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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Father Joe (FTJOE) 100000 5.71 (-0.29)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 20000 5.71 (-0.29)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 122575 97.42 (+0.27)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Tony (TONY) 1 16.00 (+2.30)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 1 16.34 (-1.13)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 9673 26.81 (-0.04)          One Night Only (ONTON) 1 17.01 (-1.24)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 13768 19.11 (+0.33)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 1 6.24 (-0.34)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 25000 29.59 (-0.21)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 1000 2.07 (+0.01)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 50000 29.59 (-0.21)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 450.20 (-0.49)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 34 12.57 (-0.07)          Buds (BUDS) 3000 35.86 (+0.01)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 22540 7.57 (-0.03)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Minotaur (MNTUR) 1000 0.64 (-0.01)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 5.71 (-0.29)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 20632 8.25 (+0.14)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 3.83 (-0.17)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 16178 10.76 (-0.04)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 64 17.82 (+0.15)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 3.83 (-0.17)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 26 43.01 (+0.07)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 5.71 (-0.29)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 24.96 (+1.15)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 84 93.45 (+0.21)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 24.96 (+1.15)          Spirit (SPRIT) 150000 3.08 (-0.20)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 195 40.60 (-0.14)          Spirit (SPRIT) 150000 3.08 (-0.20)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 35000 60.00 (0.00)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 97 94.42 (+1.02)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 150000 6.96 (+0.39)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 150000 6.96 (+0.39)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 3.01 (+0.32)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 3.01 (+0.32)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 1000 2.76 (-0.03)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Insidious: Out of the Further H$ (NSID6.CA) 6422 3.54 (+0.09)          River (RIVE1) 150000 1.64 (+0.22)