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Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}

Posted by: RogerMore on May 14, 17:31 in response to alfpaulytd2012's post Thx for the context at least but still confused

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%. ShawnMR May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info! jwammo May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples: ShawnMR May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm} jwammo May 14, 17:31

uh what? alfpaulytd2012 May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm} ShawnMR May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm} Antibody May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm} ShawnMR May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm} ShawnMR May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm} Jay_Beezy May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm} thatpj May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend. RogerMore May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm} RogerMore May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused alfpaulytd2012 May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. RogerMore May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year. ShawnMR May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my ShawnMR May 14, 17:19

Gotcha alfpaulytd2012 May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm} dioneta May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm} dioneta May 14, 22:57





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Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 150000 73.90 (-0.73)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 1000 23.64 (-0.04)          FOX: Krapopolis (KRAPOP) 25000 13.35 (-0.01)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 149999 14.50 (+0.95)          FOX: Grimsburg (GRMSBG) 25000 13.27 (+0.14)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 150000 17.23 (-0.44)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 150000 17.23 (-0.44)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 150000 153.47 (+4.41)          CBS: Tracker (TRACKR) 25000 12.88 (+0.22)          The First Omen H$10 Call (OMEN1.CA) 25000 3.01 (+0.20)          The First Omen - Opening Weekend (OMEN1.OW) 100000 12.00 (+0.54)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 5 20.00 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          CBS: Elsbeth (ELSBET) 25000 9.67 (0.00)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 1 64.24 (+3.25)          Late Night with the Devil (LNWTD) 3 6.88 (+0.15)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 64.24 (+3.25)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (GHST5) 150000 114.27 (-2.25)          Jurassic World Event Film (JURA7) 150000 242.72 (-1.13)          With Love (WOLOV) 20000 22.41 (+1.29)          Avengers 5 (AVNG5) 150000 340.54 (-1.48)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 70476 311.17 (-1.60)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.OW) 1700 58.32 (+1.08)          The First Omen (OMEN1) 150000 24.63 (+0.53)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 150000 32.00 (-0.64)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 14860 20.00 (0.00)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 150000 32.00 (-0.64)          Here (HERE1) 1200 42.88 (+1.38)          Here (HERE1) 6000 42.88 (+1.38)          With Love (WOLOV) 10000 22.41 (+1.29)          With Love (WOLOV) 1000 22.41 (+1.29)          Winnie-the-Pooh: Blood and Honey (WTPB2) 4 2.14 (-0.33)          Dune: Part Two $235M Blockbuster (DUNE2.BW) 25000 9.43 (+0.53)          Face/Off 2 (FCOF2) 29999 18.91 (+0.37)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 10000 64.24 (+3.25)          Face/Off 2 (FCOF2) 8888 18.91 (+0.37)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 19.61 (-0.39)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 150000 80.35 (-1.37)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.PU) 25000 2.64 (+0.03)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 150000 80.35 (-1.37)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.CA) 25000 2.68 (+0.25)          Late Night with the Devil (LNWTD) 99999 6.88 (+0.15)          Late Night with the Devil (LNWTD) 29999 6.88 (+0.15)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 2 153.47 (+4.41)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 10 64.24 (+3.25)          Jodie Comer (JCOME) 2 51.26 (+1.16)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.OW) 100000 58.32 (+1.08)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 29999 14.50 (+0.95)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 29999 14.50 (+0.95)