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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Doug Liman (DLIMA) 2000 51.33 (+0.16)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 50000 37.15 (-0.36)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 150000 37.15 (-0.36)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 25000 93.68 (-0.95)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 32.68 (+2.68)          Candice Bergen (CBERG) 1999 24.88 (+0.25)          Candice Bergen (CBERG) 2999 24.88 (+0.25)          Phoebe Waller-Bridge (PWALL) 1999 92.73 (+0.25)          Taylor Kitsch (TKITS) 999 53.42 (+0.33)          Taylor Kitsch (TKITS) 1999 53.42 (+0.33)          Jake Johnson (JMJOH) 5000 118.51 (+0.33)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 50000 96.45 (-0.93)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 32.68 (+2.68)          Michael Douglas (MDOUG) 1000 167.02 (+0.50)          Michael Douglas (MDOUG) 1000 167.02 (+0.50)          Zero A.D.: The Birth of Christ (BTLHM) 10000 35.46 (+0.42)          Andy Muschietti (AMUSC) 999 169.37 (+1.00)          Andy Muschietti (AMUSC) 1999 169.37 (+1.00)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 10000 13.77 (+0.02)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 10000 93.68 (-0.95)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 10000 93.68 (-0.95)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 76.87 (+0.25)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 10000 96.45 (-0.93)          Daniel Craig (DCRAI) 25000 74.65 (+0.75)          Daniel Craig (DCRAI) 25000 74.65 (+0.75)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 10000 96.45 (-0.93)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 30000 6.98 (-0.51)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 118.62 (-0.79)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 118.62 (-0.79)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 70000 4.49 (-0.25)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 19999 18.84 (-0.06)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 75000 32.68 (+2.68)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 50000 18.84 (-0.06)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 75000 93.68 (-0.95)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 30000 33.08 (-0.03)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 15000 33.08 (-0.03)          David Leitch (DLEIT) 25000 133.63 (-0.33)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 20000 12.57 (-0.02)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 50000 12.57 (-0.02)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 41.99 (-0.30)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 60000 16.57 (-0.02)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 41.99 (-0.30)          How to Rob a Bank - Opening Week (HTRAB.OW) 100000 12.17 (-0.05)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 100000 31.16 (-0.30)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 93.68 (-0.95)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 93.68 (-0.95)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 10000 24.24 (0.00)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 10000 221.45 (0.00)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 99999 6.40 (0.00)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 100000 6.40 (0.00)