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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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David Oyelowo (DOYEL) 25000 11.77 (+0.10)          Drag (DRAG) 3 5.76 (+0.49)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 5.76 (+0.49)          Chiwetel Ejiofor (CEJIO) 25000 74.82 (-0.25)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 50000 19.12 (-0.36)          The Brand aka Branded (BRAND) 30000 3.45 (-0.16)          Beanie Feldstein (BFELD) 25000 38.48 (-0.12)          The Angry Birds Movie 3 (ANGR3) 6000 39.76 (0.00)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 59999 21.55 (-0.06)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 99999 9.50 (-0.04)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 110000 9.50 (-0.04)          Takashi Yamazaki (TYAMA) 25000 46.42 (+0.16)          Turpentine (TURPN) 60000 7.33 (+0.34)          Ron Howard (RHOWA) 25000 51.35 (+0.16)          Drag (DRAG) 30000 5.76 (+0.49)          Denzel Washington (DWASH) 25000 73.44 (-0.50)          Denzel Washington (DWASH) 25000 73.44 (-0.50)          Star Wars: Episode X (STRW1) 17500 123.09 (+0.03)          Teyonah Parris (TPARR) 25000 38.36 (+0.12)          Viola Davis (VDAVI) 25000 112.35 (+0.34)          Andrew Scott (ANSCO) 25000 39.34 (-0.12)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 15000 244.11 (+0.11)          Natalie Portman (NPORT) 25000 97.78 (+0.25)          Anna Sawai (ASAWA) 25000 85.40 (-0.25)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 149999 9.50 (-0.04)          Sylvia Hoeks (SHOEK) 25000 27.26 (+0.12)          The Hole (THHOL) 149999 6.86 (-0.18)          Amandla Stenberg (ASTEN) 24995 66.65 (+0.24)          They Know (TKNOW) 1 15.25 (-0.64)          They Know (TKNOW) 40000 15.25 (-0.64)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 149999 5.53 (+0.43)          Drag (DRAG) 149999 5.76 (+0.49)          Constantine (CNST2) 150000 33.13 (-0.62)          Constantine (CNST2) 150000 33.13 (-0.62)          Finn Wittrock (FWITT) 25000 9.21 (-0.04)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 7.20 (+0.37)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 2382 6.66 (0.00)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 150000 18.06 (+0.47)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 150000 4.38 (+0.46)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 5 1.51 (-0.01)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 24995 1.51 (-0.01)          Steve Buscemi (SBUSC) 5 10.77 (+0.09)          Steve Buscemi (SBUSC) 24999 10.77 (+0.09)          The Brand aka Branded (BRAND) 1 3.45 (-0.16)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 7.20 (+0.37)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 149999 7.20 (+0.37)          King (KING) 150000 3.60 (+0.37)          King (KING) 149999 3.60 (+0.37)          Amanda Seyfried (ASEYF) 24995 37.66 (+0.12)          They Know (TKNOW) 350 15.25 (-0.64)