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Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3224 views

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Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 89.29 (+0.78)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 150000 127.22 (+0.34)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 157.59 (-0.33)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 40000 97.78 (+1.17)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 11.32 (+1.32)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 11.32 (+1.32)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 25000 6.37 (+0.21)          The Sheep Detectives - Opening W (3BAGF.OW) 100000 13.78 (+0.12)          Lee Pace (LPACE) 20000 70.01 (-0.05)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 50000 20.23 (-0.02)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 1 10.52 (+0.96)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 40000 10.52 (+0.96)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 46.86 (+0.09)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 25000 2.69 (-0.31)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 1 8.90 (+0.96)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 40000 8.90 (+0.96)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 1 4.13 (+0.95)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 29.87 (-0.10)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 1 4.13 (+0.95)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 30000 4.13 (+0.95)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 20000 21.43 (+0.10)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 232.77 (-0.45)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 4.13 (+0.95)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 25000 4.13 (+0.95)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 20000 8.90 (+0.96)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 20000 10.52 (+0.96)          Verity (VERTY) 150000 45.97 (+0.62)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 25000 4.13 (+0.95)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 20000 8.90 (+0.96)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 20000 10.52 (+0.96)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 20000 11.32 (+1.32)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 20000 13.97 (+2.04)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 150000 80.03 (+1.40)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 25000 2.69 (-0.31)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 150000 80.03 (+1.40)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 150000 4.17 (-0.29)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 150000 80.03 (+1.40)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.48 (-0.31)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 2.69 (-0.31)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.48 (-0.31)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 4.13 (+0.95)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 4.13 (+0.95)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.97 (+2.04)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 100000 2.69 (-0.31)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.97 (+2.04)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 10.52 (+0.96)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 10.52 (+0.96)          Scream 7 $115M Blockbuster Warra (SCRM7.BW) 25000 9.56 (+0.03)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 2.69 (-0.31)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 2.69 (-0.31)