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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 94.97 (+0.71)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 326.01 (+1.92)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 545 94.97 (+0.71)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 4444 94.97 (+0.71)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 44.66 (+4.66)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 6.80 (+0.60)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 44.66 (+4.66)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 267.64 (-4.72)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 12500 7.37 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 196.54 (-2.80)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 4000 88.74 (-1.27)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 56.78 (-0.58)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 10000 12.82 (+0.59)          42.6 Years (426YR) 50000 8.33 (+1.09)          Scary Movie H$35 Put (SCAR6.PU) 25000 1.47 (+0.08)          Scary Movie H$35 Put (SCAR6.PU) 25000 1.47 (+0.08)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 40.42 (+0.88)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 40.42 (+0.88)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 44.66 (+4.66)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 500 20.00 (0.00)          The Breadwinner H$10 Put (BREDW.PU) 25000 2.35 (+0.04)          The Breadwinner - Opening Weeken (BREDW.OW) 100000 10.09 (+0.35)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 20565 94.97 (+0.71)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 9375 267.64 (-4.72)          The Breadwinner H$10 Call (BREDW.CA) 25000 1.58 (-0.02)          The Peasant (TPSNT) 150000 17.39 (+0.15)          The Peasant (TPSNT) 150000 17.39 (+0.15)          The Peasant (TPSNT) 150000 17.39 (+0.15)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 15555 196.54 (-2.80)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 5847 339.90 (+1.45)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 15.46 (+0.02)          Backrooms (BACRM) 54555 74.49 (+2.80)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 3137 94.97 (+0.71)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 35000 178.04 (+0.47)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 22222 196.54 (-2.80)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 25000 9.00 (-0.06)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 267.64 (-4.72)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 6.80 (+0.60)          Moana (MOAN1) 25000 238.15 (+1.56)          Backrooms H$20 Put (BACRM.PU) 25000 0.71 (-0.12)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 5.95 (+0.49)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 24999 196.54 (-2.80)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 267.64 (-4.72)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 6.80 (+0.60)          Daisy Ridley (DRIDL) 25000 4.43 (+0.10)