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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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NBC: Line of Fire (LINEOF) 750 12.64 (+0.07)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 7899 29.66 (-0.03)          CBS: Eternally Yours (ETYOUR) 25000 12.62 (+0.08)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 150000 44.74 (+1.18)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 316 37.56 (-0.03)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 50001 33.23 (-0.03)          The Mummy Franchise (MUMY5) 41882 120.16 (+0.24)          CBS Cupertino (CUPERT) 500 13.74 (0.00)          CBS: Eternally Yours (ETYOUR) 5000 12.62 (+0.08)          CBS: NCIS: New York (NCISNY) 10000 13.44 (+0.02)          Patrick Schwarzenegger (PSCHW) 1000 7.03 (+0.10)          Digger (DIGER) 50000 59.16 (+0.14)          NBC: Newlyweds (NEWWED) 500 11.66 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 500 17.56 (0.00)          Everybody Digs Bill Evans (EBDBE) 1000 0.69 (0.00)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 58.84 (-2.12)          Breeder (BREDR) 250 1.84 (0.00)          Bitter Christmas (BITRC) 100 0.48 (0.00)          Goblin (GBLIN) 500 21.38 (+0.04)          Breeder (BREDR) 1000 1.84 (0.00)          Goblin (GBLIN) 500 21.38 (+0.04)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 44658 44.74 (+1.18)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 46.24 (-0.17)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 40.06 (-0.22)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 100000 93.94 (+0.08)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 19006 36.44 (+0.01)          Elizabeth Banks (EBANK) 750 48.73 (0.00)          Maude Apatow (MAPAT) 450 27.13 (0.00)          Harry Melling (HMELL) 100 48.19 (0.00)          Old Man in the Dunes (OMITD) 20 7.46 (+0.01)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 1500 1.67 (0.00)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 149999 58.84 (-2.12)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 150000 44.74 (+1.18)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 25000 10.10 (-0.46)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 25000 12.96 (+1.28)          Star Wars: Episode X (STRW1) 167 95.24 (+0.87)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 100000 44.74 (+1.18)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 100000 58.84 (-2.12)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 100000 44.74 (+1.18)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 150000 2.68 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 17.14 (0.00)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 100 9.37 (-0.51)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 150000 9.37 (-0.51)          Star Wars: Episode X (STRW1) 100 95.24 (+0.87)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.80 (-0.35)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 100 2.68 (0.00)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 5.50 (+0.59)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 5.50 (+0.59)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 18.78 (+0.51)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 18.78 (+0.51)