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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 4000 56.54 (-0.09)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 109.13 (+9.13)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 4.43 (-0.08)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 42008 316.76 (-1.81)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 544 326.61 (-0.99)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 3000 262.99 (+1.01)          Paranormal Activity 8 (PNAC8) 3000 30.99 (+0.10)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 50 51.07 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 3000 70.50 (+0.09)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 149999 468.49 (+0.38)          Artificial (AIFIC) 90000 15.44 (-0.07)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 47.41 (-3.59)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 75.30 (-0.38)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 28.50 (+1.10)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 5.03 (-2.23)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 5.03 (-2.23)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 8000 180.29 (+0.80)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 1 6.36 (-0.05)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 10000 151.23 (-8.95)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 1000 47.41 (-3.59)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 5.67 (+0.17)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 109.13 (+9.13)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 151.23 (-8.95)          Hugh Jackman (HJACK) 25000 72.21 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Teller (TELER) 150000 8.03 (-0.03)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 109.13 (+9.13)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 150000 4.74 (-0.16)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 109.13 (+9.13)          The Life And Deaths Of Wilson Sh (LDOWS) 150000 3.54 (-0.09)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 109.13 (+9.13)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 109.13 (+9.13)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 150000 180.29 (+0.80)          Stiletto (STLTO) 150000 3.72 (+0.13)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          G.I. Joe sequel (GIJO4) 1 17.01 (-0.04)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 90000 16.51 (-0.43)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 47.41 (-3.59)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 109.13 (+9.13)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 100000 163.62 (-5.00)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 10000 12.05 (-0.19)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 19.28 (+0.08)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 19.28 (+0.08)          Untitled Blair Witch Movie (TBWP4) 150000 33.68 (+0.84)          Donkey (DONKE) 35842 109.13 (+9.13)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 97 123.43 (+1.33)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 3000 42.98 (-0.22)