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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Artificial (AIFIC) 149999 13.89 (-0.59)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 14.37 (+0.75)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 149999 17.04 (+0.88)          Star Trek (TREK4) 149980 28.06 (+0.20)          Philly (PHILY) 34999 1.41 (+0.08)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 34999 46.95 (+0.64)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 24999 17.04 (+0.88)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 34999 27.33 (-0.02)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 316 66.64 (0.00)          Runner (RUNNR) 34999 14.37 (+0.75)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 34999 46.95 (+0.64)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 11500 46.95 (+0.64)          Star Trek (TREK4) 5000 28.06 (+0.20)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 150000 17.04 (+0.88)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (TSBDM) 150000 0.08 (+0.04)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (TSBDM) 150000 0.08 (+0.04)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 5000 17.04 (+0.88)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 33491 543.30 (+0.16)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 1 177.05 (+0.66)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 1 276.85 (+0.75)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 350.07 (+0.75)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 278.03 (+0.75)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 150000 124.77 (+0.33)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 177.05 (+0.66)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 150000 276.85 (+0.75)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 150000 46.94 (+0.15)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 150000 276.86 (+0.75)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 150000 169.96 (+0.44)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 150000 639.60 (+0.75)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 123.77 (+0.33)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 104.84 (+0.23)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 90.83 (+0.25)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 100.16 (+0.25)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 6.64 (+0.22)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 6.64 (+0.22)          Star Trek (TREK4) 150000 28.06 (+0.20)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 181.49 (+0.66)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 68.09 (-0.10)          Kick 2 (KICK2) 150000 0.22 (+0.07)          Kick 2 (KICK2) 150000 0.22 (+0.07)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 14.37 (+0.75)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 14.37 (+0.75)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 150000 17.04 (+0.88)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 150000 17.04 (+0.88)