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Right, it's not impossible, but it's highly, highly unlikely...
And as I mentioned a few days ago, I think the creators and cast would be thrilled with $50M this weekend...after this opening Thursday number, I still totally stand by that. I don't see $50M...I'm totally not even convinced that $40M will happen with that number, but at least that's likelier...
I'm now almost 100% certain that Pets will win the weekend and will be taking the family money. Without the family money and the male money, there is not a lot of money left for this movie. If Pets had not been so huge, maybe Ghosbusters could have been better (since it might have sneaked in some of that family money)...but as Lobo has said (and I concur), timing matters. Being the only big opener helps, but being after Pets after its open and after the way this movie campaign came together was not a good thing for it...
GHST3 - $3.4m Thursday Jul 15, 07:47
Ha ha... definite short based on OW price. {nm} Jul 15, 07:52
Bummer Jul 15, 10:36
To get to the studios $40M, it's now gonna need almost 12x... Jul 15, 08:09
Spy SCOPR did 19.3X so it's not impossible. {nm} Jul 15, 08:40
Right, it's not impossible, but it's highly, highly unlikely... Jul 15, 08:50
If we're counting on the female fanbase that came out for SCOPR, then 12X is likely. {nm} Jul 15, 08:53
Not your typical female comedy. {nm} Jul 15, 09:07
Right, SCOPR wasn't your typical female comedy either. {nm} Jul 15, 09:10
As noted below, the average comedy is 13X this year. {nm} Jul 15, 08:56
Which, if it performs as average, puts in under the hoped for $50M at $44.2M Jul 15, 09:00
But above the studio's $40M. {nm} Jul 15, 09:02
I will say if it's within $2M of $40M, the weekend estimate will hit $40M no matter what... Jul 15, 09:05
But isn't that SOP for studios? {nm} Jul 15, 09:12
I think WOM will be less kind than the critics were. I don't think it will get the multiplier it needs. {nm} Jul 15, 08:24
below ID2 and that was panned as a massive failure, it's time to acknowledge GB16 is bombing. {nm} Jul 15, 08:57
i wish i could find my post expressing my disbelief this could out draw ID2 {nm} Jul 15, 09:02
ERC still believes in $50M ;) Jul 15, 09:12
It's crazy how a line in the sand has been drawn for 50m, Ghostbusters 3 should easily pull 85m and 200m domestic {nm} Jul 15, 09:16
GHST2 adjusted for inflation opened at $63.7M, so no. {nm} Jul 15, 09:18
proof that gender has nothing to do with making an awful Ghostbusters movie {nm} Jul 15, 10:08
some people. others just thought the trailers were meh {nm} Jul 15, 10:51
Not sexist. Just don't like McCarthy, Jones and Feig... I'm a huge fan of JLaw, Sigourney, Jolie, Milia Jovovich. etc. Jul 15, 11:26
So no what? No the industry hasn't change at all in 27 years to become front loaded? Jul 15, 10:30
Should Jurassic World simply have been the inflation adjusted number of JP3? I'm astounded at how much bias you are showing, Jul 15, 10:32
ID2 was a continuation of a story. I don't get that sense with this. {nm} Jul 15, 11:32
JW was also a continuation of the story, using Fitch3k's example. {nm} Jul 15, 13:19
Cause capable and definite mean the same? You really are being obnoxious in a way I have never seen you post before... Jul 15, 12:13
You said it was easy. If it was easy then every film would be doing it. I called you on your poor assumption. {nm} Jul 15, 13:13
GHST2's adjusted for inflation delist multiplier is $184.8/63.7 = 2.9 pretty close to the current avg of 2.7, so you're wrong. Jul 15, 13:09
240m was the adjust final total after 16 weeks, 184m is the adjusted total after 4 weekends (from BOM) {nm} Jul 15, 15:11