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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 1000 48.48 (-1.76)          Chum (CHUM) 150000 0.04 (+0.02)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 149998 8.94 (0.00)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 48.48 (-1.76)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 6000 8.94 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 666 106.75 (+5.66)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 288.36 (+1.50)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 149999 7.15 (+0.59)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 149999 7.15 (+0.59)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 106.75 (+5.66)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 40000 70.80 (+2.31)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 1 5.24 (-1.90)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 59474 139.46 (+0.72)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 7.09 (-0.36)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 106.75 (+5.66)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 149999 7.09 (-0.36)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (PAEWM) 150000 0.27 (+0.03)          Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (PAEWM) 150000 0.27 (+0.03)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 10000 846.20 (-1.28)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 52.71 (+0.98)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 149999 52.71 (+0.98)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 139.46 (+0.72)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 17.32 (-1.56)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 149999 17.32 (-1.56)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 145 81.83 (+0.75)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 25000 52.92 (-0.16)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 2.04 (-0.21)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 149999 2.04 (-0.21)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 106.75 (+5.66)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 150000 5.87 (+0.43)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 38326 106.75 (+5.66)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 35567 226.72 (-0.39)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 33334 185.68 (+0.91)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 116667 3.00 (-0.10)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 149999 52.71 (+0.98)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 3334 5.24 (-1.90)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 52.71 (+0.98)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 149999 5.87 (+0.43)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 8.19 (-0.25)