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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Seasons (SEASN) 1 20.00 (0.00)          Mary Oliver: Saved by the Beauty (MOSBW) 1000 0.71 (0.00)          Seasons (SEASN) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 150000 21.98 (-0.10)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 199 39.74 (+0.03)          Buddy (BUDDY) 10458 11.15 (+0.52)          Seasons (SEASN) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Alpha (ALPH1) 1000 0.80 (-0.01)          Seasons (SEASN) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 40.59 (+1.38)          Avatar Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 1000 2.03 (0.00)          Flavia (FLAVI) 30000 2.67 (-0.01)          Portrait of an Artist: Stephen C (POASC) 150000 1.65 (-0.35)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 0.66 (-0.34)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 8.70 (-0.07)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 35.19 (+0.23)          Buddy (BUDDY) 66876 11.15 (+0.52)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 31000 5.80 (0.00)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 59000 6.17 (+0.02)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 25000 62.28 (-0.07)          Fjord (FJORD) 9470 7.64 (+0.06)          Spirit (SPRIT) 30000 2.97 (0.00)          Ghost of Tsushima (GOTSU) 100000 8.62 (-0.03)          Seasons (SEASN) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Fing! (FING) 59000 8.17 (+0.01)          Seasons (SEASN) 1250 20.00 (0.00)          Buddy (BUDDY) 72666 11.15 (+0.52)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 150000 52.37 (+2.11)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 0.66 (-0.34)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 11.15 (+0.52)          Portrait of an Artist: Stephen C (POASC) 150000 1.65 (-0.35)          Cameron Winter at Carnegie Hall (CWACH) 8000 1.44 (-0.06)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 30000 36.37 (+0.19)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 50000 16.24 (-0.10)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 40.59 (+1.38)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 40.59 (+1.38)          Fjord (FJORD) 122530 7.64 (+0.06)          Seasons (SEASN) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Seasons (SEASN) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Roland Emmerich (REMME) 25000 51.34 (0.00)          Fjord (FJORD) 130000 7.64 (+0.06)          Owen Wilson (OWILS) 25000 21.13 (+0.12)          Fjord (FJORD) 18000 7.64 (+0.06)          Clayface (CLAYF) 5000 73.98 (-0.25)          Kevin Hart (KHART) 25000 137.62 (0.00)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 100 8.57 (-0.26)          Seasons (SEASN) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Fjord (FJORD) 20000 7.64 (+0.06)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 100 0.82 (-0.08)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 10000 16.24 (-0.10)