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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Hollow (HOLOW) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Hollow (HOLOW) 1 50.00 (0.00)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 21.07 (-0.07)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 18.30 (-0.06)          Hexed H$45 Put Wed-Sun (HEXED.PU) 600 1.77 (-0.03)          Tangled (TANGL) 24659 132.71 (-0.28)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 54.46 (-0.29)          High Side (HISID) 150000 21.74 (-0.08)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 17062 195.54 (+0.51)          High Side (HISID) 150000 21.74 (-0.08)          High Side (HISID) 150000 21.74 (-0.08)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 1000 23.08 (+1.44)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 24 4.69 (0.00)          Hollow (HOLOW) 25000 50.00 (0.00)          Above The Below (ABELW) 31000 7.56 (-0.04)          Jennifer Lawrence (JLAWR) 65 69.29 (0.00)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 145 12.96 (-0.02)          They Know (TKNOW) 4 13.02 (-0.05)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 150000 80.87 (+0.25)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 25000 20.40 (-7.58)          November 1963 (NOV63) 31000 4.09 (-0.16)          Death Stranding (DSTRN) 150000 19.02 (-0.08)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 25000 20.40 (-7.58)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 4 46.55 (+0.10)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 18.40 (-0.08)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 4 6.77 (-0.02)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 36.96 (-0.98)          The Family Disappears (TFAMD) 28 14.21 (+0.35)          Josephine (JSPHN) 31000 4.83 (-0.07)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 150000 16.81 (-0.04)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 145 4.93 (-0.01)          Airman (AIRMA) 150000 15.71 (-0.12)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 75 23.08 (+1.44)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 116.04 (+0.24)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 375 1.81 (-0.01)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 6 1.81 (-0.01)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 3 13.57 (-0.01)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 3 13.57 (-0.01)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 60.46 (-0.29)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 170.93 (-0.12)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 186 8.65 (-0.06)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 3 12.96 (-0.02)          Turpentine (TURPN) 6 6.98 (+0.03)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 141 16.81 (-0.04)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 30000 47.99 (-0.03)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 200 7.03 (-0.05)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 150 16.81 (-0.04)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 30000 110.95 (+0.69)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 20.40 (-7.58)          Urban Legend (URBN3) 15 3.69 (+0.04)