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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Oceans (OCEN5) 3000 56.57 (-0.06)          NAR (NAR) 150000 0.61 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 3000 234.46 (-0.17)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 1435 37.18 (-0.15)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 3000 198.65 (-0.01)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 4000 159.69 (-0.18)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 15.20 (+1.24)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 12222 239.56 (+6.10)          Kent State (KENTS) 150000 0.70 (-0.02)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 21435 37.18 (-0.15)          Kick 2 (KICK2) 150000 0.25 (+0.01)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 120000 37.68 (0.00)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 12.94 (+2.80)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 15.20 (+1.24)          Paddington 4 (PADT4) 145000 37.18 (-0.15)          Moana (MOAN1) 10000 120.21 (-2.23)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Sophie Okonedo (SOKON) 16907 34.64 (-0.08)          The Wager (WAGER) 25000 14.60 (-0.17)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 150000 36.77 (+0.09)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 20000 69.79 (+0.34)          Moana (MOAN1) 12 120.21 (-2.23)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 387.13 (+8.58)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 120.21 (-2.23)          Moana (MOAN1) 10000 120.21 (-2.23)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 15000 67.74 (-1.22)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 98667 239.56 (+6.10)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 387.13 (+8.58)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 15000 387.13 (+8.58)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 12.94 (+2.80)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 15000 67.74 (-1.22)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle 2 (DSIC2) 150000 96.91 (-1.00)          Naughty (NAUTY) 150000 27.05 (-0.76)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 25000 156.53 (+1.49)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 46.41 (+2.26)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 18.28 (-2.30)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 23.54 (-0.50)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 1 18.28 (-2.30)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 3000 225.84 (-0.96)          Everytime (EVRTM) 100000 0.34 (-0.18)          Not Alone (NTALN) 4000 108.96 (+0.31)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 4000 160.27 (-0.26)          Gatto (GATTO) 4000 136.63 (+0.53)          Winston Duke (WDUKE) 25000 168.24 (+2.00)          Ryan Coogler (RCOOG) 25000 168.24 (+1.50)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 4000 89.88 (+1.50)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 7000 119.15 (+0.23)          Hexed (HEXED) 7000 123.01 (-0.18)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 19895 239.56 (+6.10)