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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Bill Hader (BHADE) 25000 72.26 (-0.11)          Queen at Sea (QUASE) 402 0.27 (0.00)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 100000 29.35 (-0.35)          Xochitl Gomez (XGOME) 25000 113.48 (-1.34)          Xochitl Gomez (XGOME) 25000 113.48 (-1.34)          NAR (NAR) 4491 0.27 (0.00)          NAR (NAR) 520 0.27 (0.00)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 10000 37.66 (-0.86)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 10000 260.10 (+1.11)          I Play Rocky - Opening Weekend (IPROC.OW) 100000 16.77 (+0.14)          7 Dogs (7DOGS) 4993 0.27 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.PU) 25000 1.75 (+0.15)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.CA) 25000 3.60 (+0.33)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 100000 92.76 (+0.72)          7 Dogs (7DOGS) 169 0.27 (0.00)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 149995 20.06 (-0.59)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 150000 9.95 (+0.16)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 149999 31.21 (+0.83)          The Beloved (TBLOV) 4988 0.26 (-0.01)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 150000 31.21 (+0.83)          Kathryn Hahn (KHAHN) 2000 91.79 (-0.48)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 149999 29.90 (+1.78)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 149995 9.04 (-0.11)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 150000 29.90 (+1.78)          The Beloved (TBLOV) 525 0.26 (-0.01)          The Musical (MSCAL) 199 0.24 (-0.02)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 150000 29.90 (+1.78)          The Musical (MSCAL) 1301 0.24 (-0.02)          Bill Hader (BHADE) 5000 72.26 (-0.11)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 149999 17.05 (+0.63)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 17.05 (+0.63)          They Know (TKNOW) 149995 15.13 (+2.06)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.27 (-0.03)          Dragon (DRAGO) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.27 (-0.03)          Peaches (PEACH) 298 0.23 (0.00)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.27 (-0.03)          Turpentine (TURPN) 50000 7.02 (-0.51)          Peaches (PEACH) 902 0.23 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 2.75 (-0.05)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 2.75 (-0.05)          Dragon (DRAGO) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          California Schemin' (CASHM) 297 0.21 (0.00)          California Schemin' (CASHM) 803 0.21 (0.00)          Shout It Out Loud (SHIOL) 50000 12.02 (+0.08)          Kent State (KENTS) 6994 0.20 (0.00)          Shout It Out Loud (SHIOL) 50000 12.02 (+0.08)          Kent State (KENTS) 94 0.20 (0.00)          Sienna Miller (SMILL) 25000 12.35 (-0.10)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 16.77 (-0.20)