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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 100 507.26 (+0.35)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 6.02 (+1.02)          Super Troopers 3 - Opening Weeke (STRO3.OW) 100000 12.94 (-0.20)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 50000 100.65 (+0.25)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 100000 7.65 (+0.29)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 50000 15.85 (+0.41)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 100000 26.17 (-0.14)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 150000 15.74 (+1.25)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 77.52 (+1.33)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 25000 26.20 (+0.72)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 49999 7.65 (+0.29)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 40000 16.54 (-0.14)          The Partner (PRTNR) 50000 30.00 (0.00)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 1 7.65 (+0.29)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 40000 74.38 (+1.87)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 42.67 (-2.18)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 42.67 (-2.18)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 23.60 (+0.06)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 100000 7.65 (+0.29)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 7.65 (+0.29)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          The Partner (PRTNR) 8000 30.00 (0.00)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 8.22 (+0.01)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 19.96 (+1.82)          The Partner (PRTNR) 10000 30.00 (0.00)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 4.54 (+0.24)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 6.02 (+1.02)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 500 67.52 (-0.18)          Leonardo DiCaprio (LDCAP) 24999 127.30 (+0.33)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Peaches (PEACH) 150000 0.33 (0.00)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 10000 0.29 (0.00)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 150000 1.13 (+0.02)          The Get Out (BEARC) 150000 1.81 (-0.01)          Welcome to the Jungle (WLCM3) 150000 0.91 (-0.03)          The Partner (PRTNR) 100000 30.00 (0.00)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Harbinger (HARBN) 16 0.19 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 75000 45.74 (-0.78)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 211 75.13 (+0.31)          Lice (LICE) 3431 5.18 (-0.02)