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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Monitor (MONTR) 100000 8.00 (0.00)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 100 230.67 (-0.47)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 34608 20.00 (0.00)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 0.78 (-4.82)          Backrooms H$20 Put (BACRM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Breadwinner H$10 Call (BREDW.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Backrooms H$20 Put (BACRM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Breadwinner H$10 Call (BREDW.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Breadwinner - Opening Weeken (BREDW.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Pressure - Opening Weekend (PRSUR.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          The Breadwinner H$10 Put (BREDW.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          Backrooms H$20 Put (BACRM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Backrooms H$20 Put (BACRM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Grendel (GREND) 900 10.83 (-0.12)          Obsession - Opening Weekend (OBSSN.OW) 100000 7.27 (+0.24)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 10.95 (+1.05)          Backrooms H$20 Put (BACRM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.PU) 25000 2.61 (+0.10)          Obsession - Opening Weekend (OBSSN.OW) 100000 7.27 (+0.24)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 900 17.30 (-0.25)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 100 230.67 (-0.47)          The Breadwinner H$10 Put (BREDW.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 116.01 (-0.82)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 116.01 (-0.82)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Breadwinner H$10 Put (BREDW.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          The Breadwinner H$10 Call (BREDW.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 10.95 (+1.05)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 10.95 (+1.05)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 50000 0.78 (-4.82)          Monitor (MONTR) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 150000 165.98 (+1.32)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 150000 165.98 (+1.32)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Backrooms H$20 Put (BACRM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 150000 11.50 (-0.92)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 150000 11.50 (-0.92)          The Breadwinner H$10 Call (BREDW.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          Travis Knight (TKNIG) 25000 88.09 (-0.25)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 150000 248.23 (-0.85)