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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Stages (STGES) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Being Mortal (BMRTL) 150000 0.09 (+0.01)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 4.03 (+1.00)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 4.03 (+1.00)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 150000 14.60 (-1.40)          The Deputy (DEPUT) 150000 0.79 (-0.21)          Stages (STGES) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Shailene Woodley (SWOOD) 25000 13.48 (-0.26)          Stages (STGES) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 25000 54.05 (-0.92)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 150000 14.60 (-1.40)          Mutiny - Opening Weekend (MUTNY.OW) 200 8.78 (+0.19)          Pablo Schreiber (PSCHR) 25000 32.41 (-0.52)          Stages (STGES) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 3 264.99 (-2.37)          Not Alone (NTALN) 100 120.64 (-0.34)          Shiver (SHVER) 40000 97.24 (+0.14)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 50 417.23 (-0.74)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 5000 95.19 (+1.07)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 5 92.73 (-0.17)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 10 827.88 (+6.49)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 827.88 (+6.49)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 5 134.48 (+1.93)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 10 84.34 (+1.50)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 50000 40.38 (-0.23)          Donkey (DONKE) 50 144.81 (+0.22)          Christopher Nolan (CNOLA) 25000 183.31 (+0.52)          The Deputy (DEPUT) 20000 0.79 (-0.21)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 20000 27.19 (-0.09)          The Wild Robot Escapes (TWRB2) 75000 33.48 (-0.21)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 20000 76.06 (+0.04)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 136999 86.77 (-0.34)          Sophie Thatcher (STHAT) 25000 21.54 (+0.16)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 10000 100.08 (+0.92)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 5000 186.87 (+1.17)          Sophie Thatcher (STHAT) 25000 21.54 (+0.16)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 109000 257.38 (-1.11)          The Uprising (THOOD) 35000 9.23 (+0.01)          Havana Rose Liu (HRLIU) 25000 3.04 (-1.67)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 40000 34.33 (-0.09)          Havana Rose Liu (HRLIU) 25000 3.04 (-1.67)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 10000 80.57 (-0.03)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 10000 146.92 (+0.26)          Tyrese Gibson (TYGIB) 25000 101.75 (+1.00)          Tyrese Gibson (TYGIB) 25000 101.75 (+1.00)          Untitled Blair Witch Movie (TBWP4) 10000 36.66 (+0.04)          OASIS: Don't Look Back in A (OASIS) 149999 14.53 (+0.50)          Charles Melton (CMELT) 25000 46.20 (+0.24)          Charles Melton (CMELT) 25000 46.20 (+0.24)          Shiver (SHVER) 10000 97.24 (+0.14)