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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Rapture (RAPTU) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Michael - Opening Weekend (MJACK.OW) 50 69.92 (+0.63)          Dave Bautista (DBAUT) 162 55.65 (-0.16)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 50 358.96 (+3.14)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Cal (PRAD2.CA) 25000 3.28 (+0.31)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 7.67 (+0.26)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 75000 77.75 (+1.99)          Poetic License (PLICN) 1 7.37 (-0.02)          Ink (INK) 1 13.60 (+0.02)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 1 12.12 (-0.06)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 1 2.10 (+0.01)          River (RIVE1) 30026 2.00 (0.00)          River (RIVE1) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Worst (TWORS) 1 7.37 (-0.07)          Smile 3 (SMIL3) 1 22.45 (0.00)          Rapture (RAPTU) 40026 2.00 (0.00)          Hokum - Opening Weekend (HOKUM.OW) 50 5.66 (+0.12)          Animal Farm - Opening Weekend (AFARM.OW) 50 4.38 (+0.27)          The Authority (AUTHO) 1 13.92 (+0.02)          River (RIVE1) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 - Openin (PRAD2.OW) 50 82.79 (+0.85)          Rapture (RAPTU) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Archangel (ARCNG) 1 14.96 (-0.02)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 1 11.05 (+0.01)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 1 6.84 (0.00)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 2.60 (-0.06)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 2.60 (-0.06)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 145000 32.81 (-0.03)          Chili Finger (CHILF) 150000 3.32 (-0.09)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 1 2.53 (-0.02)          & Sons (ASONS) 1 1.53 (0.00)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 3 11.79 (+0.02)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 3 12.05 (+0.02)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 3 15.25 (-0.02)          Austin Butler (ABUTL) 25000 85.05 (-0.55)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 7 224.29 (+3.05)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 650 3.00 (-0.06)          Death Stranding (DSTRN) 10000 21.86 (-0.02)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 5 132.70 (-0.15)          Charlize Theron (CTHER) 5 129.74 (-0.33)          Ariana Grande (AGRAN) 5 174.14 (-0.50)          Julia Butters (JBUTT) 4 76.92 (-0.25)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 6 26.73 (-0.12)          Ruby Rose (RROSE) 6 83.62 (-0.49)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 71 26.73 (-0.12)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 9 155.36 (-0.99)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 175 12.32 (-0.19)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 3 161.99 (+0.01)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 4 25.01 (+0.05)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 5 64.54 (+1.66)