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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 1500 20.99 (-0.39)          Adam Shankman (ASHAN) 4000 66.09 (-0.04)          Monopoly (MONOP) 5000 10.80 (+1.95)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 133.04 (-3.24)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 2000 45.93 (-0.34)          Regina Hall (RHALL) 7500 47.46 (-0.54)          Marlon Wayans (MWAYA) 20000 36.26 (-0.22)          Please (PLESE) 1000 18.00 (0.00)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 3000 47.98 (+0.26)          Please (PLESE) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 4000 243.31 (+0.16)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 900 527.44 (+0.74)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 111.74 (-0.28)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 111.74 (-0.28)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 19.76 (+0.07)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 19.76 (+0.07)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 10000 61.13 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 5000 74.01 (-0.23)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1250 414.77 (+0.01)          It Ends (ITNDS) 10000 4.27 (+0.02)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 133.04 (-3.24)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 4000 57.25 (-0.14)          Rich Flu (RCFLU) 150000 0.02 (0.00)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 7.69 (+2.32)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 1500 316.07 (+1.29)          Monopoly (MONOP) 50000 10.80 (+1.95)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 7.69 (+2.32)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 750 392.93 (+1.55)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 133.04 (-3.24)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 20000 111.74 (-0.28)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 133.04 (-3.24)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 133.04 (-3.24)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 134977 133.04 (-3.24)          Please (PLESE) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Please (PLESE) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Reading Lolita in Tehran (RLITA) 79182 0.16 (+0.01)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 133.04 (-3.24)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 133.04 (-3.24)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 146392 133.04 (-3.24)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 10.80 (+1.95)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 111.74 (-0.28)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 146935 133.04 (-3.24)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 161 133.04 (-3.24)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 111.74 (-0.28)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 100000 260.06 (+1.02)          Please (PLESE) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Please (PLESE) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Camila Mendes (CMEND) 25000 6.59 (0.00)          Tony (TONY) 150000 20.60 (+0.06)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 70 316.07 (+1.29)