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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 8.55 (-0.06)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 8.55 (-0.06)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 6000 31.73 (+0.13)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 6000 31.73 (+0.13)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 8.55 (-0.06)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 8.55 (-0.06)          King (KING) 10000 2.81 (0.00)          King (KING) 10000 2.81 (0.00)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 10000 8.41 (-0.09)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 10000 8.41 (-0.09)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 10000 28.63 (-0.54)          Zero A.D. aka Bethlehem (BTLHM) 10000 28.63 (-0.54)          Mr. Irrelevant: The John Tuggle (MREVL) 8000 17.81 (-0.02)          Mr. Irrelevant: The John Tuggle (MREVL) 8000 17.81 (-0.02)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 10000 33.57 (-0.27)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 10000 33.57 (-0.27)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 20000 5.67 (-0.06)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 20000 5.67 (-0.06)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 10000 5.19 (-0.03)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 10000 5.19 (-0.03)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 10000 48.05 (-0.40)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 10000 48.05 (-0.40)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 10000 83.85 (-0.10)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 10000 83.85 (-0.10)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 10000 5.75 (+0.02)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 10000 5.75 (+0.02)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 10000 52.07 (-0.60)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 10000 52.07 (-0.60)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Happy Hour (HPYHR) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Gatto (GATTO) 9000 122.67 (-0.31)          Gatto (GATTO) 9000 122.67 (-0.31)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 10000 12.55 (+0.02)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 10000 12.55 (+0.02)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 10000 19.45 (-0.08)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 10000 19.45 (-0.08)          Digger (DIGER) 126309 120.57 (+0.36)          Digger (DIGER) 126309 120.57 (+0.36)          Varanasi (VARAN) 10000 8.02 (-0.01)          Varanasi (VARAN) 10000 8.02 (-0.01)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 50000 14.11 (+0.07)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 50000 14.11 (+0.07)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 149950 5.50 (+0.84)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 149950 5.50 (+0.84)          Varanasi (VARAN) 10000 8.02 (-0.01)          Varanasi (VARAN) 10000 8.02 (-0.01)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 50000 14.11 (+0.07)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 50000 14.11 (+0.07)          Get Lite (GETLT) 10000 17.42 (-0.07)          Get Lite (GETLT) 10000 17.42 (-0.07)