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Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3335 views

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Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 5.63 (-0.34)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 6.79 (+0.22)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 4.51 (-0.15)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 13.11 (+0.17)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 23.56 (-3.79)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 35000 113.98 (-0.74)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 82031 56.14 (+0.35)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 7.85 (+0.30)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 5.09 (+0.01)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 113.98 (-0.74)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 113.98 (-0.74)          Rich Flu (RCFLU) 1 0.02 (0.00)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 152.38 (-0.83)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 152.38 (-0.83)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 5000 23.56 (-3.79)          The Furious (FURIS) 50000 4.70 (+0.78)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 22815 14.88 (+0.06)          A Talent for Murder aka Switzerl (SWITZ) 2000 2.57 (-0.68)          The Furious (FURIS) 50000 4.70 (+0.78)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 10000 80.75 (+0.01)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 10000 30.94 (0.00)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 10000 20.91 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 14432 44.54 (-0.22)          Whalefall (WHALF) 900 37.92 (+0.70)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 14.52 (+0.08)          James Cameron (JCAME) 25000 108.95 (0.00)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 50000 12.65 (+0.02)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 150000 16.04 (+0.05)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 8.10 (-0.07)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 34.18 (-0.01)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 25000 2.05 (-0.03)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 384.12 (+0.75)          Primetime (PRMTM) 1 23.96 (+0.73)          Primetime (PRMTM) 40000 23.96 (+0.73)          Outer Dark (OTDRK) 10000 7.01 (0.00)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 10000 7.76 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 20000 23.96 (+0.73)          Runner (RUNNR) 40000 14.52 (+0.08)          Milly Alcock (MALCO) 5000 66.53 (+0.01)          Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle 2 (DSIC2) 10000 99.03 (+0.01)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 10000 7.76 (0.00)          Whalefall (WHALF) 125000 37.92 (+0.70)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 10000 12.12 (0.00)          Passenger (PSNGR) 150000 18.52 (-0.31)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 50000 134.78 (-1.03)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 134.78 (-1.03)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 10000 9.00 (-0.01)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 10000 7.49 (-0.03)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 23.56 (-3.79)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Cal (TDORH.CA) 25000 1.06 (-0.08)