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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC.OW) 100000 9.48 (+0.31)          Aaron Paul (APAUL) 1 20.45 (-0.12)          The Death of Robin Hood - Openin (TDORH.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 149999 17.16 (+1.34)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Home (HOME1) 2500 10.29 (0.00)          Home (HOME1) 2000 10.29 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 86.31 (+5.31)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 150000 2.21 (+0.08)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 150000 2.21 (+0.08)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 6.08 (+0.33)          Death Stranding (DSTRN) 3500 20.52 (-0.04)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC.OW) 100000 9.48 (+0.31)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 6.08 (+0.33)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 25000 114.83 (-0.33)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Put (TOYS5.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 46.25 (+0.73)          Maya Hawke (MHAWK) 25000 61.46 (-0.50)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Call (TOYS5.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe - Openin (HEMAN.OW) 99999 31.90 (+1.42)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Cal (HEMAN.CA) 25000 0.84 (+0.16)          Death Stranding (DSTRN) 3000 20.52 (-0.04)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 100000 125.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe - Openin (HEMAN.OW) 100000 31.90 (+1.42)          The Wager (WAGER) 2000 15.19 (-0.02)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 786 263.58 (+0.66)          Mark Duplass (MDUPL) 25000 24.41 (+0.62)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Put (TOYS5.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 100000 125.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Call (TOYS5.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood - Openin (TDORH.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Cal (TDORH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Renate Reinsve (REREI) 25000 9.21 (+0.15)          Jared Harris (JHARR) 25000 30.06 (-0.12)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 149999 86.31 (+5.31)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 86.31 (+5.31)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 150000 5.88 (-0.05)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 102944 11.33 (-0.72)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 11.33 (-0.72)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Put (TOYS5.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Call (TOYS5.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 150000 19.26 (-0.08)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 100000 125.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Put (TDORH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Cal (TDORH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 925 17.16 (+1.34)          Molly Gordon (MGORD) 25000 27.79 (-1.77)