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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Normal (NORML) 10000 16.49 (-0.10)          One Night Only (ONTON) 5000 21.81 (0.00)          Barbarella (BARBA) 5000 25.36 (-0.03)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 1000 94.13 (0.00)          District 10 (DIS10) 55000 13.73 (+0.02)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 1000 93.57 (+0.08)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 150000 7.61 (-0.39)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 10000 119.07 (-0.60)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 75000 358.10 (-0.62)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 50000 16.66 (+0.05)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 95000 16.66 (+0.05)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 100000 12.13 (+1.12)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 25000 180.76 (+0.09)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 235.72 (-0.33)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 20000 547.86 (-0.02)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 12500 210.30 (+0.04)          Michael (MJACK) 50000 187.50 (0.00)          Backrooms (BACRM) 447 35.51 (+0.06)          Crime After Crime (CACRM) 45000 0.01 (0.00)          The Climb (CLIMB) 12000 0.01 (0.00)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 50000 119.07 (-0.60)          Latchkey Kids (LTCHK) 23000 0.01 (0.00)          Idiotka (IDOTK) 10 0.23 (0.00)          McCarthy (MCRTY) 45000 0.01 (0.00)          Mega Man (MGAMN) 28000 0.01 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 212.12 (-1.17)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 212.12 (-1.17)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 150000 3.45 (-0.03)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 150000 14.53 (-0.06)          Varanasi (VARAN) 20000 9.08 (0.00)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 50000 227.79 (0.00)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 182 66.72 (-0.04)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 25000 119.07 (-0.60)