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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Ben Foster (BFOST) 25000 1.25 (-0.04)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 25000 1.25 (-0.04)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 34.97 (+0.43)          Arena (ARENA) 149960 5.03 (+0.77)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 62751 71.27 (-2.40)          Slayground (OCTOB) 1000 14.81 (+1.52)          Backrooms 2 (BACR2) 11977 130.10 (+0.32)          Queen at Sea (QUASE) 150000 0.29 (-0.02)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 149999 34.97 (+0.43)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 41103 60.44 (+0.69)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 110246 79.17 (-0.71)          Jonathan Levine (JLEVI) 25000 45.00 (0.00)          Play House (PLYHS) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Clayface H$25 Put (CLAYF.PU) 25000 2.67 (+0.63)          Clayface - Opening Weekend (CLAYF.OW) 100000 25.44 (-2.07)          Clayface H$25 Call (CLAYF.CA) 25000 2.24 (-0.85)          Clayface H$25 Put (CLAYF.PU) 25000 2.67 (+0.63)          Manny Jacinto (MJACI) 25000 33.35 (+0.30)          Clayface - Opening Weekend (CLAYF.OW) 100000 25.44 (-2.07)          Clayface H$25 Call (CLAYF.CA) 25000 2.24 (-0.85)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 13.42 (+0.79)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 25000 1.25 (-0.04)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 25000 1.25 (-0.04)          Skyler Gisondo (SGISO) 25000 78.83 (-0.77)          Skyler Gisondo (SGISO) 25000 78.83 (-0.77)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 78.97 (-1.95)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 78.97 (-1.95)          Remain (REMAN) 150000 68.93 (+0.17)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 25000 62.57 (+1.88)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 25000 62.57 (+1.88)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 79.17 (-0.71)          Brad Pitt (BPITT) 25000 94.32 (+0.63)          Brad Pitt (BPITT) 25000 94.32 (+0.63)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 95.61 (+2.98)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 95.61 (+2.98)          Manny Jacinto (MJACI) 25000 33.35 (+0.30)          Manny Jacinto (MJACI) 25000 33.35 (+0.30)          Jo Koy (JKOY) 25000 16.07 (-0.46)          Jo Koy (JKOY) 25000 16.07 (-0.46)          Jonathan Levine (JLEVI) 25000 45.00 (0.00)          Play House (PLYHS) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 25000 62.57 (+1.88)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 25000 62.57 (+1.88)          Christopher Abbott (CABBO) 25000 22.81 (-1.00)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 1723 15.19 (-0.03)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 1 6.28 (-0.08)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 25000 6.28 (-0.08)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 24999 78.97 (-1.95)          Ralph Ineson (RINES) 25000 86.85 (-0.49)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 616 8.71 (+0.01)