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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Sacrifice (SCRIF) 150000 2.20 (-0.32)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 21.91 (+0.12)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 21.91 (+0.12)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 61.53 (+4.94)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Narcs (NARCS) 150000 22.89 (-0.43)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Fear the Reaper (FREPR) 150000 14.72 (-0.26)          Sacrifice (SCRIF) 150000 2.20 (-0.32)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 19.42 (+0.52)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 19.42 (+0.52)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 6.78 (+0.24)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 15.24 (+3.06)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 6.78 (+0.24)          Paul Rudd (PRUDD) 25000 53.98 (+0.33)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 15.24 (+3.06)          Playmates (PLYMT) 30000 8.00 (0.00)          Kung Fu Soccer (KFSOC) 150000 1.35 (-0.06)          Andrew Scott (ANSCO) 25000 38.10 (+0.12)          Playmates (PLYMT) 88638 8.00 (0.00)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 20000 276.50 (+0.94)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 8.73 (-0.19)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 61.53 (+4.94)          Ronan Boyle and the Bridge of Ri (RBOYL) 100000 8.56 (-0.08)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 276.50 (+0.94)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 276.50 (+0.94)          Clayface (CLAYF) 40000 61.53 (+4.94)          Arena (ARENA) 100000 3.80 (-0.20)          Whalefall (WHALF) 400 23.17 (+1.97)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 1 37.73 (-0.03)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 100 2.89 (-0.02)          10 Lives (10LIV) 100 1.46 (+0.01)          Ronan Boyle and the Bridge of Ri (RBOYL) 150000 8.56 (-0.08)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 74.07 (+1.73)          Arena (ARENA) 1 3.80 (-0.20)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 61.53 (+4.94)          Street Fighter H$35 Put (STFTR.PU) 25000 4.10 (-0.16)          Street Fighter H$35 Put (STFTR.PU) 25000 4.10 (-0.16)          Street Fighter - Opening Weekend (STFTR.OW) 100000 30.33 (+0.08)          Street Fighter - Opening Weekend (STFTR.OW) 100000 30.33 (+0.08)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 50000 9.89 (-0.13)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 74.07 (+1.73)          The Rule of Three (RULO3) 1 14.47 (-0.75)          Arena (ARENA) 1 3.80 (-0.20)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 74.07 (+1.73)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 4.79 (-0.12)          Arena (ARENA) 50000 3.80 (-0.20)          Ian McKellen (IMCKE) 25000 16.29 (+0.19)