SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3364 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 48.28 (-0.21)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 150000 10.97 (-0.14)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 150000 10.97 (-0.14)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 13.69 (-0.15)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 13.69 (-0.15)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 4.43 (+0.08)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 4.43 (+0.08)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 11.74 (-0.16)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 11.74 (-0.16)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 16.82 (-0.43)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 16.82 (-0.43)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 9.30 (-0.51)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 9.30 (-0.51)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 10.27 (+0.31)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 10.27 (+0.31)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 10.27 (+0.31)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 150000 15.74 (+0.49)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 150000 15.74 (+0.49)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Control (COTRL) 100000 6.02 (-0.09)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 26.38 (+0.27)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 26.38 (+0.27)          What's Going On (WSGON) 150000 0.13 (0.00)          Anxious People (ANXPE) 100000 9.03 (-0.05)          The Young People (TYPEP) 100000 13.21 (-0.12)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 433.92 (+8.47)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 20000 79.58 (+0.83)          Spike Fearn (SFEAR) 100 24.00 (+0.12)          Spike Fearn (SFEAR) 100 24.00 (+0.12)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 100000 10.71 (-0.12)          Adele Exarchopoulos (AEXAR) 100 47.75 (-0.16)          Adele Exarchopoulos (AEXAR) 100 47.75 (-0.16)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 10000 5.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 50000 79.58 (+0.83)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 1000 9.30 (-0.51)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 8.72 (-1.28)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 1000 9.30 (-0.51)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          The Invite (TINVT) 100000 19.66 (-0.23)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 100000 22.29 (-4.47)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 4.01 (-0.09)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 300.65 (-0.16)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 232.17 (+0.39)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 38352 55.89 (+5.89)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 30000 79.58 (+0.83)