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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Man I Love (TMILV) 150000 2.38 (-0.04)          Whalefall H$15 Put (WHALF.PU) 25000 2.81 (+0.06)          Whalefall H$15 Put (WHALF.PU) 25000 2.81 (+0.06)          Making Marie Antoinette (MAKMA) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Whalefall - Opening Weekend (WHALF.OW) 50000 13.00 (-0.24)          Jason Schwartzman (JSCHW) 25000 5.56 (-0.45)          Whalefall - Opening Weekend (WHALF.OW) 100000 13.00 (-0.24)          Street Fighter - Opening Weekend (STFTR.OW) 25000 32.13 (-0.26)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 116.70 (-0.60)          Pretty in Pink 2 (PINK2) 96 0.07 (-0.01)          Street Fighter H$35 Call (STFTR.CA) 25000 1.27 (+0.06)          The Odyssey $465M Blockbuster Wa (ODYSE.BW) 601 21.50 (-0.14)          Street Fighter H$35 Call (STFTR.CA) 25000 1.27 (+0.06)          Street Fighter - Opening Weekend (STFTR.OW) 25000 32.13 (-0.26)          Monkey Quest (MNKYQ) 25000 19.50 (+1.66)          The Last Mrs. Parrish (LMRSP) 4998 0.07 (0.00)          Street Fighter - Opening Weekend (STFTR.OW) 50000 32.13 (-0.26)          G.I. Joe (GIJO4) 150000 38.18 (+2.87)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 1 17.40 (+0.14)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 63.94 (-0.93)          The Last Mrs. Parrish (LMRSP) 202 0.07 (0.00)          Emma Roberts (EROBE) 25000 10.83 (-0.10)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Bulk (BULK) 14994 0.07 (0.00)          Making Marie Antoinette (MAKMA) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Clayface (CLAYF) 12500 63.94 (-0.93)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 3523 561.91 (-1.19)          Bulk (BULK) 94 0.07 (0.00)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Making Marie Antoinette (MAKMA) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Proxy (PROXY) 299 0.06 (-0.01)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 60 132.57 (+0.43)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 500 9.81 (+0.10)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 106 127.57 (+0.31)          Ranger's Apprentice (RNGAP) 2999 0.06 (0.00)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 150000 0.57 (+0.02)          Josh Hartnett (JHART) 25000 71.77 (+0.25)          Ranger's Apprentice (RNGAP) 805 0.06 (0.00)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 2500 9.81 (+0.10)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 150000 6.35 (-0.36)          Sense and Sensibility - Opening (SNSNS.OW) 5000 5.73 (-0.04)          Making Marie Antoinette (MAKMA) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Elon Musk Unveiled: The Tesla Ex (EMUTE) 13660 1.02 (0.00)          Proxy (PROXY) 99 0.06 (-0.01)          Monkey Quest (MNKYQ) 150000 19.50 (+1.66)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 48.38 (-3.49)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 48.38 (-3.49)