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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 1000 139.14 (-0.33)          Coyote vs. ACME H$15 Call (CVACM.CA) 25000 3.43 (+0.06)          OASIS: Don't Look Back in A (OASIS) 10000 14.00 (-0.08)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 100 8.10 (+0.97)          Featherwood (FTHRW) 150000 6.23 (+0.63)          Featherwood (FTHRW) 150000 6.23 (+0.63)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 52.77 (+0.21)          Ari Aster (AASTE) 25000 26.10 (-0.12)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.56 (+0.56)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 2500 168.83 (+0.41)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 93 85.43 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.56 (+0.56)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 25000 8.10 (+0.97)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 20000 17.85 (+1.36)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 25000 5.48 (-0.49)          Summoner (SMONR) 20000 18.48 (-0.88)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 25000 10.87 (-0.97)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 60000 17.85 (+1.36)          The New Simpsons Movie (SIMP2) 150000 169.86 (+0.43)          The New Simpsons Movie (SIMP2) 89263 169.86 (+0.43)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 150000 8.10 (+0.97)          Please (PLESE) 25000 17.36 (-0.03)          Octavia Spencer (OSPEN) 25000 36.27 (+0.12)          Summoner (SMONR) 150000 18.48 (-0.88)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 1000 50.88 (+0.03)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 500 82.19 (0.00)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 20000 17.85 (+1.36)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 75000 109.02 (+0.98)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 50000 43.03 (-0.22)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 1999 6.98 (-0.69)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 109.02 (+0.98)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 25000 109.02 (+0.98)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 20000 71.00 (-0.03)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.56 (+0.56)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 25000 43.03 (-0.22)          Featherwood (FTHRW) 150000 6.23 (+0.63)          By Any Means (CI34) 50000 21.67 (-0.06)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 618 109.02 (+0.98)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.56 (+0.56)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 100000 109.02 (+0.98)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.56 (+0.56)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.56 (+0.56)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 25000 5.48 (-0.49)          Summoner (SMONR) 20000 18.48 (-0.88)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 5000 109.02 (+0.98)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 30000 6.98 (-0.69)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 25000 10.87 (-0.97)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.56 (+0.56)          Pierce Brosnan (PBROS) 25000 50.69 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.56 (+0.56)