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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Animal Fund (ZOO) 10000 21.72 (0.00)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 25000 14.11 (-0.85)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 25000 14.11 (-0.85)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 25000 17.81 (+0.83)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 25000 17.81 (+0.83)          Finding Emily aka CC: Emily (CCEML) 3000 5.42 (-0.19)          Finding Emily aka CC: Emily (CCEML) 3000 5.42 (-0.19)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 3000 6.23 (-0.23)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 3000 6.23 (-0.23)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 149999 10.17 (-0.07)          American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 23.64 (+0.73)          American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 23.64 (+0.73)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 1000 232.39 (-0.17)          Hoppers H$50 Put (HOPPR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hoppers - Opening Weekend (HOPPR.OW) 100000 50.06 (+0.06)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 149999 33.65 (+0.99)          Hoppers H$50 Call (HOPPR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Bride H$15 Put (BRIDE.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Bride H$15 Call (BRIDE.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Bride! - Opening Weekend (BRIDE.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 149999 38.95 (0.00)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 14.11 (-0.85)          Wagner Moura (WMOUR) 25000 51.95 (+0.33)          Wagner Moura (WMOUR) 25000 51.95 (+0.33)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 835 33.65 (+0.99)