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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 64.72 (+0.03)          Viva La Madness (VLMAD) 297 19.98 (0.00)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 1 19.93 (0.00)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 21.11 (+0.08)          Tony (TONY) 150000 14.84 (+0.03)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 7.01 (+0.03)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 1000 32.24 (+0.41)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 86 67.78 (+0.09)          Jon Bernthal (JBERN) 25000 52.99 (+0.34)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 8.57 (0.00)          Werwulf (WERWU) 150000 77.74 (+0.33)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 150000 48.43 (+0.09)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 86.74 (+0.58)          Primetime (PRMTM) 7500 32.07 (+0.27)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 15 447.70 (0.00)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 25000 57.55 (+0.16)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 67.78 (+0.09)          Drifter (DRFTR) 5000 4.63 (+1.10)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 150000 31.43 (+0.13)          Jon Bernthal (JBERN) 1013 52.99 (+0.34)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 126.91 (0.00)          Prima Facie (PRMAF) 2000 1.84 (-0.16)          The Exorcist: Martyrs (TEXO2) 1 51.68 (0.00)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 3.88 (+0.02)          Onwards and Sideways (OWASW) 2000 1.92 (-0.08)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 107.18 (+0.33)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 10 8.29 (-0.35)          Jane (JANE1) 5000 11.88 (+1.50)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 32 121.24 (+0.14)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 32.07 (+0.27)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 1443 19.19 (+0.04)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 10 8.29 (-0.35)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 9459 229.78 (+1.00)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 27.08 (+0.10)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 32.07 (+0.27)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 32.07 (+0.27)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 25000 7.31 (+0.75)          Company (COMPN) 25000 9.53 (+0.94)          Drifter (DRFTR) 25000 4.63 (+1.10)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 1 5.57 (-0.07)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 20000 16.36 (+1.46)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 25000 12.71 (-0.71)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 2488 5.57 (-0.07)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 55.67 (-0.30)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 55.67 (-0.30)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 32.24 (+0.41)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 150000 179.23 (+4.22)          Not Alone (NTALN) 118 117.01 (+0.14)          Spa Weekend - Opening Weekend (SPAWK.OW) 100000 6.01 (+0.09)          Bad Blood (BDBLD) 150000 0.03 (-0.01)