SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3442 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 125000 15.53 (+0.53)          The Wager (WAGER) 1 13.86 (0.00)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 6.81 (+1.01)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 150000 9.59 (-0.26)          Phillip Noyce (PNOYC) 25000 41.13 (-0.16)          The Wager (WAGER) 5390 13.86 (0.00)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 46 261.20 (-0.25)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.PU) 25000 1.80 (-0.01)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 19.03 (-0.85)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.CA) 25000 3.66 (+0.20)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Open (SPID9.OW) 100000 222.64 (+1.00)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 149999 19.03 (-0.85)          Baton (BATON) 149999 4.98 (+0.44)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 6.81 (+1.01)          Baton (BATON) 150000 4.98 (+0.44)          Thumb (THUM) 149999 4.74 (+0.43)          Thumb (THUM) 150000 4.74 (+0.43)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 150000 15.53 (+0.53)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 149999 5.50 (+0.57)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 266.55 (+2.50)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 266.55 (+2.50)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 150000 5.50 (+0.57)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Open (SPID9.OW) 100000 222.64 (+1.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.PU) 25000 1.80 (-0.01)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 149999 11.98 (+0.95)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.CA) 25000 3.66 (+0.20)          William H. Macy (WMACY) 25000 40.19 (+0.16)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 150000 11.98 (+0.95)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 6446 318.46 (-1.82)          Drag (DRAG) 149999 6.81 (+1.01)          Brian (BRIAN) 150000 2.29 (-0.04)          Brian (BRIAN) 150000 2.29 (-0.04)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 6.81 (+1.01)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 23.86 (-0.08)          Monster High (MONHI) 149999 21.62 (+1.12)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 5.50 (-0.23)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 5.50 (-0.23)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 113.32 (+1.83)          Monster High (MONHI) 150000 21.62 (+1.12)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 61023 113.32 (+1.83)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 2.67 (+0.09)          The Odyssey H$115 Call (ODYSE.CA) 25000 2.67 (+0.09)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 5.50 (-0.23)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 5.50 (-0.23)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 113.32 (+1.83)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 61023 113.32 (+1.83)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 5.50 (-0.23)          The Odyssey H$115 Put (ODYSE.PU) 25000 5.50 (-0.23)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 113.32 (+1.83)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 113.32 (+1.83)