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Playing & Trading Strategy

Depends on what happens around adjust, and whether or not it's a good movie

Posted by: JohnTEQP on Dec 13, 13:55 in response to islander's post I have a question for the rich people about holding a...

After the adjust, I look at 4 things: 1) Was the move in the direction I was expecting, or was it the opposite? 2) Was it a minor move, or a major one? 3) What's the buzz, i.e. is it a good movie or a bad one? 4)

For example, I was holding [INVIC] long. Mistake: it dropped H$18. That's a big drop. So should I keep it long, or admit my mistake, and short it now?

I'm holding it long to delist, because I've already paid for my mistake. So the question for me today is: would I buy it at this price, or short it? The reviews have been great, and the buzz seems to be good. It's a serious drama for adults; those tend to build well, so the delist will probably be higher than the adjust. Comedies, action movies, and movies specifically aimed at teens [TWLI2] tend to be frontloaded on the opening weekend, so those are usually a safe bet to hold short to delist.


Tag(s): INVIC, TWLI2





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Inside Out 2 H$100 Put (INOU2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Inside Out 2 - Opening Weekend (INOU2.OW) 1 100.00 (0.00)          Inside Out 2 - Opening Weekend (INOU2.OW) 100000 100.00 (0.00)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 25000 120.28 (-5.79)          Inside Out 2 H$100 Put (INOU2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die - Opening (BADB4.OW) 36510 54.83 (-0.96)          Inside Out 2 - Opening Weekend (INOU2.OW) 100000 100.00 (0.00)          Inside Out 2 - Opening Weekend (INOU2.OW) 50000 100.00 (0.00)          Inside Out 2 H$100 Put (INOU2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Stephanie Hsu (SHSU) 25000 77.88 (+2.05)          Gabby's Dollhouse: The Movie (GABYD) 1 22.60 (-4.13)          Inside Out 2 H$100 Call (INOU2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Stephanie Hsu (SHSU) 25000 77.88 (+2.05)          The Wild Robot (TWRBT) 1000 68.78 (+0.26)          Gabby's Dollhouse: The Movie (GABYD) 1000 22.60 (-4.13)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 16.74 (-0.29)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 42.03 (+3.15)          Gabby's Dollhouse: The Movie (GABYD) 149999 22.60 (-4.13)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 25000 92.32 (-5.39)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 25000 92.32 (-5.39)          George Clooney (GCLOO) 100 32.83 (+1.14)          Jacob Batalon (JBATA) 25000 104.80 (+0.27)          Jacob Batalon (JBATA) 25000 104.80 (+0.27)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 25000 120.28 (-5.79)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 25000 120.28 (-5.79)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 64.41 (+1.57)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 1 399.17 (+3.69)          Inside Out 2 H$100 Call (INOU2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Reagan (REAGN) 150000 10.44 (-0.07)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 6.79 (-16.31)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 6.79 (-16.31)          Inside Out 2 - Opening Weekend (INOU2.OW) 27582 100.00 (0.00)          Just Cause (JCAUS) 150000 2.52 (+2.48)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 150000 138.13 (-2.37)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 88.27 (-2.75)          Gilded Rage (GLDRG) 150000 0.02 (-0.01)          Eddie Marsan (EMARS) 25000 5.30 (-0.20)          The Black Phone 2 (BPHO2) 150000 60.56 (+0.68)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 42.03 (+3.15)          A Quiet Place: Day One (AQPL3) 150000 126.21 (-1.40)          M3GAN 2.0 (M3GA2) 150000 67.20 (+0.14)          Pretty in Pink 2 (PINK2) 150000 0.03 (-0.03)          Reunion (REUNN) 150000 0.03 (-0.02)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 150000 77.31 (-2.83)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 150000 138.13 (-2.37)          Chippendales (IMCHP) 150000 0.07 (+0.02)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 100000 11.17 (+0.82)          Sean Penn (SPENN) 25000 32.71 (-0.49)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 88.27 (-2.75)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 6.73 (+0.04)