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Whisper Numbers: Lone Survivor should prevail on top.

Four films in limited release with Oscar aspirations expand wide this weekend at the box office led by Lone Survivor [LSURV] starring Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL]. The R-rated action drama is based on the true story of an ill-fated U.S. Navy SEAL mission in Afghanistan. Universal has played up the heroism in its marketing campaign, while the real-life lone survivor Marcus Luttrell has been making the publicity rounds with director Peter Berg [PEBER]. Two years ago, Act of Valor featuring real-life SEALs debuted with $24.5 million, though in the less crowded late February. Football playoffs and a really cold winter could hold back some of the mainstream audiences.  Playing in 2786 theaters, Lone Survivor could pull out $20 million.

Not even the ‘polar vortex’ could cool down Frozen [FROZE.BW], which is likely to finished second in its eighth week with another $12 million.

After earning $3 million in 3 weeks of limited release, Her [HERSJ] expands wide into 1729 theaters. Joaquin Phoenix [JPHOE] plays a man who falls in love with the artificial female voice of his smartphone.  Directed by Spike Jonze [SJONZ], the offbeat drama has earned rave reviews and critical awards. With buzz among hipsters yound and old, Her could download $9 million.

Summit slotted the low-budgeted The Legend of Hercules [HRCLB] into release just two months ago to beat Paramount’s big-budgeted Hercules. Although Kellan Lutz [KLUTZ] appeared in the Twilight series, he lacks any drawing starpower.  Marketed as Gladiator meets 300, the R-rated actioner will only appeal to young men. Playing in 2104 theaters, The Legend of Hercules may grab $6 million.

As with most horror sequels, Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones [OXNRD] looks to drop around 60% in its second session to around $7 million.

The two other acclaimed films expanding wide this weekend are courting older moviegoers. August, Osage County [AUGOC] starring Meryl Streep [MSTRE] and Julia Roberts [JROBE] may gather $6 million from 905 locations. Inside Llewyn Davis [INSLD] directed by the Coen brothers [COEN] could tune up $3 million from 729 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): LSURV, MWAHL, PEBER, HERSJ, JPHOE, SJONZ, HRCLB, KLUTZ, OXNRD, AUGOC, MSTRE, JROBE, INSLD, COEN

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 9, 2014 @ 04:01 PM 2624 views

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David (DAVID) 25000 87.62 (-0.04)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 5.27 (+0.17)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 389 35.60 (+0.03)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 12.10 (+0.67)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 5000 143.29 (+1.18)          Shockwave (SHKWV) 100000 1.95 (+0.01)          Creed IV (CREE4) 150000 58.93 (-0.15)          Creepers (CREPR) 100000 6.02 (-0.01)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 112.84 (-0.83)          Jazzy (JAZZY) 1000 2.14 (-0.07)          The Convert (CNVRT) 5000 1.95 (+0.01)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 1000 55.62 (+1.37)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 25000 2.79 (+0.02)          Christmas Eve in Miller's Point (CEIMP) 5000 1.84 (-0.06)          IF (IMGNF) 149999 112.84 (-0.83)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 150000 28.43 (-0.33)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 112.84 (-0.83)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 10.82 (+0.15)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 55.62 (+1.37)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 50000 55.62 (+1.37)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 25000 10.11 (+0.65)          Drop (DROP) 15000 24.37 (+0.95)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 112.84 (-0.83)          Hitpig (HITPG) 150000 5.67 (-0.05)          Hitpig (HITPG) 150000 5.67 (-0.05)          George Clooney (GCLOO) 24999 31.06 (+0.24)          Didi (DIDI) 149999 4.66 (-0.08)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 150 26.84 (-0.03)          IF (IMGNF) 50001 112.84 (-0.83)          Drop (DROP) 105000 24.37 (+0.95)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 1 13.54 (-0.07)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 149999 13.54 (-0.07)          Isabella Rossellini (IROSS) 1 51.16 (0.00)          Didi (DIDI) 125322 4.66 (-0.08)          Isabella Rossellini (IROSS) 1 51.16 (0.00)          Zoe Saldana (ZSALD) 2000 151.47 (+0.54)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 1000 55.62 (+1.37)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 100 88.42 (-0.11)          Drop (DROP) 150000 24.37 (+0.95)          Blade (BLAD1) 150000 116.40 (+0.33)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 150000 14.26 (+0.97)          Selena Gomez (SGOME) 12500 97.54 (-0.37)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 55.62 (+1.37)          Emilia Perez (EMILP) 150000 4.00 (-0.53)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 5000 15.36 (-0.51)          Emilia Perez (EMILP) 5000 4.00 (-0.53)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 260.39 (-2.25)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 37.93 (-0.13)          Emilia Perez (EMILP) 150000 4.00 (-0.53)          Hercules (HRCUL) 149999 27.46 (-0.13)