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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Housemaid (HMAID) 105000 70.02 (-1.78)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 70.02 (-1.78)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 105000 70.02 (-1.78)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 70.02 (-1.78)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 105000 70.02 (-1.78)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 70.02 (-1.78)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 70.02 (-1.78)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 149000 70.02 (-1.78)          Song Sung Blue (SSBLU) 25000 34.19 (-2.14)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 10000 194.22 (+1.03)          Gatto (GATTO) 50000 109.87 (+1.29)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 10000 225.86 (+1.42)          Fellowship (FELWS) 50000 17.11 (+1.51)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 105000 26.73 (+1.57)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 10000 299.19 (+1.56)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 10000 226.30 (+1.75)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 283.80 (+1.88)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 50000 262.13 (+2.13)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 105000 45.22 (+2.62)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 100000 380.71 (-7.47)          High Side (HISID) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Song Sung Blue (SSBLU) 25000 34.19 (-2.14)          Gatto (GATTO) 50000 109.87 (+1.29)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 1000 225.86 (+1.42)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 10000 225.86 (+1.42)          Fellowship (FELWS) 50000 17.11 (+1.51)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 50000 26.73 (+1.57)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 10000 299.19 (+1.56)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 10000 226.30 (+1.75)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 25000 283.80 (+1.88)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 50000 262.13 (+2.13)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 105000 45.22 (+2.62)          Song Sung Blue (SSBLU) 35000 34.19 (-2.14)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 75000 225.86 (+1.42)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 30000 225.86 (+1.42)          Gatto (GATTO) 50000 109.87 (+1.29)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 50000 26.73 (+1.57)          Fellowship (FELWS) 50000 17.11 (+1.51)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 10000 299.19 (+1.56)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 10000 226.30 (+1.75)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 283.80 (+1.88)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 10000 119.39 (+5.23)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 10000 133.43 (+1.98)          Sally Field (SFIEL) 25000 101.53 (+1.00)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 5000 262.13 (+2.13)          Will Gluck (WGLUC) 25000 71.26 (+1.00)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 105000 45.22 (+2.62)          Reese Witherspoon (RWITH) 25000 89.01 (+1.00)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 10.20 (-0.78)          Fellowship (FELWS) 35000 17.11 (+1.51)