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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Highlander (HIGHL) 40000 38.66 (-1.43)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 1 12.21 (-0.54)          Verity (VERTY) 149999 63.53 (+0.29)          Clifford the Big Red Dog 2 (CTBR2) 10000 0.29 (-0.01)          Billion Dollar Spy (BDSPY) 100000 3.62 (-0.06)          Clifford the Big Red Dog 2 (CTBR2) 10000 0.29 (-0.01)          Empire City (EMPCT) 100000 13.23 (-0.08)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 19.77 (+0.54)          Baby Driver 2 (BDRV2) 7743 1.72 (0.00)          Kung Fu Soccer (KFSOC) 150000 1.24 (-0.02)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 61.27 (-0.39)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 16.80 (-0.21)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 150000 0.78 (-0.03)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 16.80 (-0.21)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 9.00 (+0.03)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 34.33 (+0.30)          Swamp Thing (SWAMP) 98625 17.06 (+0.03)          Playmates (PLYMT) 50000 9.33 (+1.51)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 149187 14.68 (+0.12)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 100000 4.83 (-0.74)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 16.51 (+0.02)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 1 4.83 (-0.74)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 1 4.83 (-0.74)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 26.32 (0.00)          In a Violent Nature 2 (IAVN2) 100000 4.83 (-0.74)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 813 14.68 (+0.12)          Arena (ARENA) 150000 3.79 (-0.56)          Highlander (HIGHL) 150000 38.66 (-1.43)          Highlander (HIGHL) 150000 38.66 (-1.43)          Wet (WET) 50601 5.36 (-0.64)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.35 (-0.12)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 15.35 (-0.12)          Summoner (SMONR) 150000 15.43 (+0.37)          Summoner (SMONR) 150000 15.43 (+0.37)          The Night House (NITHS) 150000 10.15 (+0.41)          The Night House (NITHS) 150000 10.15 (+0.41)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 74.21 (+1.85)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 74.21 (+1.85)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 9.33 (+1.51)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 9.33 (+1.51)          Backrooms 2 (BACR2) 150000 128.19 (+0.83)          Backrooms 2 (BACR2) 150000 128.19 (+0.83)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 19.77 (+0.54)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 74.21 (+1.85)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 16.80 (-0.21)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 19.77 (+0.54)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 2500 120.85 (+0.11)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 16.80 (-0.21)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 19.77 (+0.54)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 74.21 (+1.85)