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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Tim Blake Nelson (TBNEL) 25000 41.46 (+0.66)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 81.34 (-2.42)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 146.48 (-3.94)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 146.48 (-3.94)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 64.33 (+1.52)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 6.19 (+1.19)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 6.19 (+1.19)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 150000 2.36 (+0.14)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 6.22 (-0.08)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Donkey (DONKE) 10000 111.98 (+1.78)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 20000 6.19 (+1.19)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 150000 87.95 (+1.09)          Ron Howard (RHOWA) 100 50.23 (-0.16)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 77.81 (-0.98)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 79777 136.72 (-2.72)          Ron Howard (RHOWA) 100 50.23 (-0.16)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 113542 467.89 (-0.84)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 30.27 (+0.31)          Death Stranding (DSTRN) 91568 20.60 (+0.05)          Moana (MOAN1) 116386 146.48 (-3.94)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 50.39 (+0.28)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 77.81 (-0.98)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 77.81 (-0.98)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 146.48 (-3.94)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 11.54 (+0.07)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 19339 316.89 (-1.62)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 1000 18.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 8.75 (+0.15)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 6.19 (+1.19)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 4000 106.94 (+0.63)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 10000 162.35 (-1.40)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 3000 57.09 (+0.31)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 4000 398.93 (+1.72)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 6.19 (+1.19)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 3000 21.36 (+0.18)          Ice Fall (ICFAL) 150000 1.71 (-0.02)          Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle 2 (DSIC2) 3000 99.40 (-0.16)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 4000 68.86 (+0.64)          Johnny Knoxville (JKNOX) 25000 14.53 (-0.20)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 10000 162.35 (-1.40)          Johnny Knoxville (JKNOX) 25000 14.53 (-0.20)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 50000 146.48 (-3.94)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 3000 56.84 (+0.30)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 3000 115.53 (+0.25)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 3000 184.62 (-0.23)