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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 28.40 (-0.59)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 28.40 (-0.59)          Cold War 1994 (CWAR3) 150000 0.42 (-0.06)          Magic Hour (MGCHR) 150000 0.28 (-0.01)          Forge (FORGE) 150000 0.29 (-0.02)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 100000 1.78 (-0.07)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 5000 48.48 (+8.48)          The Wizard of the Kremlin (WZKRM) 150000 2.18 (-0.04)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 195.75 (-3.59)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 25000 45.32 (+2.41)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 8.50 (+1.26)          Saccharine (SCHRN) 150000 0.72 (-0.07)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 46.61 (-1.01)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 46.61 (-1.01)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 6.82 (+0.62)          Backrooms (BACRM) 50000 77.07 (+5.38)          Backrooms (BACRM) 50000 77.07 (+5.38)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 103 195.75 (-3.59)          Backrooms (BACRM) 50000 77.07 (+5.38)          Backrooms (BACRM) 50000 77.07 (+5.38)          Backrooms (BACRM) 50000 77.07 (+5.38)          Backrooms (BACRM) 50000 77.07 (+5.38)          42.6 Years (426YR) 1000 8.50 (+1.26)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 150000 92.02 (+3.33)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 48.48 (+8.48)          (Saint) Peter (STPET) 5000 5.06 (+0.14)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 10.14 (+0.38)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 1000 6.33 (+0.87)          Masters of the Universe - Openin (HEMAN.OW) 1000 33.16 (+0.70)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 3.76 (+0.13)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 106 154.24 (-1.89)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 6.33 (+0.87)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100000 33.88 (+2.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 2000 266.79 (-5.57)          Chum (CHUM) 20000 1.42 (+0.08)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 1 41.71 (+0.10)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 1 48.10 (+0.01)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 1 25.82 (+1.44)          Monster High (MONHI) 1 20.81 (0.00)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 1 32.02 (-0.03)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 1 41.71 (+0.10)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 1 48.10 (+0.01)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 1 25.82 (+1.44)          Monster High (MONHI) 1 20.81 (0.00)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 1 32.02 (-0.03)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 1.45 (-0.06)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 1 7.75 (+0.07)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 1000 5.21 (-0.04)          The Peasant (TPSNT) 150000 17.32 (+0.08)