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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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John Rambo (RAMB6) 3000 43.40 (-0.21)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 150000 41.69 (-3.07)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 150000 41.69 (-3.07)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 121.08 (+1.60)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 150000 37.17 (+3.63)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 121.08 (+1.60)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 150000 37.17 (+3.63)          By Any Means (CI34) 40000 29.62 (-0.03)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 50000 15.91 (-0.02)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 318.57 (-1.88)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 3000 198.04 (+0.19)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 318.57 (-1.88)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 3000 245.96 (-0.57)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 150000 41.69 (-3.07)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 20.60 (-0.25)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 20.60 (-0.25)          The Riders (RIDER) 37500 29.42 (+0.12)          Hexed (HEXED) 150000 123.69 (-0.93)          Donkey (DONKE) 90837 100.00 (0.00)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 144.96 (-1.38)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 264.04 (-2.38)          Wife & Dog (WIFDG) 150000 10.82 (+0.24)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 263.40 (-2.75)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 36581 490.08 (+0.31)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 3000 262.48 (-0.37)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.77 (+0.15)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 155.52 (-1.51)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 150000 41.69 (-3.07)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.77 (+0.15)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 155.52 (-1.51)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 1000 78.93 (-0.05)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 3000 327.60 (+0.34)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 9.61 (-0.17)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 100 398.87 (+0.87)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 3000 123.21 (+0.22)          Donkey (DONKE) 36000 100.00 (0.00)          The Debut (DEBUT) 150000 6.90 (-0.18)          Donkey (DONKE) 59163 100.00 (0.00)          Donkey (DONKE) 4000 100.00 (0.00)          Donkey (DONKE) 100288 100.00 (0.00)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 2.01 (+0.05)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 2.01 (+0.05)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 4000 97.91 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 163.44 (-9.61)          Affection (AFECT) 150000 0.10 (+0.02)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 163.44 (-9.61)