SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3530 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 57.23 (+10.76)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 1.15 (-0.04)          Semplica Girl Diaries (SEMGD) 150000 1.85 (-0.03)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 1.11 (-0.02)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 3.79 (-0.03)          Rose (ROSE) 150000 1.13 (-0.02)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 11.75 (-0.32)          Rock Springs (ROCSP) 150000 1.17 (0.00)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 150000 2.49 (-0.01)          Reptilia (REPTI) 150000 5.34 (-0.07)          Rapture (RAPTU) 150000 1.30 (-0.02)          Power Rangers (PWRNG) 150000 1.57 (0.00)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 19.53 (+0.25)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 50000 19.53 (+0.25)          Prima Facie (PRMAF) 150000 1.44 (-0.02)          Poetic License (PLICN) 150000 6.12 (+0.07)          Will Smith (WSMIT) 25000 106.91 (+0.66)          Place to Be (PLCTB) 150000 2.03 (-0.01)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 50000 19.53 (+0.25)          Philly (PHILY) 150000 1.43 (-0.04)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 19.53 (+0.25)          Signal One (SGNL1) 150000 0.04 (+0.02)          Parallel Tales (PRLLT) 150000 1.21 (-0.02)          Onwards and Sideways (OWASW) 150000 1.63 (-0.01)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 150000 19.53 (+0.25)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 150000 8.17 (-0.03)          Spike Fearn (SFEAR) 10000 24.89 (+0.13)          Spike Fearn (SFEAR) 1999 24.89 (+0.13)          Nobody Nothing Nowhere (NBNTN) 150000 0.98 (-0.02)          Nasty (NASTY) 100000 19.30 (+0.50)          Night of the Living Dead (NOTLD) 150000 2.18 (-0.01)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 60000 19.53 (+0.25)          Drifter (DRFTR) 150000 4.40 (+0.43)          Night Boat to Tangier (NBTNG) 150000 1.21 (-0.01)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 12000 153.70 (-0.50)          Next Life (NEXLF) 150000 1.09 (-0.04)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 5007 153.70 (-0.50)          NDA (NDA) 150000 6.62 (-0.05)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 25000 54.77 (-0.12)          NDA (NDA) 150000 6.62 (-0.05)          NDA (NDA) 150000 6.62 (-0.05)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 121.82 (+1.82)          My Ex-Friend's Wedding (MEXFW) 150000 8.15 (-0.01)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 121.82 (+1.82)          Mouse (MOUSE) 150000 1.46 (-0.04)          Maatrubhumi aka Battle Of Galwan (BGALW) 150000 0.98 (-0.05)          Morning (MRNIN) 150000 2.27 (-0.02)          Escape From New York (ESCNY) 5000 19.03 (-0.54)          Moral Capacity (MORLC) 150000 4.03 (-0.02)          Momo (MOMO) 150000 2.60 (-0.03)