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Whisper Numbers: Mama looks tough to beat

The Martin Luther King Jr. holiday weekend brings 3 new wide openers. The supernatural horror Mama [MAMA] stars Jessica Chastain [JCHAS] and Nikolaj Coster-Waldau [NCOST] as a couple who take in her young nieces after they spent five years living in the woods. The Universal film is produced by Guillermo del Toro which should attract his male fanbases, while the PG-13 rating should appeal to women and teeangers that are into ghostly tales. Playing 2647 theaters, Mama may scare up $20 million over the 4-day weekend.

Chastain is also the Oscar-nominated star of Zero Dark Thirty [ZDTHR], which should exhibit a strong hold in its second weekend of wide release. The thriller about the hunt for Bin Laden could track down another $18 million through Monday.

Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] and Russell Crowe [RCROW] tangle in the political corruption thriller Broken City [BRKCT]. Fox is promoting the R-rated film heavily, but the reviews needed to draw in the target adult audience have been average. Last year, Wahlberg’s Contraband bagged $28.4 million over the long weekend. However, competition is more fierce this year from Zero Dark Thirty to Django Unchained, and the film’s premise won’t appeal to Wahlberg’s younger fans. Showing in 2620 theaters, Broken City may tally $15 million over the long weekend.

Arnold Schwarzenegger [ASCHW] is back in his first lead role since leaving political office in The Last Stand [LSTND].  Lionsgate knows how to sell R-rated actioners to male moviegoers and the film has earned surprisingly great reviews, thanks in part to Korean-import director Kim Jee-Woon. But as with Broken City, the marketplace is crowded with action fares.  Securing 2913 locations, The Last Stand could muster $12.6 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): MAMA, JCHAS, NCOST, ZDTHR, MWAHL, RCROW, BRKCT, ASCHW, LSTND

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 17, 2013 @ 03:03 PM 3088 views

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The Watchers H$15 Put (WATCS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Watchers H$15 Call (WATCS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 100000 53.39 (-1.30)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Put (BADB4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Call (BADB4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 150000 89.82 (-2.29)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 37.81 (-0.03)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 20000 37.81 (-0.03)          Edge of Tomorrow 2 aka Live, Die (EDGT2) 50000 16.48 (+0.09)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 150000 36.04 (+3.32)          Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 150000 33.97 (+2.78)          Elio (ELIO) 4000 111.72 (-0.39)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 58952 312.61 (-3.00)          The Down Under Fund (AUSIE) 20000 86.03 (-0.47)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 158.26 (-0.89)          The Mandalorian & Grogu (SWAR3) 92018 217.09 (+0.72)          Hit Man (HTMAN) 150000 1.02 (-0.03)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 150000 24.45 (-0.07)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die - Opening (BADB4.OW) 100000 60.00 (0.00)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Call (BADB4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 81.32 (+2.24)          IF (IMGNF) 17859 111.12 (-0.96)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 81.32 (+2.24)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          A Sacrifice aka Berlin Nobody (BRLNB) 150000 0.61 (-0.01)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 18.00 (-0.42)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Put (BADB4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Watchers - Opening Weekend (WATCS.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die - Opening (BADB4.OW) 100000 60.00 (0.00)          Joker: Folie à Deux (JOKE2) 277 274.92 (-1.44)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 149000 135.77 (-6.33)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 135.77 (-6.33)          Brothers (BROHS) 150000 2.27 (-1.37)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 279.90 (-1.90)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 158.26 (-0.89)          Brothers (BROHS) 150000 2.27 (-1.37)          Brothers (BROHS) 150000 2.27 (-1.37)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 120000 29.37 (-0.04)          Joker: Folie à Deux (JOKE2) 150000 274.92 (-1.44)          Brothers (BROHS) 1 2.27 (-1.37)          Brothers (BROHS) 150000 2.27 (-1.37)          Elio (ELIO) 4000 111.72 (-0.39)          Elio (ELIO) 22000 111.72 (-0.39)          Borderlands (BRDLN) 1 77.59 (+0.22)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 2000 298.61 (+0.44)          Brothers (BROHS) 150000 2.27 (-1.37)          Brothers (BROHS) 150000 2.27 (-1.37)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 2000 179.47 (+0.02)