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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 1103 57.49 (+0.20)          Carnival: At the End of Days (CAEOD) 10000 9.87 (-0.01)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 7.17 (+0.37)          Logan's Run (LOGAN) 149999 3.53 (+0.43)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 7.17 (+0.37)          Chili Finger (CHILF) 150000 4.16 (+0.92)          Chili Finger (CHILF) 150000 4.16 (+0.92)          Logan's Run (LOGAN) 150000 3.53 (+0.43)          Logan's Run (LOGAN) 150000 3.53 (+0.43)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 457.77 (-2.25)          The Incomer (INCOM) 150000 0.75 (+0.02)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 150000 217.80 (-2.61)          Michael - Opening Weekend (MJACK.OW) 100000 67.65 (-0.20)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 150000 8.75 (+0.02)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Star Trek (TREK4) 100000 21.84 (-0.06)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 12.06 (+0.06)          Wife & Dog (WIFDG) 150000 14.79 (+0.10)          Rachel Sennott (RSENN) 25000 6.80 (-0.05)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 1 15.56 (+1.37)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 30000 15.56 (+1.37)          The Worst (TWORS) 1 7.25 (+0.20)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 150000 36.78 (+0.03)          The Worst (TWORS) 50000 7.25 (+0.20)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 20000 15.56 (+1.37)          Sweat (SWEAT) 150000 8.91 (+0.30)          The Worst (TWORS) 50000 7.25 (+0.20)          Chili Finger (CHILF) 1 4.16 (+0.92)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 150000 36.78 (+0.03)          Chili Finger (CHILF) 25000 4.16 (+0.92)          Sweat (SWEAT) 25000 8.91 (+0.30)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 4.96 (-0.02)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 4.06 (+0.39)          The Worst (TWORS) 25000 7.25 (+0.20)          Chili Finger (CHILF) 25000 4.16 (+0.92)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 15.56 (+1.37)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 75000 8.39 (-0.12)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.80 (+0.40)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 5.41 (+0.47)          Chili Finger (CHILF) 25000 4.16 (+0.92)          The Worst (TWORS) 25000 7.25 (+0.20)          Sweat (SWEAT) 25000 8.91 (+0.30)          Chili Finger (CHILF) 150000 4.16 (+0.92)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 1 17.74 (-0.60)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 4.96 (-0.02)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 25000 17.74 (-0.60)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 150000 13.64 (+1.63)          Normal - Opening Weekend (NORML.OW) 100000 4.93 (0.00)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 1000 10.50 (-0.15)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 3.89 (+0.25)