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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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A Prayer for the Dying (APFTD) 11000 0.78 (0.00)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 42000 55.63 (-0.38)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 11106 55.63 (-0.38)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 18.84 (+1.74)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 149999 190.00 (-1.11)          Oasis Reunion (OASIS) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 2983 90.27 (-1.70)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 7.53 (-0.03)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 15590 190.00 (-1.11)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 149999 170.73 (+1.15)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 18706 193.41 (-2.39)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.63 (+0.63)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 35.97 (+1.23)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 50000 49.17 (-3.20)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 7.84 (+1.05)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 7.84 (+1.05)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 2.29 (+0.08)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 2.29 (+0.08)          Oasis Reunion (OASIS) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 100 280.79 (-2.49)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 900 35.97 (+1.23)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.63 (+0.63)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.63 (+0.63)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 7.84 (+1.05)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 100000 104.61 (-0.70)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 7 280.79 (-2.49)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 726 280.79 (-2.49)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 49.17 (-3.20)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 49000 280.79 (-2.49)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.63 (+0.63)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 2.29 (+0.08)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 49.17 (-3.20)          The Last Photograph (LPHOT) 10000 1.55 (-0.01)          Passenger - Opening Weekend Fri- (PSNGR.OW) 100 8.02 (-0.38)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 10000 2.49 (-0.02)          Passenger H$10 Call Fri-Mon (PSNGR.CA) 100 0.93 (-0.31)          Fjord (FJORD) 20000 2.10 (+0.01)          Fjord (FJORD) 30000 2.10 (+0.01)          Passenger - Opening Weekend Fri- (PSNGR.OW) 100 8.02 (-0.38)          Passenger H$10 Call Fri-Mon (PSNGR.CA) 100 0.93 (-0.31)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 10000 16.06 (-0.02)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 5000 16.06 (-0.02)          Oasis Reunion (OASIS) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          Monitor (MONTR) 10000 8.12 (-0.19)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.63 (+0.63)          Monitor (MONTR) 10000 8.12 (-0.19)          Oasis Reunion (OASIS) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          Hope (HOPE) 10000 7.53 (-0.03)          Chum (CHUM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 81901 8.55 (-0.15)