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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.68 (-0.15)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.68 (-0.15)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 53.12 (+0.42)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 53.12 (+0.42)          Morfydd Clark (MCLAR) 8000 12.78 (+0.03)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 145665 142.16 (+0.59)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 9.66 (-0.85)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.85 (+0.03)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Sing 3 (SING3) 85130 58.54 (+2.28)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 19.89 (+0.19)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 26.34 (+3.79)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 19.89 (+0.19)          Sing 3 (SING3) 74252 58.54 (+2.28)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 50000 137.62 (-1.41)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 10000 6.54 (-0.14)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 50000 425.47 (-1.62)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 6.11 (+0.15)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 6.11 (+0.15)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 26.34 (+3.79)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 40.92 (+0.42)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 40.92 (+0.42)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 144136 72.18 (+0.24)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 40.92 (+0.42)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 425.47 (-1.62)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 425.47 (-1.62)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.85 (+0.74)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 4800 79.86 (-0.23)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.85 (+0.74)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 10000 316.68 (-0.80)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 1 72.18 (+0.24)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 58627 50.00 (0.00)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 150000 46.95 (-0.14)          Madden (MADEN) 1000 5.46 (-0.02)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.98 (-0.07)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.98 (-0.07)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 104.98 (+0.70)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 104.98 (+0.70)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 3.75 (+0.08)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 3.75 (+0.08)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 2.07 (-0.06)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 2.07 (-0.06)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 150000 233.19 (+2.50)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 50.00 (0.00)