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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Ramayana (RAMAY) 149999 8.00 (0.00)          Battle Of Galwan (BGALW) 149999 2.00 (0.00)          Mercy - Opening Weekend (MRCY1.OW) 100000 10.64 (+0.56)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 150000 18.92 (+0.07)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 105000 25.55 (+1.39)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 3 8.00 (0.00)          Battle Of Galwan (BGALW) 3 2.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 156.26 (+0.40)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 34.93 (+0.17)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 10000 244.49 (-0.22)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 20000 40.75 (+0.05)          Phantom Son (PHSON) 150000 10.13 (+0.34)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 91.15 (+0.11)          Phantom Son (PHSON) 150000 10.13 (+0.34)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 10001 244.49 (-0.22)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 45 34.93 (+0.17)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 12 24.73 (-0.21)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 20000 66.34 (+0.10)          One Night Only (ONTON) 8 26.13 (+0.18)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 4 421.21 (-0.33)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 4 38.81 (+0.04)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 4 39.73 (+0.07)          Moana (MOAN1) 4 213.32 (-0.19)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 19.87 (+0.04)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 4 311.11 (+1.15)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 4 365.23 (+0.50)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 4 156.26 (+0.40)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 4 55.19 (-0.04)          Passenger (PSNGR) 3 17.58 (0.00)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 4 248.26 (-0.50)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 5 39.88 (+0.16)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 aka Reve (PRAD2) 5 173.25 (-0.54)          Avatar: Fire and Ash $345M Block (AVAT3.BW) 25000 10.80 (+0.54)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 4 73.77 (+0.17)          Blade (BLAD1) 50000 28.16 (+0.13)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 4 43.93 (-0.09)          Normal (NORML) 7 18.14 (+0.08)          Kristen Wiig (KWIIG) 100 95.82 (-0.25)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 550 3.49 (-0.02)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 200 9.14 (-0.48)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 6 494.66 (-2.20)          Mercy (MRCY1) 150000 23.78 (-2.03)          Mercy (MRCY1) 150000 23.78 (-2.03)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 450 4.03 (-0.04)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 4 24.23 (+0.04)          Battle Of Galwan (BGALW) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 19.87 (+0.04)