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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Alpha (ALPH1) 150000 0.81 (-0.02)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 613.98 (-2.87)          Bando Stone & The New World (BSTNW) 150000 0.03 (+0.01)          Balestra (BALES) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Attack the Block 2 (ATBL2) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 182 75.92 (+0.08)          A Special Relationship (ASREL) 150000 0.20 (+0.02)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 6.68 (+0.18)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 613.98 (-2.87)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.24 (+0.24)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 149999 613.98 (-2.87)          NDA (NDA) 150000 8.42 (+0.59)          NDA (NDA) 150000 8.42 (+0.59)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.31 (+0.71)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 115.63 (-0.66)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 7.53 (+0.58)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 12.62 (-0.35)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 16.57 (+0.21)          Mandy Moore (MMOOR) 1000 66.06 (-0.26)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 26.99 (+0.25)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.24 (+0.24)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 150000 10.89 (-0.08)          Shailene Woodley (SWOOD) 25000 15.52 (-0.10)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 16501 0.05 (-0.03)          A Manual for Cleaning Women (AMFCW) 1 0.10 (0.00)          G.I. Joe (GIJO4) 25000 26.68 (+0.13)          G.I. Joe (GIJO4) 25000 26.68 (+0.13)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 10000 22.33 (0.00)          Gundam (GUNDM) 150000 10.19 (-0.08)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 179 10.10 (+0.08)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 10000 180.96 (+0.20)          Havana Rose Liu (HRLIU) 25000 4.31 (0.00)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 12500 101.47 (+0.36)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 5000 17.36 (+1.03)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 27500 14.27 (+0.86)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 75000 613.98 (-2.87)          Mina Harker aka Dracula - Blumho (DRACU) 20000 0.09 (0.00)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 5000 13.94 (-0.18)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 200 7.83 (0.00)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 103 248.48 (-0.16)          Diamond (DIAMN) 150000 6.24 (-0.23)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 12.62 (-0.35)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 7.53 (+0.58)          Astaire (ASTAI) 150000 17.06 (+0.67)          Astaire (ASTAI) 150000 17.06 (+0.67)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 150000 139.86 (+0.44)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 14.27 (+0.86)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 14.27 (+0.86)          Tony (TONY) 150000 17.76 (+0.97)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 149999 8.24 (+0.08)