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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 150000 13.62 (+1.76)          Narcs (NARCS) 25000 24.54 (+0.39)          Narcs (NARCS) 25000 24.54 (+0.39)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 118932 80.00 (0.00)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 50000 4.68 (-0.90)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 110.74 (-2.32)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 110.74 (-2.32)          Fellowship (FELWS) 20000 10.20 (-0.06)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 45.50 (+0.79)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 27.39 (+3.87)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 45.50 (+0.79)          Gods Don’t Give Gifts (GDGG) 49000 1.59 (-0.07)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 149999 569.68 (-0.99)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 9.20 (+0.23)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 1000 0.75 (-0.06)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 9.31 (+1.49)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 1000 19.93 (+2.92)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Chris Rock (CROCK) 25000 18.20 (+0.20)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 150000 13.92 (-0.11)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 150000 13.92 (-0.11)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 150000 13.92 (-0.11)          Anthony Ippolito (AIPPO) 25000 40.52 (+0.33)          Anthony Ippolito (AIPPO) 25000 40.52 (+0.33)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 1 15.57 (+0.04)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 150000 77.33 (+1.00)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 150000 13.62 (+1.76)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 77.50 (+5.14)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 445 278.86 (-0.96)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 1943 9.20 (+0.23)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 49 9.20 (+0.23)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Obey (OBEY) 10000 20.40 (+0.06)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 150000 13.62 (+1.76)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 12.33 (+0.84)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 26.84 (+0.51)          The Night House (NITHS) 10000 9.87 (+0.13)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 12.33 (+0.84)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 12.33 (+0.84)          The Blood Countess (TBLDC) 50000 0.92 (-0.25)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 10000 110.74 (-2.32)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 10000 110.74 (-2.32)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 10000 110.74 (-2.32)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 5000 91.95 (-0.34)