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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Jane (JANE1) 50000 12.04 (+1.54)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 14.91 (+0.82)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 12.04 (+1.54)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 3000 13.31 (-1.29)          Runner (RUNNR) 800 14.91 (+0.82)          Mamoudou Athie (MATHI) 25000 97.12 (+0.34)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 11.38 (-0.87)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 6.75 (-0.75)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 13.31 (-1.29)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 1000 90.86 (+0.25)          Clayface (CLAYF) 45000 77.29 (+0.93)          Clayface (CLAYF) 3167 77.29 (+0.93)          Jane (JANE1) 25000 12.04 (+1.54)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.PU) 25000 1.98 (-0.02)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.CA) 25000 2.24 (+0.24)          Fleur (FLEUR) 25000 6.75 (-0.75)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 25000 148.70 (+0.66)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 2000 113.17 (+0.56)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 20000 44.41 (+0.81)          Fleur (FLEUR) 25000 6.75 (-0.75)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 25000 11.38 (-0.87)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 25000 15.03 (-0.91)          Michael - Opening Weekend (MJACK.OW) 100000 70.95 (+0.30)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 25000 13.31 (-1.29)          Himesh Patel (HPATE) 2000 49.73 (+0.01)          Mortal Kombat II H$40 Call (MKMB2.CA) 25000 2.14 (+0.14)          Miranda Otto (MOTTO) 25000 12.72 (-0.10)          Mortal Kombat II - Opening Weeke (MKMB2.OW) 100000 40.66 (+0.66)          Matt Bettinelli-Olpin (MBETT) 25000 54.93 (+0.16)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.CA) 25000 2.24 (+0.24)          The Sheep Detectives - Opening W (3BAGF.OW) 100000 14.89 (-0.11)          Hoppers $140M Blockbuster Warran (HOPPR.BW) 5000 10.82 (+0.15)          The Sheep Detectives H$15 Put (3BAGF.PU) 25000 1.94 (-0.06)          Brendan Gleeson (BGLEE) 25000 15.80 (-0.10)          Fleur (FLEUR) 9 6.75 (-0.75)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.OW) 100000 10.24 (+0.24)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 900 126.77 (-0.13)          Mortal Kombat II H$40 Put (MKMB2.PU) 25000 1.94 (-0.06)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.PU) 25000 1.98 (-0.02)          Mortal Kombat II H$40 Put (MKMB2.PU) 25000 1.94 (-0.06)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.CA) 25000 2.24 (+0.24)          The Sheep Detectives H$15 Put (3BAGF.PU) 25000 1.94 (-0.06)          The Sheep Detectives H$15 Put (3BAGF.PU) 25000 1.94 (-0.06)          Mortal Kombat II - Opening Weeke (MKMB2.OW) 100000 40.66 (+0.66)          The Sheep Detectives H$15 Put (3BAGF.PU) 25000 1.94 (-0.06)          CBS: Sheriff Country (SHERFC) 400 9.14 (0.00)          Mortal Kombat II H$40 Call (MKMB2.CA) 25000 2.14 (+0.14)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.PU) 25000 1.98 (-0.02)          The Sheep Detectives - Opening W (3BAGF.OW) 100000 14.89 (-0.11)          The Sheep Detectives - Opening W (3BAGF.OW) 100000 14.89 (-0.11)