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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 4.58 (+0.30)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100000 27.06 (+1.47)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 9.72 (+1.06)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 1000 4.58 (+0.30)          Iman Vellani (IVELL) 25000 30.56 (-0.11)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 50000 27.06 (+1.47)          Adam Scott (ASCOT) 25000 27.73 (-0.10)          Power Ballad - Opening Weekend (PWRBL.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Andrea Riseborough (ARISE) 25000 3.71 (-0.15)          Andrea Riseborough (ARISE) 25000 3.71 (-0.15)          Masters of the Universe - Openin (HEMAN.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Couture (STCHS) 4000 2.03 (+0.09)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          I Love Boosters - Opening Weeken (ILBOS.OW) 100000 6.04 (+0.18)          Scary Movie H$35 Put (SCAR6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Put (HEMAN.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Cal (HEMAN.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Oasis Reunion (OASIS) 120000 15.91 (+0.60)          Oasis Reunion (OASIS) 90000 15.91 (+0.60)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Power Ballad - Opening Weekend (PWRBL.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Cal (HEMAN.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe - Openin (HEMAN.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          I Love Boosters - Opening Weeken (ILBOS.OW) 100000 6.04 (+0.18)          Unidentified (UNIDF) 150000 0.39 (+0.01)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 20000 9.72 (+1.06)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 20000 9.72 (+1.06)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 20000 9.72 (+1.06)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 9.32 (-0.10)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 9.32 (-0.10)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 150000 12.54 (-0.27)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie H$35 Put (SCAR6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Passenger - Opening Weekend Fri- (PSNGR.OW) 100000 8.98 (+0.42)          I Love Boosters - Opening Weeken (ILBOS.OW) 100000 6.04 (+0.18)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 9.72 (+1.06)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 9.72 (+1.06)          Couture (STCHS) 150000 2.03 (+0.09)          Passenger - Opening Weekend Fri- (PSNGR.OW) 100000 8.98 (+0.42)          Couture (STCHS) 150000 2.03 (+0.09)          Passenger H$10 Call Fri-Mon (PSNGR.CA) 25000 1.06 (+0.16)          Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 200 42.09 (+1.17)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 25000 150.30 (-1.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 99999 101.00 (-2.61)          CBS: Marshals (YMARSH) 24000 10.03 (+0.13)