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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 507 3.02 (-0.78)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 80000 21.66 (-0.01)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 4230 3.02 (-0.78)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 12.99 (+0.42)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 11000 21.66 (-0.01)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 270 3.02 (-0.78)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Starman (STARM) 204 13.87 (-0.74)          The Weight (THEWT) 30000 8.57 (+0.01)          Starman (STARM) 204 13.87 (-0.74)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 30000 5.77 (-0.01)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 32 15.00 (0.00)          Spring Breakers 2: Salvation Mou (SPBR2) 150000 7.43 (+1.25)          Digger (DIGER) 85 83.26 (-0.91)          Digger (DIGER) 315 83.26 (-0.91)          Digger (DIGER) 1992 83.26 (-0.91)          Spring Breakers 2: Salvation Mou (SPBR2) 150000 7.43 (+1.25)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 5 208.96 (-1.00)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 10000 43.30 (+0.26)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 55.58 (+2.47)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 105 208.96 (-1.00)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 55.58 (+2.47)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 102 260.97 (-1.00)          Beware Boiuna (BOUNA) 50000 21.66 (-0.01)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 2 260.97 (-1.00)          Digger (DIGER) 28008 83.26 (-0.91)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 792 51.08 (-1.06)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 808 51.08 (-1.06)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 16.55 (+0.84)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 50000 44.94 (-0.03)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 500 82.83 (-1.49)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 1000 82.83 (-1.49)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 55.58 (+2.47)          Primetime (PRMTM) 1003 32.09 (-1.54)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 55.58 (+2.47)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 31000 1.67 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 1003 32.09 (-1.54)          Paradise Lost (PLOST) 33318 15.00 (0.00)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 150000 54.46 (+3.63)          Helldivers (HELDV) 103 103.09 (-1.78)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 150000 54.46 (+3.63)          Helldivers (HELDV) 97 103.09 (-1.78)          World War Hulk (THLK2) 198 35.35 (-2.12)          World War Hulk (THLK2) 198 35.35 (-2.12)          Ebon Moss-Bachrach (EMBAC) 25000 79.99 (-0.25)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 150000 54.46 (+3.63)          Union County (UNINC) 96 0.45 (0.00)          Union County (UNINC) 697 0.45 (0.00)