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That is incorrect. RS had TF2 at 170M while MTC had it at 162M. That is not close to the difference we are seeing now. {nm}

Posted by: shawman on Jun 27, 11:56 in response to filmboy20's post MTC had the T2 40 million less then RS 2 years ago. Both...

mtc tfrm 138 6 day Larry 15 and Monte 8 for 4 {nm} notfabio Jun 27, 10:48

...those dont sound like promising numbers for ANY of those movies! {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:50

138 is quite a bit lower than some other predictions isn't it? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 10:50

That would be less than TFORM first 6 full days. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 10:54

could this be like a Super 8 thing, where the first trailer was awesome and got lots of buzz, but now the general public interest is waning? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:57

No, this more like the previous sequel sucked, and sucked the interest from the general public. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:01

god, number 2 truly was terrible wasnt it. haha {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 11:04

I don't understand the tuesday opening, either. What's the benefit of that? WOM before the weekend? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 11:05

If TFRM3 had the same Tue-Thu vs. Fri-Mon ratio as #2 (figuring Tue gains offset July 4 additions--last time was a non-Holiday), that would dsbman Jun 27, 10:56

wow {nm} krapnek Jun 27, 10:56

Hopefully MTC has nailed it(or even better MTC/RS rule works here). {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:10

MTC had the T2 40 million less then RS 2 years ago. Both was way way off. Looks like history is repeating {nm} filmboy20 Jun 27, 11:24

Were both under the actual result? {nm} Jay_Beezy Jun 27, 11:43

That is incorrect. RS had TF2 at 170M while MTC had it at 162M. That is not close to the difference we are seeing now. shawman Jun 27, 11:56

was that for the 6-day? so both were under then? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 12:03

Wow; don't say this often, but that'd be shocking {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:27

what's your prediction at this time {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:37

I was at $190m 6-day; not any more; the ticket sales in the bay area are sluggish too; have to re-think about this one {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:56

Interesting to me is that 138 is exactly what War of the Worlds adjusts to over the same 6-d holiday frame. {nm} ShawnMR Jun 27, 11:35

TF2 made 215 million its first 6 days. But, TF3 is coming off TF2 negative vibe among many. But 3D seems like it will do well for TF3; WOM Nightfury82 Jun 27, 11:39

There are some signs pointing in the negative direction. For one, ArcLight Hollywood sold out every one of its 15 screens for TFRM2... it dsbman Jun 27, 11:47

For which showing? That's real hard numbers. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:52

9pm Dome for #3 vs. Midnight for #2... Also, Midnight 2D regular auditorium has less than 50 tickets sold. By this time, IIRC, there were dsbman Jun 27, 11:55

* That's 8pm Dome (ArcLight got special permission). The Dome Midnight show has about the same number of sales: ~400. dsbman Jun 27, 12:00

i think mtc is being convervative... the buzz of the new Transformer is terrific... i would be not surprised if it gets those numbers for b4bad Jun 27, 15:33

I can't imagine Larry Crowne doing that poorly. {nm} MiyazakiFan Jun 27, 16:07

Tagging [TFRM3], [LCROW], [MONTC] {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 28, 00:22





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Place to Be (PLCTB) 150000 2.49 (0.00)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 149999 12.98 (+1.10)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 12.98 (+1.10)          Thumb (THUM) 149999 5.40 (+1.18)          Urban Legend (URBN3) 10000 2.33 (-0.01)          Thumb (THUM) 150000 5.40 (+1.18)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 149999 10.99 (+1.06)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 10.99 (+1.06)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 12.98 (+1.10)          Place to Be (PLCTB) 150000 2.49 (0.00)          ABC: 9-1-1 Nashville (911NAS) 25000 13.24 (+0.07)          Gambino (GMBNO) 149999 11.35 (+0.96)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 11.35 (+0.96)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 186.19 (+5.10)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 5000 60.00 (0.00)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 115507 60.00 (0.00)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 149999 6.92 (+0.83)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 6.92 (+0.83)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Baby Driver 2 (BDRV2) 150000 2.34 (-0.01)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 319 186.19 (+5.10)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Somewhere Out There (SWOTH) 150000 2.39 (0.00)          Dafne Keen (DKEEN) 24991 152.69 (-0.49)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 15000 60.00 (0.00)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 3 186.19 (+5.10)          Baby Driver 2 (BDRV2) 150000 2.34 (-0.01)          Rebecca Hall (RBHAL) 6 43.87 (-0.16)          Rebecca Hall (RBHAL) 25000 43.87 (-0.16)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Somewhere Out There (SWOTH) 150000 2.39 (0.00)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 150000 135.72 (+0.12)          Rami Malek (RMALE) 3 90.45 (+0.25)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 3.73 (-0.18)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 100000 417.52 (-6.62)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 186.19 (+5.10)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 186.19 (+5.10)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 12.98 (+1.10)          Tow (TOW) 10000 1.72 (0.00)          Balls Up (BALUP) 149998 0.03 (0.00)