SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3443 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Signal One (SGNL1) 150000 0.05 (+0.03)          Outer Dark (OTDRK) 50000 6.52 (+0.05)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 149999 160.65 (-0.56)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 149999 79.72 (-1.39)          Two Pianos (2PINO) 2000 0.06 (+0.04)          Two Pianos (2PINO) 2800 0.06 (+0.04)          Signal One (SGNL1) 150000 0.05 (+0.03)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 5.44 (-0.12)          Cold War 1994 (CWAR3) 150000 0.07 (-0.04)          Ink (INK) 150000 12.42 (-2.07)          Two Pianos (2PINO) 150000 0.06 (+0.04)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 5000 85.81 (-0.08)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 149999 160.65 (-0.56)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 150000 14.65 (-0.35)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 31.42 (+3.50)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 104084 267.21 (+3.16)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 149999 79.72 (-1.39)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 149999 79.72 (-1.39)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 7.14 (+1.34)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 31.42 (+3.50)          Women On Trial (WOTRL) 150000 0.78 (-0.06)          The Flood (FLOOD) 5000 86.17 (-0.13)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 100000 327.02 (+6.74)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 19.59 (+1.38)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 1 20.00 (0.00)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Please (PLESE) 10000 19.83 (0.00)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Alpha (ALPH1) 150000 0.98 (+0.03)          Giant (GIANT) 150000 0.29 (+0.01)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 9899 118.28 (+0.87)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 139.64 (-1.98)          Donkey (DONKE) 80071 112.94 (-0.15)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 12500 135.80 (+1.24)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 142436 65.52 (+0.19)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 5000 77.46 (-0.14)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 148015 75.43 (+0.33)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 8.92 (+0.40)          Donkey (DONKE) 5000 112.94 (-0.15)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 2000 26.32 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Open (SPID9.OW) 6486 222.65 (+1.01)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 8.92 (+0.40)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.CA) 25000 3.98 (+0.52)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 5000 327.02 (+6.74)          Baby Driver 2 (BDRV2) 130000 2.20 (+0.03)          Peter Rabbit 3: Lost in New York (PRAB3) 98540 20.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 327.02 (+6.74)