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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Takashi Yamazaki (TYAMA) 25000 47.64 (0.00)          Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 18334 13.17 (-0.03)          Whalefall (WHALF) 100000 20.63 (-3.11)          Summoner (SMONR) 40000 15.48 (+1.23)          Whalefall (WHALF) 54618 20.63 (-3.11)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 150000 158.70 (+0.33)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 50000 5.49 (+0.84)          Sacrifice (SCRIF) 150000 1.89 (-0.31)          Summoner (SMONR) 50000 15.48 (+1.23)          Summoner (SMONR) 99999 15.48 (+1.23)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 50000 5.49 (+0.84)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 99999 5.49 (+0.84)          Summoner (SMONR) 100000 15.48 (+1.23)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 2835 22.04 (+5.88)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 100000 5.49 (+0.84)          Wet (WET) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 110.03 (-0.54)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 110.03 (-0.54)          The Julia Set (TJULS) 150000 2.26 (+0.60)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 77.56 (-2.36)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 77.56 (-2.36)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 7.52 (-0.48)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 24755 21.19 (+0.71)          Wet (WET) 3 6.00 (0.00)          Playmates (PLYMT) 149997 7.52 (-0.48)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 26.37 (-1.17)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 26.37 (-1.17)          Wet (WET) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 21.94 (+0.05)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 72.38 (-2.08)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 26.39 (-0.19)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 25000 22.04 (+5.88)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 26.39 (-0.19)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 25000 22.04 (+5.88)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 26.39 (-0.19)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 100000 22.04 (+5.88)          Wet (WET) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          April X (APRLX) 150000 0.66 (+0.02)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 150000 14.59 (-0.22)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 52507 22.04 (+5.88)          Whalefall (WHALF) 70000 20.63 (-3.11)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 150000 14.59 (-0.22)          Wildwood H$10 Put (WILDW.PU) 24826 2.21 (+0.37)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 4.97 (+0.09)          Digger (DIGER) 4908 23.96 (-0.30)          Playmates (PLYMT) 149999 7.52 (-0.48)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 16.58 (+2.42)          Steven Soderbergh (SSODE) 25000 13.33 (+0.30)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 20.63 (-3.11)          Jay Baruchel (JBARU) 25000 42.64 (-0.50)