SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3110 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 5.86 (-0.68)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 5.86 (-0.68)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 3.56 (-0.44)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.98 (+0.31)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.98 (+0.31)          The Collaboration (COLAB) 149999 0.02 (+0.01)          Helldivers (HELDV) 173 75.00 (0.00)          Brightwater (BRTWT) 149999 0.01 (-0.01)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 3.56 (-0.44)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 5.86 (-0.68)          This Is Not a Test (TINAT) 150000 1.23 (-0.06)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 5.81 (-0.10)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          My Father's Shadow (MFSHD) 150000 0.16 (-0.02)          Helldivers (HELDV) 125000 75.00 (0.00)          Clika (CLIKA) 150000 4.05 (0.00)          Untitled Original Comedy From Ju (UOCJA) 150000 43.75 (+0.64)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 22.28 (+0.02)          Scarlet (SCRLT) 150000 3.57 (-0.07)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 150000 32.25 (+0.18)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 57000 102.10 (+3.06)          Helldivers (HELDV) 20000 75.00 (0.00)          Ice Age: Boiling Point aka Ice A (ICEA6) 150000 94.32 (+0.26)          Helldivers (HELDV) 20000 75.00 (0.00)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.74 (-0.76)          By Design (BYDSG) 150000 0.14 (-0.01)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.74 (-0.76)          The Great Emu War (GEMUW) 149999 0.11 (0.00)          Jimpa (JIMPA) 150000 0.51 (-0.03)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 150000 90.06 (-0.03)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 150000 101.61 (+0.90)          Helldivers (HELDV) 20622 75.00 (0.00)          The Great Emu War (GEMUW) 149998 0.11 (0.00)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 149996 6.74 (-0.76)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 149998 6.74 (-0.76)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 150000 102.10 (+3.06)          Flight of the Navigator (FNAVG) 149999 0.10 (+0.03)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 150000 9.36 (+0.11)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 149996 5.86 (-0.68)          Hotel Tehran (HTHRN) 150000 5.11 (-0.45)          Flight of the Navigator (FNAVG) 149998 0.10 (+0.03)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 5.86 (-0.68)          Hotel Tehran (HTHRN) 150000 5.11 (-0.45)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 3.56 (-0.44)          Tow (TOW) 150000 3.77 (-0.27)          Hotel Tehran (HTHRN) 149996 5.11 (-0.45)          Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle 2 (DSIC2) 150000 96.91 (-0.17)          Tow (TOW) 150000 3.77 (-0.27)