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Whisper Numbers: Suicide Squad to save the day



The month of August is about to get a new record-holder as Warner Bros. unleashes Suicide Squad [SUICD] based on the DC comic series. Will Smith [WSMIT] leads the cast as Deadshot, but the true stars are Margot Robbie [MROBB] as Harley Quinn and Jared Leto [JLETO] as the Joker. The PG-13 rated actioner bings together comic villains to battle a greater evil, turning them into the heroes. Buzz has been building ever since the first trailer dropped at the 2015 Comic-Con more than a year ago. Warner Bros. has steered a brilliant marketing campaign that has moviegoers in a frenzy, even after the disappointment of Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice, which still managed to opened with $166 million. Advance sales are far ahead of Guardians of the Galaxy, the current August record holder at $94 million. However, reviews have not been kind. While rabid fans frontload Thursday night and Friday, word of mouth could dampen the rest of the weekend. Storming 4255 theaters, Suicide Squad could unload $128 million.

After a successful return, Jason Bourne [BORN5] is likely to be pushed down hard by the DC bad guys. Jason Bourne could fall 55% from its opening to about $26 million.

Bad Moms [BMOMS] had a solid debut, but did not seem to attract moviegoers outside its target audience of older women. Bad Moms should hold better than 50% in its second weekend for $13 million.

Despite better reviews, Star Trek Beyond [TREK3] is decaying faster than its predecessor. With more competition, the third weekend is likely to be around $10 million.

Kevin Spacey [KSPAC] gets turned into a cat in the family comedy Nine Lives [9LIVS]. Most parents are likely to wait for the PG-rated flick to hit home video. EuropaCorp managed only to secure 2264 theaters, where Nine Lives could claim $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): SUICD, WSMIT, MROBB, JLETO, BORN5, BMOMS, TREK3, KSPAC, 9LIVS

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 4, 2016 @ 03:50 PM        1718 views


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Marton Csokas (MCSOK) 8212 70.72 (0.00)         Tom and Jerry (TMJRY) 100000 43.00 (+3.00)         A9: Green Book - Picture (A9PGRN) 20000 5.49 (0.00)         On the Rocks (ONROC) 10000 16.00 (0.00)         The Brink (TBRNK) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         On the Rocks (ONROC) 6 16.00 (0.00)         On the Rocks (ONROC) 100000 16.00 (0.00)         A9: Roma - Picture (A9PROM) 20000 6.45 (-0.02)         Tom and Jerry (TMJRY) 25000 43.00 (+3.00)         Tom and Jerry (TMJRY) 50000 43.00 (+3.00)         A9: The Favourite - Original (A9OFAV) 20000 6.55 (+0.04)         Marton Csokas (MCSOK) 8212 70.72 (0.00)         A9: A Star Is Born - Adapted (A9EASB) 20000 6.11 (-0.21)         Aladdin (ALADN) 15000 321.21 (-3.02)         Untitled Christopher Nolan (UCNOL) 100000 95.94 (+3.44)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 1 23.30 (+2.25)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 15000 23.30 (+2.25)         Brian Geraghty (BGERA) 20000 28.49 (+0.32)         Marton Csokas (MCSOK) 8384 70.72 (0.00)         Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 20000 93.08 (-0.20)         On the Rocks (ONROC) 100000 16.00 (0.00)         On the Rocks (ONROC) 100000 16.00 (0.00)         Marton Csokas (MCSOK) 8384 70.72 (0.00)         Ghostbusters Untitled (GHST4) 100000 87.68 (-0.64)         Bergman Island (BERGM) 100000 2.76 (+0.04)         On the Rocks (ONROC) 99999 16.00 (0.00)         The Brink (TBRNK) 99999 2.00 (0.00)         Mark Rylance (MRYLA) 8605 70.36 (+0.14)         Bird Box (BRDBX) 100000 0.49 (+0.02)         Mark Rylance (MRYLA) 8605 70.36 (+0.14)         On the Rocks (ONROC) 100000 16.00 (0.00)         On the Rocks (ONROC) 99999 16.00 (0.00)         Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 70000 55.42 (+0.16)         Ghostbusters Untitled (GHST4) 50000 87.68 (-0.64)         Blinded by the Light (BLBTL) 50000 24.62 (+1.16)         Frozen 2 (FROZ2) 374 248.97 (+0.69)         The Souvenir (TSUVN) 100000 2.58 (+0.72)         On the Rocks (ONROC) 100000 16.00 (0.00)         Owen Wilson (OWILS) 9942 62.18 (0.00)         Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (GOTG3) 100 105.80 (+0.90)         Untitled Christopher Nolan (UCNOL) 50000 95.94 (+3.44)         The Souvenir (TSUVN) 100000 2.58 (+0.72)         An Acceptable Loss (ACPLS) 100000 1.17 (-0.02)         Animals (ANMAL) 100000 2.56 (+0.02)         Owen Wilson (OWILS) 9942 62.18 (0.00)         Ghostbusters Untitled (GHST4) 100000 87.68 (-0.64)         The Invisible Man (INVSB) 250 23.30 (+2.25)         Michael Sheen (MISHE) 10000 38.29 (-0.08)         On the Rocks (ONROC) 100000 16.00 (0.00)         My Days of Mercy (MRCY) 90000 0.30 (-0.38)