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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Kung Fu Soccer (KFSOC) 1000 1.72 (0.00)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 25000 11.11 (+0.63)          Kung Fu Soccer (KFSOC) 1 1.72 (0.00)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 2.92 (-0.02)          Dear You (DEARU) 150000 1.62 (-0.02)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 44.60 (+0.11)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.76 (+0.91)          Fing! (FING) 150000 7.44 (+0.47)          Stages (STGES) 25000 8.69 (-0.52)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 20000 14.51 (+1.07)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 30000 18.86 (-0.02)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 25000 35.86 (+0.01)          Summoner (SMONR) 25000 19.78 (+0.80)          Summoner (SMONR) 100000 19.78 (+0.80)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.76 (+0.91)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 150000 11.11 (+0.63)          Stages (STGES) 149267 8.69 (-0.52)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 14.51 (+1.07)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 25000 102.78 (+1.69)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 21.84 (-0.02)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.76 (+0.91)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 6.10 (+0.33)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 102.78 (+1.69)          Summoner (SMONR) 150000 19.78 (+0.80)          The Basics of Philosophy (TBOPH) 150000 2.10 (+0.01)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 102.78 (+1.69)          Stages (STGES) 150000 8.69 (-0.52)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 60000 11.11 (+0.63)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.76 (+0.91)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 20000 102.78 (+1.69)          Onslaught H$10 Put Fri-Mon (ONSLT.PU) 25000 2.64 (0.00)          Onslaught H$10 Call Fri-Mon (ONSLT.CA) 25000 1.37 (0.00)          Onslaught - Opening Weekend Fri- (ONSLT.OW) 100000 8.88 (0.00)          Aaron Pierre (APIER) 207 139.97 (0.00)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 40000 102.78 (+1.69)          By Any Means H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CI34.PU) 25000 2.53 (0.00)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 25000 1.12 (-0.01)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 100000 9.03 (+0.01)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 150000 15.56 (-1.13)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 14.51 (+1.07)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 102.78 (+1.69)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 150000 102.78 (+1.69)          Samara Weaving (SAWEA) 25000 6.94 (-0.05)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 25000 155.16 (+0.50)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 4.56 (+0.26)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 149999 4.56 (+0.26)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 24999 59.31 (+0.16)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 25000 27.45 (+0.12)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 25000 27.45 (+0.12)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 25000 149.23 (-1.50)