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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Oasis Reunion (OASIS) 150000 15.66 (-0.34)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.67 (+0.03)          Oasis Reunion (OASIS) 150000 15.66 (-0.34)          Chum (CHUM) 150000 0.98 (-0.02)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 7500 193.43 (+0.02)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 1500 130.78 (+0.01)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 100 130.78 (+0.01)          Damian Lewis (DLEWI) 100 32.78 (0.00)          Chris O'Dowd (CODOW) 10 22.88 (0.00)          Colin Jost (CJOST) 100 33.50 (0.00)          B.J. Novak (BJNOV) 100 101.08 (0.00)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 100 27.96 (0.00)          Alicia Vikander (AVIKA) 10 4.21 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 12500 15.09 (+0.64)          Alice Eve (AEVE) 10 9.31 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 9 84.10 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 100 349.65 (0.00)          The Last Viking (TLVIK) 100 0.32 (0.00)          Rose (ROSE) 100 1.61 (0.00)          Rihanna documentary (RHANA) 100 0.92 (0.00)          Pressure (PRSUR) 100 15.53 (0.00)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 50 90.26 (0.00)          Mile End Kicks (MILEK) 700 0.51 (0.00)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 100 0.48 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 11099 104.64 (+0.02)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.67 (+0.03)          Forge (FORGE) 110 0.19 (0.00)          Cry to Heaven (CRYTH) 100 11.65 (0.00)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 100 3.96 (-0.01)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 100 27.14 (-0.03)          Backrooms (BACRM) 100 50.94 (-0.04)