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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 40.77 (-0.06)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 42.96 (-0.15)          Crawl 2 (CRAW2) 7500 11.82 (+3.16)          Crawl 2 (CRAW2) 150000 11.82 (+3.16)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 6.61 (-2.03)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 6.61 (-2.03)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Justice Smith (JUSMI) 1000 81.06 (+0.24)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 67.11 (+3.85)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 79.89 (-1.73)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 45000 184.20 (-0.73)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 45000 184.20 (-0.73)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 15000 75.34 (-0.82)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Put (FLWVS.PU) 25000 4.36 (+0.06)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 100000 25.01 (+0.08)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 35000 17.49 (-5.56)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 60000 17.49 (-5.56)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 15000 450.70 (+3.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 5000 450.70 (+3.00)          Jane (JANE1) 64999 10.91 (+0.53)          Eddie Marsan (EMARS) 25000 7.14 (+0.15)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 900 34.07 (-3.04)          High in the Clouds (HINTC) 900 9.64 (-0.06)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 150000 17.17 (-0.02)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 150000 17.17 (-0.02)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 6.61 (-2.03)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 77777 6.61 (-2.03)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 6.61 (-2.03)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 100000 17.49 (-5.56)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 6.61 (-2.03)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 1 38.33 (-11.35)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 33.96 (+2.13)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 33.96 (+2.13)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 149999 16.66 (+1.76)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 3.20 (+0.03)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 17.49 (-5.56)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 149999 38.33 (-11.35)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 38.33 (-11.35)          Crawl 2 (CRAW2) 150000 11.82 (+3.16)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 38.33 (-11.35)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 8.11 (+0.45)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 25000 7.67 (+0.05)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 17.49 (-5.56)          Glenn Close (GCLOS) 25000 7.59 (+0.05)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 38.33 (-11.35)