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Whisper Numbers: How much will Alice in Wonderland find down the rabbit hole?



After spending 3 months on Pandora, moviegoers finally get to feast their spectacled eyes on a new 3D film other than Avatar.   Tim Burton [TBURT] and Lewis Carroll seems such a perfect match that it’s surprising it’s taken this long for the director to put his spin on the classic Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW].   Top box office draw and quirky character maven Johnny Depp [JDEPP] stars as the Mad Hatter in the PG-rated fantasy film based on the book “Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland” as well as its sequel “Through the Looking Glass”.   The Disney machine couldn’t have asked for a better hook for their marketing campaign.  Anticipation and awareness for the film are so high that the opening is unlikely to suffer from the effects of mixed reviews.  Marching into 3728 theaters, Alice in Wonderland could discover around $76 million.

Despite poor exit polls from audiences, Shutter Island [SHISL] held up in its second weekend.  The older-skewing thriller should entice more moviegoers to solve its mystery for another $12 million.

Overture took over the release of the cop drama Brooklyn’s Finest [BRKLN] when its previous distributor Senator went bankrupt.   Without much marketing support, the R-rated film must rely on the recognition factor of its stellar cast, which includes Wesley Snipes [WSNIP] returning to the screen after a five-year absence due to tax problems.  Overture has had success opening similar hard-boiled fares in Law Abiding Citizen and Righteous Kill, though with much wider releases.  Playing in just 1936 theaters, Brooklyn’s Finest may debut with about $10 million

Cop Out [2COPS] did not distinguish itself from any other buddy cop movie.  The disposable action comedy is likely to lose half its opening weekend take and return $9 million in its sophomore session.

Overture already knew The Crazies [CRAZI] is likely to deteriorate quickly when they scheduled Brooklyn’s Finest to open during its second weekend.  The horror remake could scare up another $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): TBURT, ALCNW, JDEPP, SHISL, BRKLN, WSNIP, 2COPS, CRAZI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 4, 2010 @ 04:21 PM        2956 views


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briony_matilda
Monday, March 8 at 20:49 PM Pacific
*Impressed Whistle*


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Tim Burton (TBURT) 20000 63.56 (-12.87)         Avengers: Endgame H$260 Call (AVNG4.CA) 20000 6.65 (+0.73)         Mia Wasikowska (MWASI) 20000 21.69 (+2.13)         Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 20000 97.47 (+2.21)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Martin Lawrence (MLAWR) 20000 34.36 (-4.76)         Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 20000 89.01 (-5.43)         Midway (MDWAY) 40000 57.93 (+0.28)         Jason Isaacs (JISAA) 20000 8.14 (-5.46)         Avengers: Endgame (AVNG4) 41000 629.21 (+8.68)         Isla Fisher (IFISH) 20000 18.07 (-0.05)         Dev Patel (DPATE) 20000 25.82 (+0.24)         Ghostbusters Untitled (GHST4) 100000 108.93 (-4.47)         Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 20000 37.40 (-3.97)         Ghostbusters Untitled (GHST4) 100000 108.93 (-4.47)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Joker (JOKER) 99999 145.56 (-0.45)         Colin Farrell (CFARR) 20000 31.54 (+9.41)         Alan Arkin (ALARK) 20000 47.72 (+0.33)         Men in Black: International (MIB4) 100000 146.06 (-0.42)         Armie Hammer (AHAMM) 20000 13.90 (-11.92)         Gemini Man (GEMAN) 100000 103.25 (+9.02)         Benedict Wong (BWONG) 1380 172.60 (+1.02)         The Batman (TBATM) 99999 118.44 (-0.56)         Jeremy Renner (JRENN) 20000 93.07 (-0.40)         Jeremy Renner (JRENN) 20000 93.07 (-0.40)         Zac Efron (ZEFRO) 20000 60.58 (+2.84)         Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 20000 89.01 (-5.43)         The Professor and the Madman (PROFM) 50000 1.69 (+0.05)         Zac Efron (ZEFRO) 20000 60.58 (+2.84)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 49000 372.03 (-0.73)         Tim Burton (TBURT) 20000 63.56 (-12.87)         Jason Isaacs (JISAA) 20000 8.14 (-5.46)         Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 59999 117.84 (-0.89)         Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 20000 37.40 (-3.97)         The Professor and the Madman (PROFM) 50000 1.69 (+0.05)         Alice Eve (AEVE) 19999 3.74 (+0.11)         Colin Farrell (CFARR) 20000 31.54 (+9.41)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Slaughterhouse Rulez (SHRUL) 50000 1.60 (0.00)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 20000 97.47 (+2.21)         Keira Knightley (KKNIG) 19999 30.20 (-0.01)         The Professor and the Madman (PROFM) 100000 1.69 (+0.05)         Paul Bettany (PBETT) 20000 189.76 (+0.85)         Paul Bettany (PBETT) 20000 189.76 (+0.85)         Slaughterhouse Rulez (SHRUL) 49999 1.60 (0.00)         Asa Butterfield (ABUTT) 19999 24.00 (+0.07)         Matthew McConaughey (MMCCO) 20000 18.78 (-20.65)         Martin Lawrence (MLAWR) 20000 34.36 (-4.76)