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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 10000 23.68 (+2.10)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 40.95 (-0.19)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 154 37.49 (+0.23)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 80000 136.81 (0.00)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 24999 39.83 (+1.49)          David Corenswet (DCORE) 25000 137.52 (-0.33)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 150000 14.60 (-0.08)          G.I. Joe (GIJO4) 146 42.83 (-0.64)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 1000 260.99 (+0.27)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 186 20.64 (-0.08)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 65.27 (-0.63)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 26000 277.42 (-2.41)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 228 22.67 (0.00)          Matt Damon (MDAMO) 25000 130.25 (-0.66)          The Debut (DEBUT) 150000 9.97 (+0.03)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 4200 3.32 (0.00)          Elizabeth Olsen (EOLSE) 25000 151.20 (-0.50)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 150000 136.81 (0.00)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 150000 33.15 (+0.13)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 1000 113.86 (+0.26)          The Flood (FLOOD) 150000 104.73 (-0.63)          I Play Rocky - Opening Weekend (IPROC.OW) 693 14.96 (-0.23)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 130.27 (+0.33)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 150000 222.24 (+0.16)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 114.61 (+0.55)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 150000 112.13 (+0.33)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 77.30 (-0.25)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 3010 11.47 (-0.15)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 77.30 (-0.25)          Olivia Cooke (OCOOK) 25000 15.29 (0.00)          Olivia Cooke (OCOOK) 25000 15.29 (0.00)          Olivia Colman (OCOLM) 25000 42.16 (-0.33)          Paranormal Activity 8 (PNAC8) 150000 26.94 (+0.16)          Eddie Marsan (EMARS) 25000 8.83 (+0.05)          Eddie Marsan (EMARS) 25000 8.83 (+0.05)          Amy Adams (AMADA) 25000 75.01 (-0.50)          Amy Adams (AMADA) 25000 75.01 (-0.50)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 23.68 (+2.10)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 150000 74.64 (+0.25)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 150000 136.81 (0.00)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 150000 39.83 (+1.49)          Ink (INK) 150000 6.67 (+0.58)          Ink (INK) 150000 6.67 (+0.58)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 14.41 (+2.17)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 76.95 (-0.49)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 35.82 (+0.06)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 150000 277.42 (-2.41)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 14.41 (+2.17)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 14.41 (+2.17)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 23.68 (+2.10)