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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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I Play Rocky (IPROC) 40000 37.40 (+0.06)          Tony (TONY) 22 17.81 (+4.11)          Naruto (NARUT) 40000 28.71 (+3.03)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 10000 25.31 (-0.33)          Long Day’s Journey Into Night (LDSJN) 25000 0.03 (0.00)          Tony (TONY) 150000 17.81 (+4.11)          Sacrifice (SCRIF) 149000 6.79 (-0.01)          High in the Clouds (HINTC) 149000 9.66 (+0.02)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 149000 3.35 (+0.01)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 40065 42.21 (+1.54)          High in the Clouds (HINTC) 149000 9.66 (+0.02)          Long Day’s Journey Into Night (LDSJN) 75000 0.03 (0.00)          Sacrifice (SCRIF) 149000 6.79 (-0.01)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 60.98 (+0.98)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 149000 36.27 (-0.03)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 40065 42.21 (+1.54)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 149000 3.35 (+0.01)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 14 42.21 (+1.54)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 149000 36.27 (-0.03)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 14 42.21 (+1.54)          Beautiful (BUTIF) 149000 2.46 (-0.01)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 150000 17.09 (-0.08)          Toto (TOTO) 149000 2.07 (+0.01)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 149000 68.87 (-0.25)          Tony (TONY) 150000 17.81 (+4.11)          Tony (TONY) 150000 17.81 (+4.11)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 11076 336.09 (+1.00)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 25.31 (-0.33)          Beautiful (BUTIF) 149000 2.46 (-0.01)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 25000 60.98 (+0.98)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 149000 68.87 (-0.25)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 100000 60.98 (+0.98)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 1000 15.37 (-0.04)          Toto (TOTO) 149000 2.07 (+0.01)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 988 722.74 (+18.69)          Lear Rex (LEREX) 149000 2.84 (0.00)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 149000 27.94 (-0.40)          Lear Rex (LEREX) 149000 2.84 (0.00)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 149000 40.62 (-0.48)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 149000 2.57 (-0.02)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 149000 27.94 (-0.40)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 149000 40.62 (-0.48)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 1000 81.82 (+0.75)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 149000 2.57 (-0.02)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 35.77 (-2.37)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 35.77 (-2.37)          Gundam (GUNDM) 149000 9.89 (+0.02)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 149000 35.77 (-2.37)          Gundam (GUNDM) 149000 9.89 (+0.02)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 60.98 (+0.98)