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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 50000 50.85 (-1.01)          Passenger (PSNGR) 150000 21.99 (-0.24)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 25000 48.48 (-0.16)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 23.37 (+0.30)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 40000 220.33 (-1.02)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 8.72 (+1.43)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 14.15 (+0.24)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 8.72 (+1.43)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 50000 26.94 (-0.03)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 9990 23.89 (+1.12)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 14.15 (+0.24)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 150000 4.22 (-0.57)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 8.31 (+0.10)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 150000 4.22 (-0.57)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 150000 4.22 (-0.57)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100000 47.26 (+3.18)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100000 47.26 (+3.18)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 23.89 (+1.12)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 150000 4.22 (-0.57)          The Freshening (FRSHN) 150000 2.93 (-0.02)          Backrooms (BACRM) 18810 93.76 (+4.21)          Pressure (PRSUR) 50000 14.15 (+0.24)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 150000 3.44 (-0.08)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 149990 8.72 (+1.43)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 8.22 (+0.54)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 50000 23.37 (+0.30)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 150000 3.44 (-0.08)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 188.24 (-3.06)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 50000 23.37 (+0.30)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 149999 188.24 (-3.06)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 50000 23.37 (+0.30)          Backrooms (BACRM) 103007 93.76 (+4.21)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 50000 23.37 (+0.30)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 23.37 (+0.30)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 50000 23.37 (+0.30)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 23.37 (+0.30)          Backrooms H$20 Put (BACRM.PU) 25000 0.08 (-0.04)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 50000 23.37 (+0.30)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 8.22 (+0.54)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 50000 220.33 (-1.02)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 1829 3.22 (+0.59)          The Get Out aka Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 8.71 (-0.63)          Pressure (PRSUR) 50000 14.15 (+0.24)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100000 47.26 (+3.18)          Pressure (PRSUR) 50000 14.15 (+0.24)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 20.28 (+0.16)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 8.72 (+1.43)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 8.72 (+1.43)          Pressure (PRSUR) 50000 14.15 (+0.24)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100000 47.26 (+3.18)