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Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3767 views

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Friday the 13th (FRI12) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 2500 66.79 (-4.95)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 47511 99.41 (+0.65)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 15000 3.55 (+0.54)          Hexed - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun (HEXED.OW) 99995 48.18 (+1.53)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 15000 66.79 (-4.95)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 25000 3.55 (+0.54)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 66.79 (-4.95)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 10000 3.55 (+0.54)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 66.79 (-4.95)          Dominic Sessa (DSESS) 25000 24.74 (+0.25)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Dominic Sessa (DSESS) 25000 24.74 (+0.25)          Bad Influence (BNFLU) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Bad Influence (BNFLU) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 25000 30.00 (0.00)          The Family Disappears (TFAMD) 150000 14.02 (+3.77)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 87.68 (+0.75)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 150000 10.78 (+0.12)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 28.01 (-2.93)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 10000 30.00 (0.00)          Chris O'Dowd (CODOW) 25000 22.65 (+0.24)          Chris O'Dowd (CODOW) 25000 22.65 (+0.24)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          The Family Disappears (TFAMD) 150000 14.02 (+3.77)          Bad Influence (BNFLU) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Chris Rock (CROCK) 25000 16.81 (-0.01)          Chris Rock (CROCK) 25000 16.81 (-0.01)          Constantine (CNST2) 3500 31.94 (-0.27)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 20000 28.01 (-2.93)          Friday the 13th (FRI12) 150000 30.00 (0.00)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 28.01 (-2.93)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 66.79 (-4.95)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 54.81 (+3.65)          Bad Influence (BNFLU) 10000 10.00 (0.00)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 22.59 (+0.02)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 150000 51.25 (+0.02)          F.A.S.T. (FAST) 150000 45.68 (+0.37)          Elsie Fisher (EFISH) 25000 20.40 (-0.13)          Lobo (LOBO) 15000 17.05 (-0.06)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 43526 99.41 (+0.65)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 25000 38.47 (-0.05)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 25000 38.47 (-0.05)          Bad Influence (BNFLU) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 150000 81.75 (-1.64)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 54.81 (+3.65)