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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 82031 56.14 (+0.35)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 7.85 (+0.30)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 5.09 (+0.01)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 113.98 (-0.74)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 113.98 (-0.74)          Rich Flu (RCFLU) 1 0.02 (0.00)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 152.38 (-0.83)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 152.38 (-0.83)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 5000 23.47 (-3.88)          The Furious (FURIS) 50000 4.70 (+0.78)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 22815 14.88 (+0.06)          A Talent for Murder aka Switzerl (SWITZ) 2000 2.57 (-0.68)          The Furious (FURIS) 50000 4.70 (+0.78)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 10000 80.75 (+0.01)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 10000 30.94 (0.00)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 10000 20.91 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 14432 44.54 (-0.22)          Whalefall (WHALF) 900 37.92 (+0.70)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 14.52 (+0.08)          James Cameron (JCAME) 25000 108.95 (0.00)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 50000 12.65 (+0.02)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 16.04 (+0.05)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 8.10 (-0.07)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 34.18 (-0.01)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 25000 2.05 (-0.03)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 384.12 (+0.75)          Primetime (PRMTM) 1 23.96 (+0.73)          Primetime (PRMTM) 40000 23.96 (+0.73)          Outer Dark (OTDRK) 10000 7.01 (0.00)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 10000 7.76 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 20000 23.96 (+0.73)          Runner (RUNNR) 40000 14.52 (+0.08)          Milly Alcock (MALCO) 5000 66.53 (+0.01)          Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle 2 (DSIC2) 10000 99.03 (+0.01)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 10000 7.76 (0.00)          Whalefall (WHALF) 125000 37.92 (+0.70)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 10000 12.12 (0.00)          Passenger (PSNGR) 150000 18.52 (-0.31)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 134.78 (-1.03)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 134.78 (-1.03)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 10000 9.00 (-0.01)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 10000 7.50 (-0.02)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 23.47 (-3.88)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Cal (TDORH.CA) 25000 1.06 (-0.08)          Elle Fanning (EFANN) 25 52.51 (0.00)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 23.47 (-3.88)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 10000 8.12 (-0.02)          The Invite (TINVT) 5000 19.83 (+0.06)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 145000 4.62 (-0.11)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 7.85 (+0.30)