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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 150000 13.50 (+3.50)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 48.31 (-1.41)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 48.31 (-1.41)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Put (SOCI2.PU) 25000 2.63 (+0.63)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 100000 18.14 (-1.86)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.13 (+0.13)          Other Mommy H$25 Put (IATHS.PU) 25000 1.71 (-0.29)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 56.33 (-2.34)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.76 (+0.76)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 56.33 (-2.34)          Heart of the Beast - Opening Wee (HOTBS.OW) 100000 16.46 (+0.64)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 40.28 (+3.96)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 40.28 (+3.96)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.78 (+0.78)          Primetime - Opening Weekend (PRMTM.OW) 20000 13.83 (+0.95)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 6.41 (+0.83)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 150000 13.50 (+3.50)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.76 (+0.76)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 53.99 (+0.15)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 48.31 (-1.41)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 48.31 (-1.41)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 19.05 (+0.56)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 18.57 (+1.09)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 150000 19.46 (+1.78)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 150000 13.50 (+3.50)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 149975 14.72 (-0.08)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 150000 19.46 (+1.78)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 900 34.83 (+0.01)          Donkey (DONKE) 900 153.85 (-0.12)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 22366 13.50 (+3.50)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 17.88 (+1.31)          Green Hornet and Kato (GHKTO) 150000 6.47 (-0.01)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 91684 156.81 (+0.06)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 347.43 (+0.35)          Elon Musk Unveiled: The Tesla Ex (EMUTE) 150000 0.98 (-0.01)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 22727 56.33 (-2.34)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 67.85 (+0.12)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 36.29 (+0.06)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 150000 16.38 (+0.08)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.13 (+0.13)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 149999 40.28 (+3.96)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 66.11 (+0.40)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Put (SOCI2.PU) 25000 2.63 (+0.63)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 100000 18.14 (-1.86)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 150000 9.64 (+0.07)          Other Mommy H$25 Put (IATHS.PU) 25000 1.71 (-0.29)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 150.53 (+0.32)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.76 (+0.76)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.78 (+0.78)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 150000 284.56 (+0.98)