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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Wicker (WCKER) 10000 4.00 (0.00)          H Is For Hawk (HFHWK) 150000 3.62 (-0.28)          Alice + Freda Forever (AFREV) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Taylor Swift (TSWIF) 25000 53.12 (-0.17)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 538 218.33 (+0.36)          Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 25000 67.14 (+0.75)          Keeper - Opening Weekend (KEEPR.OW) 6000 15.00 (0.00)          Bugonia (STGPL) 29508 16.82 (-3.11)          The Running Man H$40 Put (TRUNM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't - (NYSM3.OW) 4000 15.00 (0.00)          Untitled Event Film Directed By (SKIES) 5000 138.06 (+1.00)          The Running Man H$40 Call (TRUNM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't H$ (NYSM3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't H$ (NYSM3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Keeper H$15 Put (KEEPR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Running Man - Opening Weeken (TRUNM.OW) 2000 40.00 (0.00)          Keeper H$15 Call (KEEPR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 48519 7.24 (-0.07)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Bugonia (STGPL) 150000 16.82 (-3.11)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Running Man H$40 Put (TRUNM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Running Man - Opening Weeken (TRUNM.OW) 500 40.00 (0.00)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 859 7.24 (-0.07)          The Running Man H$40 Call (TRUNM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't - (NYSM3.OW) 500 15.00 (0.00)          If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (IHLKY) 150000 2.51 (-0.04)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't H$ (NYSM3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (IHLKY) 149999 2.51 (-0.04)          Keeper - Opening Weekend (KEEPR.OW) 500 15.00 (0.00)          Bugonia (STGPL) 100000 16.82 (-3.11)          Samantha Morton (SMORT) 25000 52.86 (+1.18)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 150000 9.22 (+0.03)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 149999 9.22 (+0.03)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 150000 30.79 (-1.43)          The Running Man H$40 Put (TRUNM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 150000 30.79 (-1.43)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 9.74 (+0.24)          Wicker (WCKER) 1500 4.00 (0.00)          The Running Man H$40 Call (TRUNM.CA) 1 2.00 (0.00)          Trap House (TRAPH) 149999 9.74 (+0.24)          Bugonia (STGPL) 120492 16.82 (-3.11)          The Running Man - Opening Weeken (TRUNM.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Fackham Hall (FACKH) 150000 3.25 (+0.30)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't H$ (NYSM3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Running Man H$40 Call (TRUNM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Fackham Hall (FACKH) 149999 3.25 (+0.30)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't H$ (NYSM3.CA) 1 2.00 (0.00)          Now You See Me: Now You Don't H$ (NYSM3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)