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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 150000 84.07 (-1.85)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 41374 705.92 (+2.11)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 29691 272.36 (-3.01)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 14.15 (+0.72)          Hershey (HERSH) 15000 10.57 (-0.58)          Wet (WET) 150000 6.55 (+0.82)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 46.30 (-0.25)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 150000 30.70 (-0.07)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 150000 30.70 (-0.07)          Terrifier 4 (TERF4) 150000 19.14 (0.00)          Terrifier 4 (TERF4) 150000 19.14 (0.00)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 150000 58.35 (+0.10)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 150000 58.35 (+0.10)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 150000 39.05 (+0.06)          Turpentine (TURPN) 10000 6.75 (-0.02)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 150000 30.98 (+0.33)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 150000 30.98 (+0.33)          Turpentine (TURPN) 10000 6.75 (-0.02)          King (KING) 10000 5.11 (+0.15)          King (KING) 10000 5.11 (+0.15)          Cloud Girl (CLOUG) 40000 2.36 (-0.34)          Cloud Girl (CLOUG) 40000 2.36 (-0.34)          Wet (WET) 150000 6.55 (+0.82)          Play House (PLYHS) 129429 17.57 (-0.37)          Preppy (PREPY) 100000 6.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Wet (WET) 150000 6.55 (+0.82)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Put Wed-Sun (HEXED.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law - Opening Weekend (MPRN4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Put Wed-Sun (HEXED.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Put Wed-Sun (HEXED.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Call Wed-Sun (HEXED.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Call Wed-Sun (HEXED.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Put Wed-Sun (HEXED.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun (HEXED.OW) 100000 45.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hershey - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (HERSH.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law - Opening Weekend (MPRN4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Put Wed-Sun (HEXED.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Preppy (PREPY) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Call Wed-Sun (HEXED.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed H$45 Call Wed-Sun (HEXED.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hexed - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun (HEXED.OW) 100000 45.00 (0.00)