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Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 2986 views

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Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          David (DAVID) 10000 78.89 (+1.14)          The Drama (TDRAM) 118484 20.96 (+1.57)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 20.96 (+1.57)          Anthony Ramos (ARAMO) 25000 100.68 (+1.26)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 100000 98.64 (+1.23)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 149999 15.06 (+1.55)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 140000 108.73 (+1.40)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 281.15 (-1.16)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 82.04 (+1.08)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 1 15.06 (+1.55)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 10000 164.51 (+1.11)          Anthony Ramos (ARAMO) 25000 100.68 (+1.26)          Logan's Run (LOGAN) 150000 4.17 (+0.03)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 150000 15.06 (+1.55)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 150000 15.06 (+1.55)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          100 Nights of Hero (100NH) 901 2.47 (+0.03)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 3.99 (-2.90)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 3.99 (-2.90)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 38267 290.90 (+1.97)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 50000 220.56 (-0.74)          Mercy (MRCY1) 100831 33.08 (-1.03)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 100000 17.87 (-1.68)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 100000 164.51 (+1.11)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 150000 3.13 (-0.21)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 82.04 (+1.08)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 100000 4.55 (-0.09)          Charlie the Wonderdog (CWDOG) 100000 2.95 (-0.26)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 82.04 (+1.08)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 149998 4.36 (+0.09)          Scary Stories To Tell In The Dar (SSTI2) 150000 2.13 (-0.08)          Star Trek (TREK4) 149999 33.63 (-0.29)          Scary Stories To Tell In The Dar (SSTI2) 150000 2.13 (-0.08)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 149999 10.29 (+0.18)          Rob Reiner (RREIN) 25000 1.18 (-0.02)          The War Magician (WARMG) 1000 0.68 (0.00)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 82.04 (+1.08)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 149999 4.26 (+0.96)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 82.04 (+1.08)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 150000 3.97 (-0.09)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 150000 4.26 (+0.96)          Kockroach (KOCKR) 40000 13.26 (+0.11)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 7555 292.69 (-2.01)          Everest aka Mallory aka The Summ (SUMIT) 140000 0.04 (-0.02)