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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 37.13 (+0.17)          Mandy Moore (MMOOR) 25000 66.84 (+0.59)          Beware Boiuna aka Legend of the (BOUNA) 149998 18.90 (+1.98)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 3 4.47 (+0.86)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 4.47 (+0.86)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 150000 15.63 (-0.02)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 2.18 (-0.03)          Elon Musk Unveiled: The Tesla Ex (EMUTE) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Goblin (GBLIN) 25000 22.37 (+2.37)          Beware Boiuna aka Legend of the (BOUNA) 150000 18.90 (+1.98)          Beware Boiuna aka Legend of the (BOUNA) 150000 18.90 (+1.98)          Who's That Girl aka Madonna biop (MDONA) 150000 6.20 (-1.60)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 63.56 (+2.79)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 120000 4.47 (+0.86)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 12000 50.23 (+4.43)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 12490 50.23 (+4.43)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 133.06 (-3.06)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 12500 106.66 (-1.48)          Goblin (GBLIN) 150000 22.37 (+2.37)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 134.99 (+1.10)          Goblin (GBLIN) 150000 22.37 (+2.37)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 25000 51.47 (+0.79)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 12485 202.39 (-0.54)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 25000 51.47 (+0.79)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 183 7.07 (-0.01)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 25000 26.07 (+1.69)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 6.90 (+0.69)          A Special Relationship (ASREL) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.90 (+0.12)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 25000 64.86 (+1.34)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 119603 102.69 (+0.86)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 5.23 (+0.50)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 17.21 (+0.16)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 82.25 (+0.88)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 75000 63.56 (+2.79)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 5.23 (+0.50)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 50000 63.56 (+2.79)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 4.47 (+0.86)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 133.06 (-3.06)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 82.25 (+0.88)          Elon Musk Unveiled: The Tesla Ex (EMUTE) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 133.06 (-3.06)          Digger (DIGER) 50000 134.99 (+1.10)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 22.39 (+0.02)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 46.80 (-1.03)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 35000 63.47 (+2.18)          Beware Boiuna aka Legend of the (BOUNA) 20605 18.90 (+1.98)          Digger (DIGER) 15000 134.99 (+1.10)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 1.52 (-0.32)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 50000 430.40 (-1.10)