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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Octet (OCTET) 100000 21.58 (+0.04)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 139996 24.95 (+0.03)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 149000 406.65 (-1.12)          Lobo (LOBO) 150000 22.86 (+0.04)          Please (PLESE) 149991 21.45 (-0.63)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 15.53 (0.00)          Please (PLESE) 149991 21.45 (-0.63)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 77.56 (+0.81)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 142603 77.56 (+0.81)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 5.92 (-0.38)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 149999 5.92 (-0.38)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.01 (-1.24)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 149999 10.01 (-1.24)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 149999 6.84 (+0.26)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 6.84 (+0.26)          The Get Out (BEARC) 149999 4.72 (+0.29)          The Get Out (BEARC) 150000 4.72 (+0.29)          Control (COTRL) 149999 6.10 (+0.54)          Control (COTRL) 150000 6.10 (+0.54)          Jane (JANE1) 149999 12.39 (+0.70)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 12.39 (+0.70)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 149999 4.93 (+0.33)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 4.93 (+0.33)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 302.74 (+2.24)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 149999 14.19 (+0.76)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 14.19 (+0.76)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 149999 18.51 (+0.82)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 150000 18.51 (+0.82)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 149999 23.49 (+1.11)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 150000 23.49 (+1.11)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 100 391.03 (-0.25)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 100656 302.74 (+2.24)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 6.11 (+0.17)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 6.11 (+0.17)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.91 (-0.09)          David Robert Mitchell (DRMIT) 25000 22.67 (+0.67)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 149999 14.09 (+0.05)          Hexed (HEXED) 7141 118.72 (+0.35)          The Fix aka Hotel Tehran (HTHRN) 150000 5.13 (-0.05)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.91 (-0.09)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 150000 7.86 (-0.34)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 20000 17.22 (+0.02)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 25000 406.65 (-1.12)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10000 119.17 (-0.09)