SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3741 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



I Play Rocky H$15 Call (IPROC.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 200 261.41 (+0.50)          I Play Rocky - Opening Weekend (IPROC.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 15 261.41 (+0.50)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 7.00 (-0.43)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 100000 90.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 150000 117.88 (-3.52)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 25000 122.06 (+2.33)          Smile 3 (SMIL3) 1 23.37 (-0.08)          Theo James (TJAME) 25000 10.73 (-0.20)          Theo James (TJAME) 25000 10.73 (-0.20)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 1 46.83 (0.00)          Clayface (CLAYF) 10000 53.23 (-0.45)          Backrooms 2 (BACR2) 149975 134.48 (-0.33)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 1 47.55 (-0.15)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 1 88.94 (+0.01)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 25000 122.06 (+2.33)          Star Wars: Episode X (STRW1) 1 124.52 (-0.81)          I Play Rocky H$15 Put (IPROC.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Beloved (TBLOV) 5000 0.30 (0.00)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 1 112.41 (+0.41)          Sofia Vergara (SVERG) 25000 81.38 (-0.50)          Sofia Vergara (SVERG) 25000 81.38 (-0.50)          The Liberation (HARMO) 1 2.99 (0.00)          I Play Rocky H$15 Call (IPROC.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 25000 54.46 (+1.33)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 100000 90.00 (0.00)          Wicker (WCKER) 1 22.19 (+0.26)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 25000 54.46 (+1.33)          Amandla Stenberg (ASTEN) 25000 67.16 (+0.50)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 77.11 (-0.87)          Slayground (OCTOB) 31000 15.56 (+0.01)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 149999 10.04 (+1.21)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 92.82 (-2.29)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Kate McKinnon (KAMCK) 25000 78.56 (+0.25)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 8000 89.95 (-1.79)          Kate McKinnon (KAMCK) 25000 78.56 (+0.25)          Above The Below (ABELW) 31000 8.25 (+0.03)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 7212 89.95 (-1.79)          I Play Rocky H$15 Put (IPROC.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          I Play Rocky - Opening Weekend (IPROC.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          I Play Rocky H$15 Call (IPROC.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)