SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Star Trek set to prosper

Paramount has trailed the other Hollywood studios at the 2016 box office, but hopes to reverse its fortunes with Star Trek Beyond [TREK3], the third film in the rebooted timeline of the 50-year-old Sci-Fi series. Although 2013’s Star Trek Into Darkness opened to $70.2 million, the sequel was lambasted by most trek fans. Justin Lin [JLIN] took over as director and steered Star Trek back to its original mission of exploring deep space. Beyond has earned positive reviews, but audience are likely to be cautious after Into Darkness. Anton Yelchin’s untimely death and Sulu’s reveal as gay have kept the PG-13 rated film in the buzz of conversation. Warping into 3928 theaters, Star Trek Beyond could beam home $56 million.

Fox hopes families continue to flock to animated films with Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5], the fifth in their PG-rated series. However, it’s been 4 years since the previous installment Continental Drift opened to $46.6 million and closed with a franchise-low total of $161 million. Sending Scrat to space on an UFO is unlikely to bring back a portion of its audience. Ice Age: Collision Course may hit $36 million from 3992 locations.

Even with the added competition, The Secret Life of Pets [PETS] should hold strong with about $28 million for its third weekend.

After a solid debut and a Cinemascore of B+, Ghostbusters [GHST3] should enjoy good word of mouth.  Ghostbusters is likely to lose 50% from its debut to $23 million.

New Line follows up The Conjuring 2 with the James Wan-produced Lights Out [LITSO]. Teresa Palmer [TPALM] stars in the PG-13 rated horror based on a hit viral video. Lights Out has an easy-to-sell premise and its trailers are genuinely creepy. Reviews are also glowing, which is rare for a horror film. Showing in 2818 theaters, Lights Out could illuminate $18 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TREK3, JLIN, ICEA5, PETS, GHST3, LITSO, TPALM

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Wednesday, July 20, 2016 @ 04:56 PM 2287 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 10000 33.27 (-0.54)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 10000 136.56 (-0.42)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 10000 166.56 (-0.32)          Fantastic Four (FANF2) 10000 162.68 (+1.18)          Untitled Formula One aka Apex (FORM1) 10000 51.36 (+3.80)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 2.05 (-0.22)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 150000 8.00 (+1.57)          Drop (DROP) 629 22.06 (+2.06)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 150000 4.86 (-0.63)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 1 15.60 (-2.38)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 1 15.60 (-2.38)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 13.38 (+2.36)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 1 36.94 (-1.91)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 1 36.94 (-1.91)          Joker: Folie à Deux (JOKE2) 3 273.43 (-1.20)          Joker: Folie à Deux (JOKE2) 3 273.43 (-1.20)          Venom: The Last Dance aka Venom (VENM3) 3 169.60 (-0.46)          Venom: The Last Dance aka Venom (VENM3) 3 169.60 (-0.46)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 3 11.06 (-0.41)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 3 11.06 (-0.41)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 150000 68.70 (-0.52)          Science-Fiction Fund (SCIFI) 20000 92.78 (0.00)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 149901 12.95 (+4.91)          Wicked (WICKD) 75000 158.37 (-1.35)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 2 13.38 (+2.36)          Drop (DROP) 150000 22.06 (+2.06)          Wicked (WICKD) 75000 158.37 (-1.35)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 12.95 (+4.91)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 10000 68.41 (-0.01)          Merlin (MERLN) 10000 1.20 (+0.01)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 49999 15.60 (-2.38)          The Greatest Hits (GRTHT) 150000 0.90 (-0.01)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 150000 22.51 (+3.90)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 40000 17.68 (-0.03)          Wonder Woman 3 (WOND3) 5000 23.22 (-0.04)          George Clooney (GCLOO) 25000 30.57 (-0.13)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 25000 11.61 (+0.40)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 25000 11.61 (+0.40)          Jamie Foxx (JFOXX) 25000 78.39 (-0.50)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 26.91 (-0.25)          John Corbett (JCORB) 25000 28.26 (+0.25)          John Corbett (JCORB) 25000 28.26 (+0.25)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 150000 11.38 (-0.20)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 150000 11.38 (-0.20)          Didi (DIDI) 150000 4.47 (+0.06)          Didi (DIDI) 150000 4.47 (+0.06)          Jazzy (JAZZY) 150000 2.19 (+0.36)          Jazzy (JAZZY) 150000 2.19 (+0.36)          Hitpig (HITPG) 150000 5.76 (+0.08)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 50000 22.51 (+3.90)