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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Fake Skating (FKSKT) 149999 19.10 (-1.49)          The Fence (TCOTG) 3000 0.06 (+0.03)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 15.40 (-0.60)          The Road Home (TRDHM) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 8000 0.44 (-0.01)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 11.31 (-0.70)          Rosebush Pruning (RPRUN) 8000 0.31 (-0.02)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 4000 0.16 (-0.01)          Horsegirls (HRSGR) 8000 0.19 (0.00)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 6000 0.09 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 10 764.59 (+1.82)          Meet the Barbarians (MTBAR) 8000 0.01 (-0.01)          The Debut (DEBUT) 103 7.76 (-0.02)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 1000 68.43 (-0.53)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 10 764.59 (+1.82)          Nickels (NCKEL) 10000 0.52 (0.00)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 59260 83.12 (+1.35)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 18.28 (+2.35)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 150000 192.49 (-0.24)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 118017 271.00 (+0.76)          Patrick Stewart (PSTEW) 25000 50.67 (-0.33)          Tom Holland (TOHOL) 25000 145.40 (+1.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 32406 192.49 (-0.24)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 2928 49.79 (-1.26)          The Dog Stars H$20 Put (DOGST.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 1 68.43 (-0.53)          The Dog Stars - Opening Weekend (DOGST.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 60.24 (-1.00)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 121.01 (+1.37)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 3.21 (-0.39)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 1000 6.22 (-0.03)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 1000 49.79 (-1.26)          Coyote vs. ACME H$15 Put (CVACM.PU) 5000 2.00 (0.00)          The Dog Stars H$20 Call (DOGST.CA) 5000 2.00 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 1000 74.48 (-4.35)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 100 764.59 (+1.82)          Corey Hawkins (CHAWK) 25000 76.93 (-1.19)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 1220 522.37 (+0.75)          Coyote vs. ACME - Opening Weeken (CVACM.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          The Dog Stars H$20 Put (DOGST.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Dog Stars - Opening Weekend (DOGST.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME - Opening Weeken (CVACM.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          The Dog Stars H$20 Put (DOGST.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 10000 49.79 (-1.26)          The Dog Stars - Opening Weekend (DOGST.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          The Dog Stars H$20 Put (DOGST.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Road Home (TRDHM) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Dog Stars H$20 Put (DOGST.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Dog Stars - Opening Weekend (DOGST.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME H$15 Put (CVACM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)