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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Snake Island (SNKIS) 80000 17.43 (+1.21)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 53.21 (-2.14)          Phoebe Dynevor (PDYNE) 25000 2.25 (+0.02)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 2.45 (-0.79)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 2.27 (+0.27)          Starman (STARM) 70000 16.00 (+1.09)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 70000 17.43 (+1.21)          Still Life (STILF) 150000 6.43 (+0.81)          Spring Breakers 2: Salvation Mou (SPBR2) 125000 7.71 (-0.49)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 16.49 (-0.39)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 908 13.98 (+0.14)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 150000 15.69 (-0.87)          Musk (MUSK) 1 2.47 (+0.27)          Musk (MUSK) 150000 2.47 (+0.27)          Verity (VERTY) 18934 65.56 (-0.04)          Hope (HOPE) 10000 9.96 (+0.01)          Xolo Mariduena (XMARI) 10 43.04 (-0.16)          King Conan (CONA2) 147041 53.21 (-2.14)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 53.21 (-2.14)          Runner (RUNNR) 11 14.09 (-0.13)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 20000 17.43 (+1.21)          Starman (STARM) 20000 16.00 (+1.09)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 10000 3.14 (-0.01)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 20000 23.02 (+0.83)          Still Life (STILF) 25000 6.43 (+0.81)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 21024 23.02 (+0.83)          Reenactment (RNACT) 10000 4.84 (-0.06)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 4102 23.28 (0.00)          Spring Breakers 2: Salvation Mou (SPBR2) 25000 7.71 (-0.49)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 25000 2.45 (-0.79)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 20000 19.23 (-0.94)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 27500 5.86 (-0.33)          Runner (RUNNR) 15000 14.09 (-0.13)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 23.02 (+0.83)          King Spawn (SPWN2) 100000 0.04 (-0.02)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 50000 2.27 (+0.27)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 50000 23.02 (+0.83)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 20000 23.02 (+0.83)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 84.86 (+0.15)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 120000 19.23 (-0.94)          King Conan (CONA2) 100000 53.21 (-2.14)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 23.02 (+0.83)          Remain (REMAN) 150000 70.90 (+0.25)          Assisted Living (ASLIV) 34000 0.01 (0.00)          And Then There Were None (ATTWN) 29000 0.01 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 89 178.14 (-0.33)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 110000 19.23 (-0.94)          King Conan (CONA2) 110000 53.21 (-2.14)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 150000 60.79 (+1.31)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 150000 60.79 (+1.31)