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Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3556 views

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Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Runner - Opening Weekend (RUNNR.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Cameron Winter at Carnegie Hall (CWACH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 7 95.15 (-0.20)          The Giant's House (TGNTH) 150000 1.83 (+0.02)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Put (PRAC2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Sing 3 (SING3) 752 63.22 (+0.05)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 6.13 (-0.26)          Donkey (DONKE) 30 149.08 (+0.68)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 1000 30.00 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 28 267.00 (+1.17)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 20000 2.00 (0.00)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 6 6.39 (0.00)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 11450 537.71 (+1.06)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 10.84 (+0.07)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 26 97.00 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 5000 2.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 10000 628.18 (-0.55)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 2000 95.39 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 1 45.82 (-0.38)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 100000 30.00 (0.00)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 0.04 (-0.04)          Tangled (TANGL) 21 122.46 (-0.28)          Onslaught H$10 Put Fri-Mon (ONSLT.PU) 25000 2.96 (+0.08)          Tony (TONY) 13166 15.85 (+0.85)          By Any Means H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CI34.PU) 25000 2.58 (0.00)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 10000 19.41 (+1.23)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 10000 19.41 (+1.23)          Verity (VERTY) 4 62.17 (-0.76)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 71 266.11 (+1.00)          Breeder (BREDR) 3000 1.75 (-0.01)          Runner - Opening Weekend (RUNNR.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 493 37.57 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 - Opening Week (PRAC2.OW) 100000 30.00 (0.00)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 128 139.65 (+0.02)          Practical Magic 2 H$30 Call (PRAC2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 204 86.88 (+0.28)          Babies (BBIES) 5000 15.96 (-0.78)          Sleight of Mind (SLTOM) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 141 124.57 (0.00)          Cameron Winter at Carnegie Hall (CWACH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 15.84 (-0.35)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 5000 44.88 (+0.10)          Runner (RUNNR) 149997 15.84 (-0.35)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 15.84 (-0.35)          Wildwood (WILDW) 1000 20.58 (+0.23)          Not Alone (NTALN) 200 122.48 (+0.50)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 50 416.18 (+1.01)