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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Starship Troopers (STRPR) 149999 53.32 (0.00)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 20000 160.49 (0.00)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 15.83 (0.00)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 25000 229.45 (0.00)          Stuffed (STUFD) 50000 2.00 (0.00)          Butterfly Jam (BFJAM) 50000 2.00 (0.00)          I Swear (ISWEA) 50000 1.61 (0.00)          Diamond (DIAMN) 50000 8.38 (0.00)          Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 25000 43.68 (0.00)          Bobby Cannavale (BCANN) 25000 43.68 (0.00)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 20000 15.83 (0.00)          Harry Melling (HMELL) 1000 52.00 (0.00)          Ink (INK) 2000 17.48 (0.00)          Diamond (DIAMN) 50000 8.38 (0.00)          Harry Melling (HMELL) 25000 52.00 (0.00)          Stuffed (STUFD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Butterfly Jam (BFJAM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Phoebe Dynevor (PDYNE) 25000 0.23 (0.00)          Exorcist Film Directed by Mike F (TEXO2) 5000 37.02 (0.00)          Phoebe Dynevor (PDYNE) 25000 0.23 (0.00)          Jesse Plemons (JPLEM) 25000 33.86 (0.00)          Jesse Plemons (JPLEM) 25000 33.86 (0.00)          Zootopia 2 H$140 Put Wed-Sun (ZOOT2.PU) 25000 1.70 (0.00)          Diane Lane (DLANE) 25000 99.49 (0.00)          Zootopia 2 - Opening Weekend Wed (ZOOT2.OW) 100000 148.55 (0.00)          Diane Lane (DLANE) 25000 99.49 (0.00)          Stuffed (STUFD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 25000 15.52 (0.00)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 25000 15.52 (0.00)          Butterfly Jam (BFJAM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 P (5NAF2.PU) 25000 2.64 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 P (5NAF2.PU) 25000 2.64 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 C (5NAF2.CA) 25000 2.56 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 C (5NAF2.CA) 25000 2.56 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 - Open (5NAF2.OW) 50000 45.32 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 - Open (5NAF2.OW) 50000 45.32 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 - Open (5NAF2.OW) 50000 45.32 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 - Open (5NAF2.OW) 50000 45.32 (0.00)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 10000 13.70 (0.00)          Phoebe Dynevor (PDYNE) 25000 0.23 (0.00)          Phoebe Dynevor (PDYNE) 25000 0.23 (0.00)          Stuffed (STUFD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Butterfly Jam (BFJAM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Mckenna Grace (MCGRA) 25000 71.02 (0.00)          Harry Melling (HMELL) 25000 52.00 (0.00)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 100 20.47 (0.00)          Mckenna Grace (MCGRA) 25000 71.02 (0.00)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 100 19.74 (0.00)          Zootopia 2 - Opening Weekend Wed (ZOOT2.OW) 55000 148.55 (0.00)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 100 19.74 (0.00)