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A Fri-to-Sat drop is very likely given the release date, R-rating, and the sci-fi genre; District 9 dropped 10.9% even with its great WOM

Posted by: xiayun on Jun 03, 21:27 in response to accountant_4_Jesus' post For a sub-$50M start that would normally mean that...

I'm thinking a $19m or lower Friday would mean sub-$50m weekend.

I would not put much weight on the relative strength of PROME's international start comparing to SWHTM's xiayun Jun 03, 20:22

I can rest easy now. Thanks for your analysis, as always. {nm} Tanker Jun 03, 20:32

For a sub-$50M start that would normally mean that Saturday's gross would drop from Friday's, as well as a muted Friday start, wouldn't it? {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 03, 21:09

A Fri-to-Sat drop is very likely given the release date, R-rating, and the sci-fi genre; District 9 dropped 10.9% even with its great WOM xiayun Jun 03, 21:27

Wow, I hadn't really taken that into consideration before. It is entirely possible that it could go sub-$50M. accountant_4_Jesus Jun 03, 21:43

If I were trying to make a case for a 70M opening... second gary Jun 03, 21:31

second gary, I'm with you. Might even say 80+ {nm} Ryan_Stewart Jun 03, 21:52

I'm saying there is limited evidence for a 70M opening, and there are real problems in arguing for 70M. I am still... second gary Jun 04, 07:00

Whoever is Ryan Stewart? Also, PROME is no Star Trek. That one had likeable, youthful characters. PROME is a mess, closer to a turd, and not {nm} Facto Jun 03, 21:58

in the least good-spirited. That Lost writer is nothing like JJ Abrams - no, he's a joke, someone who should've never been hired. Sadly. {nm} Facto Jun 03, 22:03

Who should they have hired? You? Did I miss something or are there a bunch of working studio heads on this site? {nm} Ryan_Stewart Jun 03, 22:08

They could have hired someone with actual skills, instead of this irreverent hipster punk (who is hyper-active on twitter). Poor choice. {nm} Facto Jun 03, 22:30

We will see Friday night, as always. {nm} Ryan_Stewart Jun 03, 21:56

Ok, I know Xiayun and A4J are not really trying to manipulate the price, but with two heavy hitters both announcing gross, in the '50s elchan Jun 04, 06:40

Heh, people consider me a "heavy hitter"? That's news to me... :P {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 04, 07:43

You take the time to make evidence-based arguments, which... second gary Jun 04, 08:12

Thanks, I appreciate that. I wondered where all those cakes were going to... And no, I'm not sure I'd endorse the hitting part either. :P {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 04, 08:17

Don't get a swelled head, it's just a figure of speech. ;-) {nm} elchan Jun 04, 08:18

Depending on who you talk to, my head can't get any more swollen :P {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 04, 08:22





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