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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Monitor (MONTR) 150000 7.29 (-0.71)          White Elephant (WELEP) 20000 17.12 (+0.94)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 25000 5.58 (+0.91)          Fonda (FONDA) 20000 9.27 (+0.84)          Octet (OCTET) 20000 21.59 (+0.75)          Monitor (MONTR) 1 7.29 (-0.71)          Monitor (MONTR) 25000 7.29 (-0.71)          Gundam (GUNDM) 5000 12.05 (0.00)          Chris O'Dowd (CODOW) 25000 23.13 (0.00)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 409 150.51 (+0.65)          The Flood (FLOOD) 197 70.23 (+0.09)          Jayme Lawson (JLAWS) 25000 75.80 (+1.29)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 50000 223.21 (+0.16)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 21.59 (+0.75)          Pressure (PRSUR) 149996 16.76 (+0.26)          Wildwood (WILDW) 149999 11.45 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 149997 11.45 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 3 193.97 (-0.33)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 8.55 (-0.07)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 149997 8.55 (-0.07)          King Snake (KSNAK) 1 15.34 (+0.62)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 21.59 (+0.75)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 150000 2.91 (-0.03)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 149997 2.91 (-0.03)          Fing! (FING) 3 5.03 (0.00)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 1 4.69 (-0.22)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 150000 14.31 (-0.70)          Monitor (MONTR) 150000 7.29 (-0.71)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 4.69 (-0.22)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 1 4.69 (-0.22)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 25000 4.69 (-0.22)          Obsession - Opening Weekend (OBSSN.OW) 100000 7.43 (+0.13)          Monitor (MONTR) 25000 7.29 (-0.71)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 53 262.93 (0.00)          Fonda (FONDA) 500 9.27 (+0.84)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 500 5.58 (+0.91)          Scandalous (SCAND) 500 6.27 (-0.02)          Monitor (MONTR) 150000 7.29 (-0.71)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 40000 326.85 (-0.05)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.PU) 25000 2.65 (+0.02)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 25000 4.69 (-0.22)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 100000 103.94 (-0.18)          Monitor (MONTR) 25000 7.29 (-0.71)          The Breadwinner H$10 Put (BREDW.PU) 25000 2.15 (+0.15)          The Breadwinner H$10 Put (BREDW.PU) 25000 2.15 (+0.15)          The Breadwinner H$10 Call (BREDW.CA) 25000 1.89 (-0.11)          The Breadwinner - Opening Weeken (BREDW.OW) 100000 9.79 (-0.21)          Pressure - Opening Weekend (PRSUR.OW) 100000 4.83 (-0.17)          Backrooms H$20 Put (BACRM.PU) 25000 1.98 (-0.02)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 2.24 (+0.24)