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Whisper Numbers: Will Iron Man 2 beat The Dark Knight?



The 2010 summer movie season blasts off with the return of a Marvel Comic superhero in Iron Man 2 [IRNM2].  Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN] returns as the man in the iron suit, Tony Stark, along with Gwenyth Paltrow [GPALT] as Pepper Potts. Don Cheadle [DCHEA] takes over the role of James Rhodes, who suits up as War Machine. Also joining the cast are Mickey Rourke [MROUR], Sam Rockwell [SROCK] and Scarlett Johansson [SJOHA].  The first Iron Man opened at $102 million and was universally loved by audiences. With tremendous goodwill built up, the sequel will have more moviegoers feel the must-see urge opening weekend.  Trackings indicate the record $158 million debut set by The Dark Knight is within striking distance.  Iron Man 2 has already taken one record from The Dark Knight as the widest release ever at 4380 theaters.  Unlike The Dark Knight however, Iron Man 2 reviews are not as stellar as its predecessor.  Fortunately, the fan favorite is review-proof opening weekend.  With not even a romantic comedy counter-programmed as competition, Iron Man 2 has an open field to punch out $160 million. 

A Nightmare on Elm Street [NELMS] was heavily front-loaded on the Friday of its opening weekend.  The Friday the 13th reboot plummeted 80% in its second weekend last year.  A Nightmare on Elm Street could tumble more than 65% to $11 million.

How to Train Your Dragon looks to cross the $200 million mark with another $6 million in its 7th weekend of release.

Focus Features is opening the documentary Babies [BABIS] in 534 theaters to take advantage of Mother’s Day.  Babies could crack the top ten with around $3 million. 

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): IRNM2, RDOWN, GPALT, DCHEA, MROUR, SROCK, SJOHA, NELMS, BABIS

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 6, 2010 @ 04:04 PM        3182 views


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Dumbo - Opening Weekend (DUMBO.OW) 4667 80.58 (+0.46)         Untitled Christopher Nolan (UCNOL) 100000 131.66 (+1.12)         Shazam! - Opening Weekend (SHAZM.OW) 100000 47.07 (+2.07)         Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (MFMLY) 1 145.67 (+0.65)         Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (MFMLY) 1 145.67 (+0.65)         Morbius (MORBI) 1 110.91 (-0.38)         Morbius (MORBI) 1 110.91 (-0.38)         The Killer (KILER) 5000 20.00 (0.00)         Artemis (ARTEM) 1 64.63 (+6.10)         Artemis (ARTEM) 1 64.63 (+6.10)         Beetlejuice 2 (BEET2) 100000 4.75 (+2.53)         Mouse Guard (MOUSG) 1 51.39 (+0.13)         Mouse Guard (MOUSG) 1 51.39 (+0.13)         Motherless Brooklyn (MOBRK) 1 25.53 (+0.10)         Motherless Brooklyn (MOBRK) 1 25.53 (+0.10)         The Friend (TFRND) 1085 12.73 (-0.96)         The Friend (TFRND) 99900 12.73 (-0.96)         Falling (FALIN) 1 3.65 (+1.70)         Falling (FALIN) 1 3.65 (+1.70)         The Killer (KILER) 693 20.00 (0.00)         Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (PIKAC) 1 252.27 (+0.33)         Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (PIKAC) 1 252.27 (+0.33)         The Killer (KILER) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Sunset Boulevard (SBLVD) 1 12.47 (+0.70)         Sunset Boulevard (SBLVD) 1 12.47 (+0.70)         Beetlejuice 2 (BEET2) 100000 4.75 (+2.53)         Sesame Street (SESAM) 1 43.43 (-0.27)         Sesame Street (SESAM) 1 43.43 (-0.27)         DC Super Pets (SUPET) 1 59.68 (-0.47)         DC Super Pets (SUPET) 1 59.68 (-0.47)         Shazam! - Opening Weekend (SHAZM.OW) 25000 47.07 (+2.07)         The Beach Bum (TBBUM) 1 11.07 (0.00)         The Beach Bum (TBBUM) 1 11.07 (0.00)         Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 100000 36.27 (+2.46)         The Boy 2 (TBOY2) 1 23.48 (-0.05)         The Boy 2 (TBOY2) 1 23.48 (-0.05)         Wild Night with Emily (WNWEM) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Pet Sematary - Opening Weekend (PETSM.OW) 100000 26.12 (+1.12)         The Brink (TBRNK) 100000 3.37 (+0.71)         Dumbo - Opening Weekend (DUMBO.OW) 20000 80.58 (+0.46)         Bill & Ted 3: Face the Music (BILL3) 4267 29.70 (+0.52)         Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 100000 36.27 (+2.46)         The Brink (TBRNK) 99999 3.37 (+0.71)         The Brink (TBRNK) 99999 3.37 (+0.71)         The Killer (KILER) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         The Chain (TCHAN) 1 4.69 (-0.59)         The Chain (TCHAN) 1 4.69 (-0.59)         The Friend (TFRND) 1 12.73 (-0.96)         Beetlejuice 2 (BEET2) 100000 4.75 (+2.53)         The Friend (TFRND) 1 12.73 (-0.96)