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Whisper Numbers: Will Planes reach Elysium?

As the summer movie season winds down, four new releases crowd into theaters this weekend led by the summer’s last Hollywood blockbuster hopeful. Four years after the low-budget District 9 opened to $37.4 million in 2009, director Neil Blomkamp [NBLOM] is back with his second feature Elysium [ELYSM]. The big-budget sci-fi film stars Matt Damon [MDAMO] as a dying man in a dystopian future where the wealthy 1% lives in a pristine space station above the poor 99% masses on a ruined earth. Original sci-fi films have taken a hit this year with the mild performances of Oblivion, After Earth and Pacific Rim.  Mixed reviews have put a damper on the Elysium buzz, but the goodwill from District 9 should still carry some cache from moviegoers. The R-rated Elysium could occupy $35 million from 3284 locations.

Originally a straight to home video from Walt Disney Animation, Planes [PLANE] fly into a marketplace crowded with family fares. Since it’s not produced by Pixar, Disney marketing has heavily emphasized “From above the world of Cars” to connect with that money-making franchise. Most parents will not notice the difference, though they do see a obvious cash grab when they see Planes. Cars 2 opened to $66 million two years ago, and Planes may at best to do half that. Swooping into 3702 theaters, Planes could land about $31 million.

Jennifer Aniston [JANIS] and Jason Sudeikis [JSUDE] star in the R-rated comedy We’re the Millers [WEMIL] about a fake family on a pretend vacation in order to smuggle marijuana from Mexico in a RV.  The trailers have been amusing and effective in conveying the original premise, while Aniston stripping down to her underwear should sell a few tickets. New Line got a head-start on the weekend with a Wednesday opening that netted $6.7 million. Crossing the border in 3260 theaters, We’re the Millers could bring back $21 million over the weekend.

Fox has finally produced Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters [PJAC2], the second chapter in its teen fantasy series. The first film Percy Jackson & The Olympians: The Lightning Thief opened at $32.3 million, but that was three and a half years ago, an eternity compared to the spacing in Harry Potter and The Twilight Saga. Audiences may be fatigued by the glut of fantasy films based on young adult book series, leaving only the die-hard fans who haven’t out-grown the original. The PG-rated sequel opened on Wednesday earning $5.4 million. Over the weekend, Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters could secure $18 million from 2907 theaters.

Rounding out the top five, 2 Guns [2GUNS] should hold a bit better than 50% in its second weekend and draw another $14 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NBLOM, ELYSM, MDAMO, PLANE, JANIS, JSUDE, WEMIL, PJAC2, 2GUNS

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 8, 2013 @ 04:38 PM 2661 views

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Bird (BIRD) 149999 2.74 (-0.15)          Thelma (THELM) 149999 4.35 (+0.06)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 149999 8.61 (+0.06)          IF (IMGNF) 1255 133.53 (-1.39)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 149999 13.92 (+0.05)          The Things They Carried (TTTHC) 100 1.93 (+0.01)          Jazzy (JAZZY) 149999 2.18 (-0.01)          MaXXXine (XTW3) 1010 10.21 (0.00)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 10.02 (+0.91)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 10.02 (+0.91)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 149999 2.33 (+0.04)          With Love (WOLOV) 100 28.27 (-0.06)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 100 16.40 (+0.65)          Vince Vaughn (VVAUG) 410 38.23 (0.00)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 - Openi (STRN3.OW) 100000 7.71 (+0.10)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 - Openi (STRN3.OW) 100000 7.71 (+0.10)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 10.02 (+0.91)          The Incredible Hulk 2 (THLK2) 150000 49.25 (+0.30)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 150000 14.62 (+0.76)          Stephan James (SJAME) 100 22.94 (0.00)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 150000 20.70 (+0.02)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 150000 22.16 (-0.49)          Rainn Wilson (RAWIL) 100 35.73 (0.00)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 100 5.10 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 558 2.75 (+0.02)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 18324 41.12 (-0.56)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 81676 41.12 (-0.56)          Drop (DROP) 150000 23.39 (+0.52)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 900 22.16 (-0.49)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 133.53 (-1.39)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 149999 12.17 (-1.13)          Untitled Formula One aka Apex (FORM1) 30000 51.70 (+0.32)          IF H$50 Put (IMGNF.PU) 1000 5.66 (+0.10)          Jermaine Fowler (JFOWL) 100 10.51 (0.00)          John C. Reilly (JCREI) 100 39.07 (0.00)          Back to Black - Opening Weekend (BTBLK.OW) 100000 4.30 (0.00)          Drop (DROP) 1111 23.39 (+0.52)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 100000 41.12 (-0.56)          Hitpig (HITPG) 40000 5.81 (+0.03)          Hitpig (HITPG) 40000 5.81 (+0.03)          Hitpig (HITPG) 70000 5.81 (+0.03)          Eddie Marsan (EMARS) 100 6.76 (0.00)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 - Openi (STRN3.OW) 100000 7.71 (+0.10)          Drop (DROP) 150000 23.39 (+0.52)          Danielle Deadwyler (DADEA) 200 4.92 (0.00)          Chris Pine (CPINE) 100 41.72 (0.00)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 100000 41.12 (-0.56)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 200 145.48 (-0.11)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 25000 0.26 (-0.03)          IF H$50 Put (IMGNF.PU) 25000 5.66 (+0.10)