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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 4.10 (+0.64)          Affection (AFECT) 149999 0.17 (-0.01)          The Wizard of the Kremlin (WZKRM) 150000 1.80 (-0.01)          The Wizard of the Kremlin (WZKRM) 150000 1.80 (-0.01)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 150000 154.29 (+0.07)          Rupert Everett (REVER) 25000 2.31 (+0.02)          Paul Rudd (PRUDD) 25000 44.37 (+2.45)          Please (PLESE) 105619 21.50 (+0.48)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 230 47.80 (-0.04)          Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 100000 93.24 (+0.50)          Moana - Opening Weekend (MOAN1.OW) 100000 93.24 (+0.50)          Keegan-Michael Key (KMKEY) 25000 140.58 (-0.36)          Golshifteh Farahani (GFARA) 25000 51.14 (-1.00)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 6.64 (-0.08)          Willem Dafoe (WDAFO) 25000 60.29 (-0.50)          Horsegirls (HRSGR) 150000 0.62 (-0.04)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.00 (+0.01)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 3500 14.02 (+1.72)          Ty Simpkins (TSIMP) 25000 74.69 (-1.25)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 299.06 (-5.83)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 299.06 (-5.83)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 13.64 (+0.92)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 8.87 (-0.04)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 115.00 (0.00)          Sophie Wilde (SWILD) 25000 32.54 (-0.13)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 14.02 (+1.72)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 225.53 (-2.27)          Benny Safdie (BSAFD) 25000 119.09 (+0.33)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 299.06 (-5.83)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 299.06 (-5.83)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 11000 115.00 (0.00)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 26.69 (+1.82)          Kelvin Harrison Jr. (KHARR) 25000 72.67 (0.00)          Rich Flu (RCFLU) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Rich Flu (RCFLU) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Alpha (ALPH1) 150000 1.25 (-0.03)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 25000 48.13 (-0.17)          The Teller (TELER) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Sebastian Stan (SSTAN) 25000 44.32 (0.00)          Josh Gad (JGAD) 25000 124.75 (+0.33)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 299.06 (-5.83)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 299.06 (-5.83)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 115.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 225.53 (-2.27)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 225.53 (-2.27)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 2500 115.00 (0.00)