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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Urban Legend (URBN3) 666 4.08 (+0.03)          Portrait of an Artist: Stephen C (POASC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Viola Davis (VDAVI) 25000 118.66 (-1.34)          Viola Davis (VDAVI) 25000 118.66 (-1.34)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Idiots (SHTHD) 150000 2.69 (-1.15)          Idiots (SHTHD) 150000 2.69 (-1.15)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 25000 41.92 (+0.10)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 1 49.96 (+9.96)          Colony (CLONY) 3 1.68 (-0.03)          Portrait of an Artist: Stephen C (POASC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 150000 13.55 (+0.17)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 149999 13.55 (+0.17)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 75000 12.38 (-0.19)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 75000 12.38 (-0.19)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 0.97 (-0.16)          Alpha (ALPH1) 150000 0.81 (+0.05)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 100000 104.36 (-0.15)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 18.35 (-0.46)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 150000 0.30 (-0.03)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 150000 0.30 (-0.03)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 39.25 (-1.07)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 149999 49.96 (+9.96)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 75000 124.07 (+0.14)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 0.97 (-0.16)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 0.97 (-0.16)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 7500 144.54 (+1.93)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 36.79 (+0.08)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 40.66 (+0.32)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 10000 96.99 (+4.96)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 0.97 (-0.16)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 0.97 (-0.16)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 39.25 (-1.07)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 28.18 (-2.63)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Portrait of an Artist: Stephen C (POASC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 5000 4.00 (+0.27)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 1 2.10 (-0.32)          Portrait of an Artist: Stephen C (POASC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 2.41 (-0.14)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 2.41 (-0.14)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 150000 2.10 (-0.32)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 150000 2.10 (-0.32)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 150000 49.96 (+9.96)          Idiots (SHTHD) 150000 2.69 (-1.15)          Idiots (SHTHD) 150000 2.69 (-1.15)          Tony (TONY) 1000 14.99 (-1.48)          Tony (TONY) 150000 14.99 (-1.48)