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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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James Bond 26 (JB26) 750 164.75 (+1.28)          Aaron Eckhart (AECKH) 2000 14.01 (+0.31)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 60000 2.69 (-0.01)          Aaron Eckhart (AECKH) 2000 14.01 (+0.31)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 146808 40.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 148.80 (-1.14)          Primetime (PRMTM) 2000 18.86 (-0.85)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 99999 148.80 (-1.14)          Primetime (PRMTM) 2000 18.86 (-0.85)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 1000 40.00 (0.00)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 2000 12.84 (+0.38)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 2000 12.84 (+0.38)          Kenneth Branagh (KBRAN) 25000 118.57 (+0.60)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 115211 51.97 (+1.04)          Kenneth Branagh (KBRAN) 20000 118.57 (+0.60)          Obsession (OBSSN) 49427 94.26 (+5.32)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 15 40.00 (0.00)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 14447 40.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Put (HEMAN.PU) 25000 3.75 (+0.10)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Put (HEMAN.PU) 25000 3.75 (+0.10)          Hotel Tehran (HTHRN) 150000 4.16 (+0.02)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 150000 58.46 (+0.15)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Cal (HEMAN.CA) 25000 1.09 (+0.08)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 60837 40.00 (0.00)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10 136.09 (-0.27)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Cal (HEMAN.CA) 25000 1.09 (+0.08)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 100 40.00 (0.00)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 2.31 (-0.06)          Masters of the Universe H$35 Cal (HEMAN.CA) 25000 1.09 (+0.08)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 150000 180.85 (+0.50)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 119.95 (+0.33)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 5126 40.00 (0.00)          Stuffed (STUFD) 150000 1.26 (+0.01)          Verity (VERTY) 150000 50.18 (+0.27)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 4.29 (-0.12)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 150000 114.22 (+0.49)          This Tempting Madness (TTMAD) 150000 0.60 (+0.01)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 4.29 (-0.12)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 28384 40.00 (0.00)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 150000 1.65 (-0.04)          Masters of the Universe - Openin (HEMAN.OW) 100000 31.79 (-0.45)          Masters of the Universe - Openin (HEMAN.OW) 100000 31.79 (-0.45)          Justin Theroux (JTHER) 25000 124.11 (+0.33)          Disclosure Day H$45 Put (SKIES.PU) 25000 1.88 (-0.10)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 93.23 (+0.51)          Disclosure Day H$45 Put (SKIES.PU) 25000 1.88 (-0.10)          Mr. Nelson, Did You Kill People? (MNDYK) 150000 1.23 (+0.02)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 42.62 (-0.31)          Zi (ZI) 150000 1.18 (+0.01)