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That is incorrect. RS had TF2 at 170M while MTC had it at 162M. That is not close to the difference we are seeing now. {nm}

Posted by: shawman on Jun 27, 11:56 in response to filmboy20's post MTC had the T2 40 million less then RS 2 years ago. Both...

mtc tfrm 138 6 day Larry 15 and Monte 8 for 4 {nm} notfabio Jun 27, 10:48

...those dont sound like promising numbers for ANY of those movies! {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:50

138 is quite a bit lower than some other predictions isn't it? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 10:50

That would be less than TFORM first 6 full days. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 10:54

could this be like a Super 8 thing, where the first trailer was awesome and got lots of buzz, but now the general public interest is waning? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:57

No, this more like the previous sequel sucked, and sucked the interest from the general public. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:01

god, number 2 truly was terrible wasnt it. haha {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 11:04

I don't understand the tuesday opening, either. What's the benefit of that? WOM before the weekend? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 11:05

If TFRM3 had the same Tue-Thu vs. Fri-Mon ratio as #2 (figuring Tue gains offset July 4 additions--last time was a non-Holiday), that would dsbman Jun 27, 10:56

wow {nm} krapnek Jun 27, 10:56

Hopefully MTC has nailed it(or even better MTC/RS rule works here). {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:10

MTC had the T2 40 million less then RS 2 years ago. Both was way way off. Looks like history is repeating {nm} filmboy20 Jun 27, 11:24

Were both under the actual result? {nm} Jay_Beezy Jun 27, 11:43

That is incorrect. RS had TF2 at 170M while MTC had it at 162M. That is not close to the difference we are seeing now. shawman Jun 27, 11:56

was that for the 6-day? so both were under then? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 12:03

Wow; don't say this often, but that'd be shocking {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:27

what's your prediction at this time {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:37

I was at $190m 6-day; not any more; the ticket sales in the bay area are sluggish too; have to re-think about this one {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:56

Interesting to me is that 138 is exactly what War of the Worlds adjusts to over the same 6-d holiday frame. {nm} ShawnMR Jun 27, 11:35

TF2 made 215 million its first 6 days. But, TF3 is coming off TF2 negative vibe among many. But 3D seems like it will do well for TF3; WOM Nightfury82 Jun 27, 11:39

There are some signs pointing in the negative direction. For one, ArcLight Hollywood sold out every one of its 15 screens for TFRM2... it dsbman Jun 27, 11:47

For which showing? That's real hard numbers. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:52

9pm Dome for #3 vs. Midnight for #2... Also, Midnight 2D regular auditorium has less than 50 tickets sold. By this time, IIRC, there were dsbman Jun 27, 11:55

* That's 8pm Dome (ArcLight got special permission). The Dome Midnight show has about the same number of sales: ~400. dsbman Jun 27, 12:00

i think mtc is being convervative... the buzz of the new Transformer is terrific... i would be not surprised if it gets those numbers for b4bad Jun 27, 15:33

I can't imagine Larry Crowne doing that poorly. {nm} MiyazakiFan Jun 27, 16:07

Tagging [TFRM3], [LCROW], [MONTC] {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 28, 00:22





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Monopoly (MONOP) 10000 9.72 (0.00)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 150000 57.30 (-0.05)          Verity (VERTY) 20000 54.19 (-0.03)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 26.97 (+0.10)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 5000 45.56 (+0.12)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 26.07 (+0.10)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 16.84 (-1.16)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 19.96 (-0.08)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 83487 120.75 (-0.28)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 16.84 (-1.16)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 5000 468.41 (+0.52)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 5.62 (-0.05)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.95 (0.00)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 111.35 (-0.64)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 49981 317.00 (+0.12)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 16.84 (-1.16)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 150000 32.30 (-0.11)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 5000 16.84 (-1.16)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 18923 6.27 (+0.07)          Donkey (DONKE) 10000 111.35 (-0.64)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 20000 17.34 (-0.63)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 20000 16.84 (-1.16)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 5.46 (+0.68)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 5.46 (+0.68)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 150000 27.31 (+1.63)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 150000 27.31 (+1.63)          Reenactment (RNACT) 5000 5.46 (+0.68)          In Love (NLOVE) 5000 16.37 (+1.06)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 5000 26.24 (+1.13)          Fleur (FLEUR) 100 7.61 (+0.46)          In Love (NLOVE) 100 16.37 (+1.06)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 111.35 (-0.64)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 111.35 (-0.64)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 150000 0.36 (-0.02)          Horsegirls (HRSGR) 150000 0.41 (-0.01)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 18858 21.65 (+0.12)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 7.61 (+0.46)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 7.61 (+0.46)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 5.46 (+0.68)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 5.46 (+0.68)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 1 8.68 (-0.40)          Donkey (DONKE) 1 111.35 (-0.64)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 1 43.25 (-0.06)          Digger (DIGER) 50 126.96 (-1.94)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 146.12 (-0.34)          Donkey (DONKE) 50 111.35 (-0.64)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 126.96 (-1.94)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 126.96 (-1.94)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 331 262.13 (-0.24)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 13.29 (0.00)