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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 150000 63.08 (+1.76)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 150000 63.08 (+1.76)          Backrooms (BACRM) 100 56.21 (+0.89)          Scary Movie H$35 Put (SCAR6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 25 223.52 (+0.49)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Cal (HEMAN.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 33.95 (+0.33)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 150000 34.35 (-0.27)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 33.95 (+0.33)          Scary Movie H$35 Put (SCAR6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 150000 34.35 (-0.27)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Put (HEMAN.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Cal (HEMAN.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 150000 0.69 (+0.02)          Underland (UNDRL) 150000 0.52 (+0.13)          Chum (CHUM) 150000 1.36 (+0.05)          Smile 3 (SMIL3) 2000 21.72 (-0.02)          Rich Flu (RCFLU) 150000 0.35 (+0.28)          Look Back (LKBAC) 150000 1.70 (-0.30)          November 1963 (NOV63) 25000 6.00 (0.00)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 25000 10.16 (-0.13)          Backrooms H$20 Put (BACRM.PU) 25000 1.33 (-0.08)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 4.51 (+0.23)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 10000 233.16 (+0.60)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100000 26.55 (+0.96)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 75000 8.67 (-0.10)          Scary Movie H$35 Put (SCAR6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Werwulf (WERWU) 10000 69.88 (+0.23)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 20000 119.62 (+0.66)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Werwulf (WERWU) 25000 69.88 (+0.23)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 8000 84.29 (0.00)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 20000 119.62 (+0.66)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 20000 233.16 (+0.60)          Here Comes the Flood (HCTFL) 50000 0.05 (-0.02)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 2284 127.34 (-0.14)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 100 118.95 (-0.15)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 5000 382.09 (+0.15)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 500 267.44 (+0.49)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 25000 132.45 (-0.07)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 100 93.46 (+0.09)          Helldivers (HELDV) 500 113.09 (-0.15)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 25000 101.09 (+0.26)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 500 135.44 (-0.08)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 500 114.19 (-0.22)