SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Star Wars to dominate the holidays

After shattering multiple box office records during last weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens [STAR7] continues to set a new high for each weekday. The second weekend promises to be another bonanza as Christmas Day held the third highest advance ticket sales. The Hobbit: Battle of Five Armies declined 25% in its sophomore weekend over Christmas last year, while The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King slipped 30% over the same period. With its massive opening weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens is likely to be more frontloaded. A still respectable 35% drop-off would result in about $161 million.

Will Ferrell [WFERR] and Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] reunite for the family comedy Daddy’s Home [DHOME]. Their previous PG-13 rated effort The Other Guys debuted to $35.5 million in August 2010. With a more crowded marketplace and male teenagers unlikely to be interested in a movie about fatherhood, Daddy’s Home may bring in $20.0 million from 3271 theaters.

Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR] toplines Joy [JOY] from writer-director David O. Russell [DORUS]. The PG-13 rated biopic has earned mixed reviews, which has muted its Oscar buzz. Interest from women remains high. Sweeping into 2896 theaters, Joy could mop up $15 million.

Sony’s Concussion [GAMEB] stars Will Smith [WSMIT] as the real-life doctor who discovered a degenerative brain disease among former NFL players. Smith’s last dramatic role came 7 years ago with Seven Pounds, which opened to $14.8 million. Concussion may be able to hit $12 million from 2841 locations.

The 1991 action classic Point Break [PTBR2] has been unnecessarily remade with Luke Bracey [LBRAC] and Edgar Ramirez [EDRAM]. Reviews are mostly negative, which will turn off older fans of the original. Launching in 2910 theaters, Point Break may ride out $11 million.

Steve Carell [SCARE], Brad Pitt [BPITT], Christian Bale [CBALE] and Ryan Gosling [RGOSL]combine their starpower for the R-rated drama The Big Short [BIGSH] about the 2007 financial collapse. After netting $1.3 million in limited release, Paramount exapnded the film wide to 1585 theaters on Wednesday and earned $2.3 million. With excellent reviews, The Big Short could add another $9 million over the weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): STAR7, WFERR, MWAHL, DHOME, JLAWR, JOY, DORUS, GAMEB, WSMIT, PTBR2, LBRAC, EDRAM, SCARE, BPITT, CBALE, RGOSL, BIGSH

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 24, 2015 @ 11:11 AM 5400 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 100000 135.13 (+1.05)          Fitting In (FITIN) 10000 0.02 (0.00)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 55000 30.91 (+0.62)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 125000 9.38 (-0.21)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 1 15.37 (-0.14)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 150000 15.37 (-0.14)          Abigail - Opening Weekend (ABGAL.OW) 50000 25.51 (+0.21)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 1 14.87 (-0.12)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 1 14.87 (-0.12)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Bird (BIRD) 1 3.01 (-0.16)          Bird (BIRD) 150000 3.01 (-0.16)          Don't Tell Mom the Babysitter's (DTMBD) 150000 2.14 (-0.46)          Don't Tell Mom the Babysitter's (DTMBD) 150000 2.14 (-0.46)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 50000 12.98 (-0.87)          Civil War (CVLWR) 150000 67.50 (-1.24)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Civil War (CVLWR) 150000 67.50 (-1.24)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 30000 44.11 (+0.01)          Spy x Family Code: White - Openi (SPYFM.OW) 30000 9.95 (-0.54)          The Smurfs Movie Musical (SMRF4) 40000 27.92 (-0.15)          Abigail - Opening Weekend (ABGAL.OW) 50000 25.51 (+0.21)          Warfare (WARFR) 400 35.31 (+1.39)          Greenhouse aka The Uninhabitable (GRENH) 20000 49.98 (+1.48)          Unsung Heroes - Opening Weekend (UNSUN.OW) 100000 9.29 (+0.18)          Blade (BLAD1) 2000 112.36 (+1.88)          Abigail (ABGAL) 10000 62.12 (+2.19)          Sight (SIGHT) 6000 7.15 (+2.51)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW.OW) 8 12.90 (-0.27)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 1200 9.52 (-1.99)          Kung Fu Panda 4 $155M Blockbuste (PAND4.BW) 15 11.45 (+0.02)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW.OW) 70 12.90 (-0.27)          Untitled Trey Parker (UVCHA) 3000 22.55 (+0.40)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 149998 78.20 (+0.75)          El-Alamein (ELALM) 30000 1.12 (-0.04)          Kung Fu Panda 4 $155M Blockbuste (PAND4.BW) 80 11.45 (+0.02)          The Smurfs Movie Musical (SMRF4) 30000 27.92 (-0.15)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Untitled Trey Parker (UVCHA) 1000 22.55 (+0.40)          Kung Fu Panda 4 $155M Blockbuste (PAND4.BW) 500 11.45 (+0.02)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW.OW) 1305 12.90 (-0.27)          Kung Fu Panda 4 $155M Blockbuste (PAND4.BW) 1000 11.45 (+0.02)          Kung Fu Panda 4 $155M Blockbuste (PAND4.BW) 500 11.45 (+0.02)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW.OW) 6090 12.90 (-0.27)          Kung Fu Panda 4 $155M Blockbuste (PAND4.BW) 7000 11.45 (+0.02)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW.OW) 5233 12.90 (-0.27)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 150000 12.98 (-0.87)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW.OW) 5234 12.90 (-0.27)          Kung Fu Panda 4 $155M Blockbuste (PAND4.BW) 6000 11.45 (+0.02)          Kung Fu Panda 4 $155M Blockbuste (PAND4.BW) 6000 11.45 (+0.02)