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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 28.13 (-4.48)          Jodie Comer (JCOME) 25000 46.20 (0.00)          Colin Hanks (CHANK) 25000 58.23 (0.00)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Lena Headey (LHEAD) 6999 8.36 (-0.05)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 27.34 (+0.39)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 27.34 (+0.39)          Russell Crowe (RCROW) 9999 9.89 (0.00)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 6 145.29 (0.00)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 993 145.29 (0.00)          Harry Shum Jr. (HSHUM) 993 49.66 (0.00)          Harry Shum Jr. (HSHUM) 1999 49.66 (0.00)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 824 10.06 (+0.45)          Adam Sandler (ASAND) 9996 97.37 (-0.25)          Adam Sandler (ASAND) 9996 97.37 (-0.25)          Morena Baccarin (MBACC) 25000 65.57 (-0.25)          Adam Sandler (ASAND) 999 97.37 (-0.25)          Melanie Lynskey (MLYNS) 9995 4.00 (0.00)          Melanie Lynskey (MLYNS) 1993 4.00 (0.00)          Fernando Meirelles (FMEIR) 1999 9.65 (-0.05)          Fernando Meirelles (FMEIR) 2999 9.65 (-0.05)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          La Bola Negra aka The Black Ball (LBNEG) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          John Krasinski (JKRAS) 24999 132.91 (+1.33)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 7000 424.63 (-1.80)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 1000 109.11 (-6.00)          The Debut (DEBUT) 30000 5.95 (-0.07)          The Debut (DEBUT) 150000 5.95 (-0.07)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 11.13 (-1.10)          Buds (BUDS) 15000 39.55 (+0.04)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 11.13 (-1.10)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 471 136.65 (-0.11)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 424.63 (-1.80)          Welcome to the Jungle (WLCM3) 150000 0.77 (-0.08)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 109.11 (-6.00)          Couture (STCHS) 150000 1.27 (0.00)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 4.28 (+0.31)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 28.13 (-4.48)          The Get Out (BEARC) 150000 2.56 (+0.03)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 424.63 (-1.80)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 1 66.89 (+6.89)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 66.89 (+6.89)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          La Bola Negra aka The Black Ball (LBNEG) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          La Bola Negra aka The Black Ball (LBNEG) 149995 1.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)