SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3231 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 5 38.20 (0.00)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 3000 87.92 (-0.16)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 420.65 (+0.50)          Adewale Akinnuoye-Agbaje (AAAGB) 3 83.52 (+0.25)          Madelyn Cline (MCLIN) 50 16.43 (+0.10)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 10040 55.72 (+1.70)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 24.09 (-0.13)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 24.09 (-0.13)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 20 42.38 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Cal (PRAD2.CA) 25000 5.50 (-0.16)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 3000 488.65 (+0.52)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 2 73.73 (+0.37)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 3000 319.81 (+0.01)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 150000 82.42 (-0.05)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.CA) 25000 3.04 (-0.06)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 24.69 (+0.08)          The Sheep Detectives H$15 Put (3BAGF.PU) 25000 1.36 (-0.08)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 26007 55.72 (+1.70)          Alan Kim (AKIM) 10000 35.05 (-0.12)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 10000 246.95 (-1.08)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 5473 361.73 (+0.98)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 20 361.73 (+0.98)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 5000 84.49 (+0.25)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 488.65 (+0.52)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 5000 58.43 (0.00)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 150000 68.70 (-0.18)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 150000 546.00 (+1.00)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 5000 189.57 (-0.10)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 25 361.73 (+0.98)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Cal (PRAD2.CA) 21 5.50 (-0.16)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 202.93 (-0.72)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 5000 247.87 (+0.19)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 150000 261.76 (+1.00)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 5000 222.33 (-0.14)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 50 64.50 (+0.05)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 40000 202.93 (-0.72)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 20000 55.72 (+1.70)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 100 13.50 (+0.79)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 18000 68.70 (-0.18)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 55.72 (+1.70)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 90000 12.32 (-0.03)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 10000 261.76 (+1.00)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 16.64 (-0.08)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 22517 87.92 (-0.16)          Obsession (OBSSN) 89622 22.11 (-0.08)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 204 59.91 (+0.05)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 54553 55.72 (+1.70)          Cruella 2 (CRUL2) 150000 14.34 (+0.06)          Obsession (OBSSN) 3 22.11 (-0.08)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 - Openin (PRAD2.OW) 5000 89.51 (+0.58)