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Whisper Numbers: G.I. JOE duke it out Easter weekend

Three new wide releases enter the box office fray on the Easter holiday weekend led by the action sequel G.I. JOE: Retaliation [GIJO2]. Although G.I. JOE: The Rise of Cobra opened to $54.7 million during August 2009, the film’s reviews and reactions were mixed. Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] was brought in to lead a mostly new cast of characters for the sequel, while the star of the first film Channing Tatum [CTATU] was reduced to a token appearance. Originally set to open last June, the release date was suddenly shifted a month out and delayed to this weekend in order to convert the film to 3D, as well as to slightly beef up the role of Tatum, who has become an A-list draw. Directed by a professed G.I.JOE fan Jon M. Chu [JCHU], Retaliation hews closer to the comic and cartoon series based on the toy action figures, which should please its male target audience. The appearance of Bruce Willis [BWILL] as the original JOE may also bring out his older fans. The PG-13 rated film is opening on Thursday to get a head-start on the weekend and Paramount has already earned $2.2 million from “midnight” showings. Blasting into 3719 theaters, G.I. JOE: Retaliation could shoot up $45 million from Friday to Sunday.

With many schools out for spring break and the Easter holiday weekend, The Croods [CROOD] will have the family as well as the comedy audience all to itself. The Croods could hold 65% of its debut for a $28 million second outing.

Temptation: Confessions of a Marriage Counselor [TMRGC] is the latest Lionsgate film from writer-director Tyler Perry [TPERR] targeted at African-Americans. His last non-Madea film Good Deeds opened to $15.6 million in February of 2012. Although Perry does not star in the PG-13 rated Temptation, its theme of infidelity and the sexy cast including Kim Kardashian [KKARD] should appeal to a wider audience. Targeted in 2047 theaters, Temptation: Confessions of a Marriage Counselor could bring in $18 million

The sci-fi romance The Host [HOST1] is the latest young adult novel adaptation hoping to be the next Twilight, except it’s the only one actually from Twilight author Stephenie Meyer.  However, her rabid female fanbase is unlikely to carry over from vampires to aliens in similar numbers. The PG-13 rated film stars Saoirse Ronan [SRONA] as a teenager resisting the alien parasite that’s taken over her mind. Open Road has done a decent job marketing both the romance and the sci-fi aspects of the story.  Despite being directed by Andrew Niccol [ANICC] though, The Host will be hard-pressed to attract many male, sci-fi fans.  The Host may take in $17 million from 3202 locations.

Olympus Has Fallen [OLYHF] outperformed everyone expectation in its opening and retains good word of mouth. However, heavy competition from G.I. Joe will cut Olympus Has Fallen down by more than 50% to $14 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): GIJO2, TROCK, CTATU, JCHU, BWILL, CROOD, TMRGC, TPERR, KKARD, HOST1, SRONA, ANICC, OLYHF

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 28, 2013 @ 04:16 PM 3239 views

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Oh, Canada (OCNDA) 30000 5.30 (-0.41)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 25000 16.29 (+0.54)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 2.00 (-0.05)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 150000 265.22 (+0.61)          My Penguin Friend (TPATF) 150000 4.45 (+0.58)          My Penguin Friend (TPATF) 150000 4.45 (+0.58)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 40000 10.42 (+1.31)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 2.00 (-0.05)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 30000 10.42 (+1.31)          Elevation (ELVTN) 100000 13.78 (+2.12)          Elevation (ELVTN) 3000 13.78 (+2.12)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 6000 10.42 (+1.31)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 128.34 (-6.58)          Juror No. 2 (JUROR) 3000 22.93 (-0.10)          Juror No. 2 (JUROR) 1600 22.93 (-0.10)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 10000 5.43 (+0.59)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 40000 23.28 (+0.63)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 70000 63.03 (+0.70)          Drop (DROP) 10000 23.82 (+0.95)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 400 63.03 (+0.70)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 5000 21.88 (-1.32)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 100000 21.88 (-1.32)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 1200 90.93 (-0.62)          IF (IMGNF) 20000 128.34 (-6.58)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 1000 382.05 (-1.06)          Christmas Eve in Miller's Point (CEIMP) 80000 2.00 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 75000 144.69 (-0.90)          Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 600 242.16 (-0.89)          Kiss of the Spider Woman (KOTSW) 1000 23.38 (-0.43)          Lobo (LOBO) 1000 20.51 (-0.09)          Lobo (LOBO) 2000 20.51 (-0.09)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 3000 12.77 (-1.04)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 3000 12.77 (-1.04)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 10000 11.29 (-2.01)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 75000 164.39 (-0.55)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 6000 11.29 (-2.01)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 3200 91.22 (-2.34)          My Penguin Friend (TPATF) 150000 4.45 (+0.58)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 4000 7.42 (-0.46)          Elevation (ELVTN) 150000 13.78 (+2.12)          The Bikeriders (BKRDR) 100000 29.73 (+0.33)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 3000 16.29 (+0.54)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 50000 265.22 (+0.61)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 1 265.22 (+0.61)          My Penguin Friend (TPATF) 149998 4.45 (+0.58)          The Supremes at Earl's All-You-C (TSAEA) 150000 1.87 (+0.01)          My Penguin Friend (TPATF) 149999 4.45 (+0.58)          Elevation (ELVTN) 149998 13.78 (+2.12)          Science-Fiction Fund (SCIFI) 19999 92.58 (-0.19)          Elevation (ELVTN) 149999 13.78 (+2.12)