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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Weight (THEWT) 1 7.48 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 25000 484.25 (-5.34)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 17.92 (+0.72)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 19999 17.92 (+0.72)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 25000 484.25 (-5.34)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 149999 49.83 (+2.75)          Possession (PSESN) 10000 40.00 (0.00)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 17.92 (+0.72)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Kokuho (KOKUH) 150000 1.04 (0.00)          Possession (PSESN) 5000 40.00 (0.00)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 52790 7.32 (-0.47)          Possession (PSESN) 10000 40.00 (0.00)          Bingbing Fan (FBING) 24999 96.05 (-0.25)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 20000 50.24 (-0.89)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 20000 50.24 (-0.89)          The Drama (TDRAM) 15000 33.82 (-1.99)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 150000 12.64 (-2.63)          The Drama (TDRAM) 25000 33.82 (-1.99)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 149999 27.43 (+0.07)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 149999 5.57 (-0.04)          Matt Bettinelli-Olpin (MBETT) 5000 53.03 (-0.16)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 8.78 (+0.85)          Matt Bettinelli-Olpin (MBETT) 2000 53.03 (-0.16)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 6.62 (+0.84)          Possession (PSESN) 10000 40.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 5000 484.25 (-5.34)          Possession (PSESN) 50000 40.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 5000 484.25 (-5.34)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 2 117.41 (-2.26)          Terrifier 4 (TERF4) 60000 23.38 (-0.15)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 20000 484.25 (-5.34)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 150000 117.41 (-2.26)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 484.25 (-5.34)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 45000 32.44 (-0.06)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 30000 15.20 (-0.04)          Sender (SENDR) 90000 8.56 (-0.03)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 30000 38.26 (-0.03)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 30000 53.36 (-0.02)          Two Pianos (2PINO) 150000 0.93 (-0.07)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 90000 16.74 (-0.01)          Two Pianos (2PINO) 150000 0.93 (-0.07)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Get Lite (GETLT) 60000 17.10 (-0.01)          Control (COTRL) 90000 6.41 (-0.01)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 11999 30.26 (0.00)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 30000 30.26 (0.00)          American Psycho (APSYC) 11999 21.41 (+0.08)          American Psycho (APSYC) 29999 21.41 (+0.08)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 40.00 (0.00)