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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 63368 30.00 (0.00)          Home (HOME1) 150000 12.93 (-0.06)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 43919 30.00 (0.00)          Altered (ALTER) 150000 0.23 (-0.05)          Alma (ALMA) 150000 4.27 (-0.08)          Russell Crowe (RCROW) 25000 38.09 (-0.62)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 83.32 (-0.15)          Belly of the Beast (BELYB) 150000 4.48 (-0.05)          Richard E. Grant (RGRAN) 25000 14.98 (+0.59)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 999 83.32 (-0.15)          Michael Shannon (MISHA) 25000 36.23 (-0.62)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 12000 20.38 (-0.48)          John Slattery (JSLAT) 25000 71.93 (-1.25)          Silent Night, Deadly Night - Ope (SNDN.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          The Thing with Feathers (TWFTH) 3000 1.68 (-0.08)          Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out M (KNIV3) 5000 1.29 (-0.08)          Hamnet - Opening Weekend (HAMNT.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 23000 8.68 (-0.26)          I Swear (ISWEA) 56000 1.51 (-0.10)          Ella McCay - Opening Weekend (EMCAY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 36000 15.90 (-0.89)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 48000 15.90 (-0.89)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 22000 23.89 (-0.04)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 10849 23.89 (-0.04)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 150000 27.31 (+1.35)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 2347 294.19 (+5.44)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 4879 294.19 (+5.44)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 109.39 (-1.04)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 109.39 (-1.04)          Exorcist Film Directed by Mike F (TEXO2) 150000 38.33 (+1.31)          Tom Holland (TOHOL) 25000 124.19 (0.00)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't (NYSM3) 150000 56.08 (+0.60)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Tom & Jerry (TMJR2) 150000 30.09 (-0.06)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 100000 6.65 (-0.05)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 6.65 (-0.05)          Butterfly Jam (BFJAM) 150000 1.87 (-0.13)          Stuffed (STUFD) 50000 1.91 (-0.09)          Silent Night, Deadly Night - Ope (SNDN.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 150000 375.02 (-1.84)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 150000 375.02 (-1.84)          Fred Hechinger (FHECH) 25000 7.14 (+0.86)          The Dutchman (DTCHM) 150000 3.21 (+0.27)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          The Dutchman (DTCHM) 150000 3.21 (+0.27)          The Dutchman (DTCHM) 149999 3.21 (+0.27)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 C (5NAF2.CA) 25000 2.19 (-0.37)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 C (5NAF2.CA) 25000 2.19 (-0.37)