SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3180 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 16.45 (+0.50)          Adam Scott (ASCOT) 25000 26.38 (+0.12)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 3.59 (-0.25)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 150000 7.44 (-0.35)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 150000 7.44 (-0.35)          Jay Baruchel (JBARU) 10 68.47 (0.00)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 150000 41.89 (+1.80)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 150000 41.89 (+1.80)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 65.18 (+0.69)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 65.18 (+0.69)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 150000 12.67 (+1.08)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 150000 12.67 (+1.08)          Issa Rae (IRAE) 40 148.61 (-0.33)          Hiroyuki Sanada (HSANA) 10 130.63 (0.00)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 3 95.64 (-0.12)          Helen Hunt (HHUNT) 100 11.32 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 10461 471.06 (+0.95)          Golshifteh Farahani (GFARA) 50 56.33 (0.00)          Katy O'Brian (KOBRI) 1 98.81 (0.00)          Maatrubhumi aka Battle Of Galwan (BGALW) 150000 1.25 (+0.06)          Maatrubhumi aka Battle Of Galwan (BGALW) 150000 1.25 (+0.06)          Emma Mackey (EMACK) 50 51.80 (0.00)          David Oyelowo (DOYEL) 100 11.37 (0.00)          Newborn (SOLIT) 150000 0.40 (-0.03)          Newborn (SOLIT) 150000 0.40 (-0.03)          Donald Glover (DOGLO) 40 243.36 (0.00)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 1.69 (-0.04)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 1.69 (-0.04)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 2.81 (-0.04)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 2.81 (-0.04)          Diane Kruger (DKRUG) 100 6.43 (-0.04)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 16.45 (+0.50)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 100 75.91 (0.00)          Charlie Day (CDAY) 50 94.30 (0.00)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 23.42 (+0.08)          Clifton Collins Jr. (CCOLL) 100 3.43 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 25000 471.06 (+0.95)          Craig Brewer (CBREW) 200 27.58 (0.00)          Christian Bale (CBALE) 200 86.45 (-0.50)          Ben Wheatley (BWHEA) 100 14.97 (0.00)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 5.83 (-0.22)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 5.83 (-0.22)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 150000 7.44 (-0.35)          George Michael: The Faith Tour (GMTFT) 150000 7.44 (-0.35)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 17.36 (-0.39)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 17.36 (-0.39)          Brie Larson (BLARS) 50 111.04 (0.00)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 16.41 (-0.47)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 16.41 (-0.47)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.26 (-0.19)