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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 127.58 (-1.80)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 36108 431.26 (-0.02)          Affection (AFECT) 3497 0.07 (0.00)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 9.43 (-0.57)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 9.43 (-0.57)          Above The Below (ABELW) 50000 7.19 (+0.13)          Above The Below (ABELW) 50000 7.19 (+0.13)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 20000 428.01 (-1.50)          Who's That Girl aka Madonna biop (MDONA) 149999 5.61 (-0.06)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 9.43 (-0.57)          Above The Below (ABELW) 50000 7.19 (+0.13)          Wasteman (WASTE) 2299 0.06 (+0.01)          Above The Below (ABELW) 50000 7.19 (+0.13)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Above The Below (ABELW) 50000 7.19 (+0.13)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 25000 43.51 (-2.18)          Wasteman (WASTE) 1501 0.06 (+0.01)          Above The Below (ABELW) 50000 7.19 (+0.13)          Broadsword (BROSW) 33406 43.69 (+0.13)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 5000 43.51 (-2.18)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.60 (+0.29)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.60 (+0.29)          White Elephant (WELEP) 50000 14.42 (+0.89)          Sweet Vengeance (SWVNG) 2196 0.06 (0.00)          White Elephant (WELEP) 50000 14.42 (+0.89)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 150000 6.29 (-0.02)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 150000 6.29 (-0.02)          Moana (MOAN1) 30000 233.97 (-1.09)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 9.43 (-0.57)          White Elephant (WELEP) 50000 14.42 (+0.89)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 7.19 (+0.13)          White Elephant (WELEP) 50000 14.42 (+0.89)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 7.19 (+0.13)          White Elephant (WELEP) 50000 14.42 (+0.89)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 61000 7.04 (0.00)          White Elephant (WELEP) 50000 14.42 (+0.89)          Reading Lolita in Tehran (RLITA) 1000 0.06 (0.00)          It Ends (ITNDS) 61000 5.34 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 22000 311.18 (+1.38)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 50000 5.81 (+0.46)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 50000 5.81 (+0.46)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 9.43 (-0.57)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 3 4.24 (-0.01)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 127.58 (-1.80)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 50000 5.81 (+0.46)          Assisted Living (ASLIV) 2093 0.06 (0.00)          Bermuda (BTRIA) 150000 0.65 (0.00)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 4000 490.96 (-0.77)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 50000 5.81 (+0.46)