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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Friday the 13th (FRI12) 2000 30.84 (+0.84)          Emily the Strange (EMILY) 5000 11.27 (+0.02)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 5000 3.60 (-0.03)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 37.11 (-0.83)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 37.11 (-0.83)          Cloud Girl (CLOUG) 150000 2.57 (+0.32)          River (RIVE1) 150000 20.33 (+0.41)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 22.30 (+0.66)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 22.30 (+0.66)          Wet (WET) 150000 9.83 (+0.80)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 1000 27.73 (-0.06)          Play House (PLYHS) 150000 19.27 (+0.82)          Fing! (FING) 5000 5.84 (-0.07)          The Family Disappears (TFAMD) 150000 14.04 (+0.18)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 2500 5.46 (-0.09)          Preppy (PREPY) 5000 6.33 (-0.29)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 150000 30.84 (+0.84)          Bad Influence (BNFLU) 150000 9.67 (-0.33)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 20.66 (-0.01)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 21.21 (-0.02)          Lobo (LOBO) 150000 16.93 (-0.12)          Lobo (LOBO) 150000 16.93 (-0.12)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 4500 27.69 (-0.29)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 27.69 (-0.29)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 36002 65.42 (-0.45)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 21.76 (-0.14)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 22221 21.76 (-0.14)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 37500 37.11 (-0.83)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 150000 30.84 (+0.84)          The Family Disappears (TFAMD) 50000 14.04 (+0.18)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 30997 27.69 (-0.29)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 27.69 (-0.29)          Wet (WET) 50000 9.83 (+0.80)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 50000 74.19 (-0.09)          Wet (WET) 50000 9.83 (+0.80)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 150000 30.84 (+0.84)          Wet (WET) 150000 9.83 (+0.80)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 50000 27.69 (-0.29)          Play House (PLYHS) 50000 19.27 (+0.82)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 6.78 (+0.40)          Preppy (PREPY) 150000 6.33 (-0.29)          Cloud Girl (CLOUG) 150000 2.57 (+0.32)          Focker In-Law - Opening Weekend (MPRN4.OW) 100000 52.10 (-0.20)          Hexed - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun (HEXED.OW) 100000 48.11 (-0.20)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 116782 30.84 (+0.84)          Helldivers (HELDV) 75105 106.79 (+0.06)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 7657 145.28 (+0.01)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 150000 5.46 (-0.09)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 0.89 (-0.02)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 1 22.30 (+0.66)