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Whisper Numbers: Will Iron Man 2 beat The Dark Knight?



The 2010 summer movie season blasts off with the return of a Marvel Comic superhero in Iron Man 2 [IRNM2].  Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN] returns as the man in the iron suit, Tony Stark, along with Gwenyth Paltrow [GPALT] as Pepper Potts. Don Cheadle [DCHEA] takes over the role of James Rhodes, who suits up as War Machine. Also joining the cast are Mickey Rourke [MROUR], Sam Rockwell [SROCK] and Scarlett Johansson [SJOHA].  The first Iron Man opened at $102 million and was universally loved by audiences. With tremendous goodwill built up, the sequel will have more moviegoers feel the must-see urge opening weekend.  Trackings indicate the record $158 million debut set by The Dark Knight is within striking distance.  Iron Man 2 has already taken one record from The Dark Knight as the widest release ever at 4380 theaters.  Unlike The Dark Knight however, Iron Man 2 reviews are not as stellar as its predecessor.  Fortunately, the fan favorite is review-proof opening weekend.  With not even a romantic comedy counter-programmed as competition, Iron Man 2 has an open field to punch out $160 million. 

A Nightmare on Elm Street [NELMS] was heavily front-loaded on the Friday of its opening weekend.  The Friday the 13th reboot plummeted 80% in its second weekend last year.  A Nightmare on Elm Street could tumble more than 65% to $11 million.

How to Train Your Dragon looks to cross the $200 million mark with another $6 million in its 7th weekend of release.

Focus Features is opening the documentary Babies [BABIS] in 534 theaters to take advantage of Mother’s Day.  Babies could crack the top ten with around $3 million. 

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): IRNM2, RDOWN, GPALT, DCHEA, MROUR, SROCK, SJOHA, NELMS, BABIS

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 6, 2010 @ 04:04 PM        3106 views


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The Dive (TDIVE) 100000 0.61 (0.00)         Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 1606 429.71 (+14.76)         Black Widow (BWDOW) 25000 103.68 (+0.61)         The Rider (TRIDR) 100000 1.95 (+0.02)         Gotti (GOTTI) 100000 3.25 (+1.32)         Spies in Disguise (PIGEN) 25000 32.47 (+0.11)         Gotti (GOTTI) 100000 3.25 (+1.32)         Ant-Man and the Wasp (ANTM2) 1 184.65 (+0.46)         Destination Wedding (DSWED) 100000 6.00 (+0.02)         Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 2608 429.71 (+14.76)         Brad Bird (BBIRD) 20000 198.27 (+0.85)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 23181 53.84 (+3.84)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 4000 53.84 (+3.84)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 4000 53.84 (+3.84)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 26964 53.84 (+3.84)         The First Purge (PURG4) 88543 50.09 (-0.31)         Indiana Jones 5 (INDI5) 89999 85.01 (+0.59)         Wonder Woman 1984 (WOND2) 60000 277.31 (+1.26)         Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 99000 429.71 (+14.76)         Deadpool 2 $280M Blockbuster War (DEAD2.BW) 20000 12.38 (+0.28)         Eating Animals (EATAN) 100000 0.83 (+0.10)         Ocean's 8 (OCEN4) 80000 113.35 (-0.38)         Eating Animals (EATAN) 100000 0.83 (+0.10)         Mulan (MULN) 99999 127.02 (-0.51)         Gotti (GOTTI) 100000 3.25 (+1.32)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 10000 53.84 (+3.84)         Artemis Fowl (AFOWL) 49999 39.74 (-0.27)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 100000 53.84 (+3.84)         Ocean's 8 (OCEN4) 99999 113.35 (-0.38)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 100000 53.84 (+3.84)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 5000 53.84 (+3.84)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 5000 53.84 (+3.84)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 15000 53.84 (+3.84)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 15000 53.84 (+3.84)         Solo: A Star Wars Story $195M Bl (SWAR2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         RBG (RBG) 100000 10.52 (+0.93)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 100000 53.84 (+3.84)         Captain Marvel (CMARV) 99530 193.35 (+0.56)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 15000 53.84 (+3.84)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 15000 53.84 (+3.84)         Solo: A Star Wars Story $195M Bl (SWAR2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Solo: A Star Wars Story $195M Bl (SWAR2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Solo: A Star Wars Story $195M Bl (SWAR2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Solo: A Star Wars Story $195M Bl (SWAR2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Potfest (POTFS) 100000 13.27 (-0.14)         Solo: A Star Wars Story $195M Bl (SWAR2.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)         Zazie Beetz (ZBEET) 20000 92.11 (-0.20)         Incredibles 2 (NCRD2) 100000 429.71 (+14.76)         Zazie Beetz (ZBEET) 20000 92.11 (-0.20)         Frozen 2 (FROZ2) 100000 218.34 (+0.56)