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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 3000 107.04 (+2.63)          The Exorcist Film Directed by Mi (TEXO2) 98 47.49 (-0.14)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 5000 58.41 (+2.82)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 24223 69.83 (-0.24)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 2500 92.87 (-0.07)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 40000 244.92 (-0.04)          Normal - Opening Weekend (NORML.OW) 100000 5.05 (-0.06)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 2000 51.88 (+0.11)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 31848 69.83 (-0.24)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 10.02 (-0.35)          Hokum - Opening Weekend (HOKUM.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 5555 107.04 (+2.63)          Animal Farm - Opening Weekend (AFARM.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Cal (PRAD2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 0.78 (-3.20)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 1000 37.92 (-0.03)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 0.78 (-3.20)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1000 264.85 (-2.02)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Put (PRAD2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 150000 58.41 (+2.82)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Cal (PRAD2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hokum - Opening Weekend (HOKUM.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 0.78 (-3.20)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 6.93 (+0.56)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 25 223.16 (+1.03)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 - Openin (PRAD2.OW) 100000 80.00 (0.00)          Runner (RUNNR) 2000 12.23 (+1.68)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 52.59 (-0.48)          Normal - Opening Weekend (NORML.OW) 100000 5.05 (-0.06)          Animal Farm - Opening Weekend (AFARM.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150 37.44 (-0.09)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 3333 10.00 (0.00)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 98989 10.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 48951 52.10 (+1.30)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 500 313.40 (-0.47)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 149999 482.73 (-0.61)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy H$15 Call (TMUMY.CA) 15000 1.88 (-0.13)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 150000 58.41 (+2.82)          F.A.S.T. (FAST) 2000 42.97 (+0.25)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 6566 10.00 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 500 155.55 (-0.19)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 41555 10.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 1000 52.10 (+1.30)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 2500 20.52 (+0.02)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 500 122.60 (+0.12)          Bitcoin aka Killing Satoshi (KSATO) 150000 19.01 (+0.17)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 3000 182.15 (+2.08)          Bitcoin aka Killing Satoshi (KSATO) 150000 19.01 (+0.17)