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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 1.94 (-0.06)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.14 (+0.14)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 10.02 (+0.02)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 40.20 (+0.14)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.02 (+0.02)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.01 (+0.01)          Lice (LICE) 150000 3.83 (-0.17)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 302.74 (0.00)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.54 (+0.33)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 50000 17.99 (+0.48)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 100000 13.54 (+0.33)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.87 (+0.59)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 27.70 (+0.19)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.89 (-0.01)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 29.55 (-0.14)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 50000 39.69 (+0.03)          Clayface (CLAYF) 149999 90.38 (+0.26)          Lice (LICE) 150000 3.83 (-0.17)          Please (PLESE) 150000 22.23 (+0.41)          Please (PLESE) 149999 22.23 (+0.41)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 7.26 (+0.42)          Buddy (BUDDY) 149999 7.26 (+0.42)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 17.50 (+0.48)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 149999 17.50 (+0.48)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 17.99 (+0.48)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 149999 17.99 (+0.48)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.87 (+0.59)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 149999 9.87 (+0.59)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 15.27 (+0.18)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 50000 29.55 (-0.14)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.54 (+0.33)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 27.70 (+0.19)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.87 (+0.59)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.87 (+0.59)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 5000 12.49 (0.00)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 10000 12.43 (0.00)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 5000 12.43 (0.00)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 10000 23.73 (0.00)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 150000 7.97 (+0.20)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 9000 23.73 (0.00)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 1 105.05 (0.00)          Hexed (HEXED) 1000 120.32 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 1000 79.54 (0.00)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 65 43.84 (0.00)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 60 56.61 (0.00)          Milly Alcock (MALCO) 260 64.88 (-0.01)          Michael Sarnoski (MSARN) 40 55.15 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 206.16 (-0.01)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 23 17.99 (+0.48)