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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 13.94 (-0.20)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 7.16 (-0.06)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 13.94 (-0.20)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 7.16 (-0.06)          Buddy (BUDDY) 14 4.00 (0.00)          Buddy (BUDDY) 136724 4.00 (0.00)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 150000 23.43 (-1.18)          Buddy (BUDDY) 1 4.00 (0.00)          Jake Gyllenhaal (JGYLL) 25000 22.32 (-0.24)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 49.94 (+2.22)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 16.58 (-1.03)          Zi (ZI) 178 1.27 (0.00)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 16.58 (-1.03)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 49.94 (+2.22)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 49.94 (+2.22)          Buddy (BUDDY) 148496 4.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 4773 195.69 (-0.71)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 145000 195.69 (-0.71)          Buddy (BUDDY) 13055 4.00 (0.00)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 49.94 (+2.22)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 49.94 (+2.22)          Buddy (BUDDY) 13055 4.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Buddy (BUDDY) 149999 4.00 (0.00)          Buddy (BUDDY) 1 4.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 100000 100.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 8.65 (-0.06)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 100000 100.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Passenger H$10 Put Fri-Sun (PSNGR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Passenger - Opening Weekend Fri- (PSNGR.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Passenger H$10 Call Fri-Mon (PSNGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          I Love Boosters - Opening Weeken (ILBOS.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 100000 100.00 (0.00)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 25000 52.40 (+0.16)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 49.94 (+2.22)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Passenger H$10 Call Fri-Mon (PSNGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Passenger H$10 Put Fri-Sun (PSNGR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Passenger - Opening Weekend Fri- (PSNGR.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 40000 197.85 (+1.20)          Carey Mulligan (CMULL) 24999 6.33 (+0.04)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 16.58 (-1.03)          Matthew Lillard (MLILL) 25000 76.03 (+1.18)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 32.09 (-0.49)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 100000 100.00 (0.00)