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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Sam Worthington (SWORT) 142 83.47 (0.00)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 4.99 (+0.80)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 100000 56.95 (+0.20)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 10000 6.88 (+0.14)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 100000 11.70 (+0.03)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 30000 12.16 (-1.00)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 2.95 (-0.02)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 40000 9.02 (-0.55)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 10000 9.02 (-0.55)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 9.72 (-0.25)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 10000 225.85 (-1.00)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 9.72 (-0.25)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 10000 225.85 (-1.00)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 9.59 (-0.37)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 9.59 (-0.37)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.14 (-0.05)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 150000 0.95 (-0.05)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 12.16 (-1.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 6000 19.33 (+0.23)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 15000 19.33 (+0.23)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 150000 5.25 (+0.23)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 25000 9.31 (+0.04)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 30000 24.07 (+0.67)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 10000 26.68 (+0.71)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 2591 4.99 (+0.80)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 20000 4.99 (+0.80)          Desert Warrior (DSRTW) 10000 1.02 (0.00)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 145690 4.99 (+0.80)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 225.85 (-1.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 225.85 (-1.00)          Desert Warrior (DSRTW) 30000 1.02 (0.00)          I Swear (ISWEA) 30000 2.63 (0.00)          Fuze (FUZE) 30000 4.97 (+0.01)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 25000 12.16 (-1.00)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 150000 248.34 (+0.49)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 1719 4.99 (+0.80)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 12.16 (-1.00)          Affection (AFECT) 150000 0.32 (0.00)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 12.16 (-1.00)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 25000 149.03 (+0.32)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 12.16 (-1.00)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 12.16 (-1.00)          Vampires of the Velvet Lounge (VOTVL) 10000 0.06 (+0.04)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 12.16 (-1.00)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 9.02 (-0.55)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 9.02 (-0.55)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 - Openin (PRAD2.OW) 100000 87.77 (-0.01)          Emily Beecham (EBEEC) 25000 28.49 (0.00)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 15.79 (+0.35)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 40000 225.85 (-1.00)