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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Sean Bean (SBEAN) 25000 1.81 (-0.05)          Danai Gurira (DGURI) 25000 205.99 (0.00)          Spider-Woman (SPDWM) 150000 16.78 (+0.08)          Sean Bean (SBEAN) 25000 1.81 (-0.05)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 150000 550.24 (+2.38)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 150000 550.24 (+2.38)          Mackenzie Foy (MFOY) 25000 56.67 (-0.33)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 12.51 (-0.06)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 12.51 (-0.06)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 87102 565.39 (+21.48)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 17.52 (+0.05)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 17.52 (+0.05)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 22.43 (+0.11)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 22.43 (+0.11)          Atonement (ATONM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 38.53 (+0.22)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 38.53 (+0.22)          Tony (TONY) 150000 17.14 (-0.51)          Tony (TONY) 150000 17.14 (-0.51)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 3 24.43 (+0.10)          Naughty (NAUTY) 150000 33.45 (+0.13)          City on Fire (CTOFR) 150000 9.36 (0.00)          Naughty (NAUTY) 150000 33.45 (+0.13)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 50000 565.39 (+21.48)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 150000 31.94 (+0.10)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 150000 31.94 (+0.10)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 8.99 (+0.42)          The Unknown (TUNKN) 150000 1.73 (-0.27)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 150000 1.86 (-0.14)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 41.16 (+0.65)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 149997 41.16 (+0.65)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 150000 8.64 (+0.35)          Tangled (TANGL) 25 101.40 (+0.23)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1 565.39 (+21.48)          Monitor (MONTR) 1 11.57 (+0.10)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 1 20.72 (-0.04)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1 565.39 (+21.48)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 1 38.53 (+0.22)          One Night Only - Opening Weekend (ONTON.OW) 100000 8.92 (-0.12)          Diego Luna (DLUNA) 25000 29.91 (0.00)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 41.16 (+0.65)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 25 177.20 (+1.46)          Super Troopers 3 - Opening Weeke (STRO3.OW) 100000 13.03 (+0.43)          Joe Pantoliano (JPANT) 25000 82.33 (-0.25)          Blade (BLAD1) 149975 17.67 (-1.01)          Coward (COWRD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Atonement (ATONM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Highlander (HIGHL) 83544 45.98 (-0.01)          Naruto (NARUT) 150000 23.30 (+0.52)          Woody Harrelson (WHARR) 24999 26.17 (+0.12)