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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Keri Russell (KERUS) 100 121.77 (0.00)          White Elephant (WELEP) 100000 17.58 (+0.90)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 87.80 (-0.25)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 10 7.21 (0.00)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.91 (+0.82)          Jeffrey Wright (JWRIG) 100 74.10 (0.00)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 5.55 (+0.58)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 20.46 (+0.46)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 5.55 (+0.58)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.91 (+0.82)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 14.31 (-0.06)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 900 29.12 (-0.03)          Jim Parsons (JPARS) 50 69.58 (0.00)          Jenna Ortega (JORTE) 100 73.56 (0.00)          Jessica McNamee (JMCNA) 10 59.01 (0.00)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 5.55 (+0.58)          10 Lives (10LIV) 150000 1.91 (+0.02)          Julia Louis-Dreyfus (JLOUI) 10 96.43 (-0.25)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 6.94 (+0.56)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 20.46 (+0.46)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 5.55 (+0.58)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 150000 5.55 (+0.58)          Jaeden Martell (JALIE) 100 66.11 (-0.25)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 6.64 (-0.43)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.91 (+0.82)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.91 (+0.82)          Hiroyuki Sanada (HSANA) 40 133.33 (0.00)          Hong Chau (HCHAU) 40 28.72 (0.00)          Octet (OCTET) 15000 20.46 (+0.46)          The Flood (FLOOD) 150000 68.02 (+0.15)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 20.46 (+0.46)          David Oyelowo (DOYEL) 100 11.26 (0.00)          David Lowery (DLOWE) 100 4.95 (0.00)          Damian Lewis (DLEWI) 100 32.91 (0.00)          Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (PAEWM) 150000 0.90 (-0.10)          Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (PAEWM) 150000 0.90 (-0.10)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 20.46 (+0.46)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 20.46 (+0.46)          Constance Wu (CWU) 100 60.91 (0.00)          Chris Messina (CMESS) 100 22.62 (0.00)          Christopher McQuarrie (CMCQU) 100 151.64 (0.00)          Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (PAEWM) 150000 0.90 (-0.10)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 20.46 (+0.46)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 113 87.09 (0.00)          B.J. Novak (BJNOV) 50 99.59 (0.00)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 22.44 (+0.06)          Bryan Cranston (BCRAN) 10 67.11 (0.00)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 21.48 (+0.04)          Alicia Vikander (AVIKA) 100 4.79 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 291.38 (-1.00)