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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 1.76 (-0.29)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 5 11.34 (-0.05)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 26 13.40 (-0.31)          Wicker (WCKER) 100000 14.95 (+2.43)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 7 48.25 (-0.28)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 14 7.22 (-0.08)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 6 1.89 (+0.01)          The Wild Robot Escapes (TWRB2) 6 31.41 (+0.18)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 56 7.16 (-0.03)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 12 16.97 (+0.20)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 4 8.88 (-0.02)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 6 170.87 (+0.88)          Wicker (WCKER) 9999 14.95 (+2.43)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 5 49.44 (-0.15)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          White Elephant (WELEP) 3 11.82 (-0.02)          White Elephant (WELEP) 3 11.82 (-0.02)          White Elephant (WELEP) 3 11.82 (-0.02)          Single Female (SIFEM) 150000 19.14 (-0.08)          White Lies (WHTLI) 3 11.44 (-0.02)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 8 25.66 (+0.17)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 320 57.94 (-0.25)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 25000 78.27 (-0.99)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 63 32.34 (-0.03)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 347 6.96 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero - Opening We (GODM2.OW) 100000 37.76 (-0.23)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 400 31.35 (-0.13)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 7 163.17 (-0.50)          Phoebe Waller-Bridge (PWALL) 5 92.97 (-0.25)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 7 162.14 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Call (GODM2.CA) 25000 2.75 (-0.26)          Kiernan Shipka (KSHIP) 5 81.21 (-0.25)          Kiernan Shipka (KSHIP) 5 81.21 (-0.25)          Himesh Patel (HPATE) 6 70.82 (-0.25)          Sophie Thatcher (STHAT) 65 18.88 (-0.10)          Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 10 62.33 (-0.50)          Jessica Henwick (JHENW) 14 11.15 (-0.10)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Call (TCATH.CA) 25000 1.78 (-0.47)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 13 78.27 (-0.99)          Maude Apatow (MAPAT) 10 24.77 (-0.25)          Maude Apatow (MAPAT) 65 24.77 (-0.25)          Aaron Sorkin (ASORK) 99 13.73 (-0.20)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 3 124.76 (+0.33)          Jack Whitehall (JAWHI) 3 59.38 (+0.16)          Rachel Brosnahan (RBROS) 4 105.72 (+0.33)          Julia Butters (JBUTT) 4 80.03 (+0.25)          Nico Bravo (NBRVO) 150000 49.46 (+4.26)          Jaume Collet-Serra (JCSER) 4 79.79 (+0.25)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 1.30 (-0.01)