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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Angelina Jolie (AJOLI) 25000 56.62 (-0.67)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 5000 98.07 (+0.03)          Andrew Garfield (AGARF) 25000 56.33 (-0.16)          Andrew Garfield (AGARF) 25000 56.33 (-0.16)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 2000 22.75 (+0.65)          Daniel and The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 4.88 (-0.41)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 102.81 (+1.30)          Emilia Jones (EJONE) 25000 16.35 (-1.10)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 20000 27.30 (-0.30)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 10000 27.30 (-0.30)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 10000 22.50 (-0.17)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 10000 22.50 (-0.17)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 1000 65.46 (+0.33)          Whalefall (WHALF) 10000 37.94 (-0.74)          Fatherland (FTHRL) 10000 3.49 (-0.11)          Fatherland (FTHRL) 10000 3.49 (-0.11)          OASIS: Don't Look Back in A (OASIS) 150000 5.90 (-0.23)          Angelina Jolie (AJOLI) 25000 56.62 (-0.67)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 150000 2.63 (-0.04)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Andrew Garfield (AGARF) 25000 56.33 (-0.16)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Anna Faris (AFARI) 25000 69.50 (+1.45)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 51.82 (-0.24)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Anna Faris (AFARI) 25000 69.50 (+1.45)          Antonio Banderas (ABAND) 25000 53.15 (-0.83)          Antonio Banderas (ABAND) 25000 53.15 (-0.83)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 200 165.45 (+0.09)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 150000 266.22 (+0.08)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 21.46 (+0.53)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Ma 2 (MA2) 150000 13.33 (-0.04)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Old Man in the Dunes (OMITD) 150000 7.54 (-0.04)          Breeder (BREDR) 150000 2.00 (-0.05)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 175 148.77 (-0.11)          Bag Man (BAGMN) 150000 0.01 (-0.02)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 60.97 (-0.85)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 26.20 (-0.04)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 26.20 (-0.04)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 19.27 (0.00)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 19.27 (0.00)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 18.34 (+0.30)          In Love (NLOVE) 150000 15.97 (-0.10)          In Love (NLOVE) 150000 15.97 (-0.10)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)