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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Happy Hour (HPYHR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Sheep Detectives H$15 Put (3BAGF.PU) 1000 2.11 (0.00)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Sheep Detectives - Opening W (3BAGF.OW) 500 13.98 (+0.30)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 100000 101.52 (+1.52)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.CA) 25000 2.62 (+0.62)          Buddy (BUDDY) 1 6.05 (+2.05)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Passenger H$10 Call Fri-Mon (PSNGR.CA) 25000 2.34 (+0.34)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Buddy (BUDDY) 1 6.05 (+2.05)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 6.05 (+2.05)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 100000 101.52 (+1.52)          Christian Convery (CCONV) 25000 50.96 (+0.16)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.CA) 25000 2.62 (+0.62)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 5.04 (+0.62)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 5.04 (+0.62)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.68 (+1.20)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.CA) 25000 2.62 (+0.62)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 25000 7.11 (0.00)          Not Bloody Likely (NBLKL) 5000 0.01 (0.00)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 150000 11.81 (-0.04)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 58109 101.52 (+1.52)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 5.69 (+1.03)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 29.06 (-0.07)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 20000 0.14 (+0.11)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 20000 0.14 (+0.11)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 150000 70.54 (-0.15)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 103.50 (+0.14)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 126940 48.94 (+1.93)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 14000 0.14 (+0.11)          Alice + Freda Forever (AFREV) 150000 0.07 (+0.03)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 1000 34.65 (+0.51)          Alice + Freda Forever (AFREV) 150000 0.07 (+0.03)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 500 88.39 (+0.55)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 8.58 (-0.04)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 150000 0.14 (+0.11)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 20000 0.14 (+0.11)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 10000 0.14 (+0.11)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 150000 0.14 (+0.11)          Bunnylovr (BNYLV) 150000 0.14 (+0.11)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 5000 88.78 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 192.00 (-2.02)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 32970 101.52 (+1.52)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)