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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Possession (PSESN) 150000 38.82 (-0.15)          Possession (PSESN) 1 38.82 (-0.15)          Logan Lerman (LLERM) 1999 40.09 (0.00)          Logan Lerman (LLERM) 1999 40.09 (0.00)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 149998 9.52 (+0.15)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 70000 7.23 (-0.03)          Sweat (SWEAT) 75000 8.89 (-0.12)          Sweat (SWEAT) 99999 8.89 (-0.12)          The Worst (TWORS) 99999 7.23 (-0.11)          The Worst (TWORS) 100000 7.23 (-0.11)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 30536 75.10 (+0.04)          Sweat (SWEAT) 2 8.89 (-0.12)          Possession (PSESN) 100000 38.82 (-0.15)          Sweat (SWEAT) 2 8.89 (-0.12)          Ibelin (IBELN) 100000 6.10 (+0.29)          10 Lives (10LIV) 2 2.05 (0.00)          10 Lives (10LIV) 2 2.05 (0.00)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 149999 7.80 (+0.15)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 150000 5.67 (+0.14)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 1 9.38 (-0.09)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 150000 7.80 (+0.15)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 1 9.38 (-0.09)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 3 7.23 (-0.03)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 150000 5.67 (+0.14)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 3 7.23 (-0.03)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 60000 13.94 (+0.42)          The Furious (FURIS) 99999 5.53 (+0.29)          The Worst (TWORS) 1 7.23 (-0.11)          The Worst (TWORS) 1 7.23 (-0.11)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 70000 4.54 (+0.30)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 38.82 (-0.15)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 4.54 (+0.30)          In the Grey (NGREY) 3 21.16 (+0.03)          In the Grey (NGREY) 150000 21.16 (+0.03)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 3 5.67 (+0.14)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 3 5.67 (+0.14)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 3 8.36 (+0.08)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 3 8.36 (+0.08)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 9.52 (+0.15)          Tom and Jerry: The Forbidden Com (TMJR2) 3 21.12 (+0.12)          Tom and Jerry: The Forbidden Com (TMJR2) 3 21.12 (+0.12)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 9.52 (+0.15)          Possession (PSESN) 50000 38.82 (-0.15)          Peaked (PEAKD) 149998 15.29 (+0.29)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 149999 17.76 (+0.52)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 86000 17.76 (+0.52)          Peaked (PEAKD) 149999 15.29 (+0.29)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 15.29 (+0.29)          Billion Dollar Spy (BDSPY) 150000 6.13 (+0.15)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 150000 9.38 (-0.09)