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Whisper Numbers: How much will Alice in Wonderland find down the rabbit hole?



After spending 3 months on Pandora, moviegoers finally get to feast their spectacled eyes on a new 3D film other than Avatar.   Tim Burton [TBURT] and Lewis Carroll seems such a perfect match that it’s surprising it’s taken this long for the director to put his spin on the classic Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW].   Top box office draw and quirky character maven Johnny Depp [JDEPP] stars as the Mad Hatter in the PG-rated fantasy film based on the book “Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland” as well as its sequel “Through the Looking Glass”.   The Disney machine couldn’t have asked for a better hook for their marketing campaign.  Anticipation and awareness for the film are so high that the opening is unlikely to suffer from the effects of mixed reviews.  Marching into 3728 theaters, Alice in Wonderland could discover around $76 million.

Despite poor exit polls from audiences, Shutter Island [SHISL] held up in its second weekend.  The older-skewing thriller should entice more moviegoers to solve its mystery for another $12 million.

Overture took over the release of the cop drama Brooklyn’s Finest [BRKLN] when its previous distributor Senator went bankrupt.   Without much marketing support, the R-rated film must rely on the recognition factor of its stellar cast, which includes Wesley Snipes [WSNIP] returning to the screen after a five-year absence due to tax problems.  Overture has had success opening similar hard-boiled fares in Law Abiding Citizen and Righteous Kill, though with much wider releases.  Playing in just 1936 theaters, Brooklyn’s Finest may debut with about $10 million

Cop Out [2COPS] did not distinguish itself from any other buddy cop movie.  The disposable action comedy is likely to lose half its opening weekend take and return $9 million in its sophomore session.

Overture already knew The Crazies [CRAZI] is likely to deteriorate quickly when they scheduled Brooklyn’s Finest to open during its second weekend.  The horror remake could scare up another $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): TBURT, ALCNW, JDEPP, SHISL, BRKLN, WSNIP, 2COPS, CRAZI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 4, 2010 @ 04:21 PM        2911 views


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briony_matilda
Monday, March 8 at 20:49 PM Pacific
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Green Book (GRNBK) 100000 29.99 (-1.04)         Toy Story 4 (TOYS4) 3660 289.62 (-0.12)         Green Book (GRNBK) 100000 29.99 (-1.04)         Replicas (RPLIC) 100000 16.29 (+0.14)         Trial of the Chicago 7 (TCHI7) 100000 24.39 (+4.39)         Boss Level (BOSSL) 81823 19.92 (+0.06)         Halloween $160M Blockbuster Warr (HALW3.BW) 20000 8.97 (-0.34)         Replicas (RPLIC) 62080 16.29 (+0.14)         Don't Breathe 2 (DNBR2) 100000 36.95 (-5.48)         The Quake (QUAKE) 100000 1.60 (+0.02)         Replicas (RPLIC) 99999 16.29 (+0.14)         Replicas (RPLIC) 100000 16.29 (+0.14)         Bohemian Rhapsody (FREDI) 100000 139.53 (+0.78)         Fast (FAST) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Fast (FAST) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Love, Gilda (GILDA) 100000 0.97 (+0.01)         Don't Breathe 2 (DNBR2) 1000 36.95 (-5.48)         Replicas (RPLIC) 35483 16.29 (+0.14)         Don't Breathe 2 (DNBR2) 95000 36.95 (-5.48)         Fast (FAST) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Fast (FAST) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         The Informer (3SECS) 100000 14.28 (+1.18)         Gerard Butler (GBUTL) 20000 43.04 (-0.66)         Fast (FAST) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         The Informer (3SECS) 99999 14.28 (+1.18)         Benedict Cumberbatch (BCUMB) 20000 167.27 (0.00)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 100000 115.82 (+1.10)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 100000 115.82 (+1.10)         Big Brother (BGBRO) 100000 0.42 (+0.07)         Arkansas (ARKNS) 100000 10.20 (+3.13)         Space Jam 2 (SJAM2) 100000 51.10 (+1.34)         Mirai (MIRAI) 100000 1.63 (-0.02)         Space Jam 2 (SJAM2) 100000 51.10 (+1.34)         Five Feet Apart (5FTAP) 100000 17.02 (+0.93)         Fast (FAST) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Five Feet Apart (5FTAP) 100000 17.02 (+0.93)         The Outpost (OUTPS) 100000 16.67 (+1.15)         Five Feet Apart (5FTAP) 99999 17.02 (+0.93)         Fast (FAST) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Fast (FAST) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Ruben Brandt, Collector (RBCOL) 100000 1.12 (-0.04)         Don't Breathe 2 (DNBR2) 100000 36.95 (-5.48)         Bird Box (BRDBX) 100000 0.86 (-0.09)         Common (COMMN) 20000 39.60 (-0.24)         The Good Nurse (GNURS) 100000 17.82 (-0.51)         Shazam! (SHAZM) 2000 98.41 (-1.34)         George MacKay (GMACK) 20000 1.66 (0.00)         George MacKay (GMACK) 20000 1.66 (0.00)         The Informer (3SECS) 100000 14.28 (+1.18)         Black Panther 2 (BPNT2) 100000 427.00 (-3.09)