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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 10000 59.31 (+0.29)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 1 81.17 (-1.28)          Alejandro Monteverde (ALMON) 1000 48.74 (-0.68)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 12.76 (+0.97)          Alejandro Monteverde (ALMON) 1000 48.74 (-0.68)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 100000 81.17 (-1.28)          Tony (TONY) 150000 19.84 (+0.10)          Tony (TONY) 150000 19.84 (+0.10)          Nell Tiger Free (NTFRE) 3000 8.45 (-0.16)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Nell Tiger Free (NTFRE) 3000 8.45 (-0.16)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 7.69 (+0.11)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 7.69 (+0.11)          The Wizard of the Kremlin (WZKRM) 150000 2.07 (-0.05)          The Wizard of the Kremlin (WZKRM) 150000 2.07 (-0.05)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 25000 106.63 (+1.00)          Ally (ALLY) 20912 20.38 (-0.23)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 19.31 (+0.42)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 17.15 (+0.29)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 17.15 (+0.29)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25000 39.23 (+0.62)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 1 301.95 (+10.18)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25000 39.23 (+0.62)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 18.97 (+0.17)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 18.97 (+0.17)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 60.77 (+8.68)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 3.49 (+0.01)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 50000 14.95 (-0.02)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 60.77 (+8.68)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 60.77 (+8.68)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 125000 6.31 (-0.05)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 201.74 (-3.73)          Teyana Taylor (TETAY) 25000 32.22 (+1.20)          Teyana Taylor (TETAY) 25000 32.22 (+1.20)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 144.74 (+7.08)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 144.74 (+7.08)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 171.30 (+6.09)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 50000 81.17 (-1.28)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 27.62 (+1.97)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 18.25 (+1.02)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)