SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3142 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 125 37.32 (+2.64)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 18 141.53 (-2.05)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 10 24.34 (-0.21)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 40 111.55 (+2.27)          Dreams (DREMS) 75 0.36 (-0.02)          The Choral (CHORL) 10 1.37 (-0.01)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 100 100.00 (0.00)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 50000 100.00 (0.00)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.60 (-0.29)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.60 (-0.29)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 34999 141.53 (-2.05)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 21.62 (+3.90)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 21.62 (+3.90)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Tyriq Withers (TWITH) 25000 20.17 (+0.50)          Tyriq Withers (TWITH) 25000 20.17 (+0.50)          Maika Monroe (MMONR) 25000 22.12 (+1.00)          Maika Monroe (MMONR) 25000 22.12 (+1.00)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 37.32 (+2.64)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 37.32 (+2.64)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 2000 1.99 (0.00)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 150000 10.35 (+0.64)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 150000 10.35 (+0.64)          Alpha (ALPH1) 10000 1.90 (+0.01)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 4450 24.01 (-0.07)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Alpha (ALPH1) 10000 1.90 (+0.01)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1 257.03 (-0.26)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 21000 10.82 (-0.01)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 37.32 (+2.64)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 25550 24.01 (-0.07)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 21.62 (+3.90)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 352 173.98 (0.00)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 40200 24.01 (-0.07)          Normal (NORML) 30000 18.23 (-0.11)          Dracula - Universal (DRCUL) 4 8.19 (-0.02)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 10034 24.01 (-0.07)          Branded (BRAND) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          You, Me & Tuscany (ITLIA) 30000 24.51 (+1.70)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 21.62 (+3.90)          The Drama (TDRAM) 30000 28.70 (+0.24)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 21.62 (+3.90)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 8766 24.01 (-0.07)