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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 100000 11.50 (+0.82)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 150000 3.99 (+0.30)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 150000 11.50 (+0.82)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 150000 3.99 (+0.30)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 1000 8.50 (+0.56)          Michael (MJACK) 50000 211.68 (+0.01)          Michael (MJACK) 50000 211.68 (+0.01)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 2 9.41 (0.00)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 2 9.41 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 50000 211.68 (+0.01)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 1 164.48 (0.00)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 1 164.48 (0.00)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 11.90 (-0.54)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 5.92 (-0.29)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 11.90 (-0.54)          It Ends (ITNDS) 60000 5.92 (-0.29)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 5.92 (-0.29)          It Ends (ITNDS) 70000 5.92 (-0.29)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 50000 35.69 (-0.03)          Control (COTRL) 2 6.31 (+0.14)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 11.90 (-0.54)          Control (COTRL) 2 6.31 (+0.14)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 11.90 (-0.54)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 3 9.82 (+0.21)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 149999 4.30 (+0.14)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 3 9.82 (+0.21)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 30000 9.69 (-0.23)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 2 3.99 (+0.30)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 2 3.99 (+0.30)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 4.30 (+0.14)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 50000 53.14 (-0.04)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 10 4.33 (+0.29)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 150000 11.50 (+0.82)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 10 4.33 (+0.29)          Jane (JANE1) 60000 12.71 (+0.65)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 150000 11.50 (+0.82)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 5.92 (-0.29)          Passenger (PSNGR) 149999 28.65 (+0.99)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 5.92 (-0.29)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 20000 11.90 (-0.54)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 50000 11.90 (-0.54)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.50 (+0.56)          Adrift (ADRIF) 1 1.79 (0.00)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 9.69 (-0.23)          Adrift (ADRIF) 1 1.79 (0.00)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.50 (+0.56)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 10000 7.92 (-0.08)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 1 20.36 (0.00)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 9.82 (+0.21)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 9.69 (-0.23)