SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3660 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Star Wars: Episode X (STRW1) 150000 115.52 (-1.51)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 30000 159.62 (+0.42)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 10000 159.62 (+0.42)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 150000 281.63 (-0.56)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 150000 0.85 (+0.01)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 56.13 (-0.79)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 236.01 (-0.97)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 282.61 (-0.73)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 346.10 (-1.57)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 23.09 (+0.02)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 23.09 (+0.02)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 12.17 (-0.03)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 150000 7.83 (+0.21)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 61.19 (-0.52)          Backrooms 2 (BACR2) 150000 117.69 (+7.35)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 117.17 (+0.99)          Digger (DIGER) 149999 31.24 (-3.83)          Russell Crowe (RCROW) 20000 10.02 (+0.04)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 122.37 (+0.77)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 1.53 (+0.06)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 1.53 (+0.06)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 150000 195.43 (+1.00)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 66.38 (+1.90)          Backrooms 2 (BACR2) 150000 117.69 (+7.35)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 150000 203.51 (+0.82)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 52.46 (+4.12)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 150000 188.13 (+1.85)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 150000 69.85 (+0.05)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 150000 158.59 (+1.63)          Digger (DIGER) 9999 31.24 (-3.83)          Sacha Baron Cohen (SBCOH) 5000 103.46 (-0.06)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 96.36 (+0.17)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 1 152.50 (0.00)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 18.91 (-0.01)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 28.53 (-0.35)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 150000 2.68 (-0.03)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 200 14.41 (-0.09)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 59.34 (+0.57)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 169.97 (+0.03)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 169.97 (+0.03)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 3 4.04 (+0.01)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 700 2.05 (-0.03)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 16 2.05 (-0.03)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 5 13.85 (+0.05)          The Housewife (THSWF) 16 1.59 (+0.02)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 173 26.02 (-0.03)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 49 59.20 (-0.35)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 5 26.02 (-0.03)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 127.28 (0.00)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 200 7.35 (-0.05)