SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Star Trek set to prosper

Paramount has trailed the other Hollywood studios at the 2016 box office, but hopes to reverse its fortunes with Star Trek Beyond [TREK3], the third film in the rebooted timeline of the 50-year-old Sci-Fi series. Although 2013’s Star Trek Into Darkness opened to $70.2 million, the sequel was lambasted by most trek fans. Justin Lin [JLIN] took over as director and steered Star Trek back to its original mission of exploring deep space. Beyond has earned positive reviews, but audience are likely to be cautious after Into Darkness. Anton Yelchin’s untimely death and Sulu’s reveal as gay have kept the PG-13 rated film in the buzz of conversation. Warping into 3928 theaters, Star Trek Beyond could beam home $56 million.

Fox hopes families continue to flock to animated films with Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5], the fifth in their PG-rated series. However, it’s been 4 years since the previous installment Continental Drift opened to $46.6 million and closed with a franchise-low total of $161 million. Sending Scrat to space on an UFO is unlikely to bring back a portion of its audience. Ice Age: Collision Course may hit $36 million from 3992 locations.

Even with the added competition, The Secret Life of Pets [PETS] should hold strong with about $28 million for its third weekend.

After a solid debut and a Cinemascore of B+, Ghostbusters [GHST3] should enjoy good word of mouth.  Ghostbusters is likely to lose 50% from its debut to $23 million.

New Line follows up The Conjuring 2 with the James Wan-produced Lights Out [LITSO]. Teresa Palmer [TPALM] stars in the PG-13 rated horror based on a hit viral video. Lights Out has an easy-to-sell premise and its trailers are genuinely creepy. Reviews are also glowing, which is rare for a horror film. Showing in 2818 theaters, Lights Out could illuminate $18 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TREK3, JLIN, ICEA5, PETS, GHST3, LITSO, TPALM

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Wednesday, July 20, 2016 @ 04:56 PM 1786 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!


Teaser for new FOX series Call Me Kat starring Mayim Bialik       Box Score: Croods: A New Age gathers a light Thanksgiving box office weekend #Croods2 https://t.co/C2Rd1GEgp4       Trailer for Life In A Year, now on Prime Video       #CroodsNewAge grossed an estimated $2.7M on Thanksgiving, up from $1.9M on Wednesday        New trailer for The Prom        Mads Mikkelsen confirmed to play Gellert Grindelwald in Fantastic Beasts 3        Half Brothers will open in ~1100 theaters next Friday, December 4       All My Life will open in 800+ theaters next Friday, December 4       Whisper Numbers: The Croods: A New Age begins over Thanksgiving weekend. #CroodsNewAge Box Office forecast.       First Look teaser for Clifford the Big Red Dog #CliffordMovie https://t.co/qtqLSCai4q      
Good Bad & Undead (GBUND) 150000 25.57 (+0.80)         Half Brothers (HFBRO) 14000 2.32 (0.00)         One Night in Miami (1NIMI) 100000 2.83 (-0.03)         Fruitcake (FRUTC) 100000 4.76 (-0.02)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 25000 4.67 (+0.01)         Eternals (ETRNL) 3 172.99 (+0.01)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 125 4.67 (+0.01)         The Heart (THART) 12 4.96 (+0.06)         Scary Stories To Tell In The Dar (SSTI2) 13 29.32 (+0.36)         Chairman Spaceman (CSPCM) 20 14.36 (+0.19)         Monster Hunter (MONHT) 100 25.50 (+0.49)         Monster Hunter (MONHT) 20 25.50 (+0.49)         New York Will Eat You Alive aka (ZMBRO) 22 23.29 (+0.45)         Good Bad & Undead (GBUND) 110 25.57 (+0.80)         Godzilla vs. Kong (GOVKO) 25 67.68 (-0.33)         Godzilla vs. Kong (GOVKO) 25 67.68 (-0.33)         Good Bad & Undead (GBUND) 150000 25.57 (+0.80)         The Blacksmith (TBLSM) 6 18.56 (-0.10)         Good Bad & Undead (GBUND) 150000 25.57 (+0.80)         Nomadland (NOMDL) 7 4.75 (-0.03)         Jessica Henwick (JHENW) 70 16.35 (0.00)         Violet (VIOLT) 114 3.38 (0.00)         Cry Macho (CRYMC) 77 26.44 (0.00)         Methuselah (METHU) 99 10.37 (0.00)         The Bad Guys (TBADG) 55 50.71 (0.00)         Spencer (SPENC) 20000 7.66 (-0.04)         Chairman Spaceman (CSPCM) 150000 14.36 (+0.19)         Spencer (SPENC) 40000 7.66 (-0.04)         Chairman Spaceman (CSPCM) 35 14.36 (+0.19)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 50000 4.67 (+0.01)         Chairman Spaceman (CSPCM) 150000 14.36 (+0.19)         Good Bad & Undead (GBUND) 40000 25.57 (+0.80)         Freaky (FEAKY) 150000 14.17 (+0.20)         Freaky (FEAKY) 150000 14.17 (+0.20)         Monster Hunter (MONHT) 25000 25.50 (+0.49)         Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 30000 33.61 (+0.34)         Chairman Spaceman (CSPCM) 60 14.36 (+0.19)         Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 59999 33.61 (+0.34)         The Blacksmith (TBLSM) 143750 18.56 (-0.10)         Nomadland (NOMDL) 2000 4.75 (-0.03)         Scary Stories To Tell In The Dar (SSTI2) 36000 29.32 (+0.36)         Shrunk (SHRUN) 99 25.95 (0.00)         Scary Stories To Tell In The Dar (SSTI2) 29999 29.32 (+0.36)         San Andreas 2 (SAND2) 99 15.11 (0.00)         I Wanna Dance with Somebody (IWDWS) 30000 19.98 (+0.35)         I Wanna Dance with Somebody (IWDWS) 25000 19.98 (+0.35)         Nightwing (NTWNG) 99 14.29 (0.00)         Good Bad & Undead (GBUND) 55000 25.57 (+0.80)         Scary Stories To Tell In The Dar (SSTI2) 120000 29.32 (+0.36)         Lost City of D (LOCTD) 69 36.62 (0.00)