Market Announcement: TVStocks for new Network TV series are now trading on Television Stock Exchange.

SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will Transformers more than meets $100 million?



Three years after completing a Transformers trilogy, Paramount enlisted Michael Bay [MBAY] to direct a fourth film, Transformers: Age of Extinction [TFRM4]. While Autobot favorites Optimus Prime and Bumblebee return, the human cast is all new, lead by Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL]. Although all three previous Transformers were huge blockbusters, moviegoers may be suffering from franchise fatigue. While the third film Dark of the Moon was considered better than the second film Revenge of the Fallen, Dark of the Moon grossed less than Revenge of the Fallen. Even with the introduction of a popular Dinobot and the exotic locale of China, trailers suggest that the latest installment hasn't deviated much from the CG formula of robot on robot action and city-wide destruction. Reviews from critics have not been kind, which will discourage fans who have aged out of the target demographic. The PG-13 rated sequel clocks in at 2 hr and 45 min, the longest yet in the series.  Advance sales are on par with the biggest openers of this year, none of which have broken $100 million, as well as the previous Transformers, which maay not be comparable due to weekday debuts. Playing in 4233 theaters, Transformers: Age of Extinction could blast away $98 million.

After opening less than the first film, Think Like A Man Too [TLAM2] looks to act like most sequels and drop over 50% in its second weekend to $14 million.

With less competition for the family audience, How to Train Your Dragon 2 [HTYD2] should hold slightly better than 22 Jump Street [21JS2] in their respective third weekend and finish $13.5 million to $12.5 million.

With its older target audience, Jersey Boys [JBOYS] may decline less than 40% to $8.5 million in its second engagement.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): MBAY, TFRM4, MWAHL, TLAM2, HTYD2, 21JS2, JBOYS

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 26, 2014 @ 02:05 PM        1806 views


Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

Hard Powder (HPWDR) 100000 11.53 (+8.86)         Aztec Warrior (AZWAR) 2500 1.66 (+0.04)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 25000 73.12 (-0.11)         Motherless Brooklyn (MOBRK) 100000 7.17 (+0.06)         Venom (VENM1) 10000 134.52 (+2.34)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 500 155.63 (-0.26)         Hard Powder (HPWDR) 100000 11.53 (+8.86)         The Jungle Book 2 (JNGL2) 5000 67.48 (+0.26)         The Happytime Murders (HPTMR) 29999 35.90 (-0.50)         Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (GOTG3) 28000 202.54 (-3.38)         Laura Dern (LDERN) 20000 43.47 (+0.93)         Aubrey Plaza (APLAZ) 20000 19.00 (-0.26)         Craig Robinson (CROBI) 20000 32.81 (-1.05)         Craig Robinson (CROBI) 20000 32.81 (-1.05)         Emmy Rossum (EROSS) 20000 35.30 (-0.97)         Godzilla: King of Monsters (GODZ2) 81756 177.99 (+0.11)         Emile Hirsch (EHIRS) 20000 33.32 (-1.19)         Emile Hirsch (EHIRS) 20000 33.32 (-1.19)         Men in Black Untitled (MIB4) 25000 141.72 (+0.56)         Robin Hood (RBNHO) 5000 37.96 (-0.13)         Robin Hood (RBNHO) 5000 37.96 (-0.13)         Uptown Saturday Night (USATN) 100000 15.11 (-0.11)         BlacKkKlansman (BLKKM) 100000 30.32 (-0.17)         CBS: God Friended Me (GODFME) 20000 10.00 (0.00)         Kin H$10 Call Fri-Mon (KIN.CA) 20000 2.08 (+0.08)         Taron Egerton (TEGER) 5000 69.96 (-0.24)         Operation Finale H$10 Put Fri-Mo (OPFIN.PU) 20000 2.37 (+0.37)         Operation Finale - Opening Weeke (OPFIN.OW) 100000 9.04 (-0.96)         Kin - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (KIN.OW) 100000 8.93 (-1.07)         The Meg (MEG) 100000 102.87 (-1.04)         CBS: Magnum P.I. (MAGNPI) 20000 10.00 (0.00)         CBS: God Friended Me (GODFME) 20000 10.00 (0.00)         CBS: Magnum P.I. (MAGNPI) 20000 10.00 (0.00)         CBS: FBI (FBICBS) 20000 8.00 (0.00)         CBS: FBI (FBICBS) 1000 8.00 (0.00)         CBS: FBI (FBICBS) 20000 8.00 (0.00)         CBS: Magnum P.I. (MAGNPI) 1000 10.00 (0.00)         Val Kilmer (VKILM) 20000 18.13 (+0.04)         Glen Powell (GPOWE) 20000 66.33 (-0.14)         CBS: Magnum P.I. (MAGNPI) 20000 10.00 (0.00)         Mission: Impossible - Fallout (MISS6) 100000 174.52 (+0.38)         CBS: FBI (FBICBS) 20000 8.00 (0.00)         Hard Powder (HPWDR) 99999 11.53 (+8.86)         Chaos Walking (CHAOW) 100000 45.05 (-0.22)         Hard Powder (HPWDR) 100000 11.53 (+8.86)         Pinocchio - Disney (PNOCC) 100000 97.27 (-0.98)         Green Lantern Corps (GLAN2) 99999 45.37 (+2.35)         Once Upon a Time in Hollywood ak (MFMLY) 15453 118.32 (+0.03)         CBS: Magnum P.I. (MAGNPI) 20000 10.00 (0.00)         CBS: God Friended Me (GODFME) 20000 10.00 (0.00)