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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Starman (STARM) 5000 18.42 (+1.37)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 75000 13.56 (+0.75)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 11.89 (+0.11)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 150000 8.37 (+0.62)          Starman (STARM) 150000 18.42 (+1.37)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 150000 8.37 (+0.62)          Ibelin (IBELN) 100000 5.72 (-0.02)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 20.11 (+0.05)          Runner (RUNNR) 10000 15.22 (-0.67)          Terrifier 4 (TERF4) 150000 20.35 (-0.06)          Digger (DIGER) 900 94.77 (+0.12)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 100000 31.11 (+0.20)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 8735 183.62 (-0.63)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 1000 631.46 (+0.72)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 20.11 (+0.05)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 8.07 (-0.27)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 8.07 (-0.27)          Starman (STARM) 150000 18.42 (+1.37)          Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 150000 4.63 (+0.79)          Runner - Opening Weekend (RUNNR.OW) 100000 5.93 (-0.09)          Cameron Winter at Carnegie Hall (CWACH) 150000 1.67 (-0.05)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 20.11 (+0.05)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Put (PRAC2.PU) 25000 1.83 (+0.08)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 21.22 (+0.47)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 7.94 (+0.26)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 20000 183.62 (-0.63)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 109.89 (-2.22)          La Gradiva (LGRDV) 150000 0.49 (-0.01)          Summoner (SMONR) 150000 17.70 (0.00)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 150000 8.37 (+0.62)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 100 13.56 (+0.75)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 150000 1.71 (-0.02)          Appofeniacs (APPOF) 150000 0.68 (-0.02)          Stages (STGES) 150000 8.67 (-0.05)          Starman (STARM) 15000 18.42 (+1.37)          The Deputy (DEPUT) 150000 0.80 (-0.02)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 150000 20.16 (-0.31)          Ghost Soldier aka Archangel (ARCNG) 50000 28.30 (+1.26)          Ghost Soldier aka Archangel (ARCNG) 110000 28.30 (+1.26)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 20000 109.89 (-2.22)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 20000 42.33 (-0.78)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 141.27 (+0.35)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 12.47 (+0.09)          Just Play Dead (JPDED) 150000 0.64 (-0.02)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 150000 18.20 (-0.10)          Mia Goth (MGOTH) 5000 56.05 (-0.16)          Starman (STARM) 150000 18.42 (+1.37)          Babies (BBIES) 9999 16.47 (0.00)          Starman (STARM) 15000 18.42 (+1.37)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 150000 80.31 (+0.65)