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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 68.00 (+7.11)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 11.32 (-0.67)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 11.32 (-0.67)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 11.32 (-0.67)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 6000 68.00 (+7.11)          River (RIVE1) 149999 2.06 (+0.19)          Rapture (RAPTU) 149999 2.03 (+0.06)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 150000 9.05 (+1.06)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 149999 9.90 (-0.61)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 150000 9.05 (+1.06)          Fleur (FLEUR) 149998 4.88 (-0.56)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 149998 11.32 (-0.67)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 9.80 (-0.70)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 9.80 (-0.70)          Milly Alcock (MALCO) 1000 66.44 (-0.74)          Thumb (THUM) 149999 5.07 (-0.28)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 9.80 (-0.70)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 250 420.12 (+1.13)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 9.80 (-0.70)          Beast (BEAS) 150000 1.30 (-0.01)          Normal (NORML) 150000 10.45 (-2.98)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 150000 1.37 (+0.02)          Gambino (GMBNO) 6000 9.80 (-0.70)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 1.42 (-0.01)          Love Language (LVLNG) 150000 2.26 (-0.04)          10 Lives (10LIV) 150000 1.87 (-0.01)          Voyagers (VOYGR) 150000 2.06 (-0.01)          Place to Be (PLCTB) 150000 2.45 (-0.02)          Wind River: The Next Chapter (WNRV2) 150000 2.48 (-0.01)          The Last Resort (TLRSR) 150000 3.21 (-0.02)          You, Me & Tuscany (ITLIA) 150000 19.76 (-0.69)          Bloodsport (BLDSP) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 150000 3.87 (-0.38)          Cold War 1994 (CWAR3) 149999 0.73 (-0.01)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 9.43 (-0.15)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 150000 7.85 (-0.19)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 150000 3.50 (-0.04)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 12.09 (+0.07)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 12.09 (+0.07)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 150000 3.50 (-0.04)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 150000 7.85 (-0.19)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 9.43 (-0.15)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 150000 3.87 (-0.38)          You, Me & Tuscany (ITLIA) 150000 19.76 (-0.69)          The Last Resort (TLRSR) 150000 3.21 (-0.02)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 230.69 (+1.19)          Wind River: The Next Chapter (WNRV2) 150000 2.48 (-0.01)          Place to Be (PLCTB) 150000 2.45 (-0.02)          Voyagers (VOYGR) 150000 2.06 (-0.01)          10 Lives (10LIV) 150000 1.87 (-0.01)