SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Star Wars to dominate weekend



As Disney announced its takeover of Fox today, its franchise MVP Star Wars: The Last Jedi [STAR8] is poised to devour the box office this weekend. Episode 8 in the Skywalker saga features the original Star Wars hero Luke, played by Mark Hamill, who appeared briefly at the very end of Episode 7: The Force Awakens. Daisy Ridley [DRIDL] and Adam Driver [ADRIV] reprise their roles as Rey and Kylo Ren from that film as practitioners of the Force. The late Carrie Fisher makes her last appearance as Leia leads the Resistance against the First Order. Rian Johnson [RJOHN] took over as director and made the longest Star Wars film at over two and a half hours. Reviews indicate he has crafted an excellent follow-up that will please the enormous fanbase. Star Wars: The Force Awakens shattered box office records with its $248 million opening 2 years ago. The demand for Episode 7 had been pent up for 32 years since Episode 6 – Return of the Jedi, and for at least 10 years since the last Star Wars movie, Episode 3 - Revenge of the Sith. The Last Jedi comes just two years after The Force Awakens and just one year after the spinoff prequel Rogue One, which opened with $155 million. With the Disney hype machine in overdrive, the buzz and word of mouth will only build through the weekend. Blasting into 4232 theaters, Star Wars: The Last Jedi could consume $226 million.

Ferdinand [FERDN] hopes to get a start on the holiday season even if it means opening opposite the biggest movie of the year. John Cena [JCENA] voices the animated bull who does not want to fight in the ring. Unfortunately, most parents would still take their children to see the PG-13 rated Star Wars rather than Fox’s PG-rated family film. Billed in 3621 theaters, Ferdinand could steer $23 million.

With two new competitors in its fourth weekend, Coco [DDLM] looks to decline to about $10 million.

With excellent buzz, The Disaster Artist [DSART] should be able to hold 60% for $4 million in its second weekend of wide release.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): STAR8, DRIDL, ADRIV, RJOHN, FERDN, JCENA, DDLM, DSART

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 14, 2017 @ 03:54 PM        777 views


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Skyscraper (SKYSC) 10000 102.41 (-1.14)         Replicas (RPLIC) 1 17.79 (0.00)         Cleopatra (CLEOP) 79999 7.60 (-0.03)         Destination Wedding (DSWED) 1 7.12 (0.00)         Green Book (GRNBK) 100000 9.03 (+0.69)         Antlers (ANTLR) 100000 17.12 (-0.14)         Good Boys (GBOYS) 100000 23.10 (+0.39)         Uncut Gems (UNCUT) 1000 7.85 (-0.15)         Booksmart (BKSMR) 100000 13.41 (+0.40)         A Dog's Journey (ADOG2) 50000 34.17 (+1.19)         Little Women (LITWM) 100000 10.99 (-0.05)         The Hustle aka Nasty Women (NSTYW) 50000 28.40 (-0.10)         Papillon (PAPIL) 100000 10.98 (-0.12)         City of Lies aka Labyrinth (LABRN) 100000 25.89 (-0.41)         Overnight (ON42S) 100000 5.56 (+0.11)         Transformers 7 (TFRM7) 100000 59.23 (0.00)         Ana (ANA) 10000 7.86 (0.00)         Ana (ANA) 100000 7.86 (0.00)         Brianna Hildebrand (BHILD) 9068 121.99 (+0.13)         Higher Power (HIPWR) 100000 0.97 (-0.03)         Paul Bettany (PBETT) 4000 159.74 (+0.01)         Damian Lewis (DLEWI) 20000 15.66 (-0.04)         First Man (FIRSM) 2 38.66 (0.00)         A Simple Favor (ASFAV) 1 27.87 (0.00)         Down a Dark Hall (DADHL) 50000 2.14 (-0.01)         Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 19999 247.15 (-0.07)         Down a Dark Hall (DADHL) 50000 2.14 (-0.01)         Skyscraper (SKYSC) 1 102.41 (-1.14)         Down a Dark Hall (DADHL) 50000 2.14 (-0.01)         A Dog's Journey (ADOG2) 67876 34.17 (+1.19)         Down a Dark Hall (DADHL) 50000 2.14 (-0.01)         Skyscraper (SKYSC) 100000 102.41 (-1.14)         Good Boys (GBOYS) 50000 23.10 (+0.39)         Good Boys (GBOYS) 50000 23.10 (+0.39)         Good Boys (GBOYS) 50000 23.10 (+0.39)         Good Boys (GBOYS) 50000 23.10 (+0.39)         The Sports Fund (SPORT) 2 68.36 (-0.01)         A Dog's Journey (ADOG2) 96977 34.17 (+1.19)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 4999 328.15 (0.00)         Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 55 166.26 (+0.01)         Green Book (GRNBK) 100000 9.03 (+0.69)         Mile 22 (MIL22) 50000 40.67 (+0.66)         Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 1 66.69 (+0.13)         Painkiller Jane (PKJAN) 100000 19.10 (+0.69)         Mile 22 (MIL22) 50000 40.67 (+0.66)         Denzel Washington (DWASH) 2 51.30 (+0.12)         The Equalizer 2 (EQLZ2) 100000 72.25 (+0.42)         Carrie Coon (CCOON) 2947 165.19 (0.00)         Mile 22 (MIL22) 50000 40.67 (+0.66)         Lobo (LOBO) 100000 18.67 (+0.29)