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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Ali G: Who Iz I? - Opening Weeke (ALIG2.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          The Night House (NITHS) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 19.17 (+2.07)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 19.17 (+2.07)          Death Stranding (DSTRN) 150000 19.84 (+0.73)          Death Stranding (DSTRN) 150000 19.84 (+0.73)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 120000 29.94 (-2.80)          The Night House (NITHS) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Sarah Silverman (SSILV) 25000 50.88 (-0.16)          Clayface H$25 Put (CLAYF.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Put (KLARA.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Wildwood H$10 Call (WILDW.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Call (KLARA.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Clayface H$25 Call (CLAYF.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Clayface - Opening Weekend (CLAYF.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Julia Louis-Dreyfus (JLOUI) 25000 98.06 (-0.75)          Klara and the Sun - Opening Week (KLARA.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Wildwood - Opening Weekend (WILDW.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Ali G: Who Iz I? - Opening Weeke (ALIG2.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 29.63 (+0.90)          One Italian Summer (1ITAS) 40000 32.39 (-0.11)          Wildwood H$10 Put (WILDW.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Wildwood - Opening Weekend (WILDW.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Wildwood H$10 Call (WILDW.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Put (KLARA.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun - Opening Week (KLARA.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Call (KLARA.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Clayface H$25 Put (CLAYF.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Clayface - Opening Weekend (CLAYF.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Clayface H$25 Call (CLAYF.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ali G: Who Iz I? - Opening Weeke (ALIG2.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          The Night House (NITHS) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Oceans (OCEN5) 1 74.62 (+0.18)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 143805 62.24 (+0.38)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 143895 62.24 (+0.38)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 2 67.81 (+0.14)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 1000 67.81 (+0.14)          Seasons (SEASN) 150000 31.05 (+0.18)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 150000 77.52 (+0.25)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 2 189.12 (0.00)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 7000 52.31 (-0.10)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 8000 52.31 (-0.10)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 134.88 (+0.26)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 150000 56.26 (+0.15)          One Italian Summer (1ITAS) 150000 32.39 (-0.11)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 1004 165.86 (-0.33)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 1 149.25 (-0.67)          Wildwood (WILDW) 50000 27.37 (+1.50)          Wildwood (WILDW) 50000 27.37 (+1.50)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 16000 96.41 (-0.08)