SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Cars 2 races for more money.

Although 2006’s Cars is generally considered one of Pixar’s lesser films, that didn’t stop Disney from producing the sequel Cars 2 [CARS2]. Cars is Disney’s most lucrative brand generating billions annually in merchandising. To keep that gravy train rolling, Lightning and Mater return for a new adventure that takes them around the world in a spy caper. Cars 2 is getting the worst reviews of any Pixar films, but that’s not gonna matter to boys who play with the toys. Though the G-rated film may not appeal to teens as well as adults who frequented previous Pixar offerings. Toy Story 3’s $110 million opening last year is out of reach, but the sequel should improve on Cars’ $60 million debut.   Cars 2 should appeal to enough families to drive away with $72 million from 4115 locations.

Sony hopes its R-rated comedy Bad Teacher [BDTCH] follows in the success of this summer’s Bridesmaids and The Hangover Part II. The cast of Cameron Diaz [CDIAZ], Jason Segel [JSEGE] and Justin Timberlake [JTIMB] are all likeable and each brings fans of their own. The trailers and TV spots have been funny, which should bring out moviegoers looking for a laugh. Opening in 3049 theaters, Bad Teacher could earn $24 million.

Green Lantern [GLANT] did not shine as bright as Warner Bros. hoped in its debut. With its opening weekend already frontloaded to Friday, the superhero film is not crossing over to a broader audience. Green Lantern looks to drop more than 55% to about $22 million.

The sci-fi film Super 8 [SUPR8] should be in line for another 60% hold this weekend, which would net another $13 million.

With competition for the family audience from Cars 2, Mr. Popper’s Penguins [POPNG] is likely to drop 50% to around $9 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): CARS2, BDTCH, CDIAZ, JSEGE, JTIMB, GLANT, SUPR8, POPNG

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 23, 2011 @ 03:54 PM 6074 views

Recent Comments

ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:44 PM Pacific
it isn't often that i disagree with you and I have never posted any opposing remarks but I think you are nuts. Cars 2 is going to be huge. Likely not a TS3 but it should have no problems hitting $90M opening weekend. It has just barely been passed by t
ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:46 PM Pacific
oops... too many chars... TS3 merch sales barely passed Cars and with only one movie so far I think those sales have to be considered. If it makes less than $90M opening I will be shocked but only slightly surprised if it passes $110M.



Elio (ELIO) 10 117.71 (-1.00)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 20.46 (+2.46)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 3 39.03 (-0.10)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 50000 53.59 (+2.61)          Maria (MARIA) 25000 14.07 (+0.75)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 5 30.11 (-0.13)          IF (IMGNF) 40000 154.47 (-0.14)          Old Guy (OLGUY) 10000 2.82 (0.00)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 40 32.94 (-1.24)          Maria (MARIA) 20000 14.07 (+0.75)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 5535 243.03 (0.00)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 5 30.11 (-0.13)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 46.80 (-0.35)          City of Dreams aka Dreamer (DEAMR) 10000 4.69 (-0.06)          Paddington in Peru (PADT3) 23 42.53 (-0.94)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 50000 46.80 (-0.35)          Abigail (ABGAL) 150000 32.98 (-0.25)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 37 8.95 (-0.05)          Reagan (REAGN) 10000 3.96 (+0.01)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 125000 13.78 (+0.63)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 23.58 (-0.31)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 150000 16.58 (-0.19)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 5000 82.40 (-0.07)          Here (HERE1) 6 57.07 (+0.30)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 49000 383.57 (+1.18)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 150000 16.58 (-0.19)          Lee (LEE) 5000 7.88 (0.00)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 150000 16.58 (-0.19)          Venom: The Last Dance aka Venom (VENM3) 3 171.35 (-0.02)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 50000 34.06 (+1.41)          Terrifier 3 (TERF3) 4 9.28 (+0.03)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 14999 34.06 (+1.41)          Moana (MOAN1) 10000 153.86 (-0.46)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 150000 1.85 (+0.09)          The Wild Robot (TWRBT) 4 68.95 (+0.23)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 34.06 (+1.41)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 5 79.66 (-0.37)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 149996 18.98 (-0.07)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 5 42.52 (-0.24)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 34.06 (+1.41)          Lil Rel Howery (LRHOW) 25000 45.33 (-0.50)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 2 161.50 (0.00)          Here (HERE1) 150000 57.07 (+0.30)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 20.46 (+2.46)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 2 13.05 (+0.21)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 3 105.54 (+0.11)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 20.46 (+2.46)          The Crow (TCROW) 3 23.30 (-0.04)          Kneecap (KNECP) 3 3.39 (+0.01)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 5000 23.58 (-0.31)