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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 150000 121.75 (+0.90)          Michael (MJACK) 36995 178.97 (+0.31)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 150000 36.01 (+0.06)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 150000 25.97 (+0.04)          Blade (BLAD1) 150000 26.59 (-0.13)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 150000 34.67 (-0.13)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 150000 141.54 (+0.22)          Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 3.75 (-0.52)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 150000 51.64 (-0.11)          Paranormal Activity 8 (PNAC8) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 150000 31.30 (+0.10)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.81 (+0.59)          Bucking Fastard (BUCFA) 500 1.97 (+0.01)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 150000 25.97 (+0.04)          Blade (BLAD1) 150000 26.59 (-0.13)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 150000 34.67 (-0.13)          Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 3.75 (-0.52)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 150000 51.64 (-0.11)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 24.37 (-0.14)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 70.39 (+0.10)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 67.71 (+0.25)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 119575 85.41 (+0.37)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 19.06 (+0.06)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 19.06 (+0.06)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 150000 85.41 (+0.37)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 150000 85.41 (+0.37)          Untitled Original Comedy From Ju (UOCJA) 19936 41.19 (+2.52)          GOAT H$25 Call Fri-Mon (TGOAT.CA) 25000 3.22 (+0.13)          GOAT H$25 Put Fri-Mon (TGOAT.PU) 25000 1.87 (-0.24)          GOAT - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (TGOAT.OW) 100000 28.98 (-0.07)          Wuthering Heights - Opening Week (WUTHR.OW) 25000 51.49 (-0.20)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 501.70 (+2.07)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 50000 9.09 (-0.01)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 150000 15.47 (+0.67)          Hercules (HRCUL) 150000 18.85 (+1.17)          Hercules (HRCUL) 150000 18.85 (+1.17)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 150000 15.47 (+0.67)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 52.68 (+3.99)          Paranormal Activity 8 (PNAC8) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 25000 2.53 (-0.09)          Paranormal Activity 8 (PNAC8) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Untitled Original Comedy From Ju (UOCJA) 150000 41.19 (+2.52)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.81 (+0.59)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.81 (+0.59)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 7.04 (+1.38)          Paranormal Activity 8 (PNAC8) 1000 20.00 (0.00)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 7.04 (+1.38)          Paranormal Activity 8 (PNAC8) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Paranormal Activity 8 (PNAC8) 1000 20.00 (0.00)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 30.49 (+0.80)