SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3566 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Elsinore (ELSNR) 2500 6.16 (+0.02)          The Last Day (TLDAY) 1 0.07 (-0.01)          The Last Day (TLDAY) 1 0.07 (-0.01)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 5000 48.04 (+8.04)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 2500 9.74 (-0.05)          Atonement (ATONM) 2500 1.76 (0.00)          The Basics of Philosophy (TBOPH) 2500 1.97 (-0.01)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 2500 48.04 (+8.04)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 25000 59.05 (-0.66)          Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP) 2500 24.36 (-0.06)          Whalefall (WHALF) 2500 42.82 (-0.39)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 144.48 (+1.87)          Jamie Foxx (JFOXX) 25000 75.59 (+0.75)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 140000 48.04 (+8.04)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 120.44 (+1.33)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 120.44 (+1.33)          Portrait of an Artist: Stephen C (POASC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Idiots (SHTHD) 150000 3.17 (-0.67)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 150000 48.04 (+8.04)          Jenna Ortega (JORTE) 25000 75.69 (0.00)          Peter Berg (PEBER) 25000 72.93 (-1.30)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 10.17 (+0.61)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 39.42 (-0.90)          Josh Hutcherson (JHUTC) 25000 86.77 (+1.07)          Josh Hutcherson (JHUTC) 25000 86.77 (+1.07)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 39.42 (-0.90)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 3.72 (+0.08)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 150000 18.35 (+2.86)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 3.72 (+0.08)          Michael Stuhlbarg (MSTUH) 25000 49.07 (-0.16)          Broadsword (BROSW) 149999 40.79 (-1.27)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 149999 259.54 (-1.50)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 1 197.90 (+1.50)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 346.28 (+0.62)          Austin Abrams (AABRA) 25000 56.93 (+0.17)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 150000 197.90 (+1.50)          Portrait of an Artist: Stephen C (POASC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Freddy the 13th (FREDY) 150000 48.04 (+8.04)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 40385 274.94 (+0.20)          American Psycho (APSYC) 75000 16.76 (-0.07)          American Psycho (APSYC) 75000 16.76 (-0.07)          Martin Campbell (MCAMP) 25000 32.99 (0.00)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 49147 92.48 (+0.34)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 150000 269.84 (-0.24)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 5333 2.97 (-0.10)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 79341 540.74 (+0.53)          Amy Adams (AMADA) 25000 91.79 (+0.25)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 24.30 (+0.07)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 1 3.34 (+0.01)