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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 150000 77.17 (+1.03)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 19999 253.03 (+0.09)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 24999 43.74 (+0.20)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 19999 38.59 (-0.01)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 125000 20.43 (-0.02)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 1 6.19 (-0.14)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 20000 77.17 (+1.03)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 125000 12.98 (+0.05)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 125000 22.88 (+0.05)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 24999 15.83 (0.00)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 24999 4.37 (0.00)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 125000 5.82 (+0.03)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 100000 4.15 (-0.07)          Peddi (PEDDI) 1 2.33 (0.00)          Peddi (PEDDI) 1 2.33 (0.00)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 1 48.67 (-0.53)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 1 48.67 (-0.53)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 1 8.65 (-0.02)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.65 (-0.02)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 1 19.92 (+0.63)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 1 19.92 (+0.63)          Monitor (MONTR) 1 8.32 (+0.01)          Monitor (MONTR) 1 8.32 (+0.01)          November 1963 (NOV63) 1 5.58 (-0.18)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 5.58 (-0.18)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 1 6.79 (-0.13)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 1 6.79 (-0.13)          Archangel aka Price of Freedom a (ARCNG) 1 16.13 (+0.06)          Archangel aka Price of Freedom a (ARCNG) 150000 16.13 (+0.06)          Oasis Reunion (OASIS) 1 16.07 (+0.78)          Oasis Reunion (OASIS) 1 16.07 (+0.78)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 1 15.62 (-0.03)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 25000 15.62 (-0.03)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 1 221.98 (+0.28)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 85000 221.98 (+0.28)          Fleur (FLEUR) 1 7.45 (-0.05)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 7.45 (-0.05)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 150000 77.17 (+1.03)          O Horizon (OHORZ) 150000 0.69 (-0.02)          42.6 Years (426YR) 1 6.17 (+0.14)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 100 84.03 (-0.09)          Nicholas Galitzine (NGALI) 500 11.69 (0.00)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 150000 77.17 (+1.03)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 25000 100.90 (+0.05)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 528 30.07 (0.00)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10000 148.09 (+0.34)          November 1963 (NOV63) 149999 5.58 (-0.18)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 4000 81.82 (-0.09)          Obsession (OBSSN) 49687 59.41 (+0.30)          Fjord (FJORD) 120000 3.50 (-0.29)