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Movies
It's getting worse...THR: Blade Runner 2049 Crashing With $30M-$35M Debut
tomcat90
Oct 07, 08:42
I really suspect that Las Vegas shooting may hurt the film's box office potential; now isn't a good time to release a R-rated violence film
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Peterlee
Oct 07, 08:48
nah. it's just overlong and boring
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slipping jimmy
Oct 07, 08:49
A- CinemaScore and overall 83% positive PostTrak audience score indicate that most audience who watched the film are satisfied
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Peterlee
Oct 07, 08:55
That doesn't help if not enough people want to watch the film in the first place.
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warcraft86
Oct 07, 09:10
yes. ( I think MGM is smart to move "Death Wish" to 2018)
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Peterlee
Oct 07, 09:11
So that potential goes back to the first point of the Vegas shooting spoiling appetites for a movie like Blade Runner 2049.
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Jay_Beezy
Oct 07, 09:22
there's no logical connection between the two things
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slipping jimmy
Oct 07, 09:25
But the shooting didn't seem to impact the Thurs preview number, which was in-line with PRME2, a similarly violent, R-rated, sci-fi sequel
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warcraft86
Oct 07, 09:28
Core fan bases aren't deterred by much (if anything). Casual audiences are, and casual audiences drive Fri-Sat-Sun more than Thurs shows.
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ShawnMR
Oct 07, 15:53
IMO casual audiences were more referred by having to do homework (watch the original movie) than anything in the real world
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RogerMore
Oct 07, 20:17
nope, most moviegoers don't care about a 35 year old box office flop
jamesbik333
Oct 07, 09:07
of course they do. Blade Runner is the most influential sci-fi movie post-Star Wars.
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slipping jimmy
Oct 07, 09:31
They really don't.
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CSBD
Oct 07, 09:33
Nope, the original was terrible and boring just like 2049 is boring and terrible.
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skunkrunner
Oct 07, 10:25
So, I guess you saw them both. Well, I dont understand, why you went to 2049 if you think, the original was terrible and boring.
sphere
Oct 08, 05:41
It's the only explanation that makes sense at this point. There were barely any indications this would open below $35-40M -- at the floor.
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ShawnMR
Oct 07, 15:43
Closest comparison for precedent here would be the effect of Aurora on the box office when TDKR opened. Not on the same level $$-wise for BR
ShawnMR
Oct 07, 15:49
Wouldn't the effect of the shooting have shown up in the pre-sales and "social buzz" metrics?
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warcraft86
Oct 07, 17:08
Not necessarily, but maybe (great non-answer answer, I know). Presales are geared toward fans to begin with, while social buzz is usually
ShawnMR
Oct 07, 17:26
Thanks for elevating the discussion with your insights today.
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Qix
Oct 07, 17:46
alternative explanation: it's just not very good (or at least not appealing enough to mainstream audiences, especially at a 2:45 hr runtime)
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slipping jimmy
Oct 07, 18:32
even mike255 couldn't make this argument and keep a straight face
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slipping jimmy
Oct 07, 17:45
Mike who?
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fricnfractal
Oct 07, 23:14
The demographics explain it all.This connected to a specific group of filmgoers. I would question the forecasts before blaming Vegas.
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leo21
Oct 08, 13:27
Antifa and the news cycle has everybody staying away from "Soft Targets" from theaters to churches to parades.
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arf
Oct 07, 21:13
Very pleased to see this, audiences not being fooled by pretentious, boring BS.
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skunkrunner
Oct 07, 10:26