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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 7699 113.59 (-0.01)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 150000 18.02 (-0.38)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 11.31 (0.00)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 22.28 (+0.70)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 6.02 (-0.30)          Not Alone (NTALN) 149999 128.54 (-0.85)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 150000 5.58 (-0.36)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 77.36 (-0.08)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 20.99 (+0.75)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 77.36 (-0.08)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 150000 137.27 (+0.46)          Cloud Girl (CLOUG) 150000 2.31 (+0.21)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 22.28 (+0.70)          F.A.S.T. (FAST) 150000 46.36 (-0.15)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 57.41 (-0.20)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 113704 39.08 (+0.74)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 57.57 (-0.20)          Perfect (PFECT) 150000 0.05 (+0.01)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 13.38 (+1.14)          Winter of the Crow (WOTCR) 150000 0.15 (+0.02)          The Beloved (TBLOV) 150000 0.27 (+0.04)          The Beloved (TBLOV) 150000 0.27 (+0.04)          I Heart Murder (IHMUR) 150000 0.19 (+0.02)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 2 129.83 (-0.11)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 53 113.59 (-0.01)          How to Rob a Bank - Opening Week (HTRAB.OW) 2000 10.94 (0.00)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 2000 28.21 (0.00)          Not Alone (NTALN) 2 128.54 (-0.85)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 5000 9.32 (+0.23)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 2 278.33 (-1.50)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 20.87 (+0.03)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 21.60 (-0.03)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 10000 13.22 (-0.36)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 20.87 (+0.03)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 20.87 (+0.03)          I Play Rocky - Opening Weekend (IPROC.OW) 100000 15.14 (-0.05)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 1009 79.51 (+0.01)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 150000 68.89 (-0.40)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 150000 68.89 (-0.40)          I Play Rocky H$15 Call (IPROC.CA) 25000 2.37 (-0.02)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 4610 81.63 (0.00)          Clayface (CLAYF) 149995 65.02 (+0.19)          Swamp Thing (SWAMP) 150000 16.64 (+0.84)          The Hole (THHOL) 75000 6.77 (+0.48)          They Know (TKNOW) 75000 13.38 (+1.14)          How to Rob a Bank H$15 Call (HTRAB.CA) 24999 0.87 (+0.03)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 21.60 (-0.03)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 149999 28.17 (-0.13)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 29349 20.99 (+0.75)          Drag (DRAG) 149999 6.02 (-0.30)