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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 5.09 (+0.09)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 127.22 (-0.68)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 1 66.81 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 1 164.50 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 1 164.50 (0.00)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 16.84 (+0.72)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 16.84 (+0.72)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 48.05 (+0.49)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 149999 48.05 (+0.49)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 48.05 (+0.49)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 150000 109.04 (0.00)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 58.08 (-0.05)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 54.18 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 40.94 (0.00)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 59.62 (0.00)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 150000 69.48 (0.00)          Backrooms (BACRM) 1441 161.94 (+0.44)          Unidentified (UNIDF) 150000 0.41 (0.00)          Thumb (THUM) 10000 5.05 (+0.26)          Rose of Nevada (ROSNV) 150000 0.31 (0.00)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 150000 0.30 (0.00)          Thumb (THUM) 10000 5.05 (+0.26)          Above The Below (ABELW) 1000 7.48 (+0.58)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.90 (-0.49)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.90 (-0.49)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 1 6.56 (0.00)          Adam Sandler (ASAND) 8667 95.90 (-0.08)          Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (PAEWM) 150000 0.34 (0.00)          Sterling K. Brown (SKBRO) 6000 7.80 (+0.01)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 127.22 (-0.68)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 6.44 (-0.08)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 12.39 (+0.77)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 12.39 (+0.77)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 7.48 (+0.58)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 7.48 (+0.58)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 5.09 (+0.09)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 7.48 (+0.58)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 12.39 (+0.77)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.90 (-0.49)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 16.84 (+0.72)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 8418 127.22 (-0.68)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.90 (-0.49)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 16.84 (+0.72)          Zi (ZI) 100 1.14 (0.00)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 6.44 (-0.08)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 100 48.05 (+0.49)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 20000 81.09 (+0.03)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 4.84 (+0.69)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 4.84 (+0.69)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 1000 56.60 (0.00)