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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 100000 9.13 (+0.07)          Olivia Wilde (OWILD) 25000 36.02 (-0.12)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 25000 1.18 (0.00)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 149999 2.36 (+0.49)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 47.42 (0.00)          Appofeniacs (APPOF) 149999 0.81 (+0.06)          Mason Gooding (MSGOO) 25000 53.01 (-0.16)          Mackenzie Foy (MFOY) 25000 56.98 (+0.16)          Summoner (SMONR) 150000 20.73 (+1.56)          Tony (TONY) 150000 19.29 (+0.29)          Ghost Soldier aka Archangel (ARCNG) 2869 23.71 (-0.54)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 58.53 (-0.72)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 58.53 (-0.72)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 25000 8.40 (0.00)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 150000 7.50 (-0.38)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.04 (+0.32)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 58.53 (-0.72)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 20.94 (-0.40)          Summoner (SMONR) 150000 20.73 (+1.56)          Kristen Stewart (KSTEW) 25000 2.94 (0.00)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 100 14.83 (-0.80)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 150000 2.36 (+0.49)          Kyle Gallner (KGALL) 25000 35.80 (+0.25)          It Ends (ITNDS) 50000 3.73 (+0.53)          Jennifer Hudson (JHUDS) 25000 81.64 (-0.24)          It Ends (ITNDS) 50000 3.73 (+0.53)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 44.71 (-0.14)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 99.18 (-0.09)          It Ends (ITNDS) 50000 3.73 (+0.53)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 45.18 (-0.04)          It Ends (ITNDS) 50000 3.73 (+0.53)          It Ends (ITNDS) 50000 3.73 (+0.53)          It Ends (ITNDS) 50000 3.73 (+0.53)          Elle Fanning (EFANN) 25000 38.92 (-0.03)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          La Gradiva (LGRDV) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 10.67 (-0.15)          It Ends (ITNDS) 50000 3.73 (+0.53)          Insidious: Out of the Further - (NSID6.OW) 100000 22.94 (-2.11)          David Robert Mitchell (DRMIT) 25000 19.33 (+0.19)          Destin Daniel Cretton (DDCRE) 25000 104.93 (0.00)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 5000 10.67 (-0.15)          Drifter (DRFTR) 50000 4.79 (+0.45)          Insidious: Out of the Further H$ (NSID6.PU) 25000 1.68 (+0.18)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 150000 7.50 (-0.38)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 25000 22.07 (+0.13)          Insidious: Out of the Further H$ (NSID6.PU) 25000 1.68 (+0.18)          Drifter (DRFTR) 50000 4.79 (+0.45)          Cooper Hoffman (CHOFF) 25000 12.67 (+0.10)