SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Four new films won't bounce Hop.

Four new releases enter the box office fray as two comedians test their draw and two girls fight adversity. However, none is likely to unseat Hop [IHOP] from the top spot. The family film featuring Russell Brand [RBRAN] as the voice of an animated Easter Bunny exceeded all expectations last weekend. With little competition, Hop might hold around 65% and still remain in first place at about $24 million.

Brand also stars in one of the new openers, Warner Bros’ comedy remake Arthur [ATHUR]. The British comedian seems to elicit either a love him or hate him response from people. Although Get Him to the Greek opened to $17.6 million last year, it was a spin-off that was led by Jonah Hill. A PG-13 rating should give Arthur access to a broader audience than its competition. Though even with the inclusion of Helen Mirren [HMIRR], the film is unlikely to bring out older moviegoers who've seen the 1981 original. Opening in 3267 theaters, Arthur could bank $16 million.

Danny McBride [DMCBR] also strikes out as a lead in the fantasy comedy Your Highness [YURHI]. James Franco [JAFRA] and Natalie Portman [NPORT] led their starpower in support. Buzz has been low and reviews mostly negative for the R-rated comedy targeted at the college crowd. Your Highness may loot $14 million from 2769 locations.

The inspirational drama Soul Surfer [SOSRF] is the true story of Bethany Hamilton who lost an arm to a shark. While AnnaSophia Robb [AROBB] plays the lead, co-star Carrie Underwood may be the bigger draw for teen girls as well as the country crowd. Sony and FilmDistrict also hope to tap into the Christian community, which would give the PG-rated film a boost. Riding into 2214 theaters, Soul Surfer could score $10 million.

The thriller Hanna [HANA1] stars Saoirse Ronan [SRONA] as a young girl seemingly born to be an assassin. Eric Bana [EBANA] and Cate Blanchett [CBLAN] give the PG-13 rated action film some highbrow talent to an otherwise lowbrow movie concept. Teenage moviegoers will have many other options, though excellent reviews should help attract discerning adults. Debuting in 2535 theaters, Hanna might have $9.5 million within its sight.

With word of mouth only so-so, Source Code [SCODE] may decline 45% in its second weekend to $8 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): IHOP, RBRAN, ATHUR, HMIRR, DMCBR, YURHI, JAFRA, NPORT, SOSRF, AROBB, HANA1, SRONA, EBANA, CBLAN, SCODE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 7, 2011 @ 04:04 PM 3780 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Bikeriders (BKRDR) 149999 29.32 (-0.11)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 149999 148.07 (+4.86)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 25000 67.49 (+1.23)          Across The River And Into The Tr (ATRIT) 50000 0.40 (+0.31)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 2.81 (-0.25)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 2.81 (-0.25)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 1200 320.93 (-0.51)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 50000 24.70 (+3.71)          Jamie Foxx (JFOXX) 25000 78.89 (-0.70)          Back to Black - Opening Weekend (BTBLK.OW) 100000 4.92 (-0.70)          Eric Bana (EBANA) 25000 31.26 (-0.50)          The Supremes at Earl's All-You-C (TSAEA) 150000 1.85 (-0.01)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 150000 5.53 (+3.05)          Uproar (UPROA) 150000 0.65 (-0.06)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Henry Golding (HGOLD) 25000 35.66 (+1.10)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Hitpig (HITPG) 150000 5.56 (-1.22)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Cal (MMAX5.CA) 25000 3.02 (+0.18)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 150000 5.53 (+3.05)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 100000 59.29 (+1.05)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 135.19 (-1.19)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 22.82 (+2.12)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 22.82 (+2.12)          Jay Baruchel (JBARU) 25000 73.78 (+0.50)          Jena Malone (JMALO) 25000 3.71 (0.00)          Jena Malone (JMALO) 25000 3.71 (0.00)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 5.06 (+0.05)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 22.82 (+2.12)          Barry Pepper (BPEPP) 25000 20.03 (+0.51)          Orlando Bloom (OBLOO) 25000 94.92 (+1.50)          Guy Ritchie (GRITC) 25000 22.21 (+0.85)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 25000 67.49 (+1.23)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 135.19 (-1.19)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 50000 24.70 (+3.71)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 135.19 (-1.19)          Akira (AKIRA) 1 13.57 (-0.11)          Companion (CMPAN) 140000 19.17 (+2.40)          Co-Parenting (COPRN) 1000 2.88 (0.00)          Django/Zorro (DJAN2) 1000 1.26 (+0.02)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 148.07 (+4.86)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 1 4.27 (0.00)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 163 129.92 (+0.95)          Jazzy (JAZZY) 150000 1.79 (-0.21)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 25000 0.57 (-0.19)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle - O (HAIKY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 1 10.00 (0.00)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 H$10 Ca (STRN3.CA) 25000 0.51 (-0.12)