SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3680 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Look Back (LKBAC) 150000 1.03 (-0.02)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 10.28 (-0.12)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 55.66 (-1.39)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 25.12 (-0.74)          Nutmeg & Mistletoe (NUTMS) 150000 1.83 (-0.02)          King (KING) 150000 2.06 (-0.04)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 60000 11.34 (+1.67)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 55.66 (-1.39)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 55.66 (-1.39)          Zero A.D.: The Birth of Christ (BTLHM) 150000 34.89 (+0.13)          Tender Loving Care (TLVCR) 150000 1.06 (-0.02)          Flavia (FLAVI) 150000 2.36 (-0.02)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 22.62 (+0.58)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 34.34 (+1.10)          Eternal Return (ETRTN) 150000 2.56 (-0.03)          Fear the Reaper (FREPR) 50000 13.96 (-0.79)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 5.46 (-0.03)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Fear the Reaper (FREPR) 150000 13.96 (-0.79)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 62.36 (+10.79)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 100 289.83 (+0.50)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 150000 62.36 (+10.79)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 149999 271.65 (-1.33)          Josephine (JSPHN) 150000 4.88 (-0.02)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 5.73 (-0.01)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 50 47.47 (-0.40)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 11796 262.01 (+0.47)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 3747 568.55 (+1.22)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 5000 17.17 (+0.02)          Avatar Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 150000 1.69 (-0.21)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 5000 107.91 (-0.29)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 25.12 (-0.74)          Avatar Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 10000 1.69 (-0.21)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 65117 62.36 (+10.79)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 47860 672.14 (+0.14)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 80015 62.36 (+10.79)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 32893 568.55 (+1.22)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 149990 9.95 (-0.04)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 149000 11.34 (+1.67)          Artist in Residence (ARTIR) 150000 0.03 (+0.01)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 149990 5.98 (-0.02)          Charlie vs. The Chocolate Factor (CVTCF) 149000 62.36 (+10.79)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 836 11.85 (+0.04)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 20000 152.09 (-1.56)          Bag Man (BAGMN) 149990 0.01 (0.00)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 100 31.36 (-0.06)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 10000 217.51 (-1.53)          Donkey (DONKE) 5000 156.57 (-0.02)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 12000 31.91 (+0.34)