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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Bitter Christmas (BITRC) 5000 1.03 (+0.23)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 150000 15.54 (+0.54)          G.I. Joe (GIJO4) 102493 24.75 (+0.07)          Drag (DRAG) 5000 6.73 (+0.93)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 150000 7.72 (+0.22)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 3 318.46 (-1.82)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 3 318.46 (-1.82)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 3 265.30 (+1.25)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 3 265.30 (+1.25)          Jason Flemyng (JFLEM) 100 13.54 (+0.10)          Helen Hunt (HHUNT) 100 11.13 (+0.20)          Don't Look Back in Anger ak (OASIS) 110 16.30 (+0.54)          Baton (BATON) 100 4.90 (+0.36)          Allison Janney (AJANN) 210 69.56 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 100 8.55 (+0.03)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 100 11.62 (0.00)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 5.60 (-0.13)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 100 9.41 (-0.03)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 100 8.43 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 100 16.90 (0.00)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100 112.49 (+1.00)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 100 2.62 (+0.04)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 100 21.93 (0.00)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 100 13.74 (0.00)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 5.84 (+0.03)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 2.40 (-0.02)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 19.46 (-0.06)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 19999 1.90 (-0.02)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 150000 15.54 (+0.54)          Dear You (DEARU) 50000 1.50 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 1000 77.55 (0.00)          Drag (DRAG) 1000 6.73 (+0.93)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 200 33.48 (0.00)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 2500 9.41 (-0.03)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 200 151.55 (0.00)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 1000 38.17 (-0.03)          Tom Hanks (THANK) 100 71.15 (0.00)          Spike Fearn (SFEAR) 10 23.87 (0.00)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 100 82.26 (0.00)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 6.94 (-0.03)          A Talent for Murder aka Switzerl (SWITZ) 150000 3.19 (-0.03)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 150000 2.32 (-0.02)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Open (SPID9.OW) 100000 221.97 (+0.33)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.CA) 25000 3.49 (+0.03)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 8.55 (+0.03)          Mia Goth (MGOTH) 100 35.66 (+0.12)          Matt Damon (MDAMO) 100 132.38 (0.00)          Logan Marshall-Green (LMARS) 100 101.20 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 318.46 (-1.82)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 318.46 (-1.82)