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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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John Lithgow (JLITH) 25000 24.30 (-0.50)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 13.00 (+1.18)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 87.37 (-0.24)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 16.89 (+0.96)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 16.89 (+0.96)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 150000 16.02 (+0.12)          Mamoudou Athie (MATHI) 25000 96.78 (+0.50)          Mamoudou Athie (MATHI) 25000 96.78 (+0.50)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 150000 16.02 (+0.12)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 80.38 (+1.36)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 150000 25.71 (+0.20)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 150000 25.71 (+0.20)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 6.81 (+0.41)          Michael - Opening Weekend (MJACK.OW) 100000 68.75 (+0.30)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 13.00 (+1.18)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 16.94 (+1.36)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 898 233.20 (-0.07)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 16.94 (+1.36)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 80.38 (+1.36)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 15.17 (+0.83)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 80.38 (+1.36)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 11.63 (+1.27)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 11.63 (+1.27)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 149999 234.52 (+0.66)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 187.39 (+1.69)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 50000 73.50 (-0.21)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 17.39 (+0.52)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 30897 233.20 (-0.07)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 3100 16.94 (+1.36)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 100000 239.02 (0.00)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 24100 29.00 (-0.21)          Cookie Queens (COKIQ) 150000 1.82 (-0.18)          Michael (MJACK) 29039 187.39 (+1.69)          Michael - Opening Weekend (MJACK.OW) 79290 68.75 (+0.30)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 50000 15.17 (+0.83)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 42632 73.50 (-0.21)          The Angry Birds Movie 3 (ANGR3) 150000 37.06 (-0.23)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 16.89 (+0.96)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 187.39 (+1.69)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 6.59 (+0.07)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 149999 6.86 (-0.02)          Michael (MJACK) 30221 187.39 (+1.69)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 13.00 (+1.18)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 11.63 (+1.27)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 149999 7.41 (+0.05)          Michael (MJACK) 149999 187.39 (+1.69)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 6.81 (+0.41)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 150000 6.78 (-0.05)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 6.81 (+0.41)          Fuze (FUZE) 149999 8.44 (+0.07)