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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Flood (FLOOD) 1500 64.77 (+0.20)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 37027 196.33 (+0.99)          The Flood (FLOOD) 150000 64.77 (+0.20)          King Snake (KSNAK) 100000 13.93 (+0.91)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 7.15 (+0.48)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.05 (-0.35)          White Elephant (WELEP) 100000 16.88 (-0.48)          The Flood (FLOOD) 150000 64.77 (+0.20)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 127503 196.33 (+0.99)          The Flood (FLOOD) 1710 64.77 (+0.20)          The Flood (FLOOD) 100 64.77 (+0.20)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 50 379.34 (+0.50)          The Flood (FLOOD) 149995 64.77 (+0.20)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 3 156.35 (0.00)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 102.45 (+0.08)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 53.94 (+0.15)          The Flood (FLOOD) 150000 64.77 (+0.20)          Embers (EMBER) 144267 3.84 (-0.16)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 5000 200.59 (-0.01)          Embers (EMBER) 150000 3.84 (-0.16)          The Flood (FLOOD) 150000 64.77 (+0.20)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.05 (-0.35)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 12965 102.45 (+0.08)