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That is incorrect. RS had TF2 at 170M while MTC had it at 162M. That is not close to the difference we are seeing now. {nm}

Posted by: shawman on Jun 27, 11:56 in response to filmboy20's post MTC had the T2 40 million less then RS 2 years ago. Both...

mtc tfrm 138 6 day Larry 15 and Monte 8 for 4 {nm} notfabio Jun 27, 10:48

...those dont sound like promising numbers for ANY of those movies! {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:50

138 is quite a bit lower than some other predictions isn't it? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 10:50

That would be less than TFORM first 6 full days. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 10:54

could this be like a Super 8 thing, where the first trailer was awesome and got lots of buzz, but now the general public interest is waning? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 10:57

No, this more like the previous sequel sucked, and sucked the interest from the general public. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:01

god, number 2 truly was terrible wasnt it. haha {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 11:04

I don't understand the tuesday opening, either. What's the benefit of that? WOM before the weekend? {nm} Juiced Jun 27, 11:05

If TFRM3 had the same Tue-Thu vs. Fri-Mon ratio as #2 (figuring Tue gains offset July 4 additions--last time was a non-Holiday), that would dsbman Jun 27, 10:56

wow {nm} krapnek Jun 27, 10:56

Hopefully MTC has nailed it(or even better MTC/RS rule works here). {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:10

MTC had the T2 40 million less then RS 2 years ago. Both was way way off. Looks like history is repeating {nm} filmboy20 Jun 27, 11:24

Were both under the actual result? {nm} Jay_Beezy Jun 27, 11:43

That is incorrect. RS had TF2 at 170M while MTC had it at 162M. That is not close to the difference we are seeing now. shawman Jun 27, 11:56

was that for the 6-day? so both were under then? {nm} David_Francis Jun 27, 12:03

Wow; don't say this often, but that'd be shocking {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:27

what's your prediction at this time {nm} shawman Jun 27, 11:37

I was at $190m 6-day; not any more; the ticket sales in the bay area are sluggish too; have to re-think about this one {nm} xiayun Jun 27, 11:56

Interesting to me is that 138 is exactly what War of the Worlds adjusts to over the same 6-d holiday frame. {nm} ShawnMR Jun 27, 11:35

TF2 made 215 million its first 6 days. But, TF3 is coming off TF2 negative vibe among many. But 3D seems like it will do well for TF3; WOM Nightfury82 Jun 27, 11:39

There are some signs pointing in the negative direction. For one, ArcLight Hollywood sold out every one of its 15 screens for TFRM2... it dsbman Jun 27, 11:47

For which showing? That's real hard numbers. {nm} Antibody Jun 27, 11:52

9pm Dome for #3 vs. Midnight for #2... Also, Midnight 2D regular auditorium has less than 50 tickets sold. By this time, IIRC, there were dsbman Jun 27, 11:55

* That's 8pm Dome (ArcLight got special permission). The Dome Midnight show has about the same number of sales: ~400. dsbman Jun 27, 12:00

i think mtc is being convervative... the buzz of the new Transformer is terrific... i would be not surprised if it gets those numbers for b4bad Jun 27, 15:33

I can't imagine Larry Crowne doing that poorly. {nm} MiyazakiFan Jun 27, 16:07

Tagging [TFRM3], [LCROW], [MONTC] {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 28, 00:22





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Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 13.19 (+0.38)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 13.19 (+0.38)          Obsession - Opening Weekend (OBSSN.OW) 100000 5.95 (+0.01)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 893 9.97 (-0.13)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 5.67 (+0.04)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 21.13 (-0.20)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 37.64 (-0.23)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 37.64 (-0.23)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 221.80 (-1.03)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 107634 13.40 (+1.26)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 146065 9.97 (-0.13)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 146065 9.97 (-0.13)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 221.80 (-1.03)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 100295 159.65 (-0.80)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 149999 8.60 (+0.04)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 28.04 (-0.02)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 221.80 (-1.03)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 7.72 (-0.28)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 150000 85.23 (+0.16)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 7.72 (-0.28)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 150000 0.91 (-0.09)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 13.40 (+1.26)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 25000 10.15 (+0.14)          Colony (CLONY) 150000 2.15 (0.00)          Amrum (AMRUM) 150000 0.11 (+0.02)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 150000 73.73 (-0.25)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 13.40 (+1.26)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 13.40 (+1.26)          Antonio Banderas (ABAND) 25000 69.51 (0.00)          Antonio Banderas (ABAND) 25000 69.51 (0.00)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 7.72 (-0.28)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 10.23 (+0.89)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 4.25 (-0.48)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 9.91 (+0.32)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 57 421.82 (-0.25)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 150000 0.91 (-0.09)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 7.72 (-0.28)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 149999 9.97 (-0.13)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.96 (+0.90)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 149999 9.97 (-0.13)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 149999 9.97 (-0.13)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 149999 159.65 (-0.80)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 149999 159.65 (-0.80)          Adrift (ADRIF) 16000 1.79 (-0.01)          Adrift (ADRIF) 20000 1.79 (-0.01)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 13.40 (+1.26)          Adrift (ADRIF) 10000 1.79 (-0.01)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 7500 4.21 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 221.80 (-1.03)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 221.80 (-1.03)