SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 2722 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 60000 138.31 (+0.13)          Jessica Rothe (JROTH) 25000 16.85 (-0.10)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 149995 106.83 (-0.60)          Andrew Koji (AKOJI) 25000 39.02 (+0.12)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 106.83 (-0.60)          Matthew Goode (MTGOO) 25000 21.48 (-0.12)          The Conjuring: Last Rites (CNJU4) 25000 38.47 (-0.03)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 149995 102.04 (+0.33)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 150000 89.10 (-0.41)          The Conjuring: Last Rites (CNJU4) 25000 38.47 (-0.03)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 100000 89.10 (-0.41)          Dan Stevens (DSTEV) 12500 43.24 (+0.08)          Cary Elwes (CELWE) 25000 34.44 (+0.12)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 25000 15.58 (+0.02)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 75000 15.58 (+0.02)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.15 (+0.46)          Winter Spring Summer or Fall (WSSOF) 150000 3.56 (+0.28)          Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve (STCRS) 150000 3.82 (+0.03)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 102.04 (+0.33)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 30000 106.83 (-0.60)          Winter Spring Summer or Fall (WSSOF) 150000 3.56 (+0.28)          Tow (TOW) 150000 7.00 (+0.32)          Tow (TOW) 150000 7.00 (+0.32)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 4.60 (-0.20)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 102.04 (+0.33)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 50000 24.19 (-0.16)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 50000 24.19 (-0.16)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 50000 24.19 (-0.16)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 50000 24.19 (-0.16)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 50000 24.19 (-0.16)          Megalopolis (MEGAL) 50000 24.19 (-0.16)          Wagner Moura (WMOUR) 25000 61.66 (+0.75)          Wagner Moura (WMOUR) 25000 61.66 (+0.75)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 89992 106.83 (-0.60)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 106.83 (-0.60)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 29.79 (-0.37)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 29.79 (-0.37)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 11.41 (+0.44)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 11.41 (+0.44)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.15 (+0.46)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.15 (+0.46)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 150000 13.99 (+0.59)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 150000 13.99 (+0.59)          CBS: Elsbeth (ELSBET) 25000 9.84 (-0.03)          CBS: Elsbeth (ELSBET) 25000 9.84 (-0.03)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 29.79 (-0.37)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 29.79 (-0.37)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 50000 19.79 (+0.43)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 11.41 (+0.44)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 102.04 (+0.33)