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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Robert Downey Jr. (RDOWN) 3216 226.98 (-0.06)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 140000 82.57 (+0.27)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 140000 199.86 (-2.67)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 3 86.61 (+0.18)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 3 86.61 (+0.18)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 3 47.78 (+0.66)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 47.78 (+0.66)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 150000 12.15 (-0.24)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 150000 12.15 (-0.24)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 150000 82.57 (+0.27)          O Horizon (OHORZ) 150000 0.53 (-0.02)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 49 149.08 (-0.01)          Signal One (SGNL1) 150000 0.73 (-0.01)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 10000 12.15 (-0.24)          November 1963 (NOV63) 30000 5.82 (+0.80)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 3.50 (+0.03)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Put (HEMAN.PU) 25000 3.40 (0.00)          Look Back (LKBAC) 150000 1.56 (-0.01)          Chum (CHUM) 150000 1.32 (-0.01)          Oasis Reunion (OASIS) 10000 15.61 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 5.21 (+0.21)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 5.82 (+0.80)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 6.25 (+0.29)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 1 199.86 (-2.67)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 80001 199.86 (-2.67)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 4 8.39 (-0.02)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 50 2.77 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 189 224.97 (-0.08)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 3 37.37 (-0.03)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 3 47.74 (+0.05)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 170 10.90 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 950 241.39 (0.00)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 150000 12.15 (-0.24)          Moana (MOAN1) 15 236.91 (0.00)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 15 82.57 (+0.27)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 149999 47.78 (+0.66)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 5.82 (+0.80)          Sterling K. Brown (SKBRO) 25000 49.24 (-0.16)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 5.82 (+0.80)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 5.21 (+0.21)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 5.82 (+0.80)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 150000 5.40 (-0.18)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 86.54 (-0.83)          Fjord (FJORD) 150000 4.98 (+0.44)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 199.86 (-2.67)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 6.70 (-0.28)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 199.86 (-2.67)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 150000 92.55 (-0.58)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 7.60 (-0.23)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 7.60 (-0.23)