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Whisper Numbers: Welcome to the Holiday Jungle



With Christmas eve falling on Sunday this year, the 3-day weekend box office will have a slight dip before bouncing back up on Christmas Day Monday. While a slew of new films join the festivities, Star Wars: The Last Jedi [STAR8] will remain the dominant force in the marketplace with possibly $120 million through the 4-day holiday weekend.

Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Kevin Hart [KHART] lead Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle [JUMNJ], Sony’s update of the 1995 original for the gaming crowd. Trailers and ads have conveyed a fun and crowd-pleasing adventure. The PG-13 rated opened on Wednesday, earning $7.2 million. Swinging into 3765 theaters, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle could score another $55 million.

Universal is marketing Pitch Perfect 3 [PTCP3] as the end of the all-female a cappella troupe the Bellas. Pitch Perfect 2 opened with a whopping $69.2 million, which turned out to be extremely front-loaded. Pitch Perfect 3 will likely only appeal to the diehard fans during a crowded opening weekend. Stepping up in 3447 theaters, Pitch Perfect 3 may hit $40 million.

Hugh Jackman [HJACK] toplines The Greatest Showman [TGSOE] target at musical lovers. Fox hopes Zac Efron [ZEFRO] and Zendaya [ZENDA] will draw in younger moviegoers, though reviews are mixed. The Greatest Showman opened on Wednesday in 3005 theaters with $4.6 million and should tally another $18 million over the long weekend.

Paramount opens the social satire Downsizing [DWNSZ] about living life on a miniature scale. The R-rated film has earned positive reviews through the festival circuit, and award buzz for co-star Hong Chau [HCHAU]. However, Matt Damon [MDAMO] has received negative press recently for his views on sexual harassment. Downsizing could gross $11 million from 2668 theaters.

Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Ed Helms [EHELM] star in the R-rated comedy Father Figures [BASTR], a title Warner Bros. was forced to change from Bastards due to objections from conservative markets. Either way, the film doesn’t look funny. Playing in 2902 theaters, Father Figures may settle for $10 million.

Two awards contenders in limited release expand wide on Friday. The Shape of Water [SHPWT] in 726 theaters and Darkest Hour [DARKH] in 806 theaters could each take in around $6 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor. Happy holidays!



Tag(s): STAR8, TROCK, KHART, JUMNJ, PTCP3, HJACK, TGSOE, ZEFRO, ZENDA, DWNSZ, HCHAU, MDAMO, OWILS, EHELM, BASTR, SHPWT, DARKH

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 21, 2017 @ 03:55 PM        662 views


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Hit Somebody (HITSB) 50000 0.07 (+0.06)         Annihilation (ANHLT) 100000 25.32 (-3.68)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 100000 60.00 (0.00)         Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (GOTG3) 25000 260.20 (+0.75)         Game Night (GAMEN) 175 50.45 (-2.81)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 100000 60.00 (0.00)         A8: Guillermo Del Toro - The Sha (A8DGDT) 20000 13.04 (+0.06)         Angel Has Fallen (HFAL3) 100000 32.02 (-0.22)         Paramount Studio Fund (PARAX) 42 23.02 (-0.37)         The City That Sailed (CTSAL) 2 0.90 (-0.08)         Captain Marvel (CMARV) 50000 158.63 (+0.80)         Spider-Man: Homecoming 2 (SPID7) 50000 244.73 (+1.21)         A8: Get Out - Original (A8OGET) 20000 5.47 (+0.04)         A8: Call Me By Your Name - Adapt (A8ECMB) 20000 13.39 (+0.37)         Silver and Black (SLBLC) 100000 89.63 (-2.00)         A8: Three Billboards Outside Ebb (A8O3BO) 20000 13.54 (+0.36)         A8: The Shape of Water - Picture (A8PTSW) 20000 10.66 (+0.27)         San Andreas 2 (SAND2) 100000 41.22 (-1.86)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 100000 60.00 (0.00)         On Chesil Beach (CHESL) 100000 4.04 (-0.31)         Captain Marvel (CMARV) 100000 158.63 (+0.80)         Hurricane Heist - Opening Weeken (CATG5.OW) 10 5.13 (+0.06)         Live, Die, Repeat and Repeat aka (EDGT2) 25000 28.15 (-0.38)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 100000 60.00 (0.00)         Portal (PORTL) 100000 12.44 (+3.66)         Peter Berg (PEBER) 4000 66.50 (+0.32)         Peter Berg (PEBER) 4000 66.50 (+0.32)         Peter Berg (PEBER) 4000 66.50 (+0.32)         Ronda Rousey (RROUS) 4000 84.20 (+0.32)         Ronda Rousey (RROUS) 4000 84.20 (+0.32)         Ronda Rousey (RROUS) 4000 84.20 (+0.32)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 100000 60.00 (0.00)         Trolls 2 (TROL2) 15000 106.23 (+0.83)         Avengers: Infinity War (AVNG3) 25 532.35 (+0.75)         A8: Call Me By Your Name - Pictu (A8PCMB) 500 0.94 (-0.02)         Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (JURA5) 20 479.23 (+0.69)         Sarah Paulson (SPAUL) 12 27.12 (-0.24)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 100000 60.00 (0.00)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 10018 60.00 (0.00)         Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 100000 37.23 (-0.09)         Godzilla: King of Monsters (GODZ2) 99995 149.85 (+0.12)         Annihilation (ANHLT) 100000 25.32 (-3.68)         Annihilation (ANHLT) 100000 25.32 (-3.68)         The Lion King (LIONK) 1268 331.72 (+0.04)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 100000 60.00 (0.00)         Kate McKinnon (KAMCK) 41 41.18 (+0.26)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 100000 60.00 (0.00)         Mile 22 (MIL22) 4000 33.37 (-0.04)         Annihilation (ANHLT) 100000 25.32 (-3.68)         The Cured (3WAVE) 100000 0.65 (0.00)