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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 60000 4.00 (0.00)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 6666 4.00 (0.00)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 1 26.35 (0.00)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 490 373.30 (-1.05)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 500 373.30 (-1.05)          Astaire (ASTAI) 150000 6.09 (-0.01)          She Dances (SDANC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          She Dances (SDANC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Paul Mescal (PMESC) 18052 36.09 (+0.09)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 10000 10.25 (-0.80)          Paul Mescal (PMESC) 25000 36.09 (+0.09)          She Dances (SDANC) 9089 2.00 (0.00)          She Dances (SDANC) 149999 2.00 (0.00)          She Dances (SDANC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 1000 4.00 (0.00)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 2946 296.26 (-2.20)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 150000 1.74 (-0.26)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 45.72 (+5.72)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 45.72 (+5.72)          She Dances (SDANC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 45.72 (+5.72)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 150000 30.76 (+2.08)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 150000 30.76 (+2.08)          Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out M (KNIV3) 150000 1.84 (+0.61)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 8 296.26 (-2.20)          Exorcist Film Directed by Mike F (TEXO2) 109274 37.28 (-0.31)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 8888 30.76 (+2.08)          Dark Slides aka Polaris (POLRS) 10000 0.01 (-0.01)          Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out M (KNIV3) 150000 1.84 (+0.61)          Nuremberg (NUREM) 149000 11.95 (+0.15)          She Dances (SDANC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 74 160.21 (-0.34)          She Dances (SDANC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          She Dances (SDANC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Thing with Feathers (TWFTH) 150000 1.57 (-0.08)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 36.19 (+0.10)          Whalefall (WHALF) 149999 32.80 (-0.16)          Charlie the Wonderdog (CWDOG) 150000 3.72 (-0.32)          Steve Zahn (SZAHN) 25000 29.02 (-0.24)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 100000 45.72 (+5.72)          She Dances (SDANC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)