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Whisper Numbers: Jason Bourne to beat Bad Moms



Nine years after disappearing from the movie landscape, Jason Bourne [BORN5] returns reuniting Matt Damon [MDAMO] and director Paul Greengrass [PGREE]. The Bourne Ultimatum had seemingly concluded his story and capped off a trilogy with a $69.2 million debut. Wanting to extend the franchise, Universal tapped Jeremy Renner for The Bourne Legacy, which opened to a respectable $38.1 million in 2012. Damon’s presence should bring back some of the original fans, though the murky motivation for Jason Bourne’s reappearance may put off a portion of the audience. Mixed reviews from critics have only confirmed that the PG-13 rated film is an unnecessary sequel. Still, the fifth Bourne is tracking and selling advance tickets similar to the fifth Mission: Impossible, Rogue Nation which opened a year ago with $55.5 million. Playing in 4026 theaters, Jason Bourne should clear $55 million.

Star Trek Beyond [TREK3] felt the fans’ wrath over Into Darkness, but should have better word of mouth. As with most sequels this summer though, Star Trek Beyond looks to power down around 50% in its second weekend to $29 million.

Mila Kunis [MKUNI] and Kristen Bell [KBELL] lead the R-rated comedy Bad Moms [BMOMS]. Ticket presales are pacing ahead of Trainwreck which hit $30 million a year ago. However, Amy Schumer seems to have generated more buzz for Trainwreck than STX has for Bad Moms. Raging in 3215 theaters, Bad Moms may bring home $28 million.

Lionsgate targets millennials with the PG-13 rated thriller Nerve [NERVE]. After a better than expected take of $3.8 million on Wednesday, Nerve should collect another $11 million over the weekend from 2538 locations.

As for the other two sophomore releases, the animated Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5] is likely to hold slightly better than 50% for $11 million ,while the horror Lights Out [LITSO] do the opposite at worse than 50% for $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BORN5, MDAMO, PGREE, TREK3, MKUNI, KBELL, BMOMS, NERVE, ICEA5, LITSO

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 28, 2016 @ 03:51 PM        2288 views


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Glass H$70 Call Fri-Mon (GLASS.CA) 20000 2.00 (-0.11)         Brian Banks (BBANK) 2 5.47 (+1.36)         Sesame Street (SESAM) 100000 41.30 (+0.95)         Irresistible (IRSTB) 1 14.66 (-0.66)         Never Look Away (NVRLA) 100000 2.41 (+0.03)         Irresistible (IRSTB) 1 14.66 (-0.66)         Never Look Away (NVRLA) 100000 2.41 (+0.03)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 100000 44.41 (+0.06)         Free Guy (FREEG) 10 49.35 (-1.97)         Brian Banks (BBANK) 100000 5.47 (+1.36)         The Irishman (IRISH) 40000 2.46 (+0.13)         World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 100000 44.41 (+0.06)         Coming 2 America aka Coming to A (CTAM2) 1 65.10 (+0.99)         Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 10 24.39 (-0.95)         Coming 2 America aka Coming to A (CTAM2) 1 65.10 (+0.99)         Escape Room (TMAZE) 100000 37.42 (-0.12)         Irresistible (IRSTB) 100000 14.66 (-0.66)         Motherless Brooklyn (MOBRK) 1 9.18 (-1.23)         Escape Room (TMAZE) 100000 37.42 (-0.12)         Motherless Brooklyn (MOBRK) 1 9.18 (-1.23)         Little Woods (LTWDS) 100000 2.45 (+0.47)         Randall Park (RNPAR) 20000 123.51 (-0.57)         The Good Liar (GLIAR) 1 21.27 (+1.24)         The Irishman (IRISH) 100000 2.46 (+0.13)         Adopt a Highway (ADPHW) 100000 5.91 (-0.18)         Three Thousand Years of Longing (3TYOL) 10 28.34 (+1.04)         The Good Liar (GLIAR) 1 21.27 (+1.24)         Adopt a Highway (ADPHW) 100000 5.91 (-0.18)         No No No, Yes (NOYES) 10 6.36 (+1.13)         Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 10 99.36 (-0.85)         The Good Liar (GLIAR) 10 21.27 (+1.24)         The Witches (WITCH) 1 49.00 (+1.18)         No No No, Yes (NOYES) 100000 6.36 (+1.13)         Creed II $105M Blockbuster Warra (CREE2.BW) 20000 9.57 (-0.04)         No No No, Yes (NOYES) 100000 6.36 (+1.13)         Brian Banks (BBANK) 10 5.47 (+1.36)         The Witches (WITCH) 1 49.00 (+1.18)         Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 20000 99.36 (-0.85)         The Rhythm Section (RHYTM) 100000 29.58 (+3.20)         Downhill (DWNHL) 10 28.85 (+2.00)         The Rhythm Section (RHYTM) 100000 29.58 (+3.20)         Uncharted (UNCHT) 10 24.05 (+2.19)         Sesame Street (SESAM) 100000 41.30 (+0.95)         Resident Evil (RESE7) 10 29.87 (+2.79)         Sesame Street (SESAM) 100000 41.30 (+0.95)         Molly aka Untitled Sally Potter (MOLY1) 1 5.62 (-0.38)         The Rhythm Section (RHYTM) 66664 29.58 (+3.20)         Molly aka Untitled Sally Potter (MOLY1) 99999 5.62 (-0.38)         Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 20000 99.36 (-0.85)         The Upside (NTCHB) 1 49.68 (+1.18)