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Whisper Numbers: Jason Bourne to beat Bad Moms



Nine years after disappearing from the movie landscape, Jason Bourne [BORN5] returns reuniting Matt Damon [MDAMO] and director Paul Greengrass [PGREE]. The Bourne Ultimatum had seemingly concluded his story and capped off a trilogy with a $69.2 million debut. Wanting to extend the franchise, Universal tapped Jeremy Renner for The Bourne Legacy, which opened to a respectable $38.1 million in 2012. Damon’s presence should bring back some of the original fans, though the murky motivation for Jason Bourne’s reappearance may put off a portion of the audience. Mixed reviews from critics have only confirmed that the PG-13 rated film is an unnecessary sequel. Still, the fifth Bourne is tracking and selling advance tickets similar to the fifth Mission: Impossible, Rogue Nation which opened a year ago with $55.5 million. Playing in 4026 theaters, Jason Bourne should clear $55 million.

Star Trek Beyond [TREK3] felt the fans’ wrath over Into Darkness, but should have better word of mouth. As with most sequels this summer though, Star Trek Beyond looks to power down around 50% in its second weekend to $29 million.

Mila Kunis [MKUNI] and Kristen Bell [KBELL] lead the R-rated comedy Bad Moms [BMOMS]. Ticket presales are pacing ahead of Trainwreck which hit $30 million a year ago. However, Amy Schumer seems to have generated more buzz for Trainwreck than STX has for Bad Moms. Raging in 3215 theaters, Bad Moms may bring home $28 million.

Lionsgate targets millennials with the PG-13 rated thriller Nerve [NERVE]. After a better than expected take of $3.8 million on Wednesday, Nerve should collect another $11 million over the weekend from 2538 locations.

As for the other two sophomore releases, the animated Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5] is likely to hold slightly better than 50% for $11 million ,while the horror Lights Out [LITSO] do the opposite at worse than 50% for $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BORN5, MDAMO, PGREE, TREK3, MKUNI, KBELL, BMOMS, NERVE, ICEA5, LITSO

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 28, 2016 @ 03:51 PM        2213 views


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Crazy Rich Asians (CRASN) 21000 77.72 (+0.98)         CBS: God Friended Me (GODFME) 20000 10.48 (+0.48)         BlacKkKlansman (BLKKM) 44885 29.96 (-0.16)         Operation Finale H$10 Put Fri-Mo (OPFIN.PU) 20000 2.34 (0.00)         Three Identical Strangers (3IDST) 51885 10.28 (-0.07)         Operation Finale H$10 Call Fri-M (OPFIN.CA) 20000 1.80 (-0.02)         Queen & Slim (QNSLM) 20000 24.52 (+1.41)         Kin H$10 Put Fri-Mon (KIN.PU) 20000 1.89 (0.00)         Kin H$10 Call Fri-Mon (KIN.CA) 20000 2.09 (-0.01)         Back Roads (BACRD) 90000 1.14 (-0.05)         The Big Bad Fox and Other Tales (BBFOT) 100000 1.55 (0.00)         Wonder Park aka Amusement Park (AMUSM) 40000 43.97 (+1.43)         What Men Want (WMENW) 10000 54.26 (+3.64)         Uncut Gems (UNCUT) 10000 10.85 (+0.10)         CBS: Magnum P.I. (MAGNPI) 20000 11.14 (+1.14)         Nobody's Fool (THLST) 10000 30.29 (0.00)         Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 100000 85.87 (-1.01)         Spawn (SPWN2) 10000 22.75 (0.00)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 100000 27.12 (-0.94)         Suicide Squad 2 (SUIC2) 100000 94.53 (-0.20)         Alpha - Opening Weekend (SOLUT.OW) 100000 7.79 (0.00)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 100000 159.21 (+0.54)         Dark Phoenix aka X-Men 7 (XMEN7) 100000 139.61 (+0.50)         Wonder Park aka Amusement Park (AMUSM) 100000 43.97 (+1.43)         Artemis Fowl (AFOWL) 100000 43.49 (+2.37)         Pet Sematary (PETSM) 10000 29.91 (-0.03)         Jackpot (JCKPT) 90000 1.56 (+0.01)         The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Par (LEGO2) 10000 177.83 (+0.77)         Fantastic Beasts 3 (FBST3) 10000 158.09 (+0.65)         The Little Mermaid (MERMD) 90000 0.65 (+0.01)         Kusama - Infinity (KUSAM) 10000 1.86 (-0.03)         Berlin, I Love You (BLILU) 90000 0.63 (0.00)         Toff Guys (TOFFG) 1000 14.28 (-1.30)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 90000 0.95 (-0.01)         Green Book (GRNBK) 10000 23.67 (-1.39)         Hotel Mumbai aka The Palace (HTLMB) 90000 1.69 (0.00)         Blazing Samurai (BLAZS) 90000 2.21 (-0.03)         Untitled Galifianakis/Hader/Roge (UGHRC) 90000 3.31 (-0.05)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 10000 27.12 (-0.94)         Captain Nemo aka 20,000 Leagues (20LUS) 100000 3.06 (+0.06)         Wonder Park aka Amusement Park (AMUSM) 100000 43.97 (+1.43)         Venom (VENM1) 38795 134.72 (+0.18)         Toff Guys (TOFFG) 50000 14.28 (-1.30)         Cats (CATS) 10000 47.74 (+0.08)         Toff Guys (TOFFG) 50000 14.28 (-1.30)         Wonder Park aka Amusement Park (AMUSM) 280 43.97 (+1.43)         Mile 22 - Opening Weekend (MIL22.OW) 100000 16.57 (-0.08)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 10000 118.74 (+0.02)         The Comic Fund (COMIC) 10000 62.30 (0.00)         Crazy Rich Asians (CRASN) 100000 77.72 (+0.98)