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Whisper Numbers: Alice in Wonderland to trip up four new releases.



Moviegoers were apparently really starved for a new 3D film, especially a fresh spin on the classic story Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW] reuniting Tim Burton [TBURT] and Johnny Depp [JDEPP].  However, the fantasy film is unlikely to have the legs of its 3D predecessor, Avatar after its multiple record-breaking debut.  Alice in Wonderland could be headed for a tumble of more than 50% to come through its second weekend at about $54 million.

Matt Damon [MDAMO] reteams with director Paul Greengrass [PGREE] for the R-rated actioner Green Zone [GREZN]. Originally based on the non-fiction book "Imperial Life in the Emerald City" which explained how the U.S. bungled post-war Iraq, the film has instead been turned fictionalized into an American solider going rogue in search of the truth.  Since films about war and politics in the Middle East have not fared well at the box office, Universal has smartly marketed Green Zone like it was a Bourne sequel.  However, the R-rated film is still unlikely to recover its production cost of at least $140 million. Green Zone could dig up just $21 million from 3003 locations.  

The success of Knocked Up with its improbable coupling has inspired another nerdy-loser-gets-the-hot-girl movie in She’s Out of My League [SHOML]. The R-rated raunchy comedy hopes to appeal to the same young crowd drawn to I Love You, Man, which opened to $17.8 million last year.  However, the DreamWorks film lacks the star power of the typical Apatow film in this genre. Opening in 2956 theater, She’s Out of My League could score $13 million on its first date.

Summit will see if Twilight fans will follow Rob Pattinson [RPATT] to another film with Remember Me [REMBR].  The PG-13 rated romance is targeted strictly at ladies who swoon for the young heartthrob. Playing in 2212 theaters, Remember Me could tally $11 million in its debut.

Forest Whitaker [FWHIT] clashes cultures with Carlos Mencia [CMENC] in the PG-13 rated Our Family Wedding [FAMWD].  Also starring America Ferrera [AFERR], the interracial romantic comedy from Fox Searchlight film is aimed at the urban audience.  Stepping into 1605 theaters, Our Family Wedding could walk away with at least $9 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): ALCNW, TBURT, JDEPP, MDAMO, PGREE, GREZN, SHOML, RPATT, REMBR, FWHIT, CMENC, FAMWD, AFERR

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 11, 2010 @ 03:48 PM        3451 views


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The Croods 2 (CROD2) 100000 80.00 (0.00)         Dave Bautista (DBAUT) 20 163.85 (+0.85)         A8: Guillermo Del Toro - The Sha (A8DGDT) 1 12.55 (+0.05)         Ghost Recon (GRCON) 99999 1.70 (+0.05)         A8: Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour - (A8AGOL) 5 13.20 (+0.44)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 4000 385.54 (-2.68)         A8: Frances McDormand - Three Bi (A8CFMC) 1 13.94 (+0.23)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 93.15 (+5.71)         A8: Allison Janney - I, Tonya - (A8SAJA) 1 14.93 (+0.15)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 100000 80.00 (0.00)         Game Night H$20 Call (GAMEN.CA) 100 2.09 (-0.08)         Black Panther (BPNTH) 69038 424.28 (+17.80)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 5000 93.15 (+5.71)         Gilligan's Island (GILGS) 100000 1.20 (+0.04)         Michelle Rodriguez (MRODR) 5 114.19 (-1.14)         Russell Brand (RBRAN) 15 97.58 (-0.20)         Suki Waterhouse (SUWAT) 20000 47.98 (-0.13)         Gringo (AMEXP) 99999 17.69 (-0.13)         Natalie Portman (NPORT) 20000 10.79 (+0.09)         Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 2 303.85 (+2.29)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 3000 385.54 (-2.68)         Ghost Recon (GRCON) 100000 1.70 (+0.05)         Deadpool 2 (DEAD2) 250 315.54 (-0.63)         Black Panther (BPNTH) 100000 424.28 (+17.80)         Avengers: Infinity War (AVNG3) 3 526.03 (+0.67)         A Dog's Way Home (DOGWH) 200 21.27 (-0.43)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 1 93.15 (+5.71)         Annihilation (ANHLT) 100000 32.65 (-1.57)         Avengers 4 (AVNG4) 50000 438.81 (+0.92)         Deadpool 2 (DEAD2) 5 315.54 (-0.63)         The Conjuring 3 (CNJU3) 1500 40.01 (-0.20)         Ghost Recon (GRCON) 99999 1.70 (+0.05)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 5000 385.54 (-2.68)         Peter Rabbit (PRABT) 100000 76.85 (+1.80)         The 15:17 to Paris (1517P) 100000 34.45 (+1.37)         The 15:17 to Paris (1517P) 99999 34.45 (+1.37)         The Conjuring 3 (CNJU3) 1500 40.01 (-0.20)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 100000 80.00 (0.00)         Labyrinth (LABRN) 100000 18.58 (-0.17)         Labyrinth (LABRN) 100000 18.58 (-0.17)         Acrimony (SLMLF) 100000 33.04 (-0.26)         Acrimony (SLMLF) 100000 33.04 (-0.26)         Gambit (GAMBI) 100000 54.08 (-0.37)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 100000 80.00 (0.00)         Serenity (SRNTY) 84196 27.87 (+0.82)         Solo: A Star Wars Story (SWAR2) 7000 385.54 (-2.68)         A Rainy Day in New York aka Unti (ARDNY) 100000 4.07 (+0.58)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 100000 80.00 (0.00)         Disney Studio Fund (DISNX) 10000 72.11 (+2.35)         The Mule (TMULE) 100000 20.38 (+1.11)