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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 5000 142.72 (+3.40)          Hershey (HERSH) 100 10.58 (-0.57)          Stalemate (STALM) 149999 1.90 (-0.10)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 149999 20.67 (-4.46)          Preppy (PREPY) 149999 6.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law - Opening Weekend (MPRN4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 15000 76.35 (+2.43)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 16.91 (-0.29)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 16.91 (-0.29)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 32.18 (-0.48)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 32.18 (-0.48)          Savage Hunters aka Deathstroke & (DSTRK) 12500 39.12 (-0.44)          Scandalous (SCAND) 10000 4.92 (-0.09)          The Debut (DEBUT) 150000 10.08 (+0.11)          The Debut (DEBUT) 150000 10.08 (+0.11)          Balestra (BALES) 150000 0.05 (+0.04)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 10000 38.42 (+0.35)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Trashers (TRSHR) 150000 0.02 (-0.01)          Hexed H$45 Put Wed-Sun (HEXED.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 18000 116.47 (-0.02)          Constantine (CNST2) 20000 32.50 (+0.66)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 42000 24.41 (-0.26)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 10.58 (-0.57)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 1 17.79 (-1.79)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 17.79 (-1.79)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 149000 20.67 (-4.46)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 33.20 (-1.16)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 33.20 (-1.16)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 20.67 (-4.46)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 17.79 (-1.79)          Focker In-Law - Opening Weekend (MPRN4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 17.79 (-1.79)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 2 706.12 (+2.31)          Hexed H$45 Put Wed-Sun (HEXED.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun (HEXED.OW) 100000 45.00 (0.00)          Ramayana: Rise of a Legend (RAMAY) 200 24.96 (+1.88)          Hexed H$45 Call Wed-Sun (HEXED.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed (HEXED) 1 101.61 (-0.92)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 121000 31.50 (+0.81)          Hexed (HEXED) 150000 101.61 (-0.92)          Focker In-Law - Opening Weekend (MPRN4.OW) 85000 50.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 68000 706.12 (+2.31)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 63.50 (-1.05)          Focker In-Law - Opening Weekend (MPRN4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Hershey - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (HERSH.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)