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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Drag (DRAG) 100000 7.04 (+0.52)          Colin Hanks (CHANK) 24879 57.53 (+0.40)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 74148 21.53 (-0.08)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 50000 33.98 (+4.24)          Scott Eastwood (SEAST) 25000 45.32 (-0.44)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 70931 64.68 (-0.16)          Johnny Knoxville (JKNOX) 24878 15.23 (+0.20)          Snoop (SNOOP) 150000 26.60 (+5.26)          Johnny Knoxville (JKNOX) 24878 15.23 (+0.20)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 106871 185.92 (-0.24)          Snoop (SNOOP) 150000 26.60 (+5.26)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 33.98 (+4.24)          Charlotte Rampling (CRAMP) 24979 50.29 (-0.83)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 33.98 (+4.24)          Breeder (BREDR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Stiletto (STLTO) 150000 3.14 (-0.11)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 121.19 (+1.45)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 19.70 (+0.17)          David Corenswet (DCORE) 25000 144.82 (+0.26)          Women On Trial (WOTRL) 150000 0.76 (-0.02)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 7.04 (+0.52)          David Corenswet (DCORE) 25000 144.82 (+0.26)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 84.09 (+0.92)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 26.11 (+0.51)          Naughty (NAUTY) 150000 28.32 (+0.79)          Colin Hanks (CHANK) 25000 57.53 (+0.40)          Colin Hanks (CHANK) 25000 57.53 (+0.40)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Open (SPID9.OW) 1 230.64 (+1.90)          Matthias Schoenaerts (MSCHO) 25000 18.32 (-2.99)          Untitled Event Film Directed By (UEFDD) 150000 67.29 (+0.17)          Killing Gawker (KGAWK) 150000 9.03 (+0.03)          Matthias Schoenaerts (MSCHO) 25000 18.32 (-2.99)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 1050 64.59 (-4.11)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 30000 33.98 (+4.24)          Not Alone (NTALN) 100 108.86 (+0.33)          Matthias Schoenaerts (MSCHO) 25000 18.32 (-2.99)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 150000 16.65 (-0.05)          The Brigands of Rattlecreek (BRGND) 50000 27.87 (-1.58)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 148.84 (-1.10)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 50 402.81 (+0.47)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 20000 33.98 (+4.24)          Breeder (BREDR) 149878 2.00 (0.00)          Naughty (NAUTY) 1200 28.32 (+0.79)          Denis Villeneuve (DVILL) 5000 138.84 (+0.73)          Donkey (DONKE) 200 121.19 (+1.45)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 490.95 (+4.30)          Breeder (BREDR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Breeder (BREDR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Tom Rhys Harries (TRHAR) 25000 22.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.CA) 25000 5.91 (+0.40)