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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Odyssey $465M Blockbuster Wa (ODYSE.BW) 3651 5.00 (0.00)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 6.78 (+0.18)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 6.78 (+0.18)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 6.41 (+0.18)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 6.41 (+0.18)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 127.20 (0.00)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 127.20 (0.00)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 40.56 (+0.45)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 40.56 (+0.45)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 3.52 (+0.33)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 3.52 (+0.33)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 74.17 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 74.17 (0.00)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 54.95 (0.00)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.23 (+0.42)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 54.95 (0.00)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.23 (+0.42)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 14.19 (+0.48)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 14.19 (+0.48)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Put (FLWVS.PU) 25000 4.43 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Put (FLWVS.PU) 25000 4.43 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Call (FLWVS.CA) 25000 0.87 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Call (FLWVS.CA) 25000 0.87 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 100000 23.71 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 100000 23.71 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 500 33.20 (0.00)          Tom Holland (TOHOL) 25000 148.12 (+0.33)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie H$20 (PAWP3.PU) 25000 2.77 (0.00)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie H$20 (PAWP3.PU) 25000 2.77 (0.00)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie - Ope (PAWP3.OW) 100000 23.55 (0.00)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie - Ope (PAWP3.OW) 100000 23.55 (0.00)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie H$20 (PAWP3.CA) 25000 1.91 (0.00)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie H$20 (PAWP3.CA) 25000 1.91 (0.00)          Naruto (NARUT) 20000 27.93 (-0.60)          Naruto (NARUT) 25000 27.93 (-0.60)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 5000 14.11 (+0.30)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 10000 2.31 (-0.04)          The Debut (DEBUT) 10000 7.99 (+0.26)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 10000 12.53 (+0.31)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 2.52 (0.00)          Zi (ZI) 2 1.01 (0.00)          Zi (ZI) 2 1.01 (0.00)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 10000 14.19 (+0.48)          One Night Only (ONTON) 10 16.19 (+0.15)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 16.19 (+0.15)          Mutiny - Opening Weekend (MUTNY.OW) 100000 9.46 (-0.08)          Nimrods (NIMRD) 149999 2.74 (0.00)          Mutiny - Opening Weekend (MUTNY.OW) 100000 9.46 (-0.08)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 20000 10.38 (+0.31)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 14.83 (+0.57)