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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Alia Shawkat (ASHAW) 25000 5.38 (-0.25)          NBC: Line of Fire (LINEOF) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 8414 268.24 (+1.47)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 10000 54.64 (-0.02)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 1806 68.30 (-0.12)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 37596 195.38 (+1.22)          Tangled (TANGL) 145652 114.97 (+0.80)          Deeper (DEPER) 1 30.09 (-0.34)          Tom Holland (TOHOL) 21519 148.62 (+0.66)          The Joy Luck Club 2 (TJLC2) 3000 4.47 (-0.01)          Deeper (DEPER) 10000 30.09 (-0.34)          Charli XCX (CXCX) 25000 4.80 (-0.10)          Metal Men (METAL) 2000 5.15 (-0.01)          Killing Gawker (KGAWK) 2000 8.51 (-0.01)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 25000 91.09 (-0.12)          Idiots (SHTHD) 25000 6.33 (-0.06)          Hypno-Hustler (HYPHU) 3000 4.16 (-0.01)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 49999 18.53 (-0.81)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 10000 18.53 (-0.81)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 2000 7.97 (-0.01)          G.I. Joe (GIJO4) 50000 32.33 (-0.06)          Insidious: Out of the Further H$ (NSID6.CA) 25000 3.86 (+0.03)          Drifter (DRFTR) 125000 3.99 (-0.36)          The Chain (CHAIN) 10000 1.08 (-0.01)          Donkey (DONKE) 9000 143.45 (+1.19)          Company (COMPN) 49999 9.05 (+0.71)          The Young People (TYPEP) 1000 11.52 (-0.02)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 186.01 (-1.34)          Nasty (NASTY) 10000 16.87 (-2.28)          The Giant's House (TGNTH) 10000 1.86 (-0.02)          Nasty (NASTY) 149999 16.87 (-2.28)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 150000 6.42 (-1.16)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 150000 6.42 (-1.16)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 7300 186.01 (-1.34)          42.6 Years (426YR) 1 14.72 (-0.51)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 1000 10.89 (-0.02)          42.6 Years (426YR) 1 14.72 (-0.51)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 1000 24.47 (-0.02)          Tangled (TANGL) 145652 114.97 (+0.80)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 1000 13.59 (-0.02)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 83440 263.20 (-0.25)          Jane (JANE1) 1000 10.27 (-0.02)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 1 10.10 (+0.38)          Home (HOME1) 2000 8.96 (-0.02)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 149986 127.57 (+5.31)          High Side (HISID) 1000 24.03 (-0.02)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 5000 6.75 (-0.03)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 112404 195.38 (+1.22)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 10000 19.74 (+0.74)          High in the Clouds (HINTC) 2000 9.61 (-0.02)