SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: The Avengers casts over Dark Shadows.

Even The Dictator knew better than to deal with the second weekend of The Avengers [AVNGR] as the Sacha Baron Cohen film pushed its release date back until next week leaving Dark Shadows [DRKSH] as the sole new wide opener.  After shattering the opening weekend box office record, The Avengers has held up reasonably well during the weekdays.  The Avengers enjoys excellent word of mouth, which will attract moviegoers seeing these superheroes for the first time as well as bring repeat business. Much like Avatar, The Avengers has become a must-see event for those who want to stay cultural relevant. Amongst the superhero blockbusters that opened the first weekend in May, The Avengers' second weekend drop-off should be closer to the well-liked Spider-Man (-38%) and Iron Man (-48%), rather than the maligned Spider-Man 3 (-61%) and Iron Man 2 (-60%)  The Avengers looks to amass around $107 million and set another record for biggest second weekend ever.

Dark Shadows reunites Johnny Depp [JDEPP] with director Tim Burton [TBURT]. Their last collaboration Alice in Wonderland opened to $116 million in 2010, but that was a family-friendly 3D film based on a famous literary as well as Disney property. Dark Shadows is based on a 1960s TV series no one under 40 is familiar with. Warner Bros. was late in starting the marketing campaign and when the first trailer finally arrived, its offbeat humor divided opinions.  The PG-13 rated gothic comedy has received mixed reviews from critics, which may turn off older adults who actually remembered the original show.  Younger moviegoers are more likely to watch The Avengers again.  With Depp and Burton indulging in their weird kookiness, Dark Shadows looks to attract only their die-hard fans. Opening in 3755 theaters, Dark Shadows may suck in $32 million.

As for the rest of the box office, ahh who cares. Wink  Nothing else will make more than a few million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AVNGR, DRKSH, JDEPP, TBURT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 10, 2012 @ 03:10 PM 6575 views

Recent Comments

oozy
Friday, June 29 at 10:14 AM Pacific
How much profit will we make with devi on avengrs?



I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 19000 22.30 (-0.35)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 10000 145.20 (-0.39)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 10000 91.45 (-0.10)          Poolman (POOLM) 2500 0.32 (0.00)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 19000 13.27 (-0.54)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 25000 0.20 (-0.09)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 H$10 Ca (STRN3.CA) 25000 0.40 (-0.01)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 20000 5.61 (+0.77)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 30000 14.77 (+0.91)          Lee (LEE) 2042 7.76 (0.00)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 150000 7.50 (-0.38)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 150000 22.30 (-0.35)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 11.87 (-1.43)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 11.87 (-1.43)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 44.00 (-0.40)          IF (IMGNF) 20000 133.51 (-1.41)          Better Man (BETRM) 150000 29.08 (-0.13)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 149999 5.61 (+0.77)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 150000 19.76 (-0.08)          Astaire (ASTAI) 150000 14.19 (-0.06)          Oh, Canada (OCNDA) 150000 5.33 (-0.38)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 57.96 (+0.34)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 11.87 (-1.43)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 11.74 (+0.72)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 75000 57.96 (+0.34)          FOX: Krapopolis (KRAPOP) 25000 13.76 (+0.07)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 100000 40.55 (-1.13)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 100000 40.55 (-1.13)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 150000 18.22 (+0.36)          Drop (DROP) 150000 23.85 (+0.98)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 100000 40.55 (-1.13)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 100000 40.55 (-1.13)          Sing 3 (SING3) 98 101.40 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 150000 16.31 (+0.56)          Save the Green Planet (STGPL) 10000 17.11 (-0.04)          Save the Green Planet (STGPL) 10000 17.11 (-0.04)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 1000 137.02 (-0.33)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 149998 11.74 (+0.72)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 150000 137.02 (-0.33)          Companion (CMPAN) 149996 19.20 (-0.05)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 149996 32.28 (+0.13)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 133.51 (-1.41)          Hitpig (HITPG) 149996 5.85 (+0.07)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 15.92 (-0.18)          Venom: The Last Dance aka Venom (VENM3) 33621 169.76 (+0.27)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 75000 40.55 (-1.13)          Jazzy (JAZZY) 4 2.21 (+0.02)          Love Me (LOVME) 4 3.73 (-0.07)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 H$10 Ca (STRN3.CA) 25000 0.40 (-0.01)          Never Let Go (MTHRL) 149996 19.12 (+0.05)