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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 25000 13.46 (+1.46)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 18.49 (+0.50)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 18.49 (+0.50)          Mark Wahlberg (MWAHL) 25000 46.59 (-1.36)          Love Language (LVLNG) 150000 1.66 (+0.11)          Love Language (LVLNG) 150000 1.66 (+0.11)          Hal (HALD) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 150000 43.62 (+0.82)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 37.68 (-1.52)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 100000 43.62 (+0.82)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 500 122.26 (-2.34)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 37.68 (-1.52)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 57.45 (-4.15)          Jonah Hill (JHILL) 25000 60.09 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 57.45 (-4.15)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 46.92 (+1.71)          The Fix (HTHRN) 150000 1.83 (-0.29)          Andy Muschietti (AMUSC) 25000 167.33 (-0.50)          Andy Muschietti (AMUSC) 25000 167.33 (-0.50)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 46.92 (+1.71)          Benedict Wong (BWONG) 25000 182.20 (0.00)          Benedict Wong (BWONG) 25000 182.20 (0.00)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 25000 157.54 (+0.50)          Adrien Brody (ABROD) 25000 15.39 (+0.10)          Adrien Brody (ABROD) 25000 15.39 (+0.10)          Jonah Hill (JHILL) 25000 60.09 (0.00)          Len Wiseman (LWISE) 25000 87.32 (0.00)          Len Wiseman (LWISE) 25000 87.32 (0.00)          Mia Goth (MGOTH) 25000 53.16 (0.00)          Ice Cube (ICUBE) 25000 57.91 (-0.17)          Ice Cube (ICUBE) 25000 57.91 (-0.17)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 72496 114.69 (+0.15)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 52.10 (+1.79)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 52.10 (+1.79)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 101000 15.58 (-0.84)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 150000 37.49 (0.00)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 150000 37.49 (0.00)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 19.68 (+0.08)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 19.68 (+0.08)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 150000 41.25 (+0.05)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 8.38 (-0.05)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 8.38 (-0.05)          Hal (HALD) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 17.26 (+0.26)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 17.26 (+0.26)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 1.11 (-0.34)          Love Language (LVLNG) 150000 1.66 (+0.11)          Whalefall H$15 Put (WHALF.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Whalefall H$15 Call (WHALF.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 30.86 (-0.72)