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Whisper Numbers: Godzilla to cast a huge box office shadow

16 years after Hollywood first tried to adapt the Japanese monster film, Godzilla [GODZL] finally roars back with a another remake. Although Roland Emmerich’s version was 1998's biggest opening at $44 million ($74.8 million adjusted for inflation), moviegoers widely panned the Jurassic Park-wannabe featuring a giant iguana. The latest Godzilla harkens back to the look of the Japanese original, albeit at a significantly larger size. Bryan Cranston [BCRAN], Aaron Johnson [AJOHN] and Elizabeth Olsen [EOLSE] lead the cast, but the King of Monsters is the main attraction. Warner Bros. offered the first little glimpse at Comic-Con last July and the marketing campaign along with buzz has built up steadily ever since. The trailers have done such a fantastic job of teasing the monster(s) and their epic showdown that some moviegoers may end up disappointed that the star doesn’t really show up until near the end.  Advance tickets sales are doubled Pacific Rim ($37M), ahead of World War Z ($66M) as well as Thor: The Dark World ($86 million). Rampaging into 3952 theaters, Godzilla could destroy $76 million.

After its opening weekend rager, Neighbors [NEIBR] will continue to make noise. With its surprising wide appeal that includes older woman, Neighbors should hold better than 50% for about $27 million in its second weekend.

The Amazing Spider-Man 2 [SPID5] is freefalling fast, and will be further stomped by Godzilla. The sequel may grab another $17 million on the way down.

Jon Hamm [JHAMM] toplines the feel-good sports movie Million Dollar Arm [MDARM] based on the true story of two aspiring baseball players from India. The PG-rated drama has tested really well and Disney sneaked the film last weekend to generate word of mouth. However, the film lacks starpower and Godzilla casts a large shadow this weekend. Starting 3019 theaters, Million Dollar Arm may strike up $16 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): GODZL, BCRAN, AJOHN, EOLSE, NEIBR, SPID5, JHAMM, MDARM

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 15, 2014 @ 03:23 PM 2977 views

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Fantastic Four (FANF2) 150000 161.12 (+0.46)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 10 136.27 (-0.22)          FOX: Krapopolis (KRAPOP) 1000 13.34 (-0.21)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 50000 18.99 (-0.05)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 10000 164.83 (+0.94)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 10 143.97 (-0.44)          Downton Abbey 3 (DWTA3) 1000 27.15 (+0.03)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 10000 18.00 (0.00)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 49999 18.68 (+2.56)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Nutcrackers (NTCRS) 150000 19.65 (-0.04)          Nutcrackers (NTCRS) 150000 19.65 (-0.04)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 49999 7.30 (+2.11)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 49999 7.30 (+2.11)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 49999 7.30 (+2.11)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 3.70 (-0.30)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 3.70 (-0.30)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 49999 19.93 (+4.47)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 49999 19.93 (+4.47)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 49999 19.93 (+4.47)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Winner (WINNR) 150000 3.17 (+0.61)          Winner (WINNR) 150000 3.17 (+0.61)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 18.81 (+1.81)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 18.81 (+1.81)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 96611 23.72 (+0.63)          Christopher Walken (CWALK) 25000 53.44 (+0.16)          Merlin (MERLN) 150000 1.22 (0.00)          Gambit (GAMBI) 150000 0.89 (-0.01)          Red Sonja (SONJA) 150000 2.35 (+0.01)          Gambit (GAMBI) 150000 0.89 (-0.01)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.40 (+0.69)          Merlin (MERLN) 150000 1.22 (0.00)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 150000 2.11 (-0.02)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 150000 14.70 (-0.18)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 150000 14.70 (-0.18)          The Garfield Movie - Opening Wee (GRFLD.OW) 29815 41.41 (+1.41)          Small Things Like These (SMTLT) 150000 3.00 (-0.08)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.40 (+0.69)          Red Sonja (SONJA) 150000 2.35 (+0.01)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 150000 7.30 (+2.11)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.40 (+0.69)          Small Things Like These (SMTLT) 150000 3.00 (-0.08)          Madonna biopic (MDONA) 150000 3.66 (-0.05)          Courtney B. Vance (CVANC) 25000 54.07 (+0.16)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.44 (-0.56)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.44 (-0.56)          Ranger's Apprentice (RNGAP) 150000 3.01 (-0.03)          Bird (BIRD) 150000 2.59 (-0.01)