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Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3635 views

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Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 150000 81.84 (-0.29)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 149000 4.08 (-0.40)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 30000 15.14 (-0.11)          Nasty (NASTY) 149000 11.22 (-0.14)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 149000 4.08 (-0.40)          Nasty (NASTY) 149000 11.22 (-0.14)          Last Train to New York (LTTNY) 150000 0.82 (+0.04)          Last Train to New York (LTTNY) 150000 0.82 (+0.04)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 15000 16.81 (+0.06)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 71 67.55 (-0.71)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 11999 16.81 (+0.06)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 46.59 (-8.93)          Rawson Marshall Thurber (RMTHU) 1999 88.77 (+0.50)          Rawson Marshall Thurber (RMTHU) 1999 88.77 (+0.50)          Jo Koy (JKOY) 25000 21.50 (-0.99)          Jo Koy (JKOY) 25000 21.50 (-0.99)          Josephine Baker (JSPBK) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Everybody Digs Bill Evans (EBDBE) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 46.59 (-8.93)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 46.59 (-8.93)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 75000 38.84 (-3.04)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 38.84 (-3.04)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 60 5.05 (-1.18)          OASIS: Don't Look Back in A (OASIS) 149905 4.13 (-0.18)          Josephine Baker (JSPBK) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Everybody Digs Bill Evans (EBDBE) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 26.32 (+0.55)          Clay (CLAY) 10000 110.21 (+2.03)          OASIS: Don't Look Back in A (OASIS) 95 4.13 (-0.18)          The Edge Of Normal (TEONM) 150000 2.05 (-0.02)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 46.59 (-8.93)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 35.53 (-0.44)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 35.53 (-0.44)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 150000 14.31 (-0.18)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 46.59 (-8.93)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 7.91 (-0.02)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 7.91 (-0.02)          Inground (NGRND) 150000 5.29 (-0.07)          Inground (NGRND) 150000 5.29 (-0.07)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 3.76 (-0.06)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 3.76 (-0.06)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 150000 2.49 (-0.01)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 150000 2.49 (-0.01)          The Edge Of Normal (TEONM) 150000 2.05 (-0.02)          Josephine Baker (JSPBK) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Everybody Digs Bill Evans (EBDBE) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Eddie Redmayne (EREDM) 25000 98.66 (0.00)          Pierce Brosnan (PBROS) 25000 51.20 (-0.16)          Pierce Brosnan (PBROS) 25000 51.20 (-0.16)          Phillip Noyce (PNOYC) 25000 41.13 (-0.16)