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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 5000 115.74 (-1.04)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 1 51.41 (+0.43)          Iman Vellani (IVELL) 25000 33.50 (-0.25)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 3999 13.97 (-0.77)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 7000 262.26 (-1.25)          Summoner (SMONR) 10000 17.20 (+1.38)          Kevin James (KJAME) 25000 89.28 (+0.25)          Hexed (HEXED) 4000 114.19 (-1.77)          Jane Levy (JLEVY) 25000 13.50 (-1.10)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 10000 85.78 (+5.78)          Jane Levy (JLEVY) 25000 13.50 (-1.10)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 19.94 (-0.06)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 40000 16.72 (+0.09)          Nicholas Hoult (NHOUL) 25000 97.88 (+0.50)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 3 112.81 (+0.05)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          NBC: Newlyweds (NEWWED) 25000 10.29 (-0.28)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 19.94 (-0.06)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 10000 37.21 (-0.18)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 150000 85.78 (+5.78)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 10000 683.29 (+1.93)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 9000 112.81 (+0.05)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 10000 9.86 (-0.01)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 1252 12.57 (+0.18)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 4 260.67 (+0.53)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 4 683.29 (+1.93)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 21.57 (+3.83)          The Debut (DEBUT) 5 8.66 (+0.03)          Zero A.D.: The Birth of Christ (BTLHM) 6 34.67 (-0.15)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 21.57 (+3.83)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 130000 12.57 (+0.18)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 8 127.28 (-0.71)          Hexed (HEXED) 18 114.19 (-1.77)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 3963 10.42 (+0.08)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 6 15.04 (+0.16)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 51.41 (+0.43)          Josephine (JSPHN) 5 5.89 (+0.02)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 10.42 (+0.08)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 80 13.97 (-0.77)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 21 52.83 (-0.86)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 1498 15.04 (+0.16)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 28 79.44 (+1.71)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 149000 15.04 (+0.16)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 15 1.96 (-0.02)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 1623 16.22 (+0.14)          Wildwood (WILDW) 10 26.63 (-0.24)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 76.07 (-1.56)          Wildwood (WILDW) 10 26.63 (-0.24)          A Talent for Murder (SWITZ) 30 4.78 (-0.12)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 1 85.78 (+5.78)