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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Christmas Karma (CHKRM) 150000 1.38 (-0.04)          Mercy (MRCY1) 150000 22.44 (+0.19)          Parallel Tales (PRLLT) 150000 1.84 (+0.04)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 1 7.06 (-0.02)          Mercy (MRCY1) 1 22.44 (+0.19)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 50000 19.94 (0.00)          Arco (ARCO) 150000 2.10 (-0.08)          Josephine (JSPHN) 150000 8.92 (+0.80)          Josephine (JSPHN) 150000 8.92 (+0.80)          Clika (CLIKA) 8000 4.38 (+0.01)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 4.23 (-0.62)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 107839 5.12 (+1.19)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 18.42 (+0.13)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 18.42 (+0.13)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 10.11 (+1.34)          Shiver (SHVER) 1000 53.29 (+2.22)          The Plague (TPLAG) 8000 1.19 (0.00)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 5.12 (+1.19)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 11.14 (+0.64)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 22.68 (-0.08)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Melania (MLNIA) 4547 11.74 (-2.98)          Shiver (SHVER) 120443 53.29 (+2.22)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Monster High (MONHI) 100000 24.51 (-0.02)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 11.14 (+0.64)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 11.14 (+0.64)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 53.29 (+2.22)          Shelter (SELTR) 98999 11.14 (+0.64)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 14.47 (-0.03)          Not Without Hope (NWOHP) 119900 0.09 (-0.02)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 10000 36.93 (-0.27)          King Spawn (SPWN2) 150000 0.75 (0.00)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 10000 36.93 (-0.27)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 15.54 (+0.72)          Send Help (SENDH) 150000 45.51 (-0.22)          Send Help (SENDH) 150000 45.51 (-0.22)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 150000 8.59 (+0.08)          Melania (MLNIA) 148750 11.74 (-2.98)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 8276 22.84 (+0.69)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 100000 8.59 (+0.08)          Send Help (SENDH) 150000 45.51 (-0.22)          Send Help (SENDH) 1 45.51 (-0.22)          Teyana Taylor - One Battle after (A6STTA) 25000 9.87 (+0.20)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 200 349.29 (-0.25)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 5.71 (+0.03)          Parallel Tales (PRLLT) 150000 1.84 (+0.04)