SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: XXX to Split the box office



Two film icons attempt a comeback this weekend as writer-director M. Night Shyamalan [MNSHY] takes on Vin Diesel’s [VDIES] return as Xander Cage after 15 years. The head to head battle for box office supremacy appears close, but Split [SPLIT] may pull ahead. Shyamalan’s PG-13 rated thriller stars James McAvoy [JMCAV] as a man with 23 personalities. Universal’s marketing has effectively set up the premise to hook in moviegoers. The film has a twist ending that apparently hue closer on the Shyamalan scale to his breakout The Sixth Sense than the horrible The Happening. Advance ticket sales are pacing ahead of Shyamalan’s last film The Visit, which opened with $25.4 million in September 2015. Arriving in 3037 theaters, Split could nab $26 million.

In addition to Diesel, XXX: The Return of Xander Cage [XXX3] boasts an all-star cast of action stars like Donnie Yen [DYEN] and Tony Jaa [TJAA]. However, that apparently wasn’t not enough for Paramount, which has decided to give away a cameo from the star of the second XXX. While Diesel’s XXX opened to $45.5 million in 2002, Ice Cube’s XXX: State of the Union managed just $12.7 million in 2005. Advance ticket sales are ahead of London Has Fallen, which debuted with $21.6 million. Attacking 3651 theaters, XXX: The Return of Xander Cage could bring in $24 million.

The crowd-pleasing Hidden Figures [HIDNF] will continue to hold strong and cross the $80 million milestone with another $12 million.

Patriots Day [PATSD] underperformed its strong pedigree and may drop 50% in its second wide weekend to $6.0 million. Though unlikely to recover its huge budget, Monster Trucks [MNTRC] did find an audience. The family film could decline 45% in its sophomore outing to $6.0 million.

Although The Bye Bye Man [BYBYM] opened better than expected, the horror film faces direct competition from Split. A 60% drop would be about $5.5 million.

Michael Keaton [MKEAT] stars as The Founder [FONDR] of the MacDonald's franchise. The PG-13 rated drama has been a Weinstein Co. afterthought this award season. Serving 1115 theaters, The Founder may flip $4 million.

The Resurrection of Gavin Stone [TROGS] targets Christian moviegoers in 887 theaters and could deliver $1 million.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): MNSHY, VDIES, SPLIT, JMCAV, XXX3, DYEN, TJAA, HIDNF, PATSD, MNTRC, BYBYM, MKEAT, FONDR, TROGS

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 19, 2017 @ 04:27 PM        3191 views


Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

Mother/Android (MTAND) 149999 15.09 (+1.04)         Mother/Android (MTAND) 150000 15.09 (+1.04)         Bride of Frankenstein (BRIDF) 149999 18.58 (+1.34)         Bliss (BLISS) 400 2.00 (-0.01)         Bride of Frankenstein (BRIDF) 150000 18.58 (+1.34)         A Journal for Jordan (JFJOR) 149999 28.72 (+1.34)         A Journal for Jordan (JFJOR) 150000 28.72 (+1.34)         Elyse (ELYSE) 149999 1.89 (+0.42)         Elyse (ELYSE) 150000 1.89 (+0.42)         All Quiet on the Western Front (AQOWF) 90 2.72 (+0.01)         After We Fell (AFTR3) 149999 4.48 (+1.03)         After We Fell (AFTR3) 150000 4.48 (+1.03)         Dune (DUNE) 100000 147.03 (+0.12)         My Son (MYSN) 100000 19.40 (-0.60)         After We Fell (AFTR3) 100000 4.48 (+1.03)         A Journal for Jordan (JFJOR) 75000 28.72 (+1.34)         Black Bear (BLKBR) 100000 0.35 (+0.01)         Umma (UMMA) 50000 14.36 (-0.01)         Bride of Frankenstein (BRIDF) 100000 18.58 (+1.34)         The Empty Man (EMPTY) 100000 5.15 (-0.49)         The Empty Man (EMPTY) 150000 5.15 (-0.49)         My Son (MYSN) 50000 19.40 (-0.60)         Horizon Line (HRZNL) 100000 8.75 (+0.03)         My Son (MYSN) 100000 19.40 (-0.60)         Shadow Force (SHDWF) 100000 11.04 (-0.98)         Micronauts (MCRON) 125000 23.66 (+0.48)         Cry Macho (CRYMC) 150000 28.21 (-0.59)         Cry Macho (CRYMC) 150000 28.21 (-0.59)         The Craft: Legacy (CRAFT) 150000 2.30 (-0.10)         Bride of Frankenstein (BRIDF) 100000 18.58 (+1.34)         A Journal for Jordan (JFJOR) 100000 28.72 (+1.34)         After We Fell (AFTR3) 100000 4.48 (+1.03)         After We Fell (AFTR3) 125000 4.48 (+1.03)         The Empty Man (EMPTY) 125000 5.15 (-0.49)         Cry Macho (CRYMC) 100000 28.21 (-0.59)         The 355 (355) 75000 23.70 (-0.75)         The Eyes of Tammy Faye (TEOTF) 50000 8.44 (+0.11)         The Eyes of Tammy Faye (TEOTF) 50000 8.44 (+0.11)         The Eyes of Tammy Faye (TEOTF) 50000 8.44 (+0.11)         The Eyes of Tammy Faye (TEOTF) 50000 8.44 (+0.11)         The Eyes of Tammy Faye (TEOTF) 50000 8.44 (+0.11)         The Eyes of Tammy Faye (TEOTF) 50000 8.44 (+0.11)         Captain Nemo aka 20,000 Leagues (20LUS) 50000 2.70 (+0.05)         Captain Nemo aka 20,000 Leagues (20LUS) 50000 2.70 (+0.05)         Captain Nemo aka 20,000 Leagues (20LUS) 50000 2.70 (+0.05)         Captain Nemo aka 20,000 Leagues (20LUS) 50000 2.70 (+0.05)         Captain Nemo aka 20,000 Leagues (20LUS) 50000 2.70 (+0.05)         Captain Nemo aka 20,000 Leagues (20LUS) 50000 2.70 (+0.05)         Oliver Platt (OPLAT) 19998 7.41 (+0.06)         Alfonso Cuaron (ACUAR) 25000 88.45 (+0.25)