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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 200 38.61 (+0.03)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 200 45.28 (-0.15)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 50000 48.55 (-0.92)          Primetime (PRMTM) 3000 46.91 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 200 46.91 (0.00)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 1500 75.44 (-0.03)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 140000 48.55 (-0.92)          Josephine Baker (JSPBK) 10000 2.29 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 2000 19.59 (0.00)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 5000 11.24 (-0.91)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 3000 17.79 (-0.01)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 5000 48.55 (-0.92)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 1 17.42 (-0.67)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 1 17.42 (-0.67)          Hypno-Hustler (HYPHU) 1 3.67 (-0.01)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 100000 17.42 (-0.67)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 75000 48.55 (-0.92)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 50000 48.55 (-0.92)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 100000 17.42 (-0.67)          Primetime (PRMTM) 5000 46.91 (0.00)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 200 27.19 (0.00)          Beware Boiuna - Opening Weekend (BOUNA.OW) 1 3.38 (-0.04)          Beware Boiuna - Opening Weekend (BOUNA.OW) 1 3.38 (-0.04)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 100000 10.03 (+0.86)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 33.85 (-0.96)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 33.85 (-0.96)          Empire City (EMPCT) 100000 12.88 (+0.99)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 150000 28.97 (-0.18)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 150000 28.97 (-0.18)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 35000 10.03 (+0.86)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 50000 38.61 (+0.03)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 50000 10.03 (+0.86)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 14999 10.03 (+0.86)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 108616 56.59 (+0.10)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 6.53 (-0.48)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 70000 75.44 (-0.03)          Star Wars: Episode X (STRW1) 149999 106.88 (+1.25)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 1 48.55 (-0.92)          Invertigo (INVRT) 60621 18.59 (-0.65)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 150000 17.42 (-0.67)          Copperhead (COPRH) 315 18.91 (+1.09)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 45.28 (-0.15)          Invertigo (INVRT) 25000 18.59 (-0.65)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 1 11.24 (-0.91)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 30000 11.24 (-0.91)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 150000 48.55 (-0.92)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 336 168.16 (0.00)          Star Wars: Episode X (STRW1) 10 106.88 (+1.25)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 40 10.03 (+0.86)          Mathieu Kassovitz (MKASS) 25000 20.48 (-0.12)