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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 8913 14.74 (+0.17)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 5000 195.83 (-3.13)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10000 151.26 (+0.74)          Backrooms H$20 Put (BACRM.PU) 25000 1.53 (+0.06)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 25000 4.15 (-0.04)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 5000 350.78 (-3.33)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 8000 350.78 (-3.33)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 45000 9.20 (-0.36)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 150000 9.20 (-0.36)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 36.33 (+1.72)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 10000 19.51 (+0.02)          Them (THEM) 65000 36.45 (-0.35)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 25000 151.26 (+0.74)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Them (THEM) 150000 36.45 (-0.35)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 25000 9.00 (+0.01)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Them (THEM) 35000 36.45 (-0.35)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 29999 6.91 (+0.19)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 45000 6.91 (+0.19)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 51.86 (+1.86)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 15000 104.36 (+1.00)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 30000 104.36 (+1.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 632 14.74 (+0.17)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 15000 51.86 (+1.86)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 1 51.86 (+1.86)          Grendel (GREND) 50000 10.71 (-0.10)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 1 51.86 (+1.86)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 21221 60.44 (-0.82)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 7 191.11 (+1.63)          Octet (OCTET) 17693 21.09 (+0.28)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Grendel (GREND) 150000 10.71 (-0.10)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 195.83 (-3.13)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 5771 104.36 (+1.00)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 150000 0.81 (-0.11)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 150000 6.48 (+0.65)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 9360 284.63 (-1.03)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 51.86 (+1.86)          The Invite (TINVT) 1000 16.20 (+0.08)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 21813 5.00 (0.00)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 21813 5.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 284.63 (-1.03)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 92.00 (-1.10)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 3176 5.00 (0.00)