SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3512 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Odyssey (ODYSE) 300 449.84 (-0.22)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 12.65 (+0.08)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 10.69 (-0.07)          Danielle Deadwyler (DADEA) 5000 9.84 (-0.04)          Tom Holland (TOHOL) 25000 149.25 (+0.66)          Samantha Morton (SMORT) 25000 85.67 (+0.50)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 20000 334.57 (+0.85)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 43.78 (-2.59)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 20000 95.55 (+0.20)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 94.02 (+0.07)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 40.58 (0.00)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 57.39 (-0.20)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 43.09 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 76.79 (-0.51)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 365 105.46 (-0.11)          Drifter (DRFTR) 149000 4.64 (+0.93)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 121000 17.33 (+1.20)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 149000 6.99 (+1.37)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 1.51 (+0.01)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 149000 4.78 (+0.89)          Drifter (DRFTR) 55000 4.64 (+0.93)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 1000 6.65 (-0.42)          Clayface (CLAYF) 195 81.17 (-0.08)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 500 6.24 (0.00)          Adam Scott (ASCOT) 5000 26.20 (+0.02)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 500 18.77 (+0.01)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 500 5.46 (+0.01)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 63.22 (+2.20)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 1000 2.43 (0.00)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 4.78 (+0.89)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 5000 6.99 (+1.37)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 88000 4.78 (+0.89)          Drifter (DRFTR) 150000 4.64 (+0.93)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 6.65 (-0.42)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 6.99 (+1.37)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 9910 15.14 (-0.10)          One Night Only (ONTON) 9018 16.54 (+0.06)          Drifter (DRFTR) 94000 4.64 (+0.93)          Union County (UNINC) 150000 0.84 (-0.02)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 121000 17.33 (+1.20)          Nimrods (NIMRD) 150000 2.76 (-0.04)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 25000 6.65 (-0.42)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 25000 6.65 (-0.42)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 125000 8.40 (-0.23)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 40000 6.99 (+1.37)          Company (COMPN) 125000 9.15 (+0.46)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 125000 10.34 (-0.05)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 9999 15.46 (-0.06)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 9999 35.75 (0.00)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 24999 8.19 (+0.01)