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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 115.63 (-0.01)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 115.63 (-0.01)          Olivia Colman (OCOLM) 25000 39.28 (-0.40)          Kirsten Dunst (KDUNS) 25000 56.48 (0.00)          The Exorcist: Martyrs (TEXO2) 150000 61.21 (+0.10)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 400 270.83 (-1.51)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 25000 23.00 (+0.37)          Ian McKellen (IMCKE) 25000 17.21 (0.00)          Ian McKellen (IMCKE) 25000 17.21 (0.00)          Diane Lane (DLANE) 25000 82.13 (-0.50)          The Great Emu War (GEMUW) 149998 0.09 (0.00)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 10.37 (-0.32)          Ebon Moss-Bachrach (EMBAC) 25000 83.74 (+0.25)          David Harbour (DHARB) 25000 79.22 (+0.50)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 72.74 (-1.25)          David Harbour (DHARB) 25000 79.22 (+0.50)          Channing Tatum (CTATU) 5000 60.10 (+0.05)          Olivia Cooke (OCOOK) 25000 12.05 (-0.42)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 22.87 (+1.20)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 22.87 (+1.20)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 13.67 (+0.76)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 13.67 (+0.76)          Play House (PLYHS) 150000 18.69 (+0.99)          Not Alone (NTALN) 150000 127.23 (-0.37)          Not Alone (NTALN) 150000 127.23 (-0.37)          Not Alone (NTALN) 150000 127.23 (-0.37)          Eddie Marsan (EMARS) 25000 10.98 (+0.40)          Carey Mulligan (CMULL) 25000 10.64 (+0.30)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 13.67 (+0.76)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 70.07 (-6.76)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 13.67 (+0.76)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 1000 219.22 (+1.22)          Amy Adams (AMADA) 25000 70.44 (-1.11)          Play House (PLYHS) 150000 18.69 (+0.99)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 70.07 (-6.76)          Isabella Rossellini (IROSS) 25000 10.48 (+0.90)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 50000 82.84 (-0.94)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 22.32 (+3.45)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 22.87 (+1.20)          The Family Disappears (TFAMD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          After the Silence (AFTSL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          After the Silence (AFTSL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Jason Schwartzman (JSCHW) 25000 4.70 (+0.35)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 22.87 (+1.20)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 22.87 (+1.20)          The Family Disappears (TFAMD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          After the Silence (AFTSL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Mr. Irrelevant (MREVL) 5000 31.70 (-0.17)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 84 83.65 (+1.79)          The Family Disappears (TFAMD) 30000 10.00 (0.00)