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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Sicario 3 (SICA3) 149999 16.03 (+0.05)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 30.28 (+0.20)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 30.28 (+0.20)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 149999 16.42 (+0.11)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 10000 50.68 (0.00)          Ghost Soldier - Opening Weekend (ARCNG.OW) 100000 5.13 (0.00)          Ghost Soldier - Opening Weekend (ARCNG.OW) 100000 5.13 (0.00)          Turpentine (TURPN) 10000 7.19 (-0.07)          Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 1000 12.85 (0.00)          Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 5000 12.85 (0.00)          Playmates (PLYMT) 59999 11.60 (-0.05)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 5000 89.47 (-0.01)          Single Female (SIFEM) 10000 20.40 (+0.58)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 9999 5.07 (+0.42)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 3.60 (+0.01)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 10000 20.24 (0.00)          The Debut (DEBUT) 149999 8.97 (-0.02)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 20000 47.49 (-0.02)          King Snake (KSNAK) 149999 10.11 (-0.05)          Playmates (PLYMT) 149999 11.60 (-0.05)          King Conan (CONA2) 2000 56.69 (0.00)          King Conan (CONA2) 3000 56.69 (0.00)          King Conan (CONA2) 3000 56.69 (0.00)          Last Friday (FRID4) 10000 14.42 (-0.56)          Last Friday (FRID4) 20000 14.42 (-0.56)          Last Friday (FRID4) 1 14.42 (-0.56)          Single Female (SIFEM) 10000 20.40 (+0.58)          Nasty (NASTY) 10000 15.79 (+0.63)          Goblin (GBLIN) 20000 23.41 (+0.65)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 3.60 (+0.01)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 4.66 (+0.10)          Slayground (OCTOB) 150000 15.54 (+0.54)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 15.79 (+0.63)          Goblin (GBLIN) 150000 23.41 (+0.65)          Single Female (SIFEM) 150000 20.40 (+0.58)          Single Female (SIFEM) 150000 20.40 (+0.58)          Last Friday (FRID4) 150000 14.42 (-0.56)          Last Friday (FRID4) 150000 14.42 (-0.56)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 5.07 (+0.42)          Turpentine (TURPN) 829 7.19 (-0.07)          Nasty (NASTY) 50000 15.79 (+0.63)          Carla Gugino (CGUGI) 9995 39.11 (0.00)          Carla Gugino (CGUGI) 9995 39.11 (0.00)          Carla Gugino (CGUGI) 3999 39.11 (0.00)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 20000 17.75 (+0.02)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 30000 17.75 (+0.02)          Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 20000 12.85 (0.00)          Turpentine (TURPN) 149999 7.19 (-0.07)          Turpentine (TURPN) 149999 7.19 (-0.07)          Nasty (NASTY) 50000 15.79 (+0.63)