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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Zootopia 2 $285M Blockbuster War (ZOOT2.BW) 25000 5.35 (+0.35)          Fackham Hall (FACKH) 150000 1.88 (0.00)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 139751 12.05 (+0.10)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 116936 12.05 (+0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 74990 68.80 (-1.13)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 150000 115.93 (+1.77)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 75000 68.80 (-1.13)          Peaked (PEAKD) 25000 9.01 (+0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 10000 388.06 (-0.12)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 5000 115.93 (+1.77)          Fellowship (FELWS) 20000 16.88 (+1.28)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 25000 14.08 (+1.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 10000 388.06 (-0.12)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 25000 9.28 (-0.47)          First Warrior (FWARR) 25000 4.07 (-0.48)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 25000 5.42 (-0.51)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 150000 115.93 (+1.77)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 15000 37.75 (-1.15)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 7.96 (+0.63)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 7.96 (+0.63)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.42 (-0.51)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.42 (-0.51)          Babies (BBIES) 75000 14.59 (+0.79)          Peaked (PEAKD) 75000 9.01 (+0.59)          Babies (BBIES) 1 14.59 (+0.79)          Van Helsing (VANHL) 25000 0.01 (-0.01)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 75000 14.70 (+0.93)          Fellowship (FELWS) 75000 16.88 (+1.28)          Fellowship (FELWS) 50000 16.88 (+1.28)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 100000 14.08 (+1.03)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 1 9.21 (0.00)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.42 (-0.51)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 9.28 (-0.47)          Hokum (HOKUM) 1 8.73 (0.00)          The Last Viking (TLVIK) 150000 0.63 (+0.02)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 24.21 (+0.32)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 150000 115.93 (+1.77)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 50000 68.80 (-1.13)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 1 6.55 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 403 388.06 (-0.12)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 100000 68.96 (-1.50)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 68.80 (-1.13)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.42 (-0.51)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 50000 115.93 (+1.77)          First Warrior (FWARR) 150000 4.07 (-0.48)          First Warrior (FWARR) 149999 4.07 (-0.48)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 150000 115.93 (+1.77)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 44.38 (-0.35)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 44.38 (-0.35)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 10000 5.42 (-0.51)