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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Passenger H$10 Put Fri-Mon (PSNGR.PU) 25000 1.82 (-0.18)          Passenger H$10 Call Fri-Mon (PSNGR.CA) 25000 2.10 (+0.10)          Passenger - Opening Weekend Fri- (PSNGR.OW) 100000 9.51 (-0.49)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Leader (LEADR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 666 7.32 (+1.60)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.32 (+1.60)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.32 (+1.60)          The Leader (LEADR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 49.42 (+2.41)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          King Snake (KSNAK) 1111 13.08 (-0.46)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          The Leader (LEADR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          I Swear (ISWEA) 150000 2.51 (+0.01)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.32 (+1.60)          Omaha (OMAHA) 150000 0.08 (+0.02)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.32 (+1.60)          Two Pianos (2PINO) 150000 0.33 (+0.02)          The Last Resort (TLRSR) 65000 4.42 (-0.53)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 100000 6.84 (-0.05)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 4.08 (+0.03)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 17.63 (+0.15)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 11897 2.50 (0.00)          Desert Warrior (DSRTW) 150000 0.83 (-0.01)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 50000 4.39 (+0.38)          Desert Warrior (DSRTW) 150000 0.83 (-0.01)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 50000 4.39 (+0.38)          Wasteman (WASTE) 150000 0.08 (+0.01)          Panda Plan 2: The Magical Tribe (PPLA2) 150000 0.42 (+0.01)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 50000 4.39 (+0.38)          Mile End Kicks (MILEK) 150000 0.55 (+0.02)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 50000 4.39 (+0.38)          Lorne (LORNE) 150000 0.98 (+0.02)          Amrum (AMRUM) 150000 0.13 (+0.02)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 50000 4.39 (+0.38)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 103767 49.42 (+2.41)          Newborn (SOLIT) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 50000 4.39 (+0.38)          Jimmy O. Yang: Finally Home (JOYFH) 150000 0.26 (+0.01)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 150000 36.09 (+2.18)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 50000 3.91 (+0.45)          Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 100000 0.85 (-0.02)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 50000 3.91 (+0.45)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 50000 3.91 (+0.45)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 50000 3.91 (+0.45)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 50000 3.91 (+0.45)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 50000 3.91 (+0.45)