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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Digger (DIGER) 1000 126.44 (-0.11)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 28.14 (+0.41)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 28.14 (+0.41)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 45.36 (+0.73)          Donkey (DONKE) 50000 111.78 (+1.58)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 111.78 (+1.58)          Salma Hayek Pinault (SHAYE) 25000 79.63 (+0.50)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 44.78 (-1.89)          Donkey (DONKE) 105000 111.78 (+1.58)          Dear You (DEARU) 150000 1.48 (-0.08)          Highlander (HIGHL) 150000 45.98 (-0.36)          Highlander (HIGHL) 150000 45.98 (-0.36)          White Elephant (WELEP) 1000 14.92 (-0.30)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 5.59 (+0.59)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 3103 5.71 (+0.04)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.85 (+0.06)          Monster High (MONHI) 150000 20.05 (+0.67)          The Teller (TELER) 150000 8.47 (+0.74)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 150000 9.49 (+0.72)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 45.36 (+0.73)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 150000 84.66 (+0.87)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 150000 5.65 (+0.94)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 61.34 (+0.57)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 5.59 (+0.59)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 8.55 (+0.10)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 31.72 (-0.16)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 31.72 (-0.16)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 111.78 (+1.58)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 10000 18.23 (+1.82)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 10000 18.23 (+1.82)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 31.72 (-0.16)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 111.78 (+1.58)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 5000 18.23 (+1.82)          Salma Hayek Pinault (SHAYE) 25000 79.63 (+0.50)          Monopoly (MONOP) 6000 9.81 (-0.01)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 5000 264.29 (+0.47)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 2500 18.23 (+1.82)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 150000 2.28 (+0.06)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 150000 2.28 (+0.06)          Tangled (TANGL) 100000 100.99 (-0.05)          Russell Crowe (RCROW) 5 9.95 (+0.10)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 150000 18.23 (+1.82)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 111.78 (+1.58)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 150000 2.28 (+0.06)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 150000 54.55 (+0.24)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 150000 2.28 (+0.06)          Digger (DIGER) 35361 126.44 (-0.11)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 150000 54.55 (+0.24)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 10000 37.49 (+0.02)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 147.29 (-3.13)