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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Scary Movie H$35 Put (SCAR6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 99 192.36 (-0.92)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe - Openin (HEMAN.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 149999 48.87 (-1.83)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 48.87 (-1.83)          Masters of the Universe - Openin (HEMAN.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 101 192.36 (-0.92)          Wildwood (WILDW) 149999 15.18 (-0.07)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 15.18 (-0.07)          Power Ballad - Opening Weekend (PWRBL.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Passenger (PSNGR) 1995 24.91 (-0.61)          Passenger (PSNGR) 7995 24.91 (-0.61)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 2000 33.41 (+0.03)          Oasis Reunion (OASIS) 149999 17.02 (+1.71)          Oasis Reunion (OASIS) 150000 17.02 (+1.71)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 1000 12.54 (-0.27)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 149999 8.13 (+0.52)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 5000 12.54 (-0.27)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 8.13 (+0.52)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 149999 17.29 (+1.08)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 17.29 (+1.08)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 2953 3.52 (-0.15)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 149999 19.88 (+1.04)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 19.88 (+1.04)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 953 3.52 (-0.15)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 100000 48.73 (+0.81)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 2500 33.41 (+0.03)          Scary Movie H$35 Put (SCAR6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Last Viking (TLVIK) 998 0.33 (+0.01)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Last Viking (TLVIK) 298 0.33 (+0.01)          Woody Harrelson (WHARR) 25000 23.11 (+0.25)          November 1963 (NOV63) 1000 6.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Put (HEMAN.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 5000 15.59 (-0.04)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Cal (HEMAN.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 7500 15.59 (-0.04)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe - Openin (HEMAN.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Power Ballad - Opening Weekend (PWRBL.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Passenger (PSNGR) 50000 24.91 (-0.61)          Steve Buscemi (SBUSC) 25000 47.39 (+0.17)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Rich Flu (RCFLU) 4000 0.34 (+0.27)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Put (HEMAN.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Cal (HEMAN.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 6.00 (0.00)