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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 7.18 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 10000 402.28 (-3.88)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 64.04 (+1.29)          Susan Sarandon (SSARA) 25000 19.49 (-0.10)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 245.42 (+1.23)          Steven Yeun (SYEUN) 25000 32.72 (+0.12)          Werwulf (WERWU) 3641 71.51 (-0.92)          Steve McQueen (SMCQU) 132 20.39 (+0.12)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 517 89.86 (+3.20)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 149999 13.89 (+0.05)          Sean Baker (SEBAK) 1 6.23 (0.00)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 7.18 (0.00)          Scott Eastwood (SEAST) 25000 48.38 (0.00)          Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 22567 68.06 (+0.47)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 5.76 (+0.59)          Sarah Silverman (SSILV) 22 51.21 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 10000 81.56 (-0.26)          Sarah Polley (SPOLL) 25000 7.55 (0.00)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 26.02 (+1.02)          Saoirse Ronan (SRONA) 15416 33.58 (+0.32)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 49.67 (0.00)          By Any Means (CI34) 5001 29.54 (-0.02)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 5001 29.51 (-0.05)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 149999 32.21 (-0.07)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 149999 28.90 (+0.07)          Astaire (ASTAI) 5 7.35 (+0.05)          Cruella 2 (CRUL2) 149999 13.51 (+0.02)          Armor Wars (ARMWR) 149999 28.87 (-0.07)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 100.40 (+0.51)          November 1963 (NOV63) 2 6.39 (+0.02)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 500 26.02 (+1.02)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 6.43 (+0.02)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 100000 1.18 (+0.05)          Shiver (SHVER) 1001 89.94 (-0.22)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 3234 402.28 (-3.88)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 100000 198.52 (-15.36)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 24.14 (+0.01)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 54794 21.48 (-0.16)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 149958 26.02 (+1.02)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 26.02 (+1.02)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 216 402.28 (-3.88)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 30026 26.02 (+1.02)          Moana (MOAN1) 12000 217.63 (-2.26)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 150000 15.95 (-0.04)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 5000 198.52 (-15.36)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 2000 198.52 (-15.36)          Moana (MOAN1) 3000 217.63 (-2.26)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 150000 5.73 (+0.06)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 26.02 (+1.02)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 18.71 (-0.15)