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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 31332 28.51 (+1.65)          The Life And Deaths Of Wilson Sh (LDOWS) 25000 4.52 (+0.83)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 46000 12.29 (-1.25)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 26000 12.29 (-1.25)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 26.86 (+1.76)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 150000 28.51 (+1.65)          Drag (DRAG) 20000 7.70 (+1.23)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 1 12.29 (-1.25)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 25000 12.29 (-1.25)          The Life And Deaths Of Wilson Sh (LDOWS) 25000 4.52 (+0.83)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 20000 27.46 (+1.70)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 23.33 (+0.21)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 14.02 (0.00)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 25000 12.29 (-1.25)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 2600 43.12 (+0.06)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 9.51 (+0.10)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Open (SPID9.OW) 100000 226.19 (+1.00)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 10500 32.62 (+0.18)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 75000 19.64 (+0.60)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 150000 62.63 (+1.05)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 25000 19.64 (+0.60)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 337.68 (-1.32)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 50000 27.46 (+1.70)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 2000 19.64 (+0.60)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 20.26 (-0.04)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 19133 26.53 (+0.91)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 20000 19.64 (+0.60)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 20000 12.29 (-1.25)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 120000 19.64 (+0.60)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 19.39 (+0.45)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 32.62 (+0.18)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 23.61 (-2.13)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 7.70 (+1.23)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 50000 62.63 (+1.05)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 23.33 (+0.21)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 148780 12.29 (-1.25)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 150000 26.53 (+0.91)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 20000 19.64 (+0.60)          The Life And Deaths Of Wilson Sh (LDOWS) 25000 4.52 (+0.83)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 3441 105.77 (+0.25)          Drag (DRAG) 25000 7.70 (+1.23)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 20000 27.46 (+1.70)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 20000 12.29 (-1.25)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 150000 28.51 (+1.65)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 0.79 (-0.04)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 2.35 (-0.04)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 337.68 (-1.32)          Two Pianos (2PINO) 150000 0.07 (+0.01)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 100000 19.64 (+0.60)          Jodie Comer (JCOME) 500 43.03 (0.00)