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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 5 239.92 (+0.26)          Primetime (PRMTM) 50000 13.04 (-0.06)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 950 239.92 (+0.26)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 4.01 (+0.06)          Moana (MOAN1) 25 233.48 (-0.33)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 17.22 (-0.18)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 17.22 (-0.18)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 12.02 (+0.57)          Runner (RUNNR) 119000 13.61 (-0.04)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 100000 104.80 (+0.68)          Digger (DIGER) 10000 122.03 (-0.21)          Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty! (HCSYB) 150000 1.43 (+0.25)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 29 0.98 (0.00)          Passenger H$10 Call Fri-Mon (PSNGR.CA) 25000 1.32 (-0.12)          Obsession (OBSSN) 9000 23.19 (+0.97)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.PU) 25000 2.69 (+0.06)          It Ends (ITNDS) 43000 4.67 (+0.02)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 6 15.00 (0.00)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 71294 15.00 (0.00)          The Flood (FLOOD) 10000 70.47 (+0.33)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 40408 53.40 (+0.72)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 2.42 (+0.42)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Breadwinner H$10 Put (BREDW.PU) 25000 2.37 (+0.37)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 4.40 (+0.07)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 113713 14.14 (-0.87)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Hoppers $140M Blockbuster Warran (HOPPR.BW) 25000 11.68 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 16.34 (+0.14)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 25000 13.92 (+0.21)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100 21.28 (+1.28)          Obsession (OBSSN) 25000 23.19 (+0.97)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 25000 127.86 (-0.66)          The Breadwinner H$10 Put (BREDW.PU) 25000 2.37 (+0.37)          Fonda (FONDA) 25000 9.88 (+1.45)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 150000 83.20 (-0.58)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 45711 41.53 (+0.85)          Ike Barinholtz (IBARI) 25000 36.15 (+0.87)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 239.92 (+0.26)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          American Psycho (APSYC) 149995 18.28 (-0.06)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 4.66 (-0.25)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 149995 32.89 (-0.49)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 100000 85.16 (-1.53)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 150000 2.58 (+0.10)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 11.72 (+0.09)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)