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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 4.94 (-0.14)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 100000 47.49 (-0.38)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 38.17 (+0.95)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 4.94 (-0.14)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 315.83 (-1.25)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 315.83 (-1.25)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 25000 8.01 (-0.16)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.94 (+2.02)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 5.69 (-0.46)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 5.69 (-0.46)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.94 (+2.02)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.94 (+2.02)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 30000 7.49 (+0.18)          Amber Heard (AHEAR) 20000 95.06 (-0.20)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.94 (+2.02)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.94 (+2.02)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.94 (+2.02)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 150000 100.06 (-0.23)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 150000 167.57 (-0.48)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 3000 59.53 (+0.34)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 5.69 (-0.46)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 5.69 (-0.46)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 10000 5.69 (-0.46)          A Talent for Murder aka Switzerl (SWITZ) 150000 2.88 (-0.37)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 4417 315.83 (-1.25)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.00 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 74.07 (+0.22)          A Talent for Murder aka Switzerl (SWITZ) 150000 2.88 (-0.37)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 24.31 (-3.04)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 24.31 (-3.04)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 305.59 (+0.36)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 150000 9.49 (-0.02)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 32 315.83 (-1.25)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.86 (-0.05)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 203.51 (+0.50)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.86 (-0.05)          Adam Wingard (AWING) 25000 62.47 (+0.25)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Call (TOYS5.CA) 25000 5.44 (+0.33)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 100000 20.93 (+0.02)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 150000 31.90 (+0.16)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 5000 55.00 (0.00)