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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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I, Object (IOBJC) 149999 0.64 (0.00)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 5000 24.16 (-1.20)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZ2) 1 9.06 (0.00)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 1 2.92 (-0.02)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.38 (+0.31)          Battlestar Galactica (BGALA) 149999 1.70 (-0.01)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.38 (+0.31)          A Talent for Murder (SWITZ) 2078 5.80 (-0.03)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 10.04 (-0.01)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 1499 7.48 (-0.08)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 4.11 (+0.01)          Resident Evil H$40 Put (RESE8.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Resident Evil H$40 Call (RESE8.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Resident Evil - Opening Weekend (RESE8.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Star Trek (TREK4) 150000 29.16 (+1.30)          By Any Means H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CI34.PU) 25000 2.92 (0.00)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 92566 49.57 (+3.26)          Star Trek (TREK4) 150000 29.16 (+1.30)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 25000 0.65 (+0.06)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 100000 8.08 (-0.06)          NBC: Line of Fire (LINEOF) 25000 12.62 (+0.21)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 15.89 (+0.09)          Static Shock (STATC) 1 2.03 (0.00)          Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle 2 (DSIC2) 50000 90.58 (-0.30)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 1 71.62 (+0.08)          The Beloved (TBLOV) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 3937 38.77 (-0.20)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 149998 17.12 (-0.28)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 149996 17.12 (-0.28)          Runner (RUNNR) 149998 15.19 (+1.57)          It's My Time (ITSMT) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Runner (RUNNR) 149996 15.19 (+1.57)          Starman (STARM) 149996 14.70 (-0.09)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 21.95 (+0.02)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 12.14 (+0.49)          Ally (ALLY) 100000 17.97 (+0.06)          Resident Evil - Opening Weekend (RESE8.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 150000 17.69 (+1.53)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 150000 3.92 (+0.01)          A Long Winter (ALWNT) 150000 1.97 (+0.02)          Resident Evil H$40 Call (RESE8.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Closing Night (CLSNT) 20000 1.90 (-0.10)          Resident Evil - Opening Weekend (RESE8.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Resident Evil H$40 Call (RESE8.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Put (PRAC2.PU) 1 1.22 (-0.08)          A Talent for Murder (SWITZ) 150000 5.80 (-0.03)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 1 4.77 (+0.16)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 1 36.16 (+0.38)          A Statement aka Losing Earth (LERTH) 100000 7.88 (+0.02)          A Statement aka Losing Earth (LERTH) 100000 7.88 (+0.02)