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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 13.83 (-0.19)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 5999 18.33 (+1.19)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 430.54 (-0.89)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 33499 18.33 (+1.19)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 25000 9.62 (-0.05)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 2.97 (+0.02)          Andrew Garfield (AGARF) 25000 54.88 (+0.16)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Will Forte (WFORT) 1000 13.93 (+0.50)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 308.56 (+1.50)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 3.69 (+0.07)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 1000 5.65 (-0.02)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 3.69 (+0.07)          Couture (STCHS) 150000 1.57 (+0.08)          Couture (STCHS) 150000 1.57 (+0.08)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 777 129.50 (-0.93)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 8999 18.33 (+1.19)          White Lies (WHTLI) 50000 10.00 (0.00)          Soil (SOIL) 6000 0.06 (0.00)          The Invite - Opening Wekeend (TINVT.OW) 100000 5.70 (+0.70)          The Invite (TINVT) 50000 19.60 (+0.04)          The Invite (TINVT) 50000 19.60 (+0.04)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 5555 18.33 (+1.19)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 5000 9.16 (-0.01)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 5754 307.91 (+0.20)          The Weight (THEWT) 149980 7.51 (+0.71)          Motor City (MTRCT) 1000 8.26 (+0.13)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.51 (+0.71)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Sean Penn (SPENN) 25000 20.14 (+0.12)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 90000 82.60 (-0.97)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 103.98 (-0.79)          Benicio Del Toro (BDELT) 25000 45.58 (+0.16)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 3.21 (+0.05)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 13.83 (-0.19)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 46.52 (+0.82)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 99500 82.60 (-0.97)          The Wager (WAGER) 150000 14.66 (+0.08)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 149999 5.70 (+0.40)          Home (HOME1) 150000 9.83 (+0.03)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Home (HOME1) 150000 9.83 (+0.03)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 7.81 (+0.33)