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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Onslaught - Opening Weekend Fri- (ONSLT.OW) 100000 8.66 (-0.03)          Sam Mendes (SMEND) 1 127.29 (+0.33)          Samo Lives (SAMOL) 150000 0.15 (+0.02)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 1000 21.49 (+1.49)          Gwendoline Christie (GCHRI) 25000 2.61 (+0.02)          The Odyssey $465M Blockbuster Wa (ODYSE.BW) 4000 15.38 (+0.01)          After This Death (AFTDH) 150000 0.21 (+0.01)          Onslaught - Opening Weekend Fri- (ONSLT.OW) 10000 8.66 (-0.03)          By Any Means - Opening Weekend F (CI34.OW) 10000 8.93 (+0.07)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 13.94 (+1.22)          Marion Cotillard (MCOTI) 25000 14.78 (0.00)          Jermaine Fowler (JFOWL) 1000 3.44 (0.00)          Kathryn Newton (KNEWT) 1000 88.93 (+0.26)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 10000 72.36 (+0.79)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 21.49 (+1.49)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 150000 13.15 (+0.10)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 5000 1.74 (-0.02)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 400 97.14 (+0.34)          Snoop (SNOOP) 1000 37.65 (0.00)          Doug Liman (DLIMA) 25000 50.50 (-0.16)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 62000 23.46 (0.00)          Andy Muschietti (AMUSC) 25000 166.33 (-0.50)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 250 71.88 (-1.09)          Karl Urban (KURBA) 25000 108.20 (-0.66)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 150000 192.00 (-0.92)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 61.83 (-0.24)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 13.94 (+1.22)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 6.26 (+0.58)          Michael Shannon (MISHA) 20000 33.04 (-0.10)          Ghost Market (ONOGM) 150000 106.41 (+0.07)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 150000 21.49 (+1.49)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 150000 66.18 (-0.19)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 150000 274.32 (+1.14)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 400 1.61 (0.00)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 57.18 (+0.10)          Family Movie (FAMOV) 150000 7.08 (-0.87)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 105.20 (-0.88)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 150000 4.83 (-0.02)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 150000 35.68 (-0.10)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 150000 272.20 (+1.00)          Untitled Event Film Directed By (UEFDD) 150000 72.38 (-0.33)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 2.82 (+0.10)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 2.82 (+0.10)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 150000 265.83 (+2.12)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 238.02 (-0.84)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 149999 50.36 (-1.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 15046 8.74 (-0.06)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 50.36 (-1.00)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 50.36 (-1.00)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 26.94 (+0.16)