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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Surgeon (SURGN) 149996 10.60 (+0.79)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 149998 10.60 (+0.79)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 1 7.32 (+0.01)          River (RIVE1) 149996 14.00 (-0.42)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 60000 19.06 (+0.17)          River (RIVE1) 149998 14.00 (-0.42)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 149998 13.34 (-0.05)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 1 3.44 (+0.03)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 149996 9.69 (-0.30)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 149998 9.69 (-0.30)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.06 (+0.06)          Invertigo (INVRT) 149996 19.27 (+0.78)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 149999 1.80 (-0.08)          Forgotten Island - Opening Weeke (FRGIS.OW) 100000 19.04 (-0.31)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 4.40 (-0.06)          Invertigo (INVRT) 149998 19.27 (+0.78)          Kristen Stewart (KSTEW) 1000 2.65 (+0.02)          Digger (DIGER) 10000 61.25 (-0.41)          Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 149996 8.48 (+0.87)          Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 149998 8.48 (+0.87)          Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 500 7.32 (+0.01)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 2 11.73 (0.00)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 35.44 (-0.37)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 150000 35.44 (-0.37)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 61.25 (-0.41)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 149998 19.06 (+0.17)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 6.03 (+0.45)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 6.03 (+0.45)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 40000 19.06 (+0.17)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 36.17 (+0.80)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 1 38.18 (+0.82)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 36.17 (+0.80)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 61.25 (-0.41)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 61.25 (-0.41)          Honeymoon/Funeral (HNYMF) 100000 8.48 (+0.87)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 50000 19.40 (-0.60)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 46.75 (-0.16)          Angelina Jolie (AJOLI) 25000 56.34 (0.00)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 150000 13.34 (-0.05)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 46.75 (-0.16)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 3.96 (-0.03)          La Gradiva (LGRDV) 2500 0.35 (-0.01)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 36.49 (-0.06)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 100000 37.01 (+0.69)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 5.25 (-0.05)          Anna Faris (AFARI) 25000 69.51 (+0.25)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 37.01 (+0.69)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Put (SOCI2.PU) 25000 2.23 (+0.23)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 75000 49.51 (-0.21)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 50000 25.67 (+0.67)