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Whisper Numbers: Tower Heist to steal the box office

After going through years of development hell, the heist comedy Tower Heist [TWRHS] has finally come together at seemingly the right time. Ben Stiller [BSTIL] and Eddie Murphy [EMURP] topline the PG-13 rated film about the blue-collar employees of a high-rise condo that band together to steal money from the rich penthouse resident who had swindled away their pension. The concept and sentiment should resonant with moviegoers in today’s economic. Stiller already has a proven track record at the box office, while Murphy returns to playing a character similar to his popular 48 Hrs and Beverly Hills Cop. Directed by Brett Ratner [BRATN] known for delivering crowd-pleasers, Tower Heist looks to have all the ingredients for a winning formula. Occupying 3367 theaters, Tower Heist could stake out about $30 million.

Even if the East Coast weather had not taken a bite out of its debut, Puss in Boots [PUSNB] would still have had a hard time cracking $40 million. The animated film gets the family market all to itself for another weekend to show there’s still life in the Shrek spin-off. Puss in Boots looks to hold around 60% for a sophomore session around $20 million.

After first going to White Castle and then escaped from Guantanamo, John Cho [JCHO] and Kal Penn [KPENN] are back for A Very Harold and Kumar 3D Christmas [HAKU3]. Older but not necessarily wiser, the duo find themselves once again in marijuana-fueled R-rated hijinks, this time in 3D as shown to comedic effects in the trailers.   The previous installment Harold and Kumar Escape From Guantanomo Bay debuted to $14.9 million in 2008. Since then, Neil Patrick Harris [NPHAR] has gotten even more popular and Warner Bros. has wisely marketed him as the third star. Opening against Tower Heist shouldn’t be a concern for the young male target audience. Blazing into 2875 theaters, A Very Harold and Kumar 3D Christmas could toke $16 million.

Halloween didn’t save Paranormal Activity 3 [PNAC3] from shedding 65% during its second weekend. The rate of decay should improve slightly for the horror sequel to scare up another $7.5 million.

The sci-fi thriller In Time [NTIME] proved to be a hard sell. With word of mouth mixed, In Time looks to run down 50% to $6 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): TWRHS, BSTIL, EMURP, BRATN, PUSNB, JCHO, KPENN, HAKU3, NPHAR, PNAC3, NTIME

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 3, 2011 @ 04:34 PM 7445 views

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IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 25000 0.40 (-0.16)          The Monkey (MONKY) 6675 19.04 (-0.16)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 13.38 (+5.34)          Back to Black - Opening Weekend (BTBLK.OW) 100000 4.30 (-0.41)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 150000 36.96 (-1.89)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 150000 36.96 (-1.89)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 150000 22.88 (+4.27)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 73668 16.31 (+1.07)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 10000 7.98 (+1.55)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 1000 13.38 (+5.34)          IF (IMGNF) 27304 135.37 (+0.19)          The Fabulous Four (TFAB4) 150000 2.99 (-0.02)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 H$10 Ca (STRN3.CA) 1 0.45 (-0.06)          Drop (DROP) 1000 22.67 (+2.67)          Drop (DROP) 150000 22.67 (+2.67)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 9.14 (-0.86)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 65002 29.88 (-0.13)          Juror No. 2 (JUROR) 74999 23.03 (-0.11)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 149999 27.07 (+0.52)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 150000 13.85 (-0.43)          IF (IMGNF) 24007 135.37 (+0.19)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 150000 13.85 (-0.43)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 15.57 (-2.41)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 100000 42.24 (-0.78)          Fly Me to the Moon (PARTM) 50000 66.31 (+0.10)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 15.57 (-2.41)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 14.00 (+2.98)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 14.00 (+2.98)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 22052 89.33 (+3.60)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 135.37 (+0.19)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 76332 16.31 (+1.07)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 46375 32.15 (+2.06)          The Order (TORDR) 55000 8.91 (+1.30)          The Woman in the Yard (TWITY) 25000 24.03 (+1.97)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 150000 22.88 (+4.27)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 25000 32.15 (+2.06)          Drop (DROP) 55000 22.67 (+2.67)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 45000 139.86 (+1.35)          Eddie Marsan (EMARS) 25000 6.76 (-0.20)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 15000 15.57 (-2.41)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 25000 145.60 (-2.53)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 13.38 (+5.34)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 55000 139.86 (+1.35)          The Woman in the Yard (TWITY) 55000 24.03 (+1.97)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 55000 32.15 (+2.06)          They Listen (THEYL) 109000 31.32 (-0.12)          Drop (DROP) 105000 22.67 (+2.67)          M3GAN 2.0 (M3GA2) 20000 67.01 (+2.82)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 55000 14.00 (+2.98)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 105000 22.88 (+4.27)