Market Announcement: AwardOptions for the Oscar nominees are now trading.

SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Boo 2! to avert disaster films



A year ago, Lionsgate got back in business with filmmaker Tyler Perry [TPERR] as Boo! A Madea Halloween opened to a robust $28.5 million. They quickly produced a sequel, Boo 2! A Madea Halloween [BOAM2], pitting the loudmouth grandma against more monsters. With the exception of 2013’s A Madea Christmas, the Madea films typically open around $25 million. The Perry fanbase has been fairly consistent, so expect Boo 2! A Madea Halloween to grab around $24 million from 2388 theaters

The disaster film Geostorm [GEOST] finally arrives after a series of long delays and costly reshoots. Warner Bros. is not screening Geostorm for critics nor previewing it Thursday night, which should speak to the quality of the PG-13 rated film. Still, the marketing should appeal to fans of CG disasters. Rolling into 3246 theaters, Geostorm could gather $13 million.

After a better than expected debut, Happy Death Day [HTDTH] is still likely to drop 55% in its second weekend to $12 million.

Only the Brave [NOEXT] is based on a real 2013 wildfire that killed 19 firefighters. Sony is pushing the heroism of the story, but moviegoers may not be in the mood for a film that closely resembles the news of deadly wildfires in California. Dropping in 2577 theaters, Only the Brave may rescue $10 million.

Universal targets adults with the R-rated thriller The Snowman [SNOWM] based on a best-selling mystery novel. However, Michael Fassbender [MFASS] is an unproven draw outside of fanboy films. Opening in just 1812 theaters, The Snowman could pack in $8 million.

With good word of mouth, The Foreigner [FRGNR] could hold slightly better than 50% for a $7 million second weekend.

Pure Flix offers Same Kind of Different as Me [SKODM], which was originally a Paramount release. The PG-13 rated faith-based drama may tally $3.5 million from 1362 theaters.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TPERR, BOAM2, GEOST, HTDTH, NOEXT, SNOWM, MFASS, FRGNR, SKODM

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 19, 2017 @ 03:29 PM        437 views


Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

Emily Mortimer (EMORT) 20000 44.21 (-0.26)         Ellen Burstyn (EBURS) 20000 32.87 (-0.16)         A8: Three Billboards Outside Ebb (A8O3BO) 20000 12.20 (+0.23)         A8: Guillermo Del Toro - The Sha (A8DGDT) 20000 12.49 (+0.20)         The Secret Life of Pets 2 (PETS2) 9876 165.30 (+1.46)         Catherine Keener (CKEEN) 20000 71.55 (-0.14)         A8: Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour - (A8AGOL) 20000 12.76 (+0.25)         A8: Frances McDormand - Three Bi (A8CFMC) 20000 13.68 (+0.10)         A8: Allison Janney - I, Tonya - (A8SAJA) 20000 14.77 (-0.14)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 100000 85.69 (+5.69)         The Secret Life of Pets 2 (PETS2) 5000 165.30 (+1.46)         Transformers 7 (TFRM7) 5000 74.65 (+0.30)         Three Seconds (3SECS) 100000 8.27 (+0.02)         The Secret Life of Pets 2 (PETS2) 5000 165.30 (+1.46)         Wonder Wheel (WNDWH) 100000 0.99 (+0.03)         Submission (SUBMS) 45 1.49 (+0.07)         Wonder Wheel (WNDWH) 100000 0.99 (+0.03)         Men in Black Untitled (MIB4) 25000 66.94 (-0.59)         The Sports Fund (SPORT) 8 63.99 (+0.51)         The Comic Fund (COMIC) 4 46.01 (-0.17)         Black Panther (BPNTH) 100000 406.52 (-3.56)         Pitch Perfect 3 $100M Blockbuste (PTCP3.BW) 20000 7.09 (-0.12)         Patient Zero (PZERO) 2 7.50 (-0.80)         Pope Francis: A Man of His Word (POPEF) 100000 4.90 (+1.35)         Ruby Rose (RROSE) 5 60.36 (-0.27)         Pope Francis: A Man of His Word (POPEF) 100000 4.90 (+1.35)         Black Panther (BPNTH) 100000 406.52 (-3.56)         Ellen Page (EPAGE) 80 37.33 (-0.22)         The Billion Brick Race (BBRAC) 100000 31.82 (+4.01)         The Billion Brick Race (BBRAC) 100000 31.82 (+4.01)         Five Nights at Freddy's (5NAFD) 99999 20.26 (+2.92)         Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 5 63.67 (-0.26)         Men in Black Untitled (MIB4) 25000 66.94 (-0.59)         Leonardo DiCaprio (LDCAP) 12 135.32 (-1.57)         Gambit (GAMBI) 99999 54.70 (+2.75)         Zoe (ZOE) 30 1.94 (+0.06)         Juliet, Naked (JULTN) 100000 3.83 (0.00)         XXX 4 (XXX4) 100 16.68 (-0.03)         The Expendables 4 (XPND4) 200 5.92 (-0.12)         Where'd You Go, Bernadette? (WDYGB) 8 13.01 (+0.13)         Miss Saigon (MSAIG) 100000 0.88 (-0.04)         The Kids Fund (KIDS) 10000 65.77 (+0.08)         Wargames (WARGM) 6 1.66 (+0.01)         Sorry to Bother You (STBYU) 20000 8.59 (-0.17)         Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Fa (DWHWG) 100000 4.18 (+0.17)         Trolls 2 (TROL2) 9 104.92 (+1.01)         Suicide Squad 2 (SUIC2) 6000 161.99 (-0.31)         Traffik (TRAFK) 3 22.78 (-0.06)         Tinker Bell aka Tink (TINK) 1335 0.90 (-0.04)         The Girl in the Spider's Web (TGRL2) 7 30.76 (-0.23)