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Whisper Numbers: Jason Bourne to beat Bad Moms



Nine years after disappearing from the movie landscape, Jason Bourne [BORN5] returns reuniting Matt Damon [MDAMO] and director Paul Greengrass [PGREE]. The Bourne Ultimatum had seemingly concluded his story and capped off a trilogy with a $69.2 million debut. Wanting to extend the franchise, Universal tapped Jeremy Renner for The Bourne Legacy, which opened to a respectable $38.1 million in 2012. Damon’s presence should bring back some of the original fans, though the murky motivation for Jason Bourne’s reappearance may put off a portion of the audience. Mixed reviews from critics have only confirmed that the PG-13 rated film is an unnecessary sequel. Still, the fifth Bourne is tracking and selling advance tickets similar to the fifth Mission: Impossible, Rogue Nation which opened a year ago with $55.5 million. Playing in 4026 theaters, Jason Bourne should clear $55 million.

Star Trek Beyond [TREK3] felt the fans’ wrath over Into Darkness, but should have better word of mouth. As with most sequels this summer though, Star Trek Beyond looks to power down around 50% in its second weekend to $29 million.

Mila Kunis [MKUNI] and Kristen Bell [KBELL] lead the R-rated comedy Bad Moms [BMOMS]. Ticket presales are pacing ahead of Trainwreck which hit $30 million a year ago. However, Amy Schumer seems to have generated more buzz for Trainwreck than STX has for Bad Moms. Raging in 3215 theaters, Bad Moms may bring home $28 million.

Lionsgate targets millennials with the PG-13 rated thriller Nerve [NERVE]. After a better than expected take of $3.8 million on Wednesday, Nerve should collect another $11 million over the weekend from 2538 locations.

As for the other two sophomore releases, the animated Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5] is likely to hold slightly better than 50% for $11 million ,while the horror Lights Out [LITSO] do the opposite at worse than 50% for $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BORN5, MDAMO, PGREE, TREK3, MKUNI, KBELL, BMOMS, NERVE, ICEA5, LITSO

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 28, 2016 @ 03:51 PM        2173 views


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James Cromwell (JCROM) 20000 63.67 (+0.26)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 100000 235.24 (-0.50)         Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 20000 67.36 (+0.80)         Juan Antonio Bayona (JABAY) 20000 22.26 (-0.08)         The Torture Report (TORTR) 100000 12.00 (0.00)         Minions 2 (MNIO2) 100000 173.97 (+0.12)         Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck (RALP2) 100000 159.56 (+0.12)         Hotel Artemis H$10 Call (ARTMS.CA) 20000 2.16 (+0.16)         Uncut Gems (UNCUT) 100000 9.02 (+1.02)         Uncut Gems (UNCUT) 84469 9.02 (+1.02)         The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Par (LEGO2) 100000 153.31 (0.00)         Hotel Artemis - Opening Weekend (ARTMS.OW) 100000 8.57 (-1.43)         Hotel Artemis H$10 Put (ARTMS.PU) 20000 2.06 (+0.06)         Men in Black Untitled (MIB4) 100000 109.17 (+1.27)         Ocean's 8 - Opening Weekend (OCEN4.OW) 100000 41.13 (+1.13)         Trolls 2 (TROL2) 100000 101.05 (+0.12)         The Happytime Murders (HPTMR) 378 36.71 (+0.73)         Ocean's 8 H$40 Call (OCEN4.CA) 20000 2.69 (+0.69)         How to Train Your Dragon: The Hi (HTYD3) 100000 98.58 (-0.11)         Ocean's 8 H$40 Put (OCEN4.PU) 20000 2.10 (+0.10)         Destroyer (DSTRY) 100000 10.33 (-0.12)         Upgrade - Opening Weekend (STEM.OW) 100000 5.73 (+0.10)         Honey in the Head (HNYHD) 100000 4.00 (0.00)         Hereditary H$15 Put (HERDT.PU) 20000 2.30 (+0.30)         Uncut Gems (UNCUT) 100000 9.02 (+1.02)         Hereditary H$15 Call (HERDT.CA) 20000 1.76 (-0.24)         Hellboy (HELB3) 100000 61.48 (-0.07)         Creed 2 (CREE2) 100000 60.86 (+0.20)         Judy (JUDY) 10000 17.84 (-0.12)         Hereditary - Opening Weekend (HERDT.OW) 100000 14.47 (-0.53)         Happy Death Day 2 (HDTH2) 100000 45.83 (-0.07)         Adrift H$10 Put (ADRFT.PU) 20000 2.62 (-0.06)         Hereditary H$15 Put (HERDT.PU) 20000 2.30 (+0.30)         Uncut Gems (UNCUT) 84469 9.02 (+1.02)         Adrift H$10 Call (ADRFT.CA) 20000 1.36 (+0.04)         The Angry Birds Movie 2 (ANGR2) 100000 50.24 (-0.11)         Adrift - Opening Weekend (ADRFT.OW) 100000 9.07 (-0.04)         Hereditary - Opening Weekend (HERDT.OW) 100000 14.47 (-0.53)         Action Point H$15 Put (ACTNP.PU) 20000 2.30 (+0.07)         The Addams Family (ADDAM) 100000 36.95 (-0.04)         Action Point H$15 Call (ACTNP.CA) 20000 2.32 (+0.02)         Action Point - Opening Weekend (ACTNP.OW) 100000 15.26 (+0.03)         Ocean's 8 H$40 Put (OCEN4.PU) 20000 2.10 (+0.10)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 100000 336.73 (-5.81)         The Grudge (GRUD4) 100000 28.31 (-0.04)         Ocean's 8 H$40 Call (OCEN4.CA) 20000 2.69 (+0.69)         A Dog's Journey (ADOG2) 100000 35.17 (+2.19)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 100000 336.73 (-5.81)         Scooby aka S.C.O.O.B. (SCOBY) 100000 18.88 (+0.02)         Ocean's 8 - Opening Weekend (OCEN4.OW) 100000 41.13 (+1.13)