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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 12.16 (+1.00)          Marty Supreme (MRTSU) 150000 45.36 (-1.59)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 25000 118.09 (-0.38)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 14500 67.39 (-0.18)          Forbidden Fruits (FRBDF) 115000 1.86 (-0.14)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 15000 114.72 (+1.33)          High Side (HISID) 25000 43.14 (-2.34)          High Side (HISID) 30000 43.14 (-2.34)          Fellowship (FELWS) 25000 18.36 (+1.04)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 10000 114.72 (+1.33)          Brad Bird (BBIRD) 25000 171.08 (+1.40)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 44.37 (+0.40)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 44.37 (+0.40)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 28.54 (-0.44)          Ke Huy Quan (KHQUA) 25000 131.74 (-2.34)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 28.54 (-0.44)          John Leguizamo (JLEGU) 25000 87.03 (0.00)          Home (HOME1) 150000 14.02 (+1.43)          Josh Gad (JGAD) 25000 117.95 (+0.33)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 10.85 (-0.07)          The Legend of Aang: The Last Air (ATLA1) 150000 24.21 (-0.69)          The Legend of Aang: The Last Air (ATLA1) 150000 24.21 (-0.69)          Anaconda H$30 Call (ANAC3.CA) 25000 0.53 (-0.04)          Anaconda H$30 Put (ANAC3.PU) 25000 4.94 (+0.10)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 1615 9.81 (-0.01)          Manny Jacinto (MJACI) 25000 29.03 (+0.25)          Anaconda - Opening Weekend (ANAC3.OW) 40000 24.08 (-0.24)          Zootopia 2 $285M Blockbuster War (ZOOT2.BW) 25000 6.40 (+0.13)          Sing 3 (SING3) 1000 56.62 (-0.05)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 5000 126.48 (+0.10)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 450 537.18 (+0.57)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 1000 142.92 (+0.28)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 9999 6.35 (+0.39)          The Pinkerton (PNKRT) 150000 7.98 (+0.03)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 12000 226.32 (-0.84)          Lili Reinhart (LREIN) 10 35.72 (-0.28)          Song Sung Blue H$10 Call (SSBLU.CA) 25000 2.55 (-0.01)          Forbidden Fruits (FRBDF) 90000 1.86 (-0.14)          Marty Supreme H$10 Call (MRTSU.CA) 25000 4.20 (0.00)          Forbidden Fruits (FRBDF) 150000 1.86 (-0.14)          Danny Glover (DGLOV) 25000 55.65 (-0.33)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 232 42.70 (+0.17)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 142.06 (-1.35)          Danny Trejo (DTREJ) 25000 112.37 (-0.34)          Marion Cotillard (MCOTI) 25000 16.17 (+0.30)          Anaconda - Opening Weekend (ANAC3.OW) 100000 24.08 (-0.24)          Anaconda H$30 Put (ANAC3.PU) 25000 4.94 (+0.10)          David (DAVID) 150000 75.60 (+0.76)          David (DAVID) 150000 75.60 (+0.76)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 10 68.69 (+0.65)