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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Rescue (RSCUE) 8275 27.91 (+0.08)          Amy Adams (AMADA) 25000 72.00 (-1.31)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 14.01 (+0.58)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 3000 272.84 (-0.51)          Max Minghella (MMING) 25000 19.11 (+0.90)          Eddie Marsan (EMARS) 25000 10.48 (+0.90)          Oceans (OCEN5) 3000 78.55 (+0.52)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law - Opening Weekend (MPRN4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Put Wed-Sun (HEXED.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 100000 97.97 (+0.98)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 442 18.78 (+0.04)          Hexed - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun (HEXED.OW) 100000 45.00 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Call Wed-Sun (HEXED.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hershey - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (HERSH.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Preppy (PREPY) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          How to Rob a Bank - Opening Week (HTRAB.OW) 100000 10.57 (-0.43)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 33.40 (-0.96)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 76.42 (-2.18)          Hexed - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun (HEXED.OW) 100000 45.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 64.14 (-0.41)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 74.00 (-1.28)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 74.00 (-1.28)          Constantine (CNST2) 150000 32.30 (+0.46)          Olivia Cooke (OCOOK) 20000 12.87 (-1.39)          Olivia Cooke (OCOOK) 25000 12.87 (-1.39)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 25000 22.62 (+1.25)          Constantine (CNST2) 150000 32.30 (+0.46)          Constantine (CNST2) 150000 32.30 (+0.46)          Iron Boy (IRONB) 150000 1.38 (+0.11)          Mahershala Ali (MALI) 20000 154.59 (-1.34)          Mahershala Ali (MALI) 25000 154.59 (-1.34)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law - Opening Weekend (MPRN4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ebenezer H$35 Put (EBNZR.PU) 25000 5.58 (+0.20)          Hexed H$45 Put Wed-Sun (HEXED.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun (HEXED.OW) 100000 45.00 (0.00)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 100000 25.53 (-0.40)          Hexed H$45 Call Wed-Sun (HEXED.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hershey - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (HERSH.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          How to Rob a Bank H$15 Call (HTRAB.CA) 25000 0.60 (-0.08)          Star Wars: Episode X (STRW1) 150000 123.94 (+0.88)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 150000 23.46 (-0.01)          Ebenezer H$35 Call (EBNZR.CA) 25000 0.11 (+0.06)          Amy Adams (AMADA) 25000 72.00 (-1.31)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 5000 2.00 (0.00)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 75.36 (+1.44)