HOLLYWOOD STOCK EXCHANGE
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
prediction of $100M for the first four days... also "Today's grosses are almost double Thursday's" - Thursday was 11.5... "almost" {nm}
DL: TREK2 $25-27 Fri / $80-88 wknd May 17, 13:24
TREK1 had 2.8 IM, she is suggesting 3.2-3.25 IM... May 17, 13:26
even if it had a 27M Friday and a 3 IM (for 81M), that would still have it at 232.2 adjust May 17, 13:30
+1 {nm} May 17, 13:31
In a world where a $27M Fri and $88M 3-day happens (her current headline, a multiple of 3.26), adjust would be 251. {nm} May 17, 13:45
STAR2 opened on Thu and then did 80/24.4 = 3.28IM 11 years ago. {nm} May 17, 14:00
STAR3 opened on Thu and then did 108.4/33.5 = 3.24IM 8 years ago. {nm} May 17, 14:02
if it came in at 26M Fri w/ a 3.25 IM it still adjusts to 241, 25M = 233, 27M = 250.5 May 17, 14:12
maybe chop a couple mil of Friday and move them to Sat {nm} May 17, 14:37
that's 80-88M for the 4day, correct? can't see the 3day having better than a 3.0 multiplier May 17, 13:27
prediction of $100M for the first four days... also "Today's grosses are almost double Thursday's" - Thursday was 11.5... "almost" May 17, 13:29
almost double, would mean 1.9 times = 11.5 * 1.9 = 21.85... {nm} May 17, 13:30
yeah, her math is a tad bit off.... nothing new May 17, 13:31
IMO it needs to have a 30-32M Fri to see those numbers. I wouldn't count it out, but if it comes in on the low 25M, no deal May 17, 13:38
Like the possibility of a Sat uptick, and ditto for Sun. {nm} May 17, 13:41
Keep in mind, TREK2's Saturday/Sunday uptick doesn't have to be tremendous for a 100M+ four day to happen. {nm} May 17, 13:44
Sat might get anywhere from a 1 to 5% uptick from the Fri total, Sun will definitely not uptick May 17, 13:45
even if it was Memorial Day weekend Sun wouldn't get an uptick from Sat, IMO. Sun will probably drop a min 20% off Sat May 17, 13:53
HSX trivia: Number of wide releases since HSX began: 2000+. Number of these that had a Sunday uptick on opening weekend: 24 May 17, 15:34
nice research there! {nm} May 17, 16:07
GARUL and JUMPB had Mother's Day on Sunday. {nm} May 17, 17:32
Agreed. Always thought Sat uptick was possibility from Thurs OD. {nm} May 17, 14:13
+1 May 17, 14:00
90 + 13.5 = 103.5, where is 105-112 coming from? {nm} May 17, 13:40
You're right Oleg, I should have added a + to my 90M figure, which could bring it over the 105 mark for 4 days. {nm} May 17, 13:53
Her lowest multiple is 80/27=2.96, higher than TREK1's 2.8. Even with that it adjusts at (80*2.7)+13.5=229.5. {nm} May 17, 13:37
yeah, her garbage math is always certainly "fun" to dissect May 17, 13:40
W/Thu opening could take away some of the front-loading. {nm} May 17, 13:48
any cinema score updates? is this one pulling A or better? May 17, 13:50
See my V post at May 17, 12:00. {nm} May 17, 13:53
doh! sorry. that's encouraging, but if it pulls a 3.0+ IM I'll be impressed. not saying it can't by any means. May 17, 13:56
Wow! That's one hell of a recovery. Still not as amazing as i would have liked though. {nm} May 17, 14:01
maybe should use a different poster in her article...lol {nm} May 17, 14:27
*Nikki {nm} May 17, 14:28
