Market Announcement: AwardOptions for the Oscar nominees are now trading.

SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Blade Runner targets October record



Another long-dormant sci-fi property gets a sequel as Blade Runner 2049 [BLAD2] arrives 35 years after the classic Blade Runner. Harrison Ford [HFORD] revives another one of his iconic character Deckard, who is sought by a new lead protagonist, played by Ryan Gosling [RGOSL]. Though the 1982 original was a theatrical dud, it built up a cult following over time with its dystopic view of the future. Its popularity grew with re-releases including a director’s cut by Ridley Scott. The R-rated sequel directed by Denis Villenueve [DVILL] has earned rave reviews, which has further fueled the positive buzz. Advance ticket sales has Blade Runner 2049 outpacing Interstellar, Prometheus, Gravity, The Martian and Mad Max: Fury Road. This indicates an opening around $50 million, though its fanboy factor and longer running time of 2 hours and 44 minutes may prevent Blade Runner 2049 from breaking Gravity’s October record of $55.8 million. Landing in 4058 theaters, Blade Runner 2049 may hit $52 million.

The Hasbro toyline My Little Pony [MLPNY] gets a feature film adapted from the popular cartoon series. Lionsgate is targeting moms with little girls, but may also attract “bronies”, older male fans of the cartoon.  Playing in 2528 theaters, My Little Pony could connect with $11 million.

Kate Winslet [KWINS] and Idris Elba [IELBA] pair up in the survival drama The Mountain Between Us [TMBUS]. The Fox release appeals to only to one demographic: older women. With reviews mixed and little buzz, The Mountain Between Us may settle for $10 million from 3088 theaters.

With its older target audience, American Made [MENA] should hold better than 50% for a sophomore weekend around $9 million.

Despite repeating at the top spot, Kingsman: The Golden Circle [KTSS2] is decaying quickly and should finish its third weekend at about $8 million.

Focus Features expands Victoria and Abdul [VICAB] wide into 732 theaters after earning $1.5 million in 2 weeks of limited release. The historical drama may be able to attract $2.5 million from senior moviegoers.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BLAD2, HFORD, RGOSL, DVILL, MLPNY, KWINS, IELBA, TMBUS, MENA, KTSS2, VICAB

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 5, 2017 @ 03:38 PM        583 views


Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

Mary Shelley's Monster (MSMON) 30000 0.99 (+0.03)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 85.61 (+5.61)         Noah Baumbach (NBAUM) 20000 4.40 (-0.16)         The War with Grandpa (WARGP) 100000 12.28 (+1.89)         Jumanji 2 (JUMN2) 10000 177.46 (-1.77)         Bob's Burgers (BOBSB) 50000 30.65 (-0.08)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 20000 85.61 (+5.61)         The Mule (TMULE) 100000 19.11 (-0.61)         Chadwick Boseman (CBOSE) 20000 97.90 (+1.23)         Driven (DRVEN) 10000 8.62 (+0.01)         Chadwick Boseman (CBOSE) 20000 97.90 (+1.23)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 57384 85.61 (+5.61)         Mira Nair (MNAIR) 20000 8.89 (-0.12)         The War with Grandpa (WARGP) 99999 12.28 (+1.89)         Sylvester Stallone (SSTAL) 20000 88.81 (+0.20)         The Billion Brick Race (BBRAC) 50000 31.65 (+3.84)         Sylvester Stallone (SSTAL) 20000 88.81 (+0.20)         Pope Francis: A Man of His Word (POPEF) 99999 4.95 (+1.40)         Mike Leigh (MLEIG) 20000 3.89 (0.00)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 85.61 (+5.61)         Green Lantern Corps (GLAN2) 60000 83.54 (-0.29)         Latino Fund Ocho (LATIN) 10000 42.97 (+0.08)         Five Nights at Freddy's (5NAFD) 5000 20.32 (+2.98)         The Strangers: Prey at Night (STRN2) 50000 28.84 (+0.14)         Marion Cotillard (MCOTI) 20000 19.16 (-0.26)         Angela Bassett (ABASS) 20000 66.82 (-0.17)         RBG (RBG) 1500 1.61 (-0.14)         Michael Angarano (MANGA) 20000 4.04 (-0.08)         Official Secrets (OFSEC) 99999 12.07 (-0.38)         Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 20000 46.81 (-0.27)         Kirsten Dunst (KDUNS) 20000 34.91 (-0.08)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 1 85.61 (+5.61)         Jeremy Sisto (JSIST) 20000 6.50 (-0.04)         Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Vers (ASPDR) 4000 65.52 (+0.08)         Jaime King (JMKNG) 20000 4.04 (0.00)         The War with Grandpa (WARGP) 90000 12.28 (+1.89)         Julie Delpy (JDLPY) 20000 4.04 (-0.04)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 10000 85.61 (+5.61)         Wrong Answer (WRANS) 10000 16.72 (-1.18)         Tomb Raider (TOMB3) 13000 83.02 (+3.18)         Mack Bolan (BOLAN) 100000 2.05 (-0.23)         Mack Bolan (BOLAN) 100000 2.05 (-0.23)         Playmobil: Robbers, Thieves & Re (PMOBL) 15000 9.63 (-0.08)         The Guilty (TGULT) 50000 1.39 (-0.09)         Donnie Yen (DYEN) 20000 57.05 (+0.14)         Isle of Dogs (ISLDG) 100000 20.28 (-0.11)         Star Wars: The Last Jedi $580M B (STAR8.BW) 20000 20.02 (+0.15)         Park Chan-wook (CWPAR) 20000 2.95 (+0.04)         Death Wish (DWISH) 60000 25.04 (-0.35)         Patton Oswalt (POSWA) 20000 22.22 (0.00)