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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 7.91 (-0.41)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 1 7.91 (-0.41)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 18.93 (-0.19)          Ramayana - Opening Weekend (RAMAY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 12.70 (-0.65)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 94.34 (-1.27)          Wild Horse Nine - Opening Weeken (WILDH.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat - Opening Wee (TCATH.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Wild Horse Nine - Opening Weeken (WILDH.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 8000 0.27 (+0.03)          Ramayana - Opening Weekend (RAMAY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero - Opening We (GODM2.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Winter of the Crow (WOTCR) 8000 0.28 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Call (TCATH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat - Opening Wee (TCATH.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat - Opening Wee (TCATH.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Call (TCATH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          California Schemin' (CASHM) 8000 0.36 (+0.01)          Ramayana - Opening Weekend (RAMAY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Falling (FLLNG) 8000 0.41 (0.00)          Willem Dafoe (WDAFO) 25000 49.15 (-1.13)          A Prayer for the Dying (APFTD) 6000 0.08 (+0.01)          The Cat in the Hat - Opening Wee (TCATH.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 34054 51.29 (-0.27)          Greta Lee (GLEE) 25000 94.85 (-2.02)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 3000 151.14 (+0.27)          Nickels (NCKEL) 8000 0.16 (+0.01)          Emma D'Arcy (EDARC) 25000 16.26 (-0.66)          Atonement (ATONM) 8000 1.06 (+0.02)          The Mummy: The Book of the Dead (MUMY5) 3000 131.34 (+0.78)          April X (APRLX) 8000 0.66 (0.00)          Michael Stuhlbarg (MSTUH) 25000 36.82 (-0.82)          Wildwood (WILDW) 3149 25.13 (-1.25)          Ramayana - Opening Weekend (RAMAY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          The Deputy (DEPUT) 8000 0.21 (0.00)          Logan Marshall-Green (LMARS) 25000 87.28 (-1.16)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          You Had to Be There (YHTBT) 6000 0.28 (+0.01)          Wild Horse Nine - Opening Weeken (WILDH.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Naughty (NAUTY) 3000 44.00 (+0.20)          Godzilla Minus Zero - Opening We (GODM2.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 4000 0.48 (-0.03)          Dear You (DEARU) 2 1.26 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Put (TCATH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)