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Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3199 views

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Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 15.11 (+0.91)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 150000 34.72 (-0.20)          John Magaro (JMAGA) 25000 3.12 (-0.10)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 11.22 (-0.34)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 69.73 (-0.34)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 150000 378.37 (-0.11)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 354.91 (-0.23)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 15.11 (+0.91)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 150000 180.37 (-0.65)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 15.11 (+0.91)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 156.10 (-1.00)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 0.85 (-3.13)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 288.25 (-0.47)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 150000 313.35 (-0.52)          Lee Cronin's The Mummy H$15 Call (TMUMY.CA) 25000 1.91 (-0.10)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 - Openin (PRAD2.OW) 100000 80.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Cal (PRAD2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          John Magaro (JMAGA) 25000 3.12 (-0.10)          Boy Band (BOYBN) 25000 18.65 (-0.05)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 150000 43.59 (+2.65)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Cal (PRAD2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Oceans (OCEN5) 150000 48.36 (+1.28)          Oceans (OCEN5) 150000 48.36 (+1.28)          Animal Farm - Opening Weekend (AFARM.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 150000 58.48 (+2.89)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Gambino (GMBNO) 80000 9.73 (-1.08)          Beast (BEAS) 150000 1.95 (+0.16)          Bitcoin aka Killing Satoshi (KSATO) 150000 18.91 (+0.07)          Beast (BEAS) 150000 1.95 (+0.16)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Cal (PRAD2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 24.26 (+0.13)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 26.25 (-0.11)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 H$80 Put (PRAD2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 6284 52.13 (+1.33)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 2129 137.17 (0.00)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 1000 42.24 (-0.11)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 5.69 (-0.41)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 5.69 (-0.41)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 7 34.65 (+0.20)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 150000 7.43 (-0.23)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 8 180.37 (-0.65)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 5350 52.13 (+1.33)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 8.20 (+0.55)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 150000 7.43 (-0.23)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 37.63 (+1.15)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 12 85.44 (+0.83)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 19 52.13 (+1.33)