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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 42.40 (+0.20)          You, Me & Tuscany (ITLIA) 150000 22.20 (+0.02)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 76.83 (-0.51)          Scarlet (SCRLT) 150000 2.98 (+0.03)          Clika (CLIKA) 150000 4.09 (+0.12)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 120000 4.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 16774 504.74 (+0.37)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 198.10 (+1.74)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 198.10 (+1.74)          Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 150000 15.46 (-0.12)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 6.26 (+0.03)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 26.26 (-0.51)          De Noche (DNOCH) 150000 5.63 (-0.37)          Mr. Burton (BURTN) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.09 (-1.07)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25000 62.74 (-1.02)          Dolly (DOLLY) 150000 2.28 (+0.55)          Gears of War (GEARS) 150000 0.04 (+0.01)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.09 (-1.07)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.09 (-1.07)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.09 (-1.07)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 14837 3.46 (-0.15)          Dolly (DOLLY) 100074 2.28 (+0.55)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 25000 100.84 (-0.66)          Battlestar Galactica (BGALA) 150000 1.96 (+0.01)          Gillian Anderson (GANDE) 15983 21.91 (0.00)          Kate Beckinsale (KBECK) 22066 15.87 (0.00)          Felicity Jones (FJONE) 24750 12.07 (+0.09)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Hayley Atwell (HATWE) 24500 94.29 (-0.01)          Bryce Dallas Howard (BDHOW) 2 131.63 (+0.33)          Dolly (DOLLY) 150000 2.28 (+0.55)          Magic Hour (MGCHR) 150000 0.77 (-0.07)          Protector (PRTEC) 150000 2.66 (+0.78)          Protector (PRTEC) 150000 2.66 (+0.78)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 25000 50.38 (+3.66)          Smile 3 (SMIL3) 25000 22.56 (+0.04)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 1.58 (-0.14)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 68.25 (+1.08)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 68.25 (+1.08)          Rachel Weisz (RWEIS) 7628 43.93 (+0.29)          Protector (PRTEC) 150000 2.66 (+0.78)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 4.11 (-0.30)          De Noche (DNOCH) 150000 5.63 (-0.37)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 104565 148.23 (-1.91)          Protector (PRTEC) 150000 2.66 (+0.78)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 100000 4.11 (-0.30)          Focker In-Law aka Meet the Paren (MPRN4) 149900 105.51 (-0.34)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 1 4.00 (0.00)