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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 4.00 (-0.13)          Alexander Skarsgard (ASKAR) 25000 10.17 (-0.30)          Wicker (WCKER) 149999 5.44 (+0.52)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Call (TOYS5.CA) 25000 7.95 (+0.26)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 888 144.02 (+5.29)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 7777 144.02 (+5.29)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 15.08 (-0.01)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 303 420.49 (+2.43)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 15.08 (-0.01)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 63.79 (+0.84)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 63.79 (+0.84)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 6559 10.00 (0.00)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.90 (-0.13)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 27 50.33 (-0.16)          Sandra Bullock (SBULL) 12 108.52 (0.00)          Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 24 56.67 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 16.60 (-0.42)          Samantha Morton (SMORT) 11447 72.18 (+0.14)          Sam Rockwell (SROCK) 21266 52.84 (0.00)          Sam Raimi (SRAIM) 6537 171.90 (0.00)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.88 (-0.02)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.88 (-0.02)          The Comedy Hour (COMDH) 49999 2.49 (-0.01)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.63 (-0.37)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.63 (-0.37)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 1149 144.02 (+5.29)          Sam Neill (SNEIL) 11247 99.80 (-0.11)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.29 (-0.95)          Sam Mendes (SMEND) 6565 128.40 (-0.42)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.29 (-0.95)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 11.87 (-0.04)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 11.87 (-0.04)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.54 (+0.26)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.54 (+0.26)          Salma Hayek Pinault (SHAYE) 14488 79.13 (-0.39)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 16999 117.97 (+1.01)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 16999 117.97 (+1.01)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 149998 29.08 (+1.57)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 276 144.02 (+5.29)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 149996 29.08 (+1.57)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 48385 10.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 237.26 (-1.40)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.63 (-0.37)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 8133 55.29 (-0.95)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.54 (+0.54)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 10.50 (+0.50)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.75 (+0.75)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 76.88 (+1.88)