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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Michael 2 (MJAC2) 150000 135.89 (+1.19)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 3356 65.63 (-1.63)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 150000 65.63 (-1.63)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 7387 86.57 (-0.76)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 50.69 (-0.67)          Jeff Goldblum (JGOLD) 5110 125.20 (-0.27)          Jon M. Chu (JCHU) 25000 116.06 (+0.60)          Jonathan Bailey (JBAIL) 25000 130.94 (+0.33)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150 282.94 (+1.25)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 84.47 (-0.62)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150 282.94 (+1.25)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150000 307.33 (-1.75)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 150000 363.04 (-5.99)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't (NYSM3) 100000 56.35 (-0.87)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 200 419.92 (+1.22)          Woody Harrelson (WHARR) 25000 47.38 (-0.66)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 17660 85.17 (+0.17)          Tatiana Maslany (TMASL) 25000 12.81 (-0.30)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 150000 363.04 (-5.99)          Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out M (KNIV3) 150000 1.91 (-0.29)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 5000 307.33 (-1.75)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 50.69 (-0.67)          100 Nights of Hero (100NH) 150000 8.31 (-0.28)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.33 (+0.97)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 149999 296.36 (+1.43)          Jon M. Chu (JCHU) 20225 116.06 (+0.60)          Empire City (EMPCT) 150000 20.67 (+2.67)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 10.44 (+5.06)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 2536 4.00 (0.00)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150000 307.33 (-1.75)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 86.57 (-0.76)          Michael Douglas (MDOUG) 24999 160.85 (+1.49)          Michael Douglas (MDOUG) 25000 160.85 (+1.49)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 86.57 (-0.76)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150000 307.33 (-1.75)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 150000 363.04 (-5.99)          Michael Shannon (MISHA) 25000 31.48 (-4.00)          Lizzy Caplan (LCAPL) 25000 33.89 (+0.37)          FOX: Memory of a Killer (MEMOAK) 25000 9.41 (+0.46)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 100000 80.38 (+0.35)          Jesse Eisenberg (JEISE) 25000 24.67 (+0.25)          James Badge Dale (JBDAL) 25000 3.35 (-0.10)          Isla Fisher (IFISH) 25000 28.74 (+0.50)          Shelter aka Untitled Jason Stath (SELTR) 150000 22.23 (+0.92)          Shelter aka Untitled Jason Stath (SELTR) 149999 22.23 (+0.92)          Xeno (XENO) 150000 0.05 (-0.01)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 10.44 (+5.06)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 149999 10.44 (+5.06)          Fackham Hall (FACKH) 150000 5.43 (+0.42)          Fackham Hall (FACKH) 149999 5.43 (+0.42)