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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 110000 18.22 (-1.36)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 45 21.44 (+0.02)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 50000 14.02 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 6 165.32 (+0.55)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law - Opening Weekend (MPRN4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 285 3.02 (-0.05)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 100000 92.19 (-0.78)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 50000 112.86 (-0.60)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 100 9.33 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 55 17.08 (-0.12)          Hexed - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun (HEXED.OW) 100000 45.00 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Put Wed-Sun (HEXED.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 1 49.48 (+0.26)          Hexed - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun (HEXED.OW) 100000 45.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law - Opening Weekend (MPRN4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Call Wed-Sun (HEXED.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Wager (WAGER) 1 12.12 (-0.06)          Hershey - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (HERSH.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 6 166.99 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Put Wed-Sun (HEXED.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 90000 51.27 (+0.06)          The Chosen: Crucifixion aka The (TCS61) 76 12.44 (+0.02)          The Exorcist: Martyrs (TEXO2) 16 61.15 (0.00)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 300 31.40 (+0.75)          Bedford Park (BEDFP) 2222 0.40 (+0.05)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 12 81.94 (-0.08)          Werwulf (WERWU) 150000 62.36 (-0.19)          Gatto (GATTO) 7 145.68 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 8 217.54 (+0.51)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 83 11.52 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 4008 217.54 (+0.51)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 149999 32.33 (-0.33)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 57475 18.22 (-1.36)          Tangled (TANGL) 149999 132.64 (+0.46)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 35 26.75 (-0.04)          Best Pancakes in the County (BPITC) 1 1.15 (-0.04)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 102328 141.31 (+1.99)          K-Pop: The Debut (KPOPM) 25 38.92 (-0.09)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 10935 11.10 (+0.16)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 1002 5.88 (-0.05)          Wife and Dog (WIFDG) 57 17.03 (0.00)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 1466 5.88 (-0.05)          Babies (BBIES) 55 17.14 (0.00)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 17 57.09 (-0.25)          Everytime (EVRTM) 4000 0.19 (+0.02)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 141724 141.31 (+1.99)          Preppy (PREPY) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 333 2.61 (0.00)