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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 5.93 (-0.20)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 5.93 (-0.20)          Angourie Rice (ARICE) 25000 128.72 (+0.66)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 108.15 (-0.67)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 108.15 (-0.67)          G.I. Joe (GIJO4) 149999 26.35 (+0.76)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 394.21 (+6.62)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 7174 123.61 (+0.38)          Gatto (GATTO) 31596 137.13 (+0.50)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 149900 13.95 (+0.06)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 31.22 (+1.22)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 140000 38.65 (+0.09)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 16.42 (-0.08)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 131706 24.08 (+0.01)          G.I. Joe (GIJO4) 149999 26.35 (+0.76)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 43.75 (-2.77)          NDA (NDA) 150000 6.96 (-0.08)          NDA (NDA) 150000 6.96 (-0.08)          Zero A.D.: The Birth of Christ (BTLHM) 150000 27.89 (+1.11)          Tender Loving Care (TLVCR) 50000 1.55 (-0.03)          The Fix aka Hotel Tehran (HTHRN) 50000 8.49 (-0.06)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 1 37.28 (-0.47)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 16.49 (+1.05)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 1 10.97 (-0.04)          NDA (NDA) 150000 6.96 (-0.08)          NDA (NDA) 150000 6.96 (-0.08)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 10000 37.28 (-0.47)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 5.93 (-0.20)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 150000 5.93 (-0.20)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 1000 48.03 (+0.17)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 25000 35.09 (+0.13)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 1 10.97 (-0.04)          Werwulf (WERWU) 150000 74.48 (+0.15)          Alejandro Monteverde (ALMON) 25000 46.29 (+0.66)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 31.22 (+1.22)          Sam Worthington (SWORT) 25000 61.15 (+0.50)          The Partner (PRTNR) 1 31.22 (+1.22)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 31.22 (+1.22)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 5000 70.16 (+0.22)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 37500 39.06 (-0.29)          The Partner (PRTNR) 19006 31.22 (+1.22)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 22000 265.98 (+1.07)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 37500 47.91 (-0.03)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 37500 44.53 (+0.03)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 37500 43.83 (-0.11)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 149999 19.72 (+1.58)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 5 70.16 (+0.22)          The Uprising (THOOD) 8 9.36 (+0.01)          Broadsword (BROSW) 37500 44.32 (-0.17)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 6.10 (+1.10)