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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Play House (PLYHS) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 25000 47.03 (+2.33)          Play House (PLYHS) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Jo Koy (JKOY) 23333 16.07 (-0.46)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 25000 62.57 (+1.88)          Jenny Slate (JESLA) 25000 103.43 (-0.91)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 521 1.25 (-0.04)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 4.46 (-0.05)          Jay Baruchel (JBARU) 25000 32.54 (-8.62)          Brad Pitt (BPITT) 100 94.32 (+0.63)          Play House (PLYHS) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Brad Pitt (BPITT) 25000 94.32 (+0.63)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 579 1.25 (-0.04)          La Bola Negra (LBNEG) 150000 3.61 (-0.10)          Emilia Jones (EJONE) 25000 13.31 (-0.24)          La Bola Negra (LBNEG) 150000 3.61 (-0.10)          Musk (MUSK) 150000 2.41 (-0.08)          Play House (PLYHS) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Musk (MUSK) 150000 2.41 (-0.08)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 25000 62.57 (+1.88)          Rose (ROSE) 150000 0.75 (-0.02)          Manny Jacinto (MJACI) 25000 33.35 (+0.30)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 25000 62.57 (+1.88)          Brad Pitt (BPITT) 25000 94.32 (+0.63)          The Mummy: The Book of the Dead (MUMY5) 150000 129.64 (+1.66)          Manny Jacinto (MJACI) 25000 33.35 (+0.30)          Clayface H$25 Call (CLAYF.CA) 25000 2.76 (-0.33)          Clayface H$25 Put (CLAYF.PU) 25000 2.43 (+0.39)          Rolling Loud: The Movie (RLOUD) 1000 1.35 (+0.01)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 25000 1.25 (-0.04)          Ronan Boyle and the Bridge of Ri (RBOYL) 1000 8.56 (-0.05)          Play House (PLYHS) 50000 10.00 (0.00)          Ronan Boyle and the Bridge of Ri (RBOYL) 10000 8.56 (-0.05)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 10.17 (-0.35)          Reptilia (REPTI) 10000 4.37 (-0.02)          Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (YABDU) 25000 54.46 (+0.33)          Hold On to Your Angels (HOTYA) 50000 9.29 (-0.71)          Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 1000 61.82 (-1.25)          Drew Starkey (DSTAR) 25000 18.17 (+0.20)          Reptilia (REPTI) 10000 4.37 (-0.02)          Look Back (LKBAC) 150000 1.39 (+0.32)          The Wild Robot Escapes (TWRB2) 149995 30.76 (+2.12)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 150000 2.94 (-0.01)          Wild Four O’Clocks (W4OCL) 600 0.09 (0.00)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 613 25.83 (-0.09)          Hold On to Your Angels (HOTYA) 150000 9.29 (-0.71)          Wild Four O’Clocks (W4OCL) 498 0.09 (0.00)          Hold On to Your Angels (HOTYA) 150000 9.29 (-0.71)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 25000 1.25 (-0.04)          Werwulf (WERWU) 40000 67.06 (-0.15)