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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Klara and the Sun - Opening Week (KLARA.OW) 100000 8.74 (-0.18)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 69.80 (-0.67)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 55.36 (-1.69)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 63.68 (+12.11)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 63.68 (+12.11)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 40000 81.25 (+0.44)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Put (KLARA.PU) 25000 2.64 (-0.12)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Put (KLARA.PU) 25000 2.64 (-0.12)          The Flood (FLOOD) 149001 103.05 (-0.43)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 72000 11.44 (+1.77)          Wildwood (WILDW) 19000 26.11 (-0.83)          Fear the Reaper (FREPR) 150000 14.07 (-0.68)          Whalefall (WHALF) 15000 25.98 (-1.11)          The Night House (NITHS) 150000 9.60 (+0.39)          Obey (OBEY) 150000 20.20 (+0.43)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 12000 18.77 (-1.35)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 22000 18.77 (-1.35)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 9.88 (-0.47)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 106000 53.87 (+3.95)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 69.67 (-0.31)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 15.93 (-0.36)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 98000 53.87 (+3.95)          Primetime (PRMTM) 41001 44.67 (+1.03)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 7.18 (-0.12)          Jeremy Strong (JSTRO) 25000 16.22 (-0.60)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 138000 3.03 (-0.06)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 150000 150.90 (-0.16)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 55.36 (-1.69)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 57.19 (-0.95)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Jeremy Strong (JSTRO) 25000 16.22 (-0.60)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 57.19 (-0.95)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 3 15.31 (+0.22)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 55.36 (-1.69)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 927 63.68 (+12.11)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 55.36 (-1.69)          Aaron Sorkin (ASORK) 25000 15.39 (-0.89)          Backrooms 2 (BACR2) 48750 125.27 (+2.00)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Wildwood H$10 Call (WILDW.CA) 25000 2.41 (-0.14)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 63.68 (+12.11)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 150000 146.48 (-1.07)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 150000 146.48 (-1.07)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 150000 94.72 (+0.01)          Verity (VERTY) 15000 64.69 (-3.29)          Verity (VERTY) 20000 64.69 (-3.29)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 10000 48.90 (+1.45)