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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 12.21 (+0.12)          Rashida Jones (RJONE) 5000 78.26 (+0.05)          Disclosure Day H$45 Put (SKIES.PU) 25000 2.00 (+0.02)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 3.80 (+0.10)          Renate Reinsve (REREI) 25000 7.25 (+0.05)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 13.27 (+0.06)          Mark Duplass (MDUPL) 25000 19.06 (+0.10)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 9.72 (+0.80)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 114.45 (+4.54)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 50000 10.73 (-0.74)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 114.45 (+4.54)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 91.90 (+2.96)          Branded (BRAND) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Branded (BRAND) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Primetime (PRMTM) 99999 18.56 (-1.15)          Justin Timberlake (JTIMB) 1000 50.08 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 8.94 (+0.20)          Joe Taslim (JTASL) 25000 105.10 (-0.66)          Joe Taslim (JTASL) 25000 105.10 (-0.66)          The Flood (FLOOD) 150000 78.06 (0.00)          Deep Cuts (DPCUT) 12500 14.91 (-0.24)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 25000 21.74 (-0.65)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 100000 185.71 (-1.31)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 15000 218.42 (-2.36)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 149177 148.81 (-1.13)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 149100 148.81 (-1.13)          Obsession (OBSSN) 57451 91.90 (+2.96)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 51.48 (+0.33)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 51.48 (+0.33)          Pressure (PRSUR) 1 14.60 (+0.10)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 1 21.74 (-0.65)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.12 (+0.04)          Obsession (OBSSN) 4 91.90 (+2.96)          Backrooms (BACRM) 100000 114.45 (+4.54)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 150000 2.67 (-0.74)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 22.97 (+0.42)          Archangel aka Price of Freedom a (ARCNG) 150000 16.07 (-0.29)          Chiwetel Ejiofor (CEJIO) 25000 75.23 (+0.25)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 1 185.71 (-1.31)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 21.74 (-0.65)          Backrooms (BACRM) 39 114.45 (+4.54)          Chris Messina (CMESS) 25000 22.11 (0.00)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 25000 27.36 (0.00)          Obsession (OBSSN) 55550 91.90 (+2.96)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Put (HEMAN.PU) 25000 3.68 (+0.03)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Put (HEMAN.PU) 25000 3.68 (+0.03)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Cal (HEMAN.CA) 25000 1.01 (0.00)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 10000 6.58 (-0.07)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Cal (HEMAN.CA) 25000 1.01 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 185.71 (-1.31)