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Whisper Numbers: Jason Bourne to beat Bad Moms



Nine years after disappearing from the movie landscape, Jason Bourne [BORN5] returns reuniting Matt Damon [MDAMO] and director Paul Greengrass [PGREE]. The Bourne Ultimatum had seemingly concluded his story and capped off a trilogy with a $69.2 million debut. Wanting to extend the franchise, Universal tapped Jeremy Renner for The Bourne Legacy, which opened to a respectable $38.1 million in 2012. Damon’s presence should bring back some of the original fans, though the murky motivation for Jason Bourne’s reappearance may put off a portion of the audience. Mixed reviews from critics have only confirmed that the PG-13 rated film is an unnecessary sequel. Still, the fifth Bourne is tracking and selling advance tickets similar to the fifth Mission: Impossible, Rogue Nation which opened a year ago with $55.5 million. Playing in 4026 theaters, Jason Bourne should clear $55 million.

Star Trek Beyond [TREK3] felt the fans’ wrath over Into Darkness, but should have better word of mouth. As with most sequels this summer though, Star Trek Beyond looks to power down around 50% in its second weekend to $29 million.

Mila Kunis [MKUNI] and Kristen Bell [KBELL] lead the R-rated comedy Bad Moms [BMOMS]. Ticket presales are pacing ahead of Trainwreck which hit $30 million a year ago. However, Amy Schumer seems to have generated more buzz for Trainwreck than STX has for Bad Moms. Raging in 3215 theaters, Bad Moms may bring home $28 million.

Lionsgate targets millennials with the PG-13 rated thriller Nerve [NERVE]. After a better than expected take of $3.8 million on Wednesday, Nerve should collect another $11 million over the weekend from 2538 locations.

As for the other two sophomore releases, the animated Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5] is likely to hold slightly better than 50% for $11 million ,while the horror Lights Out [LITSO] do the opposite at worse than 50% for $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BORN5, MDAMO, PGREE, TREK3, MKUNI, KBELL, BMOMS, NERVE, ICEA5, LITSO

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 28, 2016 @ 03:51 PM        2130 views


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Lobo (LOBO) 1 25.78 (+0.81)         Hotel Artemis (ARTMS) 11000 14.21 (+0.17)         The 15:17 to Paris (1517P) 64000 32.94 (+3.18)         Black Panther (BPNTH) 1 409.69 (+9.28)         Black Panther (BPNTH) 1 409.69 (+9.28)         The 15:17 to Paris (1517P) 100000 32.94 (+3.18)         The 15:17 to Paris (1517P) 26000 32.94 (+3.18)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 148 80.00 (0.00)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 80.00 (0.00)         The 15:17 to Paris (1517P) 10000 32.94 (+3.18)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 80.00 (0.00)         Men in Black Untitled (MIB4) 100000 67.79 (-1.30)         Early Man (ERLYM) 1297 13.25 (-2.70)         Obi-Wan Kenobi: A Star Wars Stor (SWAR3) 100000 299.88 (-1.31)         The Chronicles of Riddick: Furia (RIDC3) 50000 2.80 (+0.04)         Wonder Woman 2 (WOND2) 100000 282.87 (+1.03)         The Catcher Was A Spy (CWSPY) 50000 2.46 (-0.04)         Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (GOTG3) 100000 256.14 (+1.93)         Early Man (ERLYM) 15000 13.25 (-2.70)         The Black Count (BLCNT) 50000 2.37 (-0.03)         The Best Man Wedding (BESM3) 50000 2.11 (-0.10)         The Beach Bum (TBBUM) 100000 15.12 (-0.19)         X-Men: Dark Phoenix (XMEN7) 100000 160.99 (-0.27)         The Beach Bum (TBBUM) 100000 15.12 (-0.19)         The Alchemist (ALCHM) 50000 2.67 (+0.02)         The Aftermath (AFTRM) 50000 1.77 (+0.04)         The Aftermath (AFTRM) 50000 1.77 (+0.04)         Peter Rabbit (PRABT) 1000 75.68 (+5.11)         Death Wish (DWISH) 750 25.39 (+0.16)         Terminator sequel (TERM6) 100000 49.56 (-0.41)         A Prayer Before Dawn (APBFD) 100000 1.33 (-0.14)         Terminator sequel (TERM6) 100000 49.56 (-0.41)         Peter Rabbit (PRABT) 1000 75.68 (+5.11)         Terminal (TERMN) 50000 2.57 (+0.14)         Tag (TAG) 100000 33.00 (-0.23)         Tag (TAG) 100000 33.00 (-0.23)         Sweet Valley High (SVHI) 50000 1.77 (-0.03)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 80.00 (0.00)         Super Size Me 2: Holy Chicken! (SIZE2) 50000 1.49 (+0.06)         Sun Dogs (SNDOG) 50000 0.39 (-0.04)         Summer Night (SUMNT) 50000 1.75 (+0.08)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 80.00 (0.00)         Summer Night (SUMNT) 50000 1.75 (+0.08)         Suicide Squad 2 (SUIC2) 100000 162.42 (-0.98)         Suicide Squad 2 (SUIC2) 100000 162.42 (-0.98)         Truth or Dare (TRUOD) 100000 34.19 (-0.14)         Star Wars: Episode IX (STAR9) 25000 617.59 (-1.36)         Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 100000 124.10 (-1.57)         Hurricane Heist (CATG5) 100000 14.90 (-0.27)         Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 100000 124.10 (-1.57)