SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3139 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



World War Hulk (THLK2) 9999 36.24 (-0.06)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 10000 31.96 (+0.13)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          World War Hulk (THLK2) 1 36.24 (-0.06)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 17.05 (+2.01)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 17.05 (+2.01)          Maika Monroe (MMONR) 25000 21.12 (+0.25)          Maika Monroe (MMONR) 25000 21.12 (+0.25)          Vanessa Redgrave (VREDG) 25000 3.94 (+0.10)          Nick Kroll (NKROL) 25000 54.23 (+0.83)          Undertone (UNDTN) 1 17.05 (+2.01)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 33.93 (+3.32)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 33.93 (+3.32)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25000 29.16 (+1.00)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 25000 29.16 (+1.00)          Haley Lu Richardson (HLRIC) 25000 11.29 (+0.20)          Haley Lu Richardson (HLRIC) 25000 11.29 (+0.20)          The Uprising aka The Hood (THOOD) 10676 7.84 (+0.03)          Undertone (UNDTN) 1 17.05 (+2.01)          Gabrielle Union (GUNIO) 25000 25.21 (+0.12)          Georgina Campbell (GCAMP) 25000 18.64 (-0.30)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.90 (-0.52)          In the Grey (NGREY) 150000 21.03 (-0.11)          Creed IV (CREE4) 3039 30.88 (0.00)          Corey Hawkins (CHAWK) 25000 41.50 (+1.31)          Corey Hawkins (CHAWK) 25000 41.50 (+1.31)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.90 (-0.52)          Priscilla: Queen of the Desert 2 (APQD2) 2010 5.10 (-0.02)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.90 (-0.52)          Zealot (ZELOT) 150000 1.45 (+0.35)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.00 (0.00)          Belly of the Beast (BELYB) 25000 3.83 (-0.04)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 17.05 (+2.01)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          In the Grey (NGREY) 75000 21.03 (-0.11)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 3169 8.12 (-0.01)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 17.05 (+2.01)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 28283 12.49 (-0.04)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 15000 10.25 (0.00)          The Pack (TPACK) 24273 5.15 (-0.02)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 15000 15.00 (0.00)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 17.05 (+2.01)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.90 (-0.52)          Sacrifice (SCRIF) 4080 16.77 (-0.04)          The Cure (TCURE) 150000 0.76 (-0.04)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 2000 14.49 (-0.02)          The Legend of Aang: The Last Air (ATLA1) 150000 18.75 (-0.09)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 150000 52.71 (+2.82)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 329.38 (+1.30)