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Whisper Numbers: Reacher and Madea fight over Ouija

Even after a summer of lackluster sequels, Hollywood drops three more sequels on this fall weekend. Jack Reacher: Never Go Back [RECH2] may win out due to Tom Cruise [TCRUIS], who’s coming off the well-received Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation. Paramount hopes the PG-13 rated action franchises rub off on one another. The first Jack Reacher opened at $15.2 million in December 2012 and legged out $80 million. Showing in 3780 theaters, Jack Reacher: Never Go Back could punch out $21 million.

Lionsgate gets back in the Tyler Perry [TPERR] business with Tyler Perry’s Boo! A Madea Halloween [BOAMH]. His last crossdressing film, A Madea Christmas opened to $16.0 million in December 2013. However, it was the fourth Madea film in 4 years.  A 3 years layoff should help bring back some of the fanbase that consistently deliver openings over $25 million. The Halloween theme could also reach new, younger moviegoers. Advance ticket sales for Halloween are ahead  of Christmas.  The PG-13 rated comedy may gather $19 million from 2260 locations.

The weekend’s third sequel, Ouija: Origin of Evil [OUIJ2] is actually a prequel. Ouija surprised the industry with a $19.9 million opening two years ago. However, Universal has gone with a new cast in a different setting during the 1970s.  Advance ticket sales are ahead of its predecessor, though there could be frontloading.  Playing in 3167 theaters, Ouija: Origin of Evil could summon $16 million.

With excellent word of mouth, The Accountant [ACTNT] should hold at least 50% of its debut and add another $13 million.

Keeping Up with the Joneses [KUWTJ] may get lost in the shuffle of a crowded weekend. The PG-13 rated action comedy stars Zach Galifianakis [ZGALI] and Isla Fisher [IFISH] as a suburban couple who gets mixed up with their secret agent neighbors played by Jon Hamm [JHAMM] and Gal Gadot [GGDAO]. Keeping Up with the Joneses could bring in $7 million from 3022 theaters.

Pure Flix opens I’m Not Ashamed [IMNAS] in 504 theaters. The controversial film about the Columbine school massacre may settle with $3 million.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RECH2, TPERR, BOAMH, OUIJ2, ACTNT, KUWTJ, ZGALI, IFISH, JHAMM, IMNAS

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 20, 2016 @ 03:51 PM 1713 views

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Rupert Friend (RFRIE) 395 15.03 (+1.01)          Talk 2 Me aka Talk to Me 2 (TLKT2) 4429 20.14 (-0.14)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die - Opening (BADB4.OW) 100000 60.00 (0.00)          Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 54527 33.97 (+2.78)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 25000 13.02 (-0.10)          Joker: Folie à Deux (JOKE2) 150000 274.92 (-1.44)          Rupert Friend (RFRIE) 25000 15.03 (+1.01)          Companion (CMPAN) 150000 19.68 (+0.08)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          The Watchers H$15 Put (WATCS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Watchers H$15 Call (WATCS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 100000 53.39 (-1.30)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Put (BADB4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Call (BADB4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 150000 89.82 (-2.29)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 25000 37.81 (-0.03)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 20000 37.81 (-0.03)          Edge of Tomorrow 2 aka Live, Die (EDGT2) 50000 16.48 (+0.09)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 150000 36.04 (+3.32)          Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 150000 33.97 (+2.78)          Elio (ELIO) 4000 111.72 (-0.39)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 58952 312.61 (-3.00)          The Down Under Fund (AUSIE) 20000 86.03 (-0.47)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 158.26 (-0.89)          The Mandalorian & Grogu (SWAR3) 92018 217.09 (+0.72)          Hit Man (HTMAN) 150000 1.02 (-0.03)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 150000 24.45 (-0.07)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die - Opening (BADB4.OW) 100000 60.00 (0.00)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Call (BADB4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 81.32 (+2.24)          IF (IMGNF) 17859 111.12 (-0.96)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 81.32 (+2.24)          Valiant One (VLNT1) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          A Sacrifice aka Berlin Nobody (BRLNB) 150000 0.61 (-0.01)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 150000 18.00 (-0.42)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die H$60 Put (BADB4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Watchers - Opening Weekend (WATCS.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die - Opening (BADB4.OW) 100000 60.00 (0.00)          Joker: Folie à Deux (JOKE2) 277 274.92 (-1.44)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 149000 135.77 (-6.33)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 135.77 (-6.33)          Brothers (BROHS) 150000 2.27 (-1.37)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 279.90 (-1.90)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 158.26 (-0.89)          Brothers (BROHS) 150000 2.27 (-1.37)          Brothers (BROHS) 150000 2.27 (-1.37)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 120000 29.37 (-0.04)          Joker: Folie à Deux (JOKE2) 150000 274.92 (-1.44)