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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 150000 22.49 (-0.93)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 10000 27.83 (-0.22)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 150000 69.35 (+3.74)          Avatar: Fire and Ash $345M Block (AVAT3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 150000 30.77 (-0.10)          I Was a Stranger (TSCAS) 50000 3.36 (+0.26)          I Was a Stranger (TSCAS) 50000 3.36 (+0.26)          I Was a Stranger (TSCAS) 50000 3.36 (+0.26)          Avatar: Fire and Ash $345M Block (AVAT3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          I Was a Stranger (TSCAS) 50000 3.36 (+0.26)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 7500 69.35 (+3.74)          I Was a Stranger (TSCAS) 50000 3.36 (+0.26)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 7500 90.82 (+1.94)          I Was a Stranger (TSCAS) 50000 3.36 (+0.26)          Atropia (ATROP) 8000 1.31 (0.00)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 90.82 (+1.94)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 7000 2.10 (0.00)          Boy Band (BOYBN) 150000 21.15 (-0.12)          Avatar: Fire and Ash $345M Block (AVAT3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 1000 104.34 (-0.22)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 50000 6.06 (-0.03)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 50000 6.06 (-0.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash $345M Block (AVAT3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 50000 6.06 (-0.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash $345M Block (AVAT3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 10000 47.15 (-1.87)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 50000 6.06 (-0.03)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 50000 6.06 (-0.03)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 90.82 (+1.94)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 50000 6.06 (-0.03)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 8000 2.10 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie 2 (GRFL2) 34999 29.50 (+1.88)          Atropia (ATROP) 8000 1.31 (0.00)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 34999 29.18 (+2.28)          Avatar: Fire and Ash $345M Block (AVAT3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Peaked (PEAKD) 50000 9.23 (+0.62)          Jackass 5 (JCKA6) 150000 41.79 (+3.25)          Peaked (PEAKD) 50000 9.23 (+0.62)          The Thing with Feathers (TWFTH) 8000 0.79 (+0.04)          Peaked (PEAKD) 50000 9.23 (+0.62)          Peaked (PEAKD) 50000 9.23 (+0.62)          Peaked (PEAKD) 50000 9.23 (+0.62)          Zi (ZI) 10341 1.71 (+0.04)          Peaked (PEAKD) 50000 9.23 (+0.62)          The Garfield Movie 2 (GRFL2) 7676 29.50 (+1.88)          Avatar: Fire and Ash $345M Block (AVAT3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 50000 8.55 (+0.17)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 50000 8.55 (+0.17)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 50000 8.55 (+0.17)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 50000 8.55 (+0.17)