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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Daniel Wu (DWU) 24999 19.47 (+0.09)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 100000 56.60 (-0.14)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 1117 56.60 (-0.14)          Daniel Wu (DWU) 24999 19.47 (+0.09)          Daniel Wu (DWU) 24999 19.47 (+0.09)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 15000 119.06 (-0.14)          Hugh Bonneville (HBONN) 24999 29.62 (+0.12)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 443.98 (-1.50)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 18.12 (-0.28)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 150000 8.73 (+0.03)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 150000 6.85 (-0.31)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 3.98 (+0.17)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 3.98 (+0.17)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 14.82 (+1.06)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 14.82 (+1.06)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 3.13 (-0.45)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 443.98 (-1.50)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 443.98 (-1.50)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 7.32 (-0.05)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 3.13 (-0.45)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 3.13 (-0.45)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 14.47 (-0.86)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 14.47 (-0.86)          Logan's Run (LOGAN) 150000 3.84 (+0.57)          Logan's Run (LOGAN) 150000 3.84 (+0.57)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 4.26 (+0.72)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 4.26 (+0.72)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 13.32 (+0.86)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 150000 5.16 (-0.03)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 13.32 (+0.86)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 37.36 (+0.03)          Hope (HOPE) 37500 4.26 (+0.72)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 150000 6.49 (-0.18)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 150000 6.49 (-0.18)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 150000 6.85 (-0.31)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 150000 6.85 (-0.31)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 3.13 (-0.45)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 3.13 (-0.45)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 150000 7.42 (-0.36)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 150000 7.42 (-0.36)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 14.47 (-0.86)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 14.47 (-0.86)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 150000 13.13 (+0.47)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 150000 13.13 (+0.47)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 13.32 (+0.86)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 13.32 (+0.86)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 14.82 (+1.06)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 14.82 (+1.06)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy H$15 Put (TMUMY.PU) 25000 2.50 (-0.02)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy H$15 Put (TMUMY.PU) 25000 2.50 (-0.02)