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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 120000 17.07 (+0.90)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 75000 12.52 (+2.39)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 3.00 (-0.03)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 750 149.87 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 30576 61.79 (-2.94)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          Sacrifice (SCRIF) 100 5.89 (+0.03)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 1.92 (-0.25)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 1.92 (-0.25)          Starman (STARM) 25000 15.41 (-0.12)          Suicide by Sunlight (SCBSL) 10000 4.47 (-0.01)          Starman (STARM) 25000 15.41 (-0.12)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 25000 8.51 (-1.61)          Suicide by Sunlight (SCBSL) 10000 4.47 (-0.01)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 25000 8.51 (-1.61)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 16.96 (-0.02)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          Drew Starkey (DSTAR) 25000 18.59 (-0.54)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Put (SOCI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Put (SOCI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy H$25 Put (IATHS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy H$25 Put (IATHS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Put (SOCI2.PU) 1000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy H$25 Put (IATHS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 338 25.00 (0.00)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 150000 12.52 (+2.39)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Put (SOCI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 150000 12.52 (+2.39)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 150000 12.52 (+2.39)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 22500 49.79 (-1.77)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 25000 20.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Put (SOCI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Exiles (EXILE) 150000 1.76 (-0.24)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 25000 25.00 (0.00)          Queen at Sea (QUASE) 5000 0.27 (0.00)          Other Mommy H$25 Put (IATHS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Yahya Abdul-Mateen II (YABDU) 25000 57.69 (-1.84)