SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3567 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 150000 97.06 (+0.07)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 34.04 (0.00)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 10 2.40 (-0.01)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 10 2.40 (-0.01)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 10 1.99 (-0.01)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 10 1.99 (-0.01)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 3 11.37 (-0.02)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 3 11.37 (-0.02)          Babies (BBIES) 2 16.73 (-0.04)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 13000 150.30 (+0.68)          Babies (BBIES) 2 16.73 (-0.04)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 150000 16.30 (-0.04)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 3 16.30 (-0.04)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 71000 125.06 (+0.82)          Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 1 3.69 (-0.45)          Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 1 3.69 (-0.45)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 3 145.73 (-0.22)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 3 145.73 (-0.22)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 3 12.16 (+0.31)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 3 12.16 (+0.31)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 3 18.89 (+0.60)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 3 18.89 (+0.60)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 3 150.30 (+0.68)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 3 150.30 (+0.68)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 3 125.06 (+0.82)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 2000 20.86 (+0.78)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 3 125.06 (+0.82)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 1 20.86 (+0.78)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 1 20.86 (+0.78)          Tony (TONY) 10 15.80 (+0.83)          Tony (TONY) 10 15.80 (+0.83)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 1 6.43 (+0.95)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 77000 20.86 (+0.78)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 1 6.43 (+0.95)          Runner (RUNNR) 3 15.30 (+1.15)          Runner (RUNNR) 3 15.30 (+1.15)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 1 80.20 (+0.08)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 1 80.20 (+0.08)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 77000 20.86 (+0.78)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 20000 347.38 (+0.85)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 10000 40.97 (-0.06)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 10000 69.05 (-0.06)          Tangled (TANGL) 16000 122.88 (-0.14)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 16000 123.93 (-0.14)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 16000 144.40 (-0.14)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 21000 183.46 (-0.23)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 21000 197.67 (-0.23)          K-Pop: The Debut aka K-Pop Super (KPOPM) 21000 39.25 (-0.18)          Tony (TONY) 150000 15.80 (+0.83)          Tony (TONY) 150000 15.80 (+0.83)