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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Mckenna Grace (MCGRA) 19943 78.57 (+0.06)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 12741 90.95 (-2.04)          Panopticon (PANOP) 150000 0.01 (-0.04)          Nobody’s Heart (NOBDH) 150000 0.03 (+0.01)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Tom and Jerry: The Forbidden Com (TMJR2) 45000 24.17 (-1.16)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 45000 66.59 (+6.59)          The Weight (THEWT) 50000 7.86 (-0.18)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 222.94 (+6.22)          Losing Clementine (LCLEM) 150000 0.01 (-0.02)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 25000 240.64 (+0.09)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 486 24.49 (+1.90)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 117000 222.94 (+6.22)          Harbinger (HARBN) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Gonzo Girl (GONZG) 150000 0.09 (-0.02)          Everest aka Mallory aka The Summ (SUMIT) 150000 0.02 (-0.02)          Dock (DOCK) 150000 0.01 (-0.02)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Attack the Block 2 (ATBL2) 150000 0.20 (-0.02)          Artist in Residence (ARTIR) 150000 0.01 (-0.03)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 50000 36.12 (-0.07)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 1 11.55 (-0.06)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 66.59 (+6.59)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 25 222.74 (-0.37)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 1 16.87 (-0.02)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 10 5.25 (-0.05)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 4.31 (+0.36)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          In the Grey (NGREY) 100 21.04 (+0.07)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 10 166.30 (+1.34)          Jonathan Bailey (JBAIL) 5 150.58 (-0.50)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 10 26.77 (-0.25)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 4.31 (+0.36)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 234 66.59 (+6.59)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 1.77 (+0.04)          Colin Hanks (CHANK) 25000 54.64 (-0.50)          Colin Hanks (CHANK) 25000 54.64 (-0.50)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Tom and Jerry: The Forbidden Com (TMJR2) 150000 24.17 (-1.16)          Tom and Jerry: The Forbidden Com (TMJR2) 150000 24.17 (-1.16)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.86 (-0.18)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.86 (-0.18)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 66.59 (+6.59)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 150000 91.93 (-0.16)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 12.89 (-0.21)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 75673 66.59 (+6.59)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)