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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 5000 43.45 (+0.06)          Jon Bernthal (JBERN) 5000 50.25 (+0.05)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 1000 557.33 (+1.01)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 5000 2.60 (-0.13)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 2000 161.24 (-0.11)          Joe Carnahan (JCARN) 5043 37.87 (-0.02)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 429.99 (+0.92)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 637.01 (-1.99)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 14.43 (+0.92)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 14.43 (+0.92)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 183.61 (-1.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 75000 23.19 (+0.57)          Not Alone (NTALN) 85 115.65 (0.00)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 10.71 (+0.54)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 150000 162.61 (+1.48)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 150000 162.61 (+1.48)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 637.01 (-1.99)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 10000 10.71 (+0.54)          Chris Pratt (CPRAT) 25000 164.80 (-0.50)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 183.61 (-1.00)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 43.45 (+0.06)          One Night Only - Opening Weekend (ONTON.OW) 10000 9.02 (0.00)          Ice Cream Man - Opening Weekend (ICREM.OW) 8000 4.49 (0.00)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 10.71 (+0.54)          Star Trek (TREK4) 30000 24.37 (-0.01)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 10.71 (+0.54)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 23.19 (+0.57)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 23.19 (+0.57)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.29 (+0.78)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.29 (+0.78)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 14.43 (+0.92)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 14.43 (+0.92)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 9 183.61 (-1.00)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 64 32.12 (0.00)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 44 49.70 (0.00)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 100 8.04 (0.00)          New York Will Eat You Alive aka (ZMBRO) 4000 0.27 (0.00)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 195 8.86 (0.00)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 3 57.52 (+0.33)          Himesh Patel (HPATE) 4 66.94 (+0.25)          Trust Me, I’m a Doctor (TMIAD) 150000 2.77 (-0.06)          Trust Me, I’m a Doctor (TMIAD) 150000 2.77 (-0.06)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 5 429.99 (+0.92)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 2.60 (-0.13)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 3 275.32 (+0.15)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 37 234.79 (-0.16)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 2.60 (-0.13)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 12 20.15 (+0.17)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 6 162.61 (+1.48)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 15 14.24 (+0.17)