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That is incorrect. RS had TF2 at 170M while MTC had it at 162M. That is not close to the difference we are seeing now. {nm}

Posted by: shawman on Jun 27, 11:56 in response to filmboy20's post MTC had the T2 40 million less then RS 2 years ago. Both...

mtc tfrm 138 6 day Larry 15 and Monte 8 for 4 {nm} notfabio Jun 27, 10:48

...those dont sound like promising numbers for ANY of those movies! {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:50

138 is quite a bit lower than some other predictions isn't it? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 10:50

That would be less than TFORM first 6 full days. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 10:54

could this be like a Super 8 thing, where the first trailer was awesome and got lots of buzz, but now the general public interest is waning? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:57

No, this more like the previous sequel sucked, and sucked the interest from the general public. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:01

god, number 2 truly was terrible wasnt it. haha {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 11:04

I don't understand the tuesday opening, either. What's the benefit of that? WOM before the weekend? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 11:05

If TFRM3 had the same Tue-Thu vs. Fri-Mon ratio as #2 (figuring Tue gains offset July 4 additions--last time was a non-Holiday), that would dsbman Jun 27, 10:56

wow {nm} krapnek Jun 27, 10:56

Hopefully MTC has nailed it(or even better MTC/RS rule works here). {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:10

MTC had the T2 40 million less then RS 2 years ago. Both was way way off. Looks like history is repeating {nm} filmboy20 Jun 27, 11:24

Were both under the actual result? {nm} Jay_Beezy Jun 27, 11:43

That is incorrect. RS had TF2 at 170M while MTC had it at 162M. That is not close to the difference we are seeing now. shawman Jun 27, 11:56

was that for the 6-day? so both were under then? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 12:03

Wow; don't say this often, but that'd be shocking {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:27

what's your prediction at this time {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:37

I was at $190m 6-day; not any more; the ticket sales in the bay area are sluggish too; have to re-think about this one {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:56

Interesting to me is that 138 is exactly what War of the Worlds adjusts to over the same 6-d holiday frame. {nm} ShawnMR Jun 27, 11:35

TF2 made 215 million its first 6 days. But, TF3 is coming off TF2 negative vibe among many. But 3D seems like it will do well for TF3; WOM Nightfury82 Jun 27, 11:39

There are some signs pointing in the negative direction. For one, ArcLight Hollywood sold out every one of its 15 screens for TFRM2... it dsbman Jun 27, 11:47

For which showing? That's real hard numbers. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:52

9pm Dome for #3 vs. Midnight for #2... Also, Midnight 2D regular auditorium has less than 50 tickets sold. By this time, IIRC, there were dsbman Jun 27, 11:55

* That's 8pm Dome (ArcLight got special permission). The Dome Midnight show has about the same number of sales: ~400. dsbman Jun 27, 12:00

i think mtc is being convervative... the buzz of the new Transformer is terrific... i would be not surprised if it gets those numbers for b4bad Jun 27, 15:33

I can't imagine Larry Crowne doing that poorly. {nm} MiyazakiFan Jun 27, 16:07

Tagging [TFRM3], [LCROW], [MONTC] {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 28, 00:22





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Cut Off (CUTOF) 10000 34.76 (-0.60)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 363.33 (+1.00)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Dark Slides aka Polaris (POLRS) 28522 0.28 (-0.01)          Michael (MJACK) 5 241.41 (+8.78)          Dark Slides aka Polaris (POLRS) 9978 0.28 (-0.01)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 8.09 (+0.30)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 8.09 (+0.30)          Seth Rogen (SROGE) 19000 127.21 (-0.25)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 5000 44.64 (-0.25)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 15.89 (-0.75)          The Great Emu War (GEMUW) 297 0.03 (0.00)          Angelina Jolie (AJOLI) 25000 66.77 (-0.50)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 5000 44.64 (-0.25)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 118.46 (+0.83)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 102 1.02 (0.00)          Mother Nature (MONAT) 149999 0.04 (+0.01)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 5000 224.31 (+0.59)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 4000 28.12 (+1.69)          Sope Dirisu (SDIRI) 25000 13.46 (-0.30)          Them (THEM) 1 40.00 (0.00)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 1078 0.78 (+0.07)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 17.70 (-0.10)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 110000 3.81 (-0.03)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 1089 0.89 (-0.03)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 5 48.12 (+3.62)          Them (THEM) 100001 40.00 (0.00)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 10000 24.78 (+0.88)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 77 0.78 (+0.07)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 100000 34.76 (-0.60)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 100000 21.76 (-0.07)          Seth Rogen (SROGE) 81 127.21 (-0.25)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 88 0.89 (-0.03)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 20000 199.72 (+0.90)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 7000 199.72 (+0.90)          Helen & Teacher (HELNT) 899 0.04 (-0.01)          Rege-Jean Page (RPAGE) 25000 37.48 (-0.12)          Mega Man (MGAMN) 2009 0.10 (+0.01)          Mega Man (MGAMN) 6995 0.10 (+0.01)          Smile 3 (SMIL3) 150000 21.90 (-0.23)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 1000 28.12 (+1.69)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 14 7.55 (-0.10)          The Last Mrs. Parrish (LMRSP) 699 0.15 (-0.01)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 5 7.55 (-0.10)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 75000 4.79 (-0.09)          Passenger (PSNGR) 150000 28.48 (+0.29)          Passenger (PSNGR) 150000 28.48 (+0.29)