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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Primetime - Opening Weekend (PRMTM.OW) 50000 12.38 (+0.46)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 149999 58.11 (+2.37)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 150000 81.58 (+0.25)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 150000 48.47 (+0.25)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 30000 4.12 (+0.12)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 50000 31.89 (-2.38)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 50000 31.89 (-2.38)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 4.27 (+0.04)          Other Mommy H$25 Put (IATHS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 50000 31.89 (-2.38)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 50000 31.89 (-2.38)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 53.48 (+0.78)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 4.12 (+0.12)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          La Bola Negra (LBNEG) 150000 3.05 (+0.04)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 150000 36.38 (+1.56)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 150000 10.18 (+0.45)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 49.76 (-1.80)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 150000 36.38 (+1.56)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 33.42 (+0.89)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 149999 49.76 (-1.80)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Put (SOCI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          La Bola Negra (LBNEG) 1500 3.05 (+0.04)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Put (SOCI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast - Opening Wee (HOTBS.OW) 150 15.80 (-0.18)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 49.76 (-1.80)          Other Mommy H$25 Put (IATHS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 4.12 (+0.12)          The Exiles (EXILE) 150000 1.85 (-0.15)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 4.12 (+0.12)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 300 4.41 (+0.14)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 200 20.92 (-0.91)          Clayface (CLAYF) 500 66.10 (-0.38)          Clayface (CLAYF) 200 66.10 (-0.38)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 500 25.00 (0.00)          Lin-Manuel Miranda (LMIRA) 25000 34.10 (-0.50)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 300 1.73 (-0.04)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 1500 1.73 (-0.04)