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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Karoshi (KAROS) 150000 12.88 (+0.67)          Zi (ZI) 1000 0.44 (0.00)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 1000 14.24 (-0.04)          Mouse (MOUSE) 1000 0.58 (0.00)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 150000 2.68 (-0.02)          Being Heumann (BHEUM) 1000 0.06 (+0.01)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 11.97 (-0.06)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 25000 111.93 (+0.06)          Ramayana: Rise of a Legend (RAMAY) 1000 21.02 (0.00)          Hexed (HEXED) 25000 104.29 (-0.05)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 25000 50.98 (-0.02)          The Exorcist: Martyrs (TEXO2) 20000 61.22 (-0.03)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 50000 132.88 (+0.83)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.CA) 25000 4.12 (+0.03)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 10000 132.88 (+0.83)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 150000 132.88 (+0.83)          Tony Gilroy (TGILR) 1 55.00 (0.00)          Dragon (DRAGO) 150000 6.22 (+0.52)          Karoshi (KAROS) 2500 12.88 (+0.67)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 16721 75.68 (+0.02)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 71076 132.88 (+0.83)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 95780 80.42 (-0.15)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 12.64 (-0.38)          Tessa Thompson (TTHOM) 6666 149.50 (+0.08)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 3457 289.32 (+0.01)          Dragon (DRAGO) 150000 6.22 (+0.52)          David Leitch (DLEIT) 25000 132.96 (+0.33)          Ian McKellen (IMCKE) 25000 17.21 (-0.10)          Pete Davidson (PDAVI) 25000 43.54 (+0.16)          Ti West (TWEST) 25000 19.05 (-0.10)          Giancarlo Esposito (GESPO) 25000 49.90 (+0.33)