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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 149999 25.53 (+0.06)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 25000 3.45 (-0.39)          Ibelin (IBELN) 25000 5.58 (-0.47)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 25000 7.26 (-0.53)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 25000 17.09 (-0.66)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 19423 54.72 (+0.09)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 3000 268.47 (-0.23)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1000 268.47 (-0.23)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 99999 353.81 (-0.50)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1000 268.47 (-0.23)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 100000 67.07 (+0.09)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 5000 67.07 (+0.09)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 100000 227.97 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 60929 232.17 (+0.28)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 5000 96.71 (-0.76)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 5000 471.99 (+1.88)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 150000 48.48 (-0.02)          You, Me & Tuscany H$10 Put (ITLIA.PU) 25000 2.51 (+0.02)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy H$15 Call (TMUMY.CA) 25000 2.98 (+0.03)          Welcome to the Jungle (WLCM3) 150000 0.30 (+0.02)          Hexed (HEXED) 150000 106.22 (+0.83)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 2.81 (-0.02)          Get Lite (GETLT) 150000 17.19 (+0.06)          Fantasy Life (FNTLF) 150000 0.85 (+0.02)          You, Me & Tuscany H$10 Call (ITLIA.CA) 25000 1.39 (0.00)          Heads or Tails (HDOTL) 150000 0.58 (-0.02)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 150000 9.33 (+0.01)          Possession (PSESN) 132813 32.80 (-1.17)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 10000 552.02 (+0.30)          Hoppers $140M Blockbuster Warran (HOPPR.BW) 25000 9.12 (+0.06)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 10000 326.38 (+0.05)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 100 16.97 (+1.02)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 10000 220.79 (+0.03)          You, Me & Tuscany (ITLIA) 150000 24.08 (-0.08)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 1 471.99 (+1.88)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 100000 471.99 (+1.88)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 774 76.75 (+0.54)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 3000 96.71 (-0.76)          Hypno-Hustler (HYPHU) 1 5.75 (0.00)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy H$15 Put (TMUMY.PU) 25000 2.26 (+0.03)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy H$15 Call (TMUMY.CA) 25000 2.98 (+0.03)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy - Opening (TMUMY.OW) 100000 16.61 (+0.06)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 9.84 (+0.02)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 24000 471.99 (+1.88)          K-Pop Superstar (KPOPM) 150000 36.68 (+0.13)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 1937 471.99 (+1.88)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 16.97 (+1.02)          Maatrubhumi aka Battle Of Galwan (BGALW) 150000 1.27 (+0.08)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 10000 41.94 (+1.85)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 186 309.17 (-0.35)