HSX Forum

Movies

Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic {nm}

Posted by: xiayun on Jun 21, 08:24 in response to lobogotti's post indeed and onto a $70-80M 2nd weekend. on Saturday I had...

btw, reading on BOT that Dory is going to come in close to a $20M Monday number. that would be quite amazing if true. lobogotti Jun 21, 07:12

If true, it would be well ahead of Toy Story 3's $15m Monday {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:13

indeed and onto a $70-80M 2nd weekend. on Saturday I had it doing $80M in it's second weekend, but I was lobogotti Jun 21, 07:15

I still think a 50% drop for Weekend #2 is quite likely, fitting in line with most recent Pixar flicks. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, but even 50% gets it $67.5M. that $9.2M is a huge number of fan frontload, so hoping the audience score and limited family films lobogotti Jun 21, 07:22

Think $75m second weekend is pretty realistic xiayun Jun 21, 08:24

nice to see you good man. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

xiayun and lobogotti. Two of the finest. Looking forward to reading more of your insights, xiayun. {nm} eallensbp Jun 21, 20:45

It opened 22.7% better than TOYS3. The same bump over TOYS3 first Monday would be $19.15M, or close to $20M shadowking Jun 21, 07:17

yeah, Fathers Day/Finals had more of an impact than I expected. so a number like that today would lobogotti Jun 21, 07:25

I would wait till Wednesday to see how legs will be reelreptile Jun 21, 07:44

sure, and we won't know much until the weekend drop. but still that $19.9M number is pretty darn massive lobogotti Jun 21, 07:51

True, but again Civil War had a 5% better hold on Monday and Tuesday than Ultron and IM3 and then just died {nm} reelreptile Jun 21, 08:18

yes, I'll just point out that comic book films (particularly sequels) are underperforming as of late with their legs. lobogotti Jun 21, 08:28

DL: 19.9 Oleg Max Jun 21, 07:40

Wow, so that a Sun-Mon drop of 43% as opposed to TS3's 51%. Father's Day may be reason but still, impressive. {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 07:43

only 3 films EVER had a higher Tuesday that wasn't an opening day... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:55

oops {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:56

8 films... lobogotti Jun 21, 07:57

A couple of those Monday's are Memorial day, which can be thrown out {nm} shadowking Jun 21, 07:59

6 of those films were on Memorial day or July 4th holiday week. {nm} lobogotti Jun 21, 07:59

Wouldn't Father's Day suggest the drop should be bigger? (ie inflated Sunday, normal Monday = bigger % drop) {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:00

I;m assuming Father's Day isn't inflated, that father's would go to an animated movie on THEIR day {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 08:05

Ah, I'm thinking the opposite - that Father's Day means fathers spend more time doing something with their kids. {nm} RogerMore Jun 21, 08:48

Bloody ungrateful kids! {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 09:26

Films normally get boost from Father's Day, but this year Game 7 deflated that effect some, so xiayun Jun 21, 08:22

CI made $4M and Conjuring at $2.2M... lobogotti Jun 21, 08:11

Proportionately, that's better than Jurassic World's 25.34 first Monday, and just slightly below The Dark Knight's 24.5 first Monday. {nm} InigoST Jun 21, 08:23

I'm more interested in the upcoming weekdays to weekdays holds...isn't that where summer kids movies really show their power? {nm} tealfan Jun 21, 09:13

Oh, since I'm back from my vacation TwoMisfits Jun 21, 13:07





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


James Gray (JGRAY) 100 11.11 (-0.01)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 1 3.16 (-0.03)          Max Minghella (MMING) 2700 6.80 (-0.05)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 150000 10.37 (+0.10)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 150000 10.37 (+0.10)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 50000 49.80 (-5.63)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 50000 3.16 (-0.03)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Monkey (MONKY) 1 19.57 (-0.09)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 10 49.80 (-5.63)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 7.67 (-0.33)          Presence (PRSNC) 150000 15.85 (+0.03)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 2.60 (+0.18)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 2.60 (+0.18)          The Garfield Movie - Opening Wee (GRFLD.OW) 100000 41.29 (-0.99)          The Garfield Movie - Opening Wee (GRFLD.OW) 100000 41.29 (-0.99)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 100000 58.08 (-1.14)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 100000 58.08 (-1.14)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 119263 18.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 25000 2.44 (-0.37)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 25000 2.44 (-0.37)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 1.82 (-0.10)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 1.82 (-0.10)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Cal (MMAX5.CA) 25000 3.22 (-0.13)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Cal (MMAX5.CA) 25000 3.22 (-0.13)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 24999 126.57 (+0.01)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 49.80 (-5.63)          James Gray (JGRAY) 2500 11.11 (-0.01)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 10 49.80 (-5.63)          Winston Duke (WDUKE) 24999 158.87 (+0.01)          The Purge 6 (PURG6) 40000 13.67 (+0.03)          Emilia Perez (EMILP) 150000 5.19 (+1.15)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 24999 102.43 (+0.01)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 5 49.80 (-5.63)          The Hood (THOOD) 30000 8.87 (+0.07)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 50000 49.80 (-5.63)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 5 49.80 (-5.63)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 150000 24.33 (+0.46)          The Exorcist: Deceiver (TEXO2) 5000 27.12 (-0.16)          Anora (ANORA) 1 4.98 (-0.05)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 49 25.31 (-0.12)          Clifford the Big Red Dog 2 (CTBR2) 20000 5.92 (-0.03)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 50000 142.60 (-0.98)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 30000 49.80 (-5.63)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 50000 49.80 (-5.63)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 30000 16.37 (-0.15)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 99995 49.80 (-5.63)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 75000 18.00 (0.00)