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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 100000 61.57 (+0.06)          Cameron Winter at Carnegie Hall (CWACH) 50000 1.12 (0.00)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 50000 7.05 (+0.01)          ABC: The Rookie: North (ROOKIN) 25000 10.66 (-0.08)          How to Rob a Bank - Opening Week (HTRAB.OW) 100000 13.40 (-0.05)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 100000 32.61 (-0.10)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 149999 5.11 (+0.51)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 150000 20.90 (+0.86)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 5.34 (+0.63)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 5.34 (+0.63)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 107.08 (+1.54)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.11 (+0.51)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.11 (+0.51)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 149999 26.73 (-0.13)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 150000 7.56 (-0.11)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.75 (+0.75)          Nico Bravo (NBRVO) 150000 49.71 (-0.55)          Nico Bravo (NBRVO) 150000 49.71 (-0.55)          Trust Me, I’m a Doctor (TMIAD) 45678 1.94 (0.00)          Grendel (GREND) 1241 9.58 (-0.01)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 1 2.45 (0.00)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 1 1.15 (0.00)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 1 5.18 (+0.55)          Slayground (OCTOB) 150000 15.45 (+0.06)          River (RIVE1) 150000 19.24 (+0.06)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 1 1.78 (0.00)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 13.59 (+0.08)          Breeder (BREDR) 150000 1.73 (-0.05)          Wildwood (WILDW) 75000 36.23 (-0.05)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 21.95 (+0.06)          Wizards! (WIZRD) 109996 0.07 (+0.06)          Wizards! (WIZRD) 6524 0.07 (+0.06)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 22.57 (+0.43)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 17216 8.75 (+0.75)          Seasons (SEASN) 150000 32.51 (+0.10)          Wizards! (WIZRD) 150000 0.07 (+0.06)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.75 (+0.75)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 7.21 (-0.19)          Wizards! (WIZRD) 150000 0.07 (+0.06)          Wizards! (WIZRD) 150000 0.07 (+0.06)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 3.71 (+0.24)          The Collaboration (COLAB) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          The Movie Teller (MVTEL) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Wizards! (WIZRD) 150000 0.07 (+0.06)          The Movie Teller (MVTEL) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          The Collaboration (COLAB) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          NBC: Newlyweds (NEWWED) 25000 8.95 (+0.03)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.75 (+0.75)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 107.08 (+1.54)          Embers (EMBER) 1000 2.00 (0.00)