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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Flesh of the Gods (FLOTG) 2000 7.57 (-0.01)          Cameron Winter at Carnegie Hall (CWACH) 10000 1.33 (-0.02)          Iron Boy (IRONB) 10000 1.25 (-0.03)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 10000 1.61 (-0.05)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 5000 2.23 (-0.07)          Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 4000 3.45 (-0.10)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 15000 11.78 (-0.08)          Baton (BATON) 70000 4.15 (+0.54)          Jane (JANE1) 1 9.80 (-0.02)          Ink (INK) 1000 6.61 (-0.03)          Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty! (HCSYB) 149990 0.84 (+0.03)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 100000 2.96 (+0.06)          Trust Me, I’m a Doctor (TMIAD) 1000 2.60 (-0.02)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 5.68 (+0.03)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 5.68 (+0.03)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 101.36 (-1.09)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 6606 61.68 (+2.46)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Still Life (STILF) 150000 6.17 (+0.61)          Spring Breakers 2: Salvation Mou (SPBR2) 150000 6.31 (-0.93)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 10000 8.68 (-0.01)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 150000 17.16 (+2.16)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 150000 61.68 (+2.46)          Nimrods (NIMRD) 150000 1.78 (-0.01)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 1000 2.23 (-0.07)          Whitney Peak (WPEAK) 25000 17.03 (+0.70)          Whitney Peak (WPEAK) 25000 17.03 (+0.70)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 150000 1.20 (-0.01)          Winter of the Crow (WOTCR) 150000 0.75 (-0.08)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 5000 72.65 (-0.35)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 20 84.43 (+1.65)          The Uprising (THOOD) 40 9.27 (-0.38)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 3 28.01 (+0.04)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 3.00 (-0.03)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 150000 17.16 (+2.16)          Lice (LICE) 1000 3.58 (-0.02)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 3 62.45 (-0.08)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 66 32.69 (+0.03)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 101.36 (-1.09)          King Conan (CONA2) 5000 50.00 (0.00)          Artificial (AIFIC) 5000 15.08 (+0.84)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 150000 274.41 (-0.98)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 3 33.90 (+0.03)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 3 7.76 (-0.01)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 5000 128.16 (+0.66)          New York Will Eat You Alive aka (ZMBRO) 1200 0.19 (+0.02)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 5000 128.16 (+0.66)