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Whisper Numbers: Carrie takes on Gravity



The remake of a horror classic about a telekinetic teenager will attempt to defy Gravity [GRVTY], which has maintained a firm grip on moviegoers at the box office.  After holding an exceptional 23% last weekend, the 3D film is unlikely to lose more than 30% in its third weekend. Gravity looks to grab about $32 million, which should be enough to retain the top spot.

Based on the Stephen King novel, Carrie [CARIE] was first adapted into the hit 1976 film starring Sissy Spacek. Chloe Grace Moretz [CMORE] takes over the title role in the modern remake co-starring Julianne Moore [JMOOR] as her over-protective mother. Horror films have out-performed expectations this year and Sony’s R-rated film is surprisingly the only horror release this October. Playing at 3157 theaters, Carrie may knock down $26 million.

With excellent reviews and word of mouth, Captain Phillips [CDUTY] should continue to attract older adult moviegoers. The ripped-from-the-headlines thriller could decline around 35% to $17 million.

Slyvester Stallone [SSTAL] and Arnold Schwarzenegger [ASCHW] team up once again for the R-rated actioner Escape Plan [ESCPL]. Summit’s marketing has been unable to explain the overly complicated story on what should be a simple prison break movie. Their last two solo efforts, The Last Stand opened to $6.3 million while Bullet to the Head debuted with $4.5 million. Locked into 2883 theaters, Escape Plan may break out with $8 million.

Tracking with even less buzz is the DreamWorks drama The Fifth Estate [T5EST] about WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange. The R-rated film failed to generate favorable reviews needed to attract the sophisticated audience.  Exposed to 1769 theaters, The Fifth Estate may reveal just $4 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): GRVTY, CARIE, CMORE, JMOOR, CDUTY, SSTAL, ASCHW, ESCPL, T5EST

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 17, 2013 @ 04:00 PM        1695 views


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William Hurt (WHURT) 10000 104.39 (-1.43)         William Hurt (WHURT) 20000 104.39 (-1.43)         William Hurt (WHURT) 20000 104.39 (-1.43)         Vin Diesel (VDIES) 20000 154.27 (-0.19)         Booksmart (BKSMR) 100000 12.56 (-0.52)         Tom Holland (TOHOL) 20000 156.28 (-0.42)         Zoe Saldana (ZSALD) 20000 137.92 (-0.29)         Vera Farmiga (VFARM) 20000 71.49 (+0.13)         Sinister Six (SINST) 99990 15.79 (+1.50)         William Hurt (WHURT) 19999 104.39 (-1.43)         City of Lies aka Labyrinth (LABRN) 100000 24.79 (+2.01)         Shane Black (SBLAC) 20000 108.32 (+0.28)         Tom Hiddleston (THIDD) 20000 134.16 (-1.15)         William Hurt (WHURT) 20000 104.39 (-1.43)         William Hurt (WHURT) 20000 104.39 (-1.43)         Vin Diesel (VDIES) 19999 154.27 (-0.19)         RJ Cyler (RCYLE) 20000 32.21 (-0.08)         Idris Elba (IELBA) 20000 120.80 (-1.15)         Capharnaum aka Capernaum (CAPRN) 100000 1.82 (-0.18)         Paul Bettany (PBETT) 20000 157.01 (+0.87)         Robert Downey Jr. (RDOWN) 20000 208.93 (-0.49)         Booksmart (BKSMR) 15000 12.56 (-0.52)         Lobo (LOBO) 15000 18.29 (-0.76)         Jacob Tremblay (JTREM) 20000 39.17 (-0.08)         Green Book (GRNBK) 20000 8.14 (-1.05)         A Dog's Journey (ADOG2) 15000 32.34 (-1.31)         Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 20000 109.60 (-1.16)         Paul Bettany (PBETT) 20000 157.01 (+0.87)         Tom Holland (TOHOL) 19999 156.28 (-0.42)         Kitty Pryde (KITYP) 15000 57.26 (-3.04)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 99999 33.78 (+0.06)         Karen Gillan (KGILL) 20000 153.83 (-0.28)         Elizabeth Olsen (EOLSE) 20000 108.85 (+1.16)         Avengers: Infinity War $600M Blo (AVNG3.BW) 20000 7.55 (+0.16)         Capharnaum aka Capernaum (CAPRN) 100000 1.82 (-0.18)         Isabelle Huppert (IHUPP) 20000 0.57 (-0.02)         Idris Elba (IELBA) 20000 120.80 (-1.15)         Dave Bautista (DBAUT) 20000 157.58 (-0.85)         Tom Hiddleston (THIDD) 19999 134.16 (-1.15)         Down a Dark Hall (DADHL) 100000 2.11 (+0.04)         The Mule (TMULE) 100000 21.97 (+1.39)         Danai Gurira (DGURI) 20000 137.87 (-0.71)         Hard Boiled (HBOIL) 25000 1.51 (-0.01)         The Hustle aka Nasty Women (NSTYW) 100000 30.28 (+1.76)         Danai Gurira (DGURI) 20000 137.87 (-0.71)         Don Cheadle (DCHEA) 20000 154.66 (-0.57)         Sinister Six (SINST) 83433 15.79 (+1.50)         X-Force (XFORC) 100000 95.57 (-0.40)         Spider-Man: Homecoming 2 (SPID7) 62716 264.62 (-0.36)         Chris Hemsworth (CHEMS) 20000 143.78 (-0.58)