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Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3410 views

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Chiwetel Ejiofor (CEJIO) 1000 69.72 (-0.44)          O Horizon (OHORZ) 598 0.10 (0.00)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 1297 0.35 (-0.01)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 402.83 (-3.33)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 500 70.35 (+0.50)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 503 0.35 (-0.01)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 1000 9.00 (+0.66)          The Furious (FURIS) 10004 6.40 (0.00)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 161 32.12 (+2.30)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 4033 402.83 (-3.33)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 100000 88.16 (+1.50)          The Furious (FURIS) 10004 6.40 (0.00)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 1000 78.99 (+0.41)          Reading Lolita in Tehran (RLITA) 150000 0.11 (-0.03)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 150000 0.49 (-0.02)          The Passenger (ZELOT) 494 0.56 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 2000 318.75 (-0.83)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 0.86 (-0.06)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 8.69 (-0.24)          The Passenger (ZELOT) 994 0.56 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 62.12 (+0.15)          Underland (UNDRL) 1008 0.15 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 217.75 (-2.14)          Underland (UNDRL) 992 0.15 (0.00)          Savage House (SVGHS) 300 0.05 (+0.01)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 150000 42.35 (-0.07)          Savage House (SVGHS) 700 0.05 (+0.01)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 20000 5.67 (+0.50)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 30000 5.67 (+0.50)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 88.16 (+1.50)          Signal One (SGNL1) 1790 0.05 (0.00)          Signal One (SGNL1) 387 0.05 (0.00)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 137468 78.99 (+0.41)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 217.75 (-2.14)          Carolina Caroline (CROLN) 467 0.29 (0.00)          Carolina Caroline (CROLN) 1067 0.29 (0.00)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 101215 161.60 (-0.33)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 50000 5.67 (+0.50)          Chum (CHUM) 290 0.38 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 207.93 (-5.95)          Chum (CHUM) 1110 0.38 (0.00)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 12532 78.99 (+0.41)          Not Alone (NTALN) 150000 89.15 (+1.98)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 217.75 (-2.14)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 217.75 (-2.14)          Tuner (TUNER) 592 4.17 (-0.16)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 25000 4.55 (+0.10)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 149998 402.83 (-3.33)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 150000 7.59 (-0.41)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 32.12 (+2.30)