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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 18.54 (+0.81)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 5.66 (+0.51)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 5.66 (+0.51)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 150000 48.03 (-0.99)          American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 18.54 (+0.81)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 64.71 (+0.15)          Cookie Queens (COKIQ) 150000 1.61 (-0.02)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 6.73 (-0.03)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 8.49 (-0.03)          Obsession (OBSSN) 1610 30.97 (+0.18)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 85.84 (-0.50)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 85.84 (-0.50)          Passenger H$10 Put Fri-Mon (PSNGR.PU) 25000 2.61 (+0.04)          Passenger H$10 Put Fri-Mon (PSNGR.PU) 25000 2.61 (+0.04)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 100000 106.38 (+0.50)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 100000 106.38 (+0.50)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 4514 28.56 (+0.07)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.CA) 25000 3.37 (+0.06)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.CA) 25000 3.37 (+0.06)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.PU) 25000 2.76 (-0.04)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.PU) 25000 2.76 (-0.04)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 30 28.56 (+0.07)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 299 28.56 (+0.07)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 8888 16.27 (+0.92)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 15776 5.83 (-0.17)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 10000 9.56 (+0.01)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 1.96 (-0.04)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 16.27 (+0.92)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 8788 28.56 (+0.07)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 28999 28.56 (+0.07)          American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 18.54 (+0.81)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 30.97 (+0.18)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 555 28.56 (+0.07)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 799 28.56 (+0.07)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 387 28.56 (+0.07)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 399 28.56 (+0.07)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 788 28.56 (+0.07)          Rosamund Pike (RPIKE) 25000 18.17 (-0.20)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 30.97 (+0.18)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 2222 28.56 (+0.07)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 8888 28.56 (+0.07)          Jake Gyllenhaal (JGYLL) 25000 20.56 (-0.25)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 10.38 (+0.50)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 150000 5.83 (-0.17)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 1.96 (-0.04)          Giant (GIANT) 8888 0.92 (0.00)          King Snake (KSNAK) 150000 15.25 (+0.76)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 150000 5.83 (-0.17)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 16.27 (+0.92)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 8889 30.47 (+0.08)