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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Rock Springs (ROCSP) 1834 2.00 (0.00)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 150000 6.06 (+0.14)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 150000 6.06 (+0.14)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 10000 39.84 (-0.11)          Guys and Dolls (GUYDL) 15000 21.61 (-0.06)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 6.22 (+0.77)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 6.22 (+0.77)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 15000 61.40 (-0.98)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 6.22 (+0.77)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 40.74 (-2.54)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 50000 1.84 (-0.16)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 40.74 (-2.54)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 40.74 (-2.54)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 3000 322.70 (+0.21)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 3000 35.81 (+1.45)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 10000 46.26 (+3.42)          Peaked (PEAKD) 100000 8.94 (+1.13)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.94 (+1.13)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.94 (+1.13)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.94 (+1.13)          Rock Springs (ROCSP) 1 2.00 (0.00)          Zi (ZI) 149996 2.00 (0.00)          How to Make a Killing aka Huntin (HNGTN) 150000 18.88 (+0.11)          Rock Springs (ROCSP) 149996 2.00 (0.00)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 150000 46.26 (+3.42)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 150000 46.26 (+3.42)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 5000 9.69 (+0.12)          Blade (BLAD1) 1 34.54 (-3.90)          Pillion (PILON) 10000 1.72 (0.00)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4.OW) 100000 26.83 (+1.80)          Primate (PRIMT) 6000 22.23 (+1.72)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 149999 1.84 (-0.16)          Spirit (SPRIT) 149999 3.96 (-0.04)          Rock Springs (ROCSP) 149999 2.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 28797 29.89 (-0.01)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 149995 35.81 (+1.45)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 35.81 (+1.45)          Deeper (DEPER) 1480 37.59 (-0.12)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 9.29 (+0.43)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 $120M (5NAF2.BW) 25000 9.90 (-0.11)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 150000 20.79 (-1.00)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 1050 51.73 (-0.20)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 35.81 (+1.45)          Zi (ZI) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 35.81 (+1.45)          Deeper (DEPER) 20003 37.59 (-0.12)          Rock Springs (ROCSP) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Zootopia 2 $285M Blockbuster War (ZOOT2.BW) 25000 15.12 (+0.27)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 1397 33.91 (-0.26)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 $120M (5NAF2.BW) 25000 9.90 (-0.11)