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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Breadwinner (BREDW) 8000 19.21 (-0.06)          Broadsword (BROSW) 20000 42.27 (+0.75)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 11000 66.98 (-0.13)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 50000 46.33 (+0.74)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 20000 119.26 (-0.42)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 8.56 (+0.10)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.57 (+0.57)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.57 (+0.57)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 96.76 (-0.10)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 47.67 (-0.20)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 11.30 (-0.12)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 61.00 (+2.74)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 20000 109.50 (-1.08)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 75000 25.04 (+0.62)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 7600 320.88 (+1.50)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 431.67 (-0.90)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 18.33 (+1.51)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 42000 49.49 (+0.06)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 1 6.18 (-0.01)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.57 (+0.57)          Bad Blood (BDBLD) 150000 0.14 (+0.01)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 50000 23.62 (-2.28)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 50000 23.62 (-2.28)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 10000 320.88 (+1.50)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.57 (+0.57)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 10000 60.24 (+0.06)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 40000 320.88 (+1.50)          Tony (TONY) 100 20.40 (+0.04)          Primetime (PRMTM) 100 23.26 (-0.16)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 149999 23.62 (-2.28)          The Peasant (TPSNT) 100 16.41 (+0.04)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 100 14.63 (+1.64)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 100 7.89 (-0.30)          The Best is Yet to Come (TBYTC) 100 12.59 (+0.06)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 150000 255.21 (+1.50)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 150000 255.21 (+1.50)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 62044 61.00 (+2.74)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.57 (+0.57)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 61.00 (+2.74)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 96.76 (-0.10)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 61.00 (+2.74)          The Exorcist Film Directed by Mi (TEXO2) 150000 52.24 (-0.15)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 61.00 (+2.74)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 80 74.26 (0.00)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 109.50 (-1.08)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 137.52 (-0.92)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 150000 37.87 (-0.10)          Moana (MOAN1) 100000 232.54 (+0.36)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 44.86 (+0.10)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 28.88 (+0.10)