SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3706 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 149999 6.00 (0.00)          Play House (PLYHS) 149999 16.07 (+6.07)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Call (TCATH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Play House (PLYHS) 149999 16.07 (+6.07)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Call (GODM2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Put (TCATH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Put (GODM2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero - Opening We (GODM2.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat - Opening Wee (TCATH.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          Wild Horse Nine - Opening Weeken (WILDH.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Marlon Wayans (MWAYA) 5000 38.88 (+0.12)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Taika Waititi (TAWAI) 11001 101.94 (+0.34)          Ramayana - Opening Weekend (RAMAY.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Sean Bean (SBEAN) 5000 1.93 (0.00)          Joaquin Phoenix (JPHOE) 1006 33.38 (+0.12)          Martin Freeman (MAFRE) 9999 52.88 (+0.16)          Jonathan Groff (JGROF) 5000 76.85 (+0.25)          Sam Worthington (SWORT) 3000 59.49 (-0.16)          Chloe Grace Moretz (CMORE) 10000 40.56 (-0.16)          Elizabeth Banks (EBANK) 2006 47.10 (+0.16)          Elizabeth Banks (EBANK) 5007 47.10 (+0.16)          Shu Qi (SHUQI) 10000 1.15 (+0.04)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Call (TCATH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Helldivers (HELDV) 40000 102.80 (+1.11)          Shu Qi (SHUQI) 10000 1.15 (+0.04)          Helldivers (HELDV) 20000 102.80 (+1.11)          Nico Parker (NIPAR) 1999 103.74 (+0.33)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Call (GODM2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Nico Parker (NIPAR) 1999 103.74 (+0.33)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 1 11.58 (-1.77)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 10000 9.24 (+0.10)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Put (GODM2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Mena Massoud (MMASS) 1999 88.10 (+0.25)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 10000 9.24 (+0.10)          Mena Massoud (MMASS) 1999 88.10 (+0.25)          Lasse Hallstrom (LHALL) 1999 54.10 (+0.16)          Tangles (TNGLS) 150000 2.26 (+0.28)          Lasse Hallstrom (LHALL) 1999 54.10 (+0.16)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Put (TCATH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Tangles (TNGLS) 150000 2.26 (+0.28)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Put (TCATH.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero - Opening We (GODM2.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Call (TCATH.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)          RuPaul (RUPAU) 1999 27.07 (-0.12)          Godzilla Minus Zero H$35 Put (GODM2.PU) 20000 2.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat - Opening Wee (TCATH.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          RuPaul (RUPAU) 1999 27.07 (-0.12)          Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 25000 12.77 (-0.20)