SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3337 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 112.04 (-1.00)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 35000 137.20 (+1.83)          Johnny Depp (JDEPP) 25000 88.12 (-0.25)          Elle Fanning (EFANN) 25000 52.35 (-0.16)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 151.93 (+0.48)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 88 137.20 (+1.83)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 150000 92.86 (+0.94)          Gal Gadot (GGADO) 25000 111.53 (-0.33)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 150000 166.20 (-0.44)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 989 137.20 (+1.83)          Wyatt Russell (WRUSS) 25000 55.01 (+0.99)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.20 (+0.20)          Michelle Williams (MWILL) 25000 84.66 (-0.25)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.80 (+0.80)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.85 (+0.85)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 1.89 (-0.11)          Jeremy Irons (JIRON) 25000 77.82 (-0.24)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.91 (+0.91)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.71 (+0.71)          Simu Liu (SLIU) 25000 133.91 (+0.34)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.20 (+0.20)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.80 (+0.80)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 2.85 (+0.85)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 1.89 (-0.11)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 15.91 (+0.91)          Backrooms (BACRM) 5000 151.93 (+0.48)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 20000 1.45 (-0.16)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 10000 112.04 (-1.00)          Welcome to the Jungle (WLCM3) 150000 0.38 (+0.07)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Call (JCKA6.CA) 25000 2.71 (+0.71)          Welcome to the Jungle (WLCM3) 150000 0.38 (+0.07)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 42022 137.20 (+1.83)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.65 (-1.15)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.34 (+0.39)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 1500 204.88 (+1.51)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 20000 1.58 (-0.02)          Dreamquil (DRMQL) 22000 1.58 (-0.02)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 10000 57.60 (-0.16)          Ma 2 (MA2) 3000 14.12 (0.00)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 35000 92.86 (+0.94)          Ma 2 (MA2) 2500 14.12 (0.00)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 50225 46.98 (-0.92)          Ma 2 (MA2) 2500 14.12 (0.00)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 3000 4.39 (-0.13)          Dracula - Universal (DRCUL) 100000 7.20 (+0.04)          Peddi (PEDDI) 16731 5.10 (+0.12)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 2000 15.00 (0.00)          Dracula - Universal (DRCUL) 40000 7.20 (+0.04)