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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Tony (TONY) 25000 14.06 (-0.01)          Penelope Cruz (PCRUZ) 25000 9.66 (0.00)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 16745 22.00 (+0.04)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 38.14 (+0.33)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 100.50 (-0.18)          Jake Gyllenhaal (JGYLL) 25000 46.66 (-0.16)          Maude Apatow (MAPAT) 25000 27.16 (+1.16)          The Face of Horror (FCOHR) 150000 12.56 (+1.29)          The Face of Horror (FCOHR) 150000 12.56 (+1.29)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 7.30 (+1.16)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 7.30 (+1.16)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 150000 4.85 (-1.17)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 150000 4.85 (-1.17)          Amrum (AMRUM) 150000 0.71 (-0.29)          Amrum (AMRUM) 150000 0.71 (-0.29)          Amrum (AMRUM) 150000 0.71 (-0.29)          Milla Jovovich (MJOVO) 25000 9.86 (-0.10)          You, Me & Tuscany aka Italianna (ITLIA) 150000 20.78 (-0.08)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 150000 25.60 (+0.03)          American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 23.88 (-0.03)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 150000 39.91 (+0.19)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 14.92 (-0.14)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 24.15 (-0.04)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 45710 36.54 (-1.00)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 9.14 (-0.03)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 25000 105.16 (+0.05)          Undertone - Opening Weekend (UNDTN.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Reminders of Him - Opening Weeke (RMNDH.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Scream 7 H$40 Call (SCRM7.CA) 11130 5.17 (+0.32)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 25000 227.18 (+0.17)          Reminders of Him H$10 Put (RMNDH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 32.75 (+0.02)          Undertone - Opening Weekend (UNDTN.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Reminders of Him H$10 Call (RMNDH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Reminders of Him H$10 Put (RMNDH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          City on Fire (CTOFR) 25000 10.70 (+0.01)          Reminders of Him H$10 Put (RMNDH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Undertone - Opening Weekend (UNDTN.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Reminders of Him - Opening Weeke (RMNDH.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Peaked (PEAKD) 25000 9.94 (+0.32)          Reminders of Him H$10 Call (RMNDH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Reminders of Him - Opening Weeke (RMNDH.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Reminders of Him H$10 Call (RMNDH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Reminders of Him - Opening Weeke (RMNDH.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 150000 1.22 (-0.08)          Undertone - Opening Weekend (UNDTN.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Reminders of Him H$10 Put (RMNDH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)