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The two new movies this week basically had the same OW, but their stocks were interpreted vastly differently {nm}

Posted by: tomcat90 on Oct 14, 09:52 in response to tomcat90's post D: FIRSM $16.5M; GBUM2 $16.2M; BTAER $7.2M.....VENOM...

D: FIRSM $16.5M; GBUM2 $16.2M; BTAER $7.2M.....VENOM $35.7M; ASTAR $28.0M tomcat90 Oct 14, 08:43

Impressive Saturday for Venom. WOM must be decent. {nm} RollingThunder Oct 14, 09:01

The two new movies this week basically had the same OW, but their stocks were interpreted vastly differently tomcat90 Oct 14, 09:52

Well, one is priced at H$70, the other H$45. {nm} ~JPV~ Oct 14, 10:23

So, apparently people thought FIRSM would open a lot higher while GBUM2 opened where people thought it would. ~JPV~ Oct 14, 10:25

Agree, but the estimates for FIRSM were at $20m on Tues and $17m on Fri and the stock was still above $80. Slow reaction I guess {nm} tomcat90 Oct 14, 11:08

Pretty lousy for FIRSM, especially with solid reviews and an IMAX presence. {nm} RollingThunder Oct 14, 11:24

it landed squarely in the middle of all the tracking ranges. 2.5 hr. runtime is an issue but Uni could have picked a better date closer to slipping jimmy Oct 14, 14:19

Yeah, I was surprised that it took a bit for FIRSM to "adjust" {nm} ~JPV~ Oct 14, 11:25

Tue is a prediction. VENM1 was predicted at 60, yet opened at 80. Nobody knows anything {nm} Antibody Oct 14, 11:59

FIRSM was talked about as an Oscar film. Argo had a 3.9 off this weekend. {nm} Antibody Oct 14, 12:12

and that = 63.28 for FIRSM so even if gets lucky and does that good ithe stock is still way too high {nm} JDolphin Oct 14, 13:44

So it's 10% off, pretty typical compared to other stocks in the past. {nm} Antibody Oct 14, 17:54

but how many movies do a 3.9? gotta be rare... seems like maybe the interest just insn't there for this one.... {nm} Sleprock Oct 15, 10:49





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