HSX Forum

Movies

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Mamoudou Athie (MATHI) 25000 98.76 (-1.38)          Keegan-Michael Key (KMKEY) 25000 151.64 (-1.52)          Issa Rae (IRAE) 25000 155.53 (+0.49)          Harry Melling (HMELL) 25000 51.33 (-1.16)          Brie Larson (BLARS) 25000 104.83 (+1.37)          Anya Taylor-Joy (ATJOY) 25000 124.60 (+0.43)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 8.15 (+0.42)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 8.15 (+0.42)          Charlie Day (CDAY) 25000 99.99 (-1.33)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 60000 227.14 (+0.80)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 120.36 (+1.36)          Martin Scorsese (MSCOR) 25000 22.07 (+0.12)          Patrick Stewart (PSTEW) 25000 60.25 (-0.75)          Seth Rogen (SROGE) 25000 128.44 (-1.37)          Joe Alwyn (JALWY) 25000 10.57 (+0.20)          Giovanni Ribisi (GRIBI) 20293 97.13 (+0.45)          Colony (CLONY) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Obsession - Opening Weekend (OBSSN.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Obsession - Opening Weekend (OBSSN.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 22.19 (+0.10)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Colony (CLONY) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Horsegirls (HRSGR) 150000 0.84 (-0.16)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 3.15 (+0.23)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 9.78 (-0.66)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 14425 203.65 (-0.11)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 105.87 (+1.00)          Clayface (CLAYF) 25000 85.57 (+0.91)          Martin Scorsese (MSCOR) 25000 22.07 (+0.12)          One Night Only (ONTON) 15000 26.45 (+1.37)          Colony (CLONY) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 11222 234.85 (-0.36)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 3.15 (+0.23)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 9.78 (-0.66)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 360.69 (-1.02)          CBS: CIA (CIACBS) 25000 9.31 (+0.06)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Obsession - Opening Weekend (OBSSN.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Logan's Run (LOGAN) 150000 3.18 (+0.01)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 - Openin (PRAD2.OW) 51159 88.93 (+0.83)          In the Grey (NGREY) 150000 19.36 (-0.56)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Cal (PRAD2.CA) 25000 5.68 (+0.19)          The Sheep Detectives H$15 Call (3BAGF.CA) 25000 2.48 (+0.03)          Mortal Kombat II - Opening Weeke (MKMB2.OW) 100000 43.58 (+0.36)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 83 166.92 (-0.18)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 25.65 (-0.04)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 43.26 (+0.14)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 28.19 (+0.09)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 26.45 (+1.37)