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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Johnny Knoxville (JKNOX) 25000 15.73 (+1.20)          Mia Wasikowska (MWASI) 25000 1.50 (-5.20)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 70249 316.28 (-0.60)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 119.94 (-1.09)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 4000 118.72 (0.00)          Andrew Stanton (ANSTA) 25000 209.37 (-0.18)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 7.00 (+0.80)          Mia Wasikowska (MWASI) 25000 1.50 (-5.20)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 150000 7.70 (+0.27)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 150000 7.70 (+0.27)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 48243 6.91 (-0.01)          Callina Liang (CLIAN) 25000 30.00 (0.00)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 4000 74.28 (+0.32)          Keanu Reeves (KREEV) 25000 149.55 (+2.59)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 12638 316.28 (-0.60)          Women On Trial (WOTRL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 25000 124.08 (+46.59)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 8.92 (+0.10)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 54815 316.28 (-0.60)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 25000 124.08 (+46.59)          In Love (NLOVE) 150000 16.28 (+0.97)          Michael Sarnoski (MSARN) 25000 49.11 (-0.08)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 25000 124.08 (+46.59)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 25000 124.08 (+46.59)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 13.50 (+0.21)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 4000 165.97 (+0.60)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 3.23 (+0.28)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 7.00 (+0.80)          Greta Lee (GLEE) 25000 117.15 (+3.40)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 6650 119.94 (-1.09)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 7.00 (+0.80)          Greta Lee (GLEE) 25000 117.15 (+3.40)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 25000 154.27 (-1.00)          In Love (NLOVE) 150000 16.28 (+0.97)          John Magaro (JMAGA) 25000 3.29 (-0.11)          Craig Robinson (CROBI) 25000 101.92 (+14.62)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 100000 17.70 (-0.27)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 20000 17.70 (-0.27)          John Magaro (JMAGA) 25000 3.29 (-0.11)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 5.54 (+0.76)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 22.76 (+0.35)          Olivia Cooke (OCOOK) 25000 26.18 (-0.27)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 15.75 (+2.43)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 316.28 (-0.60)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 25000 124.08 (+46.59)          Helen Mirren (HMIRR) 10000 99.61 (-0.46)          Jodie Comer (JCOME) 25000 45.95 (+0.93)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 43397 15.75 (+2.43)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 124.44 (-4.46)          Andrew Stanton (ANSTA) 25000 209.37 (-0.18)