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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Narcs (NARCS) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 50000 107.46 (-0.55)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 66.22 (+2.53)          Narcs (NARCS) 50000 20.00 (0.00)          River (RIVE1) 150000 16.22 (+0.56)          River (RIVE1) 150000 16.22 (+0.56)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 5.68 (+0.68)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 29.18 (+3.08)          Narcs (NARCS) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Nickels (NCKEL) 150000 0.18 (-0.02)          Love Language (LVLNG) 4000 1.33 (+0.01)          Closing Night (CLSNT) 150000 2.15 (-0.03)          Seasons (SEASN) 150000 31.31 (-0.14)          Jane Levy (JLEVY) 25000 16.45 (0.00)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 5.12 (+0.19)          Whalefall (WHALF) 10000 29.18 (+3.08)          Narcs (NARCS) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 53.94 (-1.07)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 1 2.65 (0.00)          A Talent for Murder (SWITZ) 150000 5.35 (-0.42)          Harbinger (HARBN) 205 0.02 (-0.01)          A Long Winter (ALWNT) 1 2.15 (0.00)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 1 1.59 (0.00)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 150000 4.39 (-0.06)          Narcs (NARCS) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Narcs (NARCS) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 6.60 (-0.01)          Street Fighter - Opening Weekend (STFTR.OW) 100000 29.19 (+0.19)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 3.91 (-0.03)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 5.68 (+0.68)          42.6 Years (426YR) 1 13.40 (0.00)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 1 8.87 (+0.18)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 2.75 (-0.02)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 5.69 (+0.06)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 29.18 (+3.08)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 66.22 (+2.53)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 150000 11.50 (+1.10)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 68.58 (-0.98)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 68.58 (-0.98)          Sophie Okonedo (SOKON) 25000 35.23 (+0.13)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 150000 12.77 (+1.24)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 29.18 (+3.08)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 150000 4.62 (+1.31)          Randall Park (RNPAR) 25000 78.81 (+0.25)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 22.83 (+0.19)          Narcs (NARCS) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 5.68 (+0.68)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 80.72 (-0.37)          Sophie Okonedo (SOKON) 25000 35.23 (+0.13)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 8000 0.06 (-0.01)