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Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3756 views

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Giovanni Ribisi (GRIBI) 25000 92.71 (+1.00)          Hexed (HEXED) 150000 103.29 (-1.05)          Hexed (HEXED) 150000 103.29 (-1.05)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 26.08 (-1.30)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 26.08 (-1.30)          Cloud Girl (CLOUG) 97979 2.00 (0.00)          Battlestar Galactica (BGALA) 150000 1.61 (+0.04)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 90000 78.81 (-3.98)          Crazy Rich Asians 2 (CRAS2) 20000 9.73 (+0.15)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 1 112.90 (+1.03)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 90000 78.81 (-3.98)          Cloud Girl (CLOUG) 5 2.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 150000 214.52 (+0.10)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 78.81 (-3.98)          Cloud Girl (CLOUG) 52016 2.00 (0.00)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 150000 135.88 (+3.83)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Savage Hunters aka Deathstroke & (DSTRK) 150000 41.33 (-1.03)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Savage Hunters aka Deathstroke & (DSTRK) 150000 41.33 (-1.03)          Cloud Girl (CLOUG) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 150000 18.52 (+0.89)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 150000 18.52 (+0.89)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 63.79 (+0.67)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 33333 20.00 (0.00)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 78.81 (-3.98)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 78.81 (-3.98)          Snoop (SNOOP) 150000 41.23 (+0.57)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 66.42 (-2.01)          Everybody Digs Bill Evans (EBDBE) 150000 0.65 (0.00)          Everybody Digs Bill Evans (EBDBE) 150000 0.65 (0.00)          Savage Hunters aka Deathstroke & (DSTRK) 999 41.33 (-1.03)          Savage Hunters aka Deathstroke & (DSTRK) 49000 41.33 (-1.03)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 4001 118.90 (-0.81)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 999 281.31 (-1.87)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 7.78 (-0.06)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 1 281.31 (-1.87)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 7.78 (-0.06)          The Brand aka Branded (BRAND) 150000 3.21 (-0.15)          Constantine (CNST2) 150000 32.71 (-0.63)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 150000 281.31 (-1.87)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Cloud Girl (CLOUG) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 150000 10.44 (-0.08)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 150000 10.44 (-0.08)          Hexed (HEXED) 1000 103.29 (-1.05)