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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Will Poulter (WPOUL) 1014 47.74 (-0.50)          Tommy Lee Jones (TLJON) 2777 17.30 (+0.09)          Once Upon a Time in the Middle E (OUATM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Oprah Winfrey (OWINF) 25000 46.33 (-1.33)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Once Upon a Time in the Middle E (OUATM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 349 142.32 (-0.67)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Hero Fiennes Tiffin (HFTIF) 500 19.91 (0.00)          Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 666 73.87 (-0.25)          Harry Shum Jr. (HSHUM) 500 47.86 (0.00)          Jeremy Strong (JSTRO) 2500 19.17 (-0.09)          Above The Below (ABELW) 31000 5.88 (+0.01)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 20000 203.21 (+0.39)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 1123 43.90 (+0.17)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 20000 203.21 (+0.39)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 30000 14.27 (+0.05)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 30000 12.08 (-0.07)          Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 7692 6.26 (+0.01)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 649 76.54 (0.00)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 26000 280.15 (-0.56)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 100000 10.03 (+0.37)          Taylor Russell (TARUS) 25000 9.52 (-0.15)          Taylor Russell (TARUS) 25000 9.52 (-0.15)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 120000 125.12 (+0.19)          Michael Fassbender (MFASS) 25000 22.39 (-0.25)          Michael Fassbender (MFASS) 25000 22.39 (-0.25)          Aaron Sorkin (ASORK) 2777 17.75 (+0.01)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 10000 275.27 (+0.26)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 100077 17.25 (+0.70)          Once Upon a Time in the Middle E (OUATM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Rebecca Hall (RBHAL) 25000 41.78 (-0.33)          Rebecca Hall (RBHAL) 25000 41.78 (-0.33)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Dan Stevens (DSTEV) 25000 46.58 (-0.50)          Dan Stevens (DSTEV) 25000 46.58 (-0.50)          Drew Starkey (DSTAR) 25000 19.33 (-0.20)          Drew Starkey (DSTAR) 25000 19.33 (-0.20)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 4.08 (-0.08)          Clayface (CLAYF) 15000 66.58 (-0.29)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 66.58 (-0.29)          Giancarlo Esposito (GESPO) 25000 53.04 (-0.33)          Giancarlo Esposito (GESPO) 25000 53.04 (-0.33)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Verity (VERTY) 140000 68.37 (-0.23)          Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (YABDU) 25000 60.81 (-1.25)          Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (YABDU) 25000 60.81 (-1.25)