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Whisper Numbers: Captain America targets the record book



April is the new May as Disney releases the Marvel superhero sequel Captain America: The Winter Solider [CAPA2]. Chris Evans [CEVAN] reprises the role in Steve Rogers’ second solo outing, while Scarlett Johansson [SJOHA] and Samuel L. Jackson [SLJAC] lend their support from The Avengers. That 2012 superhero team-up blockbuster gave the opening weekend of Iron Man 3 a 39% bump over Iron Man 2, while Thor: The Dark World got a 30% bump over Thor. Set during World War II, Captain America: The First Avenger opened to $65 million in 2011. With S.H.I.E.L.D. at the center of its story, The Winter Solider should enjoy an Avengers bump closer to Iron Man than Thor. Advance sales are already pacing ahead of Thor: The Dark World’s $85.7 million and Fast Five’s April record $86.2 million. Disney has put all its marketing might behind the PG-13 rated film and appears confident enough to rush the third film to battle WB’s Superman and Batman in 2016. Captain America has generated overwhelmingly positive buzz from fans and excellent reviews from critics. Opening in 3938 theater, Captain America: The Winter Solider could score $95 million.

For all its pre-release controversy, Noah [NOAH] did slightly better than expected. However, moviegoers gave the film a CinemaScore of C, indicating poor word of mouth. With Captain America taking over the multiplex, Noah is poised to sink more than 50% to $19 million.

Despite its female fanbase, Divergent [DVRGN] is proving to be as front-loaded as its male-targeted films and may drop 50% in its third outing to $13 million. Families should help Muppets Most Wanted [MUPE2] bring in another $7 million.

Continuing to add theaters in its second weekend of wide release, The Grand Budapest Hotel [GBHTL] could fill up its coffers with $6 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CAPA2, CEVAN, SJOHA, SLJAC, NOAH, DVRGN, MUPE2, GBHTL

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 3, 2014 @ 03:03 PM        11918 views


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The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (JURA5) 46382 406.20 (-1.01)         Sicario: Day of the Soldado (SICA2) 25000 29.63 (+0.18)         Vigilance (VGLNC) 70000 17.67 (+0.25)         Keira Knightley (KKNIG) 20000 42.31 (+0.40)         Keira Knightley (KKNIG) 20000 42.31 (+0.40)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 100000 192.20 (+0.83)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (JURA5) 10000 406.20 (-1.01)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - (JURA5.OW) 26155 157.84 (-0.46)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Mulan (MULN) 4545 128.73 (+1.82)         Zoe Saldana (ZSALD) 20000 140.26 (+0.57)         Zoe Saldana (ZSALD) 20000 140.26 (+0.57)         Superfly (SPRFL) 10000 21.82 (-0.07)         Nobody's Fool aka The List (THLST) 100000 28.43 (+1.35)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (JURA5) 100000 406.20 (-1.01)         The Darkest Minds (DRKMN) 75000 29.78 (+3.38)         Nobody's Fool aka The List (THLST) 100000 28.43 (+1.35)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 25000 200.63 (+2.08)         The Empty Man (EMPTY) 100000 14.88 (-0.51)         Slender Man aka Slenderman (SLNDR) 25000 23.37 (-0.02)         Adrift (ADRFT) 100000 28.72 (+0.10)         The Darkest Minds (DRKMN) 40000 29.78 (+3.38)         Will Arnett (WARNE) 20000 67.39 (-0.13)         Cats (CATS) 68000 24.54 (+0.85)         Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 20000 117.38 (-0.85)         Ron Howard (RHOWA) 20000 52.91 (+0.52)         Jon Favreau (JFAVR) 20000 137.22 (+0.57)         Emilia Clarke (ECLAR) 20000 83.73 (+0.40)         Donald Glover (DOGLO) 20000 151.79 (-0.29)         Jojo Rabbit (JOJOR) 75000 24.40 (+2.87)         Chris O'Dowd (CODOW) 20000 32.18 (+0.16)         Alden Ehrenreich (AEHRE) 20000 50.51 (+0.53)         Woody Harrelson (WHARR) 20000 74.22 (+1.06)         Thandie Newton (TNEWT) 20000 34.79 (+0.26)         Paul Bettany (PBETT) 20000 164.83 (+0.59)         Cats (CATS) 100 24.54 (+0.85)         Bad Dads (BDADS) 99999 12.72 (+1.40)         Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 500 428.37 (-1.85)         Clark Duke (CDUKE) 20000 38.77 (-0.55)         Zoe Kravitz (ZKRAV) 20000 66.93 (-1.20)         Timothy Spall (TSPAL) 20000 14.05 (-0.26)         John Cho (JCHO) 20000 53.40 (-0.53)         Nobody's Fool aka The List (THLST) 50000 28.43 (+1.35)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 82963 30.00 (0.00)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 100 56.03 (+0.22)         Billionaire Boys Club (BBOYC) 5555 1.37 (+0.04)