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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Obsession (OBSSN) 3 16.81 (+0.11)          Obsession (OBSSN) 3 16.81 (+0.11)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 20000 18.95 (+0.72)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 3 24.78 (+0.63)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 100000 25.59 (-0.08)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 3 24.78 (+0.63)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 3 4.79 (+0.60)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 3 4.79 (+0.60)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 15000 2.75 (+0.01)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 20.90 (-0.30)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 100000 18.09 (+0.69)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 1 21.32 (-0.12)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 150000 21.32 (-0.12)          In the Grey (NGREY) 2 14.82 (-0.17)          In the Grey (NGREY) 150000 14.82 (-0.17)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 2 5.75 (-0.42)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 5.75 (-0.42)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 149997 8.52 (+0.36)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 149997 12.02 (+0.22)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.75 (+0.01)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 149999 18.09 (+0.69)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 5000 2.75 (+0.01)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 20000 25.38 (-0.03)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.44 (+0.44)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.44 (+0.44)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.26 (+0.60)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.26 (+0.60)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 3 18.95 (+0.72)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 18.95 (+0.72)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 5000 25.38 (-0.03)          Paul McCartney: Man on the Run (MORUN) 1 1.48 (0.00)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 10000 20.90 (-0.30)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 5000 20.90 (-0.30)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 1000 162.51 (0.00)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 1000 69.53 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 23.97 (+0.01)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 23.97 (+0.01)          You, Me & Tuscany aka Italianna (ITLIA) 6 17.79 (0.00)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 18.95 (+0.72)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.27 (-0.01)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 18.95 (+0.72)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 40000 8.52 (+0.36)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 20000 8.52 (+0.36)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 10000 25.59 (-0.08)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 20000 12.02 (+0.22)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 50000 20.90 (-0.30)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 149999 18.95 (+0.72)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 18.95 (+0.72)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 50000 20.90 (-0.30)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 30000 5.75 (-0.42)