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Whisper Numbers: Captain America targets the record book



April is the new May as Disney releases the Marvel superhero sequel Captain America: The Winter Solider [CAPA2]. Chris Evans [CEVAN] reprises the role in Steve Rogers’ second solo outing, while Scarlett Johansson [SJOHA] and Samuel L. Jackson [SLJAC] lend their support from The Avengers. That 2012 superhero team-up blockbuster gave the opening weekend of Iron Man 3 a 39% bump over Iron Man 2, while Thor: The Dark World got a 30% bump over Thor. Set during World War II, Captain America: The First Avenger opened to $65 million in 2011. With S.H.I.E.L.D. at the center of its story, The Winter Solider should enjoy an Avengers bump closer to Iron Man than Thor. Advance sales are already pacing ahead of Thor: The Dark World’s $85.7 million and Fast Five’s April record $86.2 million. Disney has put all its marketing might behind the PG-13 rated film and appears confident enough to rush the third film to battle WB’s Superman and Batman in 2016. Captain America has generated overwhelmingly positive buzz from fans and excellent reviews from critics. Opening in 3938 theater, Captain America: The Winter Solider could score $95 million.

For all its pre-release controversy, Noah [NOAH] did slightly better than expected. However, moviegoers gave the film a CinemaScore of C, indicating poor word of mouth. With Captain America taking over the multiplex, Noah is poised to sink more than 50% to $19 million.

Despite its female fanbase, Divergent [DVRGN] is proving to be as front-loaded as its male-targeted films and may drop 50% in its third outing to $13 million. Families should help Muppets Most Wanted [MUPE2] bring in another $7 million.

Continuing to add theaters in its second weekend of wide release, The Grand Budapest Hotel [GBHTL] could fill up its coffers with $6 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CAPA2, CEVAN, SJOHA, SLJAC, NOAH, DVRGN, MUPE2, GBHTL

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 3, 2014 @ 03:03 PM        12259 views


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The Wild Bunch (WILDB) 50000 7.28 (+0.23)         Fast & Furious 10 (FASTX) 6250 137.24 (+0.82)         Micronauts (MCRON) 150000 23.52 (+0.97)         The Wild Bunch (WILDB) 81663 7.28 (+0.23)         Micronauts (MCRON) 150000 23.52 (+0.97)         Happiest Season (HAPIS) 150000 6.93 (-0.26)         All My Life (ALMLF) 150000 19.45 (+1.00)         Happiest Season (HAPIS) 100000 6.93 (-0.26)         The Wild Bunch (WILDB) 100 7.28 (+0.23)         The Unknown Man (UNKNM) 100 13.33 (+0.41)         Sidekicks (SDKCK) 100 26.99 (+0.41)         All My Life (ALMLF) 150000 19.45 (+1.00)         Micronauts (MCRON) 100 23.52 (+0.97)         Cobweb (COBWB) 100 19.51 (+1.21)         Wrath of Man (VGLNC) 100 22.63 (-0.33)         Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 100 33.47 (-0.35)         Power Rangers (PWRNG) 500 36.17 (-0.61)         Power Rangers (PWRNG) 100 36.17 (-0.61)         Transformers: Cybertron prequel (TFCYB) 500 31.12 (-1.70)         The Witches (WITCH) 144658 6.65 (-0.08)         When You Finish Saving the World (WYFSW) 1000 9.46 (-0.10)         Power Rangers (PWRNG) 100 36.17 (-0.61)         Chip ‘n’ Dale: Rescue Ranger (CNDRR) 75000 36.57 (-0.07)         Cobweb (COBWB) 125000 19.51 (+1.21)         All My Life (ALMLF) 125000 19.45 (+1.00)         When You Finish Saving the World (WYFSW) 100000 9.46 (-0.10)         Transformers: Cybertron prequel (TFCYB) 150000 31.12 (-1.70)         Mother/Android (MTAND) 75000 13.76 (-0.73)         2 Hearts (2HRTS) 125000 2.76 (-0.03)         The Witches (WITCH) 150000 6.65 (-0.08)         Cobweb (COBWB) 150000 19.51 (+1.21)         He’s All That (HEALT) 150000 22.25 (+1.94)         Transformers: Cybertron prequel (TFCYB) 150000 31.12 (-1.70)         Transformers: Cybertron prequel (TFCYB) 150000 31.12 (-1.70)         Happiest Season (HAPIS) 150000 6.93 (-0.26)         All My Life (ALMLF) 125000 19.45 (+1.00)         Cobweb (COBWB) 125000 19.51 (+1.21)         When You Finish Saving the World (WYFSW) 125000 9.46 (-0.10)         Wrath of Man (VGLNC) 100000 22.63 (-0.33)         Transformers: Cybertron prequel (TFCYB) 125000 31.12 (-1.70)         Mother/Android (MTAND) 75000 13.76 (-0.73)         He’s All That (HEALT) 75000 22.25 (+1.94)         He’s All That (HEALT) 100000 22.25 (+1.94)         Malcolm & Marie (MALCM) 100000 2.13 (+0.01)         The Witches (WITCH) 78 6.65 (-0.08)         MLB World Series - Tampa Bay Ray (TBRAYS) 20000 2.92 (+0.02)         Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson (UPTAN) 1000 20.24 (-0.17)         He’s All That (HEALT) 150000 22.25 (+1.94)         Mother/Android (MTAND) 150000 13.76 (-0.73)         Micronauts (MCRON) 150000 23.52 (+0.97)