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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 61980 8.86 (-0.16)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 10000 7.05 (-0.19)          Buffalo Kids (BUFKS) 10000 1.78 (-0.06)          Buffalo Kids (BUFKS) 10000 1.78 (-0.06)          Primate (PRIMT) 10000 20.46 (+0.89)          Stray Kids: The dominATE Experie (SKTDE) 100000 5.28 (-1.19)          Melania (MLNIA) 5000 1.64 (+0.02)          Mercy (MRCY1) 4000 24.83 (-0.75)          We Bury the Dead (WBTD) 10000 4.89 (-0.06)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 19.99 (-0.01)          Stray Kids: The dominATE Experie (SKTDE) 49999 5.28 (-1.19)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 100000 22.51 (-0.36)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 10000 19.99 (-0.01)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 150000 52.10 (+2.34)          The Raja Saab (RSAAB) 150000 6.35 (+1.07)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 42 322.49 (+1.51)          The Raja Saab (RSAAB) 110 6.35 (+1.07)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 149999 52.10 (+2.34)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 50000 8.86 (-0.16)          Magellan (MGELN) 1 0.30 (+0.08)          Magellan (MGELN) 8 0.30 (+0.08)          I Was a Stranger (TSCAS) 149862 3.46 (+0.04)          Greenland 2: Migration H$10 Put (GRNL2.PU) 25000 2.49 (+0.04)          Greenland 2: Migration H$10 Put (GRNL2.PU) 25000 2.49 (+0.04)          I Was a Stranger (TSCAS) 1 3.46 (+0.04)          Assisted Living (ASLIV) 150000 0.03 (-0.01)          Primate (PRIMT) 1 20.46 (+0.89)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 19.99 (-0.01)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 9.39 (+1.42)          Spirit (SPRIT) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Prabhas (PRABH) 24871 9.81 (+0.24)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 149873 2.00 (0.00)          ABC: 9-1-1 Nashville (911NAS) 25000 11.40 (+0.35)          CBS: Boston Blue (BOSBLU) 25000 14.65 (+0.18)          CBS: CIA (CIACBS) 25000 9.91 (+0.26)          CBS: DMV (DMVCBS) 25000 14.07 (+0.35)          CBS: Sheriff Country (SHERFC) 25000 9.78 (0.00)          CBS: Y: Marshals (YMARSH) 25000 10.15 (+0.31)          FOX: Memory of a Killer (MEMOAK) 25000 10.73 (+0.21)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 12.42 (-0.09)          Zootopia 2 $285M Blockbuster War (ZOOT2.BW) 25000 14.85 (+0.32)          FOX: Best Medicine (BESMED) 25000 9.06 (+0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 63.48 (-0.78)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 3 29.53 (+3.63)          CBS: CIA (CIACBS) 1100 9.91 (+0.26)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 50000 2.00 (0.00)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 150000 69.27 (-0.29)          Primate (PRIMT) 149999 20.46 (+0.89)          ABC: 9-1-1 Nashville (911NAS) 455 11.40 (+0.35)