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Whisper Numbers: Carrie takes on Gravity



The remake of a horror classic about a telekinetic teenager will attempt to defy Gravity [GRVTY], which has maintained a firm grip on moviegoers at the box office.  After holding an exceptional 23% last weekend, the 3D film is unlikely to lose more than 30% in its third weekend. Gravity looks to grab about $32 million, which should be enough to retain the top spot.

Based on the Stephen King novel, Carrie [CARIE] was first adapted into the hit 1976 film starring Sissy Spacek. Chloe Grace Moretz [CMORE] takes over the title role in the modern remake co-starring Julianne Moore [JMOOR] as her over-protective mother. Horror films have out-performed expectations this year and Sony’s R-rated film is surprisingly the only horror release this October. Playing at 3157 theaters, Carrie may knock down $26 million.

With excellent reviews and word of mouth, Captain Phillips [CDUTY] should continue to attract older adult moviegoers. The ripped-from-the-headlines thriller could decline around 35% to $17 million.

Slyvester Stallone [SSTAL] and Arnold Schwarzenegger [ASCHW] team up once again for the R-rated actioner Escape Plan [ESCPL]. Summit’s marketing has been unable to explain the overly complicated story on what should be a simple prison break movie. Their last two solo efforts, The Last Stand opened to $6.3 million while Bullet to the Head debuted with $4.5 million. Locked into 2883 theaters, Escape Plan may break out with $8 million.

Tracking with even less buzz is the DreamWorks drama The Fifth Estate [T5EST] about WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange. The R-rated film failed to generate favorable reviews needed to attract the sophisticated audience.  Exposed to 1769 theaters, The Fifth Estate may reveal just $4 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): GRVTY, CARIE, CMORE, JMOOR, CDUTY, SSTAL, ASCHW, ESCPL, T5EST

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 17, 2013 @ 04:00 PM        1711 views


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CBS: FBI (FBICBS) 20000 11.11 (+0.56)         After Everything (AFEVT) 1000 2.00 (0.00)         Iko Uwais (IUWAI) 10000 11.49 (-0.53)         Mission: Impossible - Fallout $1 (MISS6.BW) 20000 6.94 (+1.94)         Fair and Balanced (FAIRB) 1000 20.00 (0.00)         Douglas Booth (DBOOT) 10000 31.64 (0.00)         Gabriel Byrne (GBYRN) 10000 8.68 (-0.06)         Drew Barrymore (DBARR) 10000 18.64 (+0.09)         Arizona (AZONA) 1 0.68 (-0.21)         Gabriel Byrne (GBYRN) 10000 8.68 (-0.06)         Aquaman (AQUMN) 2000 179.27 (-0.63)         Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 10000 122.12 (-0.28)         A Happening Of Monumental Propor (AHOMP) 1 0.93 (-0.14)         Ad Astra (ASTRA) 2500 41.84 (0.00)         Drew Barrymore (DBARR) 10000 18.64 (+0.09)         Gabriel Byrne (GBYRN) 10000 8.68 (-0.06)         Operation Finale (OPFIN) 100000 15.46 (+0.12)         Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 10000 122.12 (-0.28)         Finn Wittrock (FWITT) 10000 64.93 (0.00)         Supporting the Girls (SUPTG) 100000 1.04 (+0.04)         Douglas Booth (DBOOT) 10000 31.64 (0.00)         Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 10000 122.12 (-0.28)         After Everything (AFEVT) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Serenity (SRNTY) 2000 25.14 (-0.03)         The Upside aka Untouchable aka T (NTCHB) 100000 22.58 (+5.47)         Fair and Balanced (FAIRB) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 20000 19.56 (-0.47)         Mile 22 (MIL22) 100000 32.22 (-1.49)         White Boy Rick (WBRIC) 2000 20.90 (+0.05)         Drew Barrymore (DBARR) 10000 18.64 (+0.09)         The Upside aka Untouchable aka T (NTCHB) 100000 22.58 (+5.47)         Fair and Balanced (FAIRB) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Backseat aka Cheney (CHENY) 2000 18.91 (+0.05)         After Everything (AFEVT) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Destination Wedding (DSWED) 100000 2.79 (0.00)         Iko Uwais (IUWAI) 10000 11.49 (-0.53)         Andrew Adamson (ANADA) 10000 115.91 (+0.86)         The Bookshop (BKSHP) 1 1.88 (+0.08)         Gal Gadot (GGADO) 20000 152.27 (+0.28)         Ford vs. Ferrari (FOVFE) 2000 50.31 (-0.47)         Destination Wedding (DSWED) 1 2.79 (0.00)         Adam Scott (ASCOT) 10000 19.82 (-0.28)         Daniel Bruhl (DBRUH) 10000 55.25 (-0.13)         Evangeline Lilly (ELILL) 20000 190.70 (-0.86)         John Wick: Chapter 3 (WICK3) 5000 97.88 (-0.41)         John McEnroe: In the Realm of Pe (JMIRP) 100000 0.67 (-0.15)         Iko Uwais (IUWAI) 10000 11.49 (-0.53)         Gotti (GOTTI) 100000 3.82 (+0.42)         Taron Egerton (TEGER) 20000 69.95 (+0.53)         Adam Scott (ASCOT) 10000 19.82 (-0.28)