Market Announcement: TVStocks for the Fall 2017 season are now trading.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.

Posted by: ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33 in response to RogerMore's post Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand...

Still not exact science by any means, but, its interesting to know how close they generally are since we rely on that data so much.

Posted below, but felt it would interesting enough to mention alone: MTC has a 2012 accuracy rate of about 76%. RS at 57%.   ShawnMR on May 14, 16:55

I'm not totally sure what the %'s mean. can you tell me the avg variance. Thanks for the info!   jwammo on May 14, 17:03

Not sure on the dollar figure, but my calculations are based on these examples:   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:16

you are calculating the average percentage error. correctly, I might add. Cheers. {nm}   jwammo on May 14, 17:31

uh what?   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:06

Please see Roger's and my replies just a couple of posts down. {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:20

If mid-20s is 25 and mid-single digit is 5, then mid-teens should be 15. {nm}   Antibody on May 14, 17:10

I define "teens" as 13-19, not 11-20 (which I would think to be "mid-double digits"). :) {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:12

Hit enter too soon: 11-20 where 15 be "mid-double digits" {nm}   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:13

Wouldn't mid-double digits be between 10-99? Wink {nm}   Jay_Beezy on May 14, 19:56

LOL! Using RS 2012 accuracy %, Battleship could open as high as 86M or as low as 24M. {nm}   thatpj on May 14, 17:10

This is from using the formula 1 - ABS(Predicted Weekend - Actual Weekend)/Actual Weekend.   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Hmmm... supposed to go under alfpaul's post {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:15

Thx for the context at least but still confused   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:20

Agreed - it's not perfect, but it is easy to understand and easy to verify, which are advantages. {nm}   RogerMore on May 14, 17:31

Agreed. My application today was simply to find a min-max for Battleship based on MTC's performance so far this year.   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:33

Yes. And I'll admit there are probably better measurements and/or terminology that can be used here. I'm just using that formula in my   ShawnMR on May 14, 17:19

Gotcha   alfpaulytd2012 on May 14, 17:24

So... the clarify... MTCs 27 "should" equate to a $35.53 weekend???? {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:54

*to clarify... I am asking to make sure I understand your position.. :) {nm}   dioneta on May 14, 22:57





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Matt Damon (MDAMO) 20000 125.61 (-0.28)         Peppermint (PPRMN) 100000 19.30 (+0.31)         Haley Bennett (HBENN) 20000 36.21 (-0.16)         Lake Bell (LBELL) 20000 61.19 (+0.27)         Michael Gambon (MGAMB) 20000 29.72 (+0.25)         Miles Teller (MTELL) 20000 28.19 (-0.07)         Lake Bell (LBELL) 20000 61.19 (+0.27)         Operation Finale (OPFIN) 50000 14.82 (-0.51)         The Joker (JOKER) 25000 85.00 (-0.56)         Instant Family (ISFAM) 100000 26.52 (-0.21)         Julianne Moore (JMOOR) 1 71.74 (-0.13)         Julianne Moore (JMOOR) 20000 71.74 (-0.13)         James Franco (JAFRA) 20000 27.09 (+0.16)         Michael Gambon (MGAMB) 20000 29.72 (+0.25)         James Franco (JAFRA) 20000 27.09 (+0.16)         Ben is Back (BENIB) 100000 12.26 (+0.81)         Ben is Back (BENIB) 100000 12.26 (+0.81)         Kin (KIN) 100000 7.68 (-0.04)         Michael Gambon (MGAMB) 20000 29.72 (+0.25)         The Keeping Hours (TKPHR) 100000 2.38 (-0.04)         Haley Bennett (HBENN) 20000 36.21 (-0.16)         Haley Bennett (HBENN) 1 36.21 (-0.16)         Tetris The Movie (TETRS) 1 26.18 (+0.98)         Dark River (DRKRV) 100000 1.95 (-0.05)         A Wrinkle in Time (AWITM) 100000 142.52 (+0.24)         Chace Crawford (CCRAW) 1 9.16 (+0.01)         Chace Crawford (CCRAW) 1 9.16 (+0.01)         Justice League (JLEAG) 878 216.75 (+0.91)         Amy Schumer (ASCHU) 1 41.46 (+0.13)         Amy Schumer (ASCHU) 20000 41.46 (+0.13)         Dragged Across Concrete (DRACR) 100000 15.47 (+0.47)         Dragged Across Concrete (DRACR) 100000 15.47 (+0.47)         The Best Of Enemies (TBOEN) 100000 14.51 (+0.52)         The Best Of Enemies (TBOEN) 100000 14.51 (+0.52)         Son of Shaft (SHAF2) 100000 28.48 (+0.63)         Son of Shaft (SHAF2) 100000 28.48 (+0.63)         Dog Days (DOGDS) 100000 19.00 (+0.67)         Dog Days (DOGDS) 100000 19.00 (+0.67)         Wonder (WONDE) 100000 79.00 (+0.64)         The Beach Bum (TBBUM) 34505 16.64 (+0.71)         The Beach Bum (TBBUM) 34505 16.64 (+0.71)         Wonder (WONDE) 99998 79.00 (+0.64)         The Beach Bum (TBBUM) 34505 16.64 (+0.71)         Ben is Back (BENIB) 100000 12.26 (+0.81)         Ben is Back (BENIB) 100000 12.26 (+0.81)         Shaun the Sheep Movie 2 (SHEP2) 100000 10.84 (+0.78)         Shaun the Sheep Movie 2 (SHEP2) 100000 10.84 (+0.78)         Two/One (TWONE) 100000 7.34 (+0.87)         Two/One (TWONE) 100000 7.34 (+0.87)         Justice League (JLEAG) 25000 216.75 (+0.91)