SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Are the days of Saw dominance numbered?

The weekend before Halloween brings another edition in Lionsgate's money franchise, Saw VI [SAW6].  Whether you regard torture horror as trick or treat, the R-rated series have consistently delivered openings in the $30 million range.  However, the sequels have been trending downward, while Paranormal Activity [PNACT] provides direct competition this year.  Saw VI should still claim first place with about $26 million from 3036 theaters. 

Last weekend, Where the Wild Things Are [WILD] brought out fans of the children’s book young and old.  However, the PG-rated tale did not enjoy the typical Friday to Saturday bump of family films.   Mixed word of mouth could keep Where the Wild Things Are grounded in its second outing with a decline around 45% to $18 million.

After breaking out with nearly $20 million last weekend, Paranormal Activity more than doubles its theaters to 1945 this weekend. Although Saw VI poses as a strong challenge, buzz on the fresher fare Paranormal Activity remains high. The low budget horror film might gross out another $16 million.

The CG-animated Astro Boy [ASBOY] is based on the famous Japanese comics and TV series that introduced the world to anime back in the 1960s. The PG-rated film’s audience though appears to be limited to young boys and perhaps nostalgic older fans.  Blasting into 3014 theaters, Astro Boy could lift off with $12 million. 

Law Abiding Citizen [LACTZ] performed better than anyone anticipated in giving Overture its biggest hit.  The adult-targeted thriller should drop less than 50% to $11 million for its sophomore session.

Universal hopes to cash in on the vampire craze with Cirque du Freak: The Vampire’s Assistant [VAMPA].  However, moviegoers seem to see right through the attempt as buzz has been sorely lacking. Staked at 2754 locations, The Vampire’s Assistant could draw in around $9 million.

Hilary Swank [HSWAN] stars in the biographical drama Amelia [AMELA].  Fox Searchlight hopes to appeal to older adults, particularly women.  Unfortunately, reviews have mostly been negative on the Mira Nair [MNAIR] directed film. Flying in under the radar at just 818 theaters, Amelia may settle for about $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.

 



Tag(s): SAW6, PNACT, WILD, ASBOY, LACTZ, VAMPA, HSWAN, AMELA, MNAIR

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 22, 2009 @ 03:59 PM 3031 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!


New trailer for The Prom        Mads Mikkelsen confirmed to play Gellert Grindelwald in Fantastic Beasts 3        Half Brothers will open in ~1100 theaters next Friday, December 4       All My Life will open in 800+ theaters next Friday, December 4       Whisper Numbers: The Croods: A New Age begins over Thanksgiving weekend. #CroodsNewAge Box Office forecast.       First Look teaser for Clifford the Big Red Dog #CliffordMovie https://t.co/qtqLSCai4q       DreamWorks Animation, I mean Peacock Kids, has unleashed the first trailer for the animated sequel The Boss Baby: F…       The Croods: A New Age is currently trading for an Opening Weekend Wed-Sun of $22.4M. Buy, sell or hold?…       Cherry starring Tom Holland lands February 26, 2021 release date https://t.co/BhAlrG2ThH       Trailer for Little Fish starring Olivia Cooke and Jack O’Connell https://t.co/g9vJhxxGDz      
Coming 2 America (CTAM2) 10000 16.00 (0.00)         Captain Marvel 2 (CMAR2) 30000 192.34 (-1.62)         Die in a Gunfight (DINGF) 150000 1.44 (-0.02)         Gillian Jacobs (GJACO) 200 13.14 (0.00)         Jiu Jitsu (JUJTS) 37500 0.08 (+0.04)         Jiu Jitsu (JUJTS) 37500 0.08 (+0.04)         Jiu Jitsu (JUJTS) 37500 0.08 (+0.04)         Jiu Jitsu (JUJTS) 37499 0.08 (+0.04)         Lewis Tan (LTAN) 500 93.98 (-0.01)         Terrence Howard (THOWA) 100 12.16 (0.00)         The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 10000 65.62 (0.00)         The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 10000 65.62 (0.00)         Thirteen Lives (13LIV) 100000 25.96 (+0.70)         Thomasin McKenzie (TMCKE) 500 11.22 (0.00)         Rob Reiner (RREIN) 5000 3.82 (0.00)         The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 10000 65.62 (0.00)         Jessica Biel (JBIEL) 5000 1.31 (0.00)         The Animal Fund (ZOO) 10000 69.86 (+0.10)         Young Hollywood Fund (YOUNG) 10000 97.82 (-0.11)         Gus Van Sant (GVSAN) 5000 0.75 (+0.02)         The Sports Fund (SPORT) 10000 97.84 (-0.02)         Young Hollywood Fund (YOUNG) 1400 97.82 (-0.11)         Kevin Macdonald (KMCDO) 5000 1.20 (0.00)         Not Ready for Prime Time Fund (SNL) 10000 89.59 (+0.01)         The Blacksmith (TBLSM) 20000 19.83 (+1.93)         As Seen on TV Fund: Season 10 (SEETV) 10000 67.78 (+0.55)         We're Wolves aka What We Do in t (WRWLV) 100050 2.41 (-0.03)         Cary Fukunaga (CFUKU) 5000 13.45 (+0.01)         Back in the Day Fund (PERID) 10000 37.08 (-0.01)         The Down Under Fund (AUSIE) 500 59.24 (-0.01)         Creed III (CREE3) 150000 60.71 (+0.20)         Thomas Jane (TJANE) 5000 10.68 (+0.01)         The Remake Fund (DJAVU) 10000 84.18 (+0.02)         Thirteen Lives (13LIV) 50000 25.96 (+0.70)         The Remake Fund (DJAVU) 10000 84.18 (+0.02)         Margot Robbie (MROBB) 5000 76.38 (-0.05)         The British Fund (BRITS) 10000 35.26 (+0.01)         Spike Lee (SLEE) 5000 13.20 (+0.06)         The British Fund (BRITS) 10000 35.26 (+0.01)         The Literary Fund (BOOKS) 10000 23.58 (-0.01)         John Travolta (JTRAV) 5000 11.56 (+0.01)         StarBonds Fund (BONDS) 10000 75.29 (+0.03)         Shia Labeouf (SLABE) 3000 6.22 (0.00)         The Academy Awards Fund (AWARD) 10000 90.61 (-0.08)         The Down Under Fund (AUSIE) 10000 59.24 (-0.01)         The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 10000 66.03 (+0.27)         Barry Jenkins (BJENK) 5000 12.81 (+0.01)         Nikolaj Coster-Waldau (NCOST) 800 30.98 (+0.10)         Malin Akerman (MAKER) 25000 21.82 (0.00)         Toby Jones (TOJON) 5000 66.25 (+0.03)