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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Paddington 4 (PADT4) 20000 35.02 (-0.04)          Sense and Sensibility - Opening (SNSNS.OW) 100000 5.09 (+0.09)          Invertigo (INVRT) 150000 18.72 (-0.07)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 6.89 (+0.09)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 2500 13.16 (-0.03)          Street Fighter H$35 Call (STFTR.CA) 25000 1.85 (-0.15)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 1 71.24 (+0.98)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 900 43.57 (-0.05)          Mr. Irrelevant (MREVL) 2500 30.81 (-0.03)          Deeper (DEPER) 40000 31.32 (-0.06)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 150000 71.24 (+0.98)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 1 10.30 (+0.05)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 15000 234.49 (-0.21)          Helldivers (HELDV) 50000 99.44 (-0.09)          Whalefall H$15 Call (WHALF.CA) 25000 1.94 (-0.06)          Greenhouse aka The Uninhabitable (GRENH) 1 19.70 (+0.42)          Street Fighter H$35 Call (STFTR.CA) 25000 1.85 (-0.15)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 30000 52.23 (-0.23)          Greenhouse aka The Uninhabitable (GRENH) 150000 19.70 (+0.42)          Falling (FLLNG) 150000 0.87 (+0.02)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 5000 22.91 (-0.04)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 322 6.60 (-0.15)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 100000 7.11 (+0.23)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 100000 71.24 (+0.98)          Hal (HALD) 25000 5.31 (-0.69)          Verity (VERTY) 378 68.76 (-0.03)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 150000 10.30 (+0.05)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 150000 10.30 (+0.05)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 1500 243.20 (-0.17)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 5000 46.19 (-0.46)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 10000 46.19 (-0.46)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 1500 11.83 (-0.89)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 25000 11.83 (-0.89)          Star Wars: Episode X (STRW1) 10 116.12 (0.00)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 6.89 (+0.09)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 6.89 (+0.09)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 55.36 (-0.97)          One Italian Summer (1ITAS) 349 28.82 (+1.12)          Hal (HALD) 25000 5.31 (-0.69)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 25000 11.83 (-0.89)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 25000 11.60 (+0.97)          Hal (HALD) 100000 5.31 (-0.69)          Fjord (FJORD) 150000 5.91 (-0.03)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 100000 11.60 (+0.97)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 150000 11.83 (-0.89)          Hal (HALD) 25000 5.31 (-0.69)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 124.78 (+0.55)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 124.78 (+0.55)          Street Fighter - Opening Weekend (STFTR.OW) 100000 34.50 (-0.50)          Street Fighter H$35 Put (STFTR.PU) 25000 2.27 (+0.27)