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Whisper Numbers: Star Wars to dominate the holidays



After shattering multiple box office records during last weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens [STAR7] continues to set a new high for each weekday. The second weekend promises to be another bonanza as Christmas Day held the third highest advance ticket sales. The Hobbit: Battle of Five Armies declined 25% in its sophomore weekend over Christmas last year, while The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King slipped 30% over the same period. With its massive opening weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens is likely to be more frontloaded. A still respectable 35% drop-off would result in about $161 million.

Will Ferrell [WFERR] and Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] reunite for the family comedy Daddy’s Home [DHOME]. Their previous PG-13 rated effort The Other Guys debuted to $35.5 million in August 2010. With a more crowded marketplace and male teenagers unlikely to be interested in a movie about fatherhood, Daddy’s Home may bring in $20.0 million from 3271 theaters.

Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR] toplines Joy [JOY] from writer-director David O. Russell [DORUS]. The PG-13 rated biopic has earned mixed reviews, which has muted its Oscar buzz. Interest from women remains high. Sweeping into 2896 theaters, Joy could mop up $15 million.

Sony’s Concussion [GAMEB] stars Will Smith [WSMIT] as the real-life doctor who discovered a degenerative brain disease among former NFL players. Smith’s last dramatic role came 7 years ago with Seven Pounds, which opened to $14.8 million. Concussion may be able to hit $12 million from 2841 locations.

The 1991 action classic Point Break [PTBR2] has been unnecessarily remade with Luke Bracey [LBRAC] and Edgar Ramirez [EDRAM]. Reviews are mostly negative, which will turn off older fans of the original. Launching in 2910 theaters, Point Break may ride out $11 million.

Steve Carell [SCARE], Brad Pitt [BPITT], Christian Bale [CBALE] and Ryan Gosling [RGOSL]combine their starpower for the R-rated drama The Big Short [BIGSH] about the 2007 financial collapse. After netting $1.3 million in limited release, Paramount exapnded the film wide to 1585 theaters on Wednesday and earned $2.3 million. With excellent reviews, The Big Short could add another $9 million over the weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): STAR7, WFERR, MWAHL, DHOME, JLAWR, JOY, DORUS, GAMEB, WSMIT, PTBR2, LBRAC, EDRAM, SCARE, BPITT, CBALE, RGOSL, BIGSH

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 24, 2015 @ 11:11 AM        4535 views


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Once Upon a Time in Hollywood ak (MFMLY) 2000 111.58 (-0.38)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 2000 344.88 (+2.04)         Mary Poppins Returns (MPOPN) 39000 175.04 (+0.69)         RoboCop Returns (ROBO2) 100000 36.54 (+1.06)         Avengers 4 (AVNG4) 2000 546.89 (-0.39)         RoboCop Returns (ROBO2) 100000 36.54 (+1.06)         Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 20000 50.33 (+0.15)         Write When You Get Work (WWYGW) 1111 2.00 (0.00)         London Fields (LNDNF) 10000 2.10 (-0.57)         Halloween (HALW3) 99999 158.76 (-0.60)         The Prodigy (PRDGY) 99999 20.17 (+7.87)         On the Run (OTRUN) 1 25.00 (0.00)         Dumbo (DUMBO) 2000 175.55 (+0.22)         Aladdin (ALADN) 4000 322.35 (+5.06)         Friday the 13th (FRI12) 99999 16.41 (+14.62)         First Man (FIRSM) 28893 53.67 (-2.64)         Friday the 13th (FRI12) 100000 16.41 (+14.62)         Bohemian Rhapsody (FREDI) 1 80.67 (+3.27)         Write When You Get Work (WWYGW) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Friday the 13th (FRI12) 100000 16.41 (+14.62)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 1000 120.63 (-3.80)         Friday the 13th (FRI12) 99999 16.41 (+14.62)         Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (GOTG3) 99999 133.66 (-6.38)         On the Run (OTRUN) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         On the Run (OTRUN) 80000 25.00 (0.00)         Johnny English Strikes Again - O (JENG3.OW) 100000 3.22 (+0.09)         Nobody's Fool - Opening Weekend (THLST.OW) 1 13.75 (+0.04)         Nobody's Fool H$15 Put (THLST.PU) 20000 2.78 (+0.03)         On the Run (OTRUN) 10125 25.00 (0.00)         Wonder Woman 1984 (WOND2) 8000 288.78 (-4.61)         Wonder Woman 1984 (WOND2) 100000 288.78 (-4.61)         Pinocchio - Disney (PNOCC) 8000 68.89 (-0.84)         On the Run (OTRUN) 5626 25.00 (0.00)         Hunter Killer H$10 Call (HNTKL.CA) 20000 1.62 (+0.02)         Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (PNOCH) 100000 0.05 (-1.85)         Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (PNOCH) 60000 0.05 (-1.85)         Bohemian Rhapsody H$25 Call (FREDI.CA) 20000 3.72 (+0.20)         On the Run (OTRUN) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Detective Pikachu (PIKAC) 5000 101.68 (+0.80)         On the Run (OTRUN) 5626 25.00 (0.00)         Madeline's Madeline (MADEL) 100000 0.83 (-0.01)         Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio (PNOCH) 100000 0.05 (-1.85)         The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 100000 37.93 (-1.21)         The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 99999 37.93 (-1.21)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 500 344.88 (+2.04)         The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 5173 37.93 (-1.21)         Overcomer (OVRCM) 1000 17.42 (+0.79)         Friday the 13th (FRI12) 100000 16.41 (+14.62)         Friday the 13th (FRI12) 100000 16.41 (+14.62)         You Should Have Left (YSHLF) 25000 10.94 (+0.18)