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Whisper Numbers: Will 3 films make over $50 million?



After debuting in second for the first time in Pixar history, Inside Out [NMIND] has a chance to ascend to the top in its sophomore session. The last original Pixar film Brave dropped 48% in its second weekend, but it’s not as universally praised as Inside Out. A better comparison would be the beloved Up from 2009, which declined 35%. A similar decay would put Inside Out at about $58 million.

After its record setting first and second weekend, Jurassic World [JURA4] is unlikely to top Avatar’s $68.5 million for best third weekend ever. Jurassic World should continue to pace Marvel’s The Avengers’ $55.6 million and come in at around $56 million.

Seth MacFarlane [SMACF] and Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] return in the R-rated comedy Ted 2 [TED2] exactly 3 years after Ted surprised the industry with a $54.4 million debut. However, MacFarlane’s last film Million Ways to Die in the West bombed miserable. Will the novelty of a foul-mouthed teddy bear wear off the second time around or will new bits like Tom Brady bring out fans of the original?  Universal should be about to count on the young adult male demographic. Lighting up 3442 theaters, Ted 2 could smoke $50 million.

Warner Bros. targets families with the doggie tale Max [MAX1] about a U.S. military dog adopted by the family of his handler who died in combat. Lacking any starpower, the PG-rated drama may have trouble standing out in a field crowded with summer blockbusters. Max looks to sniff out $11 million from 1855 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NMIND, JURA4, SMACF, MWAHL, TED2, MAX1

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 25, 2015 @ 04:29 PM        1473 views


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Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 4244 431.67 (+1.45)         Houdini (HDINI) 9000 0.01 (-0.03)         Mary Shelley (ASITS) 82700 0.23 (-0.01)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 44961 264.29 (+2.20)         Houdini (HDINI) 9000 0.01 (-0.03)         The Darkest Minds (DRKMN) 11000 30.09 (+3.69)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 1000 191.88 (+0.51)         Houdini (HDINI) 9000 0.01 (-0.03)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 50000 37.02 (-0.04)         The Sisters Brothers (TSBRO) 100000 9.20 (-0.09)         Solo: A Star Wars Story $195M Bl (SWAR2.BW) 20000 6.05 (+1.05)         Sam Mendes (SMEND) 20000 99.13 (+1.20)         Houdini (HDINI) 108 0.01 (-0.03)         Uncle Drew H$15 Call (UDREW.CA) 20000 2.69 (-0.07)         Solo: A Star Wars Story $195M Bl (SWAR2.BW) 10000 6.05 (+1.05)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 50000 37.02 (-0.04)         Houdini (HDINI) 8491 0.01 (-0.03)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 1402 30.00 (0.00)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 2000 431.67 (+1.45)         Fela Kuti (FELA) 109 0.01 (-0.04)         Where is Kyra? (BULSG) 498 0.08 (+0.04)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Outside In (OTSDN) 103 0.05 (-0.02)         The Equalizer 2 (EQLZ2) 2000 78.40 (-0.14)         Unfriended: Dark Web (UNFR2) 100000 25.81 (-1.68)         Outside In (OTSDN) 1003 0.05 (-0.02)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 100000 56.82 (+1.01)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 50000 30.00 (0.00)         Love After Love (LVALV) 5 0.12 (0.00)         Skyscraper (SKYSC) 100000 99.70 (-3.72)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 5000 30.00 (0.00)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 1 30.00 (0.00)         Gemini (GEMIN) 8 0.22 (-0.02)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 43964 200.68 (+2.13)         Bohemian Rhapsody (FREDI) 100000 39.25 (+0.06)         The Last Movie Star (DGYRS) 108 0.01 (-0.09)         Five Feet Apart (5FTAP) 50000 13.43 (+0.52)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 99000 200.68 (+2.13)         Friday the 13th (FRI12) 8535 0.73 (0.00)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 100000 30.00 (0.00)         Teen Titans Go!: To The Movies (TNTNG) 100000 47.57 (+1.15)         Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 100000 431.67 (+1.45)         Mary Poppins Returns (MPOPN) 33333 144.68 (-0.35)         Fela Kuti (FELA) 9999 0.01 (-0.04)         Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 100000 431.67 (+1.45)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 100000 191.88 (+0.51)