 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Anya Taylor-Joy (ATJOY) 25000 75.32 (+0.05)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 62.31 (-2.66)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 27.70 (-3.72)          Ana de Armas (ADARM) 25000 103.23 (+0.66)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 62.31 (-2.66)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 62.31 (-2.66)          Jenna Ortega (JORTE) 25000 41.91 (+1.05)          Tarot H$15 Call (HRSCP.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Mandalorian & Grogu (SWAR3) 6000 215.44 (+1.01)          Tarot H$15 Put (HRSCP.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Dua Lipa (DLIPA) 25000 99.47 (+0.50)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 27.70 (-3.72)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 27.70 (-3.72)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 170 169.76 (+1.14)          Ben Wang (BWANG) 25000 26.17 (+1.17)          Abigail (ABGAL) 150000 55.09 (-4.63)          Abigail (ABGAL) 150000 55.09 (-4.63)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 8000 241.70 (+1.08)          Sacramento (SACTO) 50000 3.35 (+0.43)          Sacramento (SACTO) 50000 3.35 (+0.43)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 35000 62.31 (-2.66)          Sacramento (SACTO) 50000 3.35 (+0.43)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 50000 62.31 (-2.66)          Sacramento (SACTO) 50000 3.35 (+0.43)          Billy Porter (BPORT) 5000 17.90 (+0.02)          Sacramento (SACTO) 50000 3.35 (+0.43)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 62.31 (-2.66)          Matt Damon (MDAMO) 5000 74.84 (+0.05)          Sacramento (SACTO) 50000 3.35 (+0.43)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 3000 199.83 (+1.09)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 149999 62.31 (-2.66)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          The Naked Gun (NKGUN) 150000 35.70 (+1.01)          Jurassic World Event Film (JURA7) 247 247.43 (+1.38)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Salem's Lot (SALOT) 150000 7.66 (-0.10)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 7000 142.06 (+1.38)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 16500 27.70 (-3.72)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 86000 27.70 (-3.72)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 50000 19.40 (+1.94)          Blade (BLAD1) 3 113.74 (+1.46)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 50000 19.40 (+1.94)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 50000 19.40 (+1.94)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 50000 19.40 (+1.94)          Avengers 5 (AVNG5) 349 349.58 (+1.71)