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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Iron Jane (IRONJ) 149999 10.50 (+0.77)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 149999 10.94 (+0.81)          River (RIVE1) 75000 14.38 (+0.97)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 150000 10.94 (+0.81)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 53 262.09 (+1.01)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 17.70 (-0.60)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 17.70 (-0.60)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25000 18.49 (-0.10)          Jo Koy (JKOY) 25000 22.37 (-0.12)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 17.70 (-0.60)          Rosalind Eleazar (RELEA) 10000 3.12 (+0.12)          You Should Be Dancing aka Untitl (BEEGE) 150000 12.11 (-0.06)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 65.92 (-0.15)          Wife and Dog (WIFDG) 149999 14.94 (+0.87)          La Bola Negra (LBNEG) 30000 3.02 (+0.01)          La Bola Negra (LBNEG) 30000 3.02 (+0.01)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 149999 10.80 (-0.07)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 17.02 (-0.39)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 64.28 (-0.45)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 0.36 (+0.02)          Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 150000 7.20 (-0.33)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 150000 10.94 (+0.81)          Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 150000 7.20 (-0.33)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 17.70 (-0.60)          Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 150000 7.20 (-0.33)          Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 150000 7.20 (-0.33)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 20000 17.93 (+0.03)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 150000 10.50 (+0.77)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 17.02 (-0.39)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 20000 17.93 (+0.03)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 17.70 (-0.60)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 20000 17.93 (+0.03)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 20000 2.76 (0.00)          Invertigo (INVRT) 25000 17.70 (-0.60)          Invertigo (INVRT) 50000 17.70 (-0.60)          Invertigo (INVRT) 25000 17.70 (-0.60)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 17.70 (-0.60)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 17.70 (-0.60)          Invertigo (INVRT) 24999 17.70 (-0.60)          Copperhead (COPRH) 145955 17.02 (-0.39)          Copperhead (COPRH) 100000 17.02 (-0.39)          King Conan (CONA2) 25000 59.83 (+0.24)          King Conan (CONA2) 25000 59.83 (+0.24)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 50000 10.94 (+0.81)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 150000 10.94 (+0.81)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 17.70 (-0.60)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 35000 9.40 (-0.48)          The Catch (TCATC) 82852 77.58 (+0.13)          Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 150000 7.20 (-0.33)          Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 150000 7.20 (-0.33)