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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Wildwood H$10 Put (WILDW.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Wildwood H$10 Call (WILDW.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jessica Rothe (JROTH) 25000 8.17 (-0.15)          Clayface - Opening Weekend (CLAYF.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Ali G: Who Iz I? - Opening Weeke (ALIG2.OW) 10000 5.00 (0.00)          Clayface H$25 Put (CLAYF.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Night House (NITHS) 1000 8.00 (0.00)          Clayface H$25 Call (CLAYF.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Billy Magnussen (BMAGN) 15000 74.88 (+0.10)          Wildwood H$10 Put (WILDW.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Last Friday (FRID4) 150000 7.23 (+2.58)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 190 14.17 (-0.07)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 50500 26.98 (-2.14)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 16.85 (-0.74)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 100 31.96 (-0.06)          Wildwood H$10 Call (WILDW.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Long Day’s Journey Into Night (LDSJN) 150000 0.01 (0.00)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 100 31.96 (-0.06)          Clayface - Opening Weekend (CLAYF.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 149999 16.85 (-0.74)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 190 8.86 (0.00)          Wildwood - Opening Weekend (WILDW.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 19.98 (-0.02)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 1000 8.93 (-0.02)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 25000 30.07 (-2.67)          Starman (STARM) 150000 13.06 (-0.14)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 1000 8.93 (-0.02)          Ali G: Who Iz I? - Opening Weeke (ALIG2.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 10000 60.34 (+0.22)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 7 16.55 (+0.10)          The Night House (NITHS) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Put (KLARA.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 100 16.85 (-0.74)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Call (KLARA.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 2500 8.13 (+0.24)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 8 13.87 (-0.09)          The Housewife (THSWF) 16 1.57 (-0.02)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 100 16.85 (-0.74)          Klara and the Sun - Opening Week (KLARA.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 169.06 (-0.04)          Babies (BBIES) 10000 17.24 (-0.19)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 35 169.06 (-0.04)          Clayface H$25 Put (CLAYF.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Clayface H$25 Call (CLAYF.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 99 2.00 (-0.03)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 20000 60.34 (+0.22)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 15 2.00 (-0.03)          Clayface - Opening Weekend (CLAYF.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 49500 60.34 (+0.22)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 40000 60.34 (+0.22)