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I think WOM will be less kind than the critics were. I don't think it will get the multiplier it needs. {nm}

Posted by: RamsFan2004 on Jul 15, 08:24 in response to RollingThunder's post GHST3 - $3.4m Thursday

GHST3 - $3.4m Thursday   RollingThunder on Jul 15, 07:47

Ha ha... definite short based on OW price. {nm}   diamondman56 on Jul 15, 07:52

Bummer   johnnyb588 on Jul 15, 10:36

To get to the studios $40M, it's now gonna need almost 12x...   TwoMisfits on Jul 15, 08:09

Spy SCOPR did 19.3X so it's not impossible. {nm}   Antibody on Jul 15, 08:40

Right, it's not impossible, but it's highly, highly unlikely...   TwoMisfits on Jul 15, 08:50

If we're counting on the female fanbase that came out for SCOPR, then 12X is likely. {nm}   Antibody on Jul 15, 08:53

Not your typical female comedy. {nm}   tradermark on Jul 15, 09:07

Right, SCOPR wasn't your typical female comedy either. {nm}   Antibody on Jul 15, 09:10

As noted below, the average comedy is 13X this year. {nm}   Antibody on Jul 15, 08:56

Which, if it performs as average, puts in under the hoped for $50M at $44.2M   TwoMisfits on Jul 15, 09:00

But above the studio's $40M. {nm}   Antibody on Jul 15, 09:02

I will say if it's within $2M of $40M, the weekend estimate will hit $40M no matter what...   TwoMisfits on Jul 15, 09:05

But isn't that SOP for studios? {nm}   ~JPV~ on Jul 15, 09:12

I think WOM will be less kind than the critics were. I don't think it will get the multiplier it needs. {nm}   RamsFan2004 on Jul 15, 08:24

below ID2 and that was panned as a massive failure, it's time to acknowledge GB16 is bombing. {nm}   Fitch3k on Jul 15, 08:57

i wish i could find my post expressing my disbelief this could out draw ID2 {nm}   tradermark on Jul 15, 09:02

ERC still believes in $50M ;)   Antibody on Jul 15, 09:12

It's crazy how a line in the sand has been drawn for 50m, Ghostbusters 3 should easily pull 85m and 200m domestic {nm}   Fitch3k on Jul 15, 09:16

GHST2 adjusted for inflation opened at $63.7M, so no. {nm}   Antibody on Jul 15, 09:18

proof that gender has nothing to do with making an awful Ghostbusters movie {nm}   slipping jimmy on Jul 15, 10:08

the issue was never about gender and the quality of the film. it was about people hating on the film because of gender without even seeing    Moviesnob on Jul 15, 10:46

some people. others just thought the trailers were meh {nm}   slipping jimmy on Jul 15, 10:51

agree, thats why i said "a misguided vocal minority of folks". Again theres nothing unusual about not wanting to see a film or saying   Moviesnob on Jul 15, 10:57

Not sexist. Just don't like McCarthy, Jones and Feig... I'm a huge fan of JLaw, Sigourney, Jolie, Milia Jovovich. etc.   Baron_Darcon on Jul 15, 11:26

So no what? No the industry hasn't change at all in 27 years to become front loaded?   Fitch3k on Jul 15, 10:30

Should Jurassic World simply have been the inflation adjusted number of JP3? I'm astounded at how much bias you are showing,   Fitch3k on Jul 15, 10:32

Yet IDAY2 fell massively short based on the same nostalgia, so no it's not $85M is not an easy number you pulled out. There's no bias here. {nm}   Antibody on Jul 15, 10:39

ID2 was a continuation of a story. I don't get that sense with this. {nm}   tradermark on Jul 15, 11:32

JW was also a continuation of the story, using Fitch3k's example. {nm}   Antibody on Jul 15, 13:19

Cause capable and definite mean the same? You really are being obnoxious in a way I have never seen you post before...   Fitch3k on Jul 15, 12:13

You said it was easy. If it was easy then every film would be doing it. I called you on your poor assumption. {nm}   Antibody on Jul 15, 13:13

Here's the numbers showing you're wrong, using your comparison, GB2 inflation adj -250m, it had a 3.8 multiplier, is that still the norm? No   Fitch3k on Jul 15, 12:17

GHST2's adjusted for inflation delist multiplier is $184.8/63.7 = 2.9 pretty close to the current avg of 2.7, so you're wrong.   Antibody on Jul 15, 13:09

240m was the adjust final total after 16 weeks, 184m is the adjusted total after 4 weekends (from BOM) {nm}   JDolphin on Jul 15, 15:11





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