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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 61.06 (+0.17)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 121.58 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 419.74 (+0.75)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 187.57 (+0.50)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 409.20 (-0.75)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 150000 16.72 (+0.61)          RuPaul (RUPAU) 25000 26.91 (+0.13)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 6.91 (-0.14)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 61.06 (+0.17)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 150000 16.72 (+0.61)          Runner (RUNNR) 75000 13.46 (+0.51)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 149999 11.66 (-0.33)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 149999 45.58 (-0.70)          River (RIVE1) 2 1.99 (+0.12)          River (RIVE1) 150000 1.99 (+0.12)          Anxious People (ANXPE) 699 9.71 (0.00)          Anxious People (ANXPE) 7999 9.71 (0.00)          Anxious People (ANXPE) 8999 9.71 (0.00)          Young Washington (YWASH) 3 29.21 (0.00)          Young Washington (YWASH) 3 29.21 (0.00)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 1 15.53 (-0.03)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 1 15.53 (-0.03)          10 Lives (10LIV) 2 1.88 (0.00)          10 Lives (10LIV) 2 1.88 (0.00)          Ally aka The Valley (ALLY) 2 20.20 (-0.01)          Ally aka The Valley (ALLY) 2 20.20 (-0.01)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 3 48.99 (-0.04)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 3 48.99 (-0.04)          Rapture (RAPTU) 2 2.07 (+0.10)          Rapture (RAPTU) 150000 2.07 (+0.10)          The Brink of War aka Reykjavik (REYKJ) 3 6.39 (+0.30)          The Brink of War aka Reykjavik (REYKJ) 3 6.39 (+0.30)          Runner (RUNNR) 3 13.46 (+0.51)          Runner (RUNNR) 3 13.46 (+0.51)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 3 8.48 (+0.49)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 3 8.48 (+0.49)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 3 20.78 (+0.54)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 3 20.78 (+0.54)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 3 6.91 (-0.14)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 3 6.91 (-0.14)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 3 5.83 (-0.14)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 3 5.83 (-0.14)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 10 3.62 (-0.22)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 3 4.88 (-0.01)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 3 4.88 (-0.01)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 1 15.83 (-0.03)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 15.83 (-0.03)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 10000 45.58 (-0.70)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 10000 45.58 (-0.70)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 3.62 (-0.22)