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Whisper Numbers: American Sniper takes second tour



Three new wide releases enter the marketplace this weekend but none are close to challenging American Sniper [AMSNP] for the top spot. After its record shattering MLK holiday weekend, the war drama has become a cultural phenomenon that fosters debates. With excellent word of mouth and Oscar buzz, American Sniper should be able to hold 55% of its wide opening and collect another $52 million.

Jennifer Lopez [JLOPE] stars in the R-rated thriller The Boy Next Door [BOYND] as a teacher whose affair with her young neighbor turns him into a stalker. Universal is targeting women and Latino moviegoers. Debuting in 2602 theaters, The Boy Next Door could ring up $14 million.

British import Paddington [PADTN] connected with American families. The talking bear shouldn’t decline more than 40% to around $11. 5 million.

Although The Wedding Ringer [WEDRN] was in second place through Sunday, the comedy finished third by Monday. The drop-off looks to continue at more than 50% in its second weekend to $10 million.

When Disney acquired Lucasfilm for the Star Wars franchise, the animated Strange Magic [STMGC] came as part of the deal. The PG-rated fantasy has received little marketing and faces competition from Paddington. Brewing in 3020 theaters, Strange Magic may stir up $9 million.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] unveils his latest quirky character in the R-rated comedy Mortdecai [MRTDC]. The humor looks to appeal to only his die-hard fans. Depp’s last film Transcendence managed just a $10.9 million opening for a big-budgeted, sci-fi release. Lionsgate may have to settle for $8 million from 2648 locations.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): AMSNP, JLOPE, BOYND, PADTN, WEDRN, STMGC, JDEPP, MRTDC

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 22, 2015 @ 04:16 PM        1301 views


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Hotel Artemis H$10 Call (ARTMS.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Hereditary - Opening Weekend (HERDT.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)         The Night Clerk (NCLRK) 100000 9.77 (+3.57)         The Night Clerk (NCLRK) 100000 9.77 (+3.57)         Hotel Artemis - Opening Weekend (ARTMS.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)         Skyscraper (SKYSC) 70000 103.55 (+2.78)         Uncut Gems (UNCUT) 100000 8.00 (0.00)         Uncut Gems (UNCUT) 100000 8.00 (0.00)         Solo: A Star Wars Story H$175 Pu (SWAR2.PU) 20000 4.22 (+0.72)         Mary Shelley (ASITS) 100000 1.15 (-0.01)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 5000 342.56 (-9.69)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 7000 342.56 (-9.69)         Kenobi: A Star Wars Story (SWAR3) 1 287.60 (-7.46)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 3 342.56 (-9.69)         Avengers: Infinity War $600M Blo (AVNG3.BW) 20000 8.04 (+0.65)         San Andreas 2 (SAND2) 33000 34.90 (-0.14)         Ocean's 8 H$40 Call (OCEN4.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         Space Jam 2 (SJAM2) 43000 7.26 (-0.10)         Hotel Artemis - Opening Weekend (ARTMS.OW) 15504 10.00 (0.00)         Kenobi: A Star Wars Story (SWAR3) 1 287.60 (-7.46)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 3 342.56 (-9.69)         Hotel Artemis H$10 Call (ARTMS.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)         The Joker (JOKER) 41000 52.83 (-0.22)         The Hate U Give (HTUGV) 50000 18.16 (+0.63)         The Hate U Give (HTUGV) 50000 18.16 (+0.63)         The Hate U Give (HTUGV) 50000 18.16 (+0.63)         The Hate U Give (HTUGV) 50000 18.16 (+0.63)         6 Underground (6UNDG) 37000 11.67 (-2.57)         Solo: A Star Wars Story - Openin (SWAR2.OW) 20000 157.99 (-6.09)         It’s What I Do (IWIDO) 99000 4.79 (-0.06)         Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck (RALP2) 50000 159.44 (+0.80)         ABC: Deception (DECEPT) 16000 10.99 (+0.09)         Nomis (NOMIS) 39000 1.86 (+0.02)         Bloodshot (BLDSH) 40000 25.42 (+0.82)         Papillon (PAPIL) 50000 11.09 (+0.54)         Papillon (PAPIL) 50000 11.09 (+0.54)         Papillon (PAPIL) 50000 11.09 (+0.54)         Papillon (PAPIL) 50000 11.09 (+0.54)         Hugh Bonneville (HBONN) 20000 22.02 (+0.24)         Brooklyn Family Robinson (BFROB) 79000 0.62 (0.00)         Bloodshot (BLDSH) 50000 25.42 (+0.82)         Bloodshot (BLDSH) 50000 25.42 (+0.82)         Bloodshot (BLDSH) 50000 25.42 (+0.82)         The Bringing (TBRNG) 69000 0.40 (-0.05)         The Mule (TMULE) 14000 21.58 (+1.00)         Bloodshot (BLDSH) 50000 25.42 (+0.82)         Kung Fury (KFURY) 10000 18.91 (-0.23)         Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (MAMI2) 40000 94.38 (-0.95)         San Andreas 2 (SAND2) 29000 34.90 (-0.14)         Zach Galifianakis (ZGALI) 20000 55.04 (+0.53)