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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Boys For Life (BOYFL) 149999 20.48 (+0.83)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 150000 20.48 (+0.83)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 3000 280.00 (+1.00)          42.6 Years (426YR) 149999 17.08 (-0.18)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 17.08 (-0.18)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 3000 66.22 (-0.10)          Not Alone (NTALN) 100000 121.07 (-0.04)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 149999 18.47 (-1.18)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 18.47 (-1.18)          Please (PLESE) 150000 18.77 (+0.63)          Please (PLESE) 150000 18.77 (+0.63)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 3000 261.34 (+0.70)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 149999 13.45 (+1.15)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.45 (+1.15)          Tony (TONY) 150000 20.45 (+0.11)          Diamond (DIAMN) 150000 6.71 (+0.68)          Tony (TONY) 150000 20.45 (+0.11)          Diamond (DIAMN) 150000 6.71 (+0.68)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 3000 172.58 (-0.14)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 149999 23.64 (+0.53)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 23.64 (+0.53)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 149999 21.18 (+0.21)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 21.18 (+0.21)          Please (PLESE) 149999 18.77 (+0.63)          Please (PLESE) 150000 18.77 (+0.63)          Diamond (DIAMN) 149999 6.71 (+0.68)          Diamond (DIAMN) 150000 6.71 (+0.68)          Mr. Irrelevant: The John Tuggle (MREVL) 149999 25.78 (+0.84)          Mr. Irrelevant: The John Tuggle (MREVL) 150000 25.78 (+0.84)          Just Play Dead (JPDED) 1 1.33 (+0.33)          Oprah Winfrey (OWINF) 25000 55.45 (-0.16)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 35000 107.97 (-0.52)          Just Play Dead (JPDED) 1 1.33 (+0.33)          Oceans (OCEN5) 21000 61.47 (-0.05)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 2600 252.10 (-0.22)          Billy Porter (BPORT) 25000 28.00 (+0.12)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Put (FLWVS.PU) 25000 5.65 (-0.03)          Ayo Edebiri (AEDEB) 25000 44.36 (-0.33)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Call (FLWVS.CA) 25000 0.28 (-0.14)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie - Ope (PAWP3.OW) 100000 19.88 (+0.40)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 100000 24.99 (-0.42)          Ayo Edebiri (AEDEB) 25000 44.36 (-0.33)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie - Ope (PAWP3.OW) 100000 19.88 (+0.40)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 3.46 (-0.03)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 75.43 (-1.12)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 100000 2.79 (+0.01)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie - Ope (PAWP3.OW) 100000 19.88 (+0.40)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie - Ope (PAWP3.OW) 100000 19.88 (+0.40)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 50000 599.40 (+6.76)          Coyote vs. ACME H$15 Call (CVACM.CA) 25000 3.30 (+0.10)