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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Lice (LICE) 149996 5.95 (-0.19)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 3.19 (-0.65)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Put (EVLD6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 100000 100.00 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn - Opening Weekend (EVLD6.OW) 25000 20.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 1 1.43 (-0.02)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Call (EVLD6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.58 (-1.53)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 20000 65.76 (+0.08)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.58 (-1.53)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 1 1.43 (-0.02)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Put (EVLD6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.13 (+0.48)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 3.19 (-0.65)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Put (EVLD6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn - Opening Weekend (EVLD6.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.13 (+0.48)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Put (EVLD6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Call (EVLD6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Call (EVLD6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Don Cheadle (DCHEA) 25000 125.78 (-0.33)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 48.50 (-1.75)          Evil Dead Burn - Opening Weekend (EVLD6.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Put (EVLD6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 48.50 (-1.75)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Call (EVLD6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Flavia (FLAVI) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.13 (+0.48)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.13 (+0.48)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 131.97 (-1.09)          Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 100000 100.00 (0.00)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 5001 59.45 (-0.19)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 1000 100.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 131.97 (-1.09)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.58 (-1.53)          Evil Dead Burn H$20 Put (EVLD6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.58 (-1.53)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 150000 6.01 (+1.27)