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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 8000 4.13 (+0.10)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 150000 44.54 (-0.03)          Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 6000 4.13 (+0.10)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 40000 5.16 (+0.15)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Killing Gawker (KGAWK) 20000 9.87 (-0.05)          Horizon Zero Dawn (HRIZD) 40000 33.98 (-0.02)          Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 8000 4.13 (+0.10)          Hourman (HRMAN) 5000 10.25 (-0.06)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 8000 4.13 (+0.10)          Balls Up (BALUP) 30000 4.70 (-0.26)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 150000 137.08 (+2.07)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 150000 137.08 (+2.07)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 30000 446.06 (-10.01)          Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 6000 4.13 (+0.10)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 40.71 (+4.44)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 75000 61.41 (+1.55)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 150000 55.99 (+4.92)          Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 8000 4.13 (+0.10)          Barbie Ferreira (BFERR) 100 42.70 (-0.84)          Barbie Ferreira (BFERR) 100 42.70 (-0.84)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 149999 91.65 (+2.12)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 1000 5.78 (+1.13)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 1000 5.78 (+1.13)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 177 323.53 (+0.43)          Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 8000 4.13 (+0.10)          Luis Guzman (LGUZM) 25000 38.07 (+0.12)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 2.36 (-0.08)          Issa Rae (IRAE) 25000 149.60 (+0.33)          Blade (BLAD1) 1 27.64 (+0.10)          Blade (BLAD1) 1 27.64 (+0.10)          Glen Powell (GPOWE) 25000 94.27 (+0.50)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 150000 5.54 (-1.05)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 150000 5.54 (-1.05)          Benny Safdie (BSAFD) 25000 99.12 (0.00)          Anya Taylor-Joy (ATJOY) 25000 111.74 (+0.33)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 150000 7.01 (+0.07)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 150000 55.99 (+4.92)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 3.53 (-0.50)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 2.36 (-0.08)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 150000 7.01 (+0.07)          The Legend of Aang: The Last Air (ATLA1) 100000 16.95 (-0.05)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 40.71 (+4.44)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 150000 7.01 (+0.07)