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Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3736 views

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Godzilla Minus Zero - Opening We (GODM2.OW) 2000 34.81 (-0.51)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 50000 5.05 (+0.74)          K-Pop: The Debut (KPOPM) 150000 39.29 (+0.44)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 60000 19.58 (-0.48)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 150000 69.42 (+0.49)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 4.40 (-0.34)          George MacKay (GMACK) 25000 2.78 (+0.02)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 1000 31.06 (-0.40)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 32.72 (+2.72)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 16 19.58 (-0.48)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 150000 8.88 (-0.09)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 7.76 (+0.73)          Ewan McGregor (EMCGR) 24999 58.47 (+0.16)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (li (TMNT5) 4 79.82 (-0.16)          Hold On to Your Angels (HOTYA) 150000 9.94 (+0.82)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 6 81.45 (-0.17)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 150000 19.58 (-0.48)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 9.01 (+0.05)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 2 284.15 (-0.74)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 2 284.15 (-0.74)          Not Alone (NTALN) 4 130.48 (-0.12)          A Place In Hell (APHEL) 150000 5.86 (+0.02)          Monitor (MONTR) 150000 11.53 (+0.04)          Nico Bravo (NBRVO) 18 49.52 (-0.36)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 150000 9.60 (-0.03)          Hold On to Your Angels (HOTYA) 25000 9.94 (+0.82)          The Julia Set (TJULS) 25000 1.91 (-0.02)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 17.58 (-0.02)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 2 99.33 (-0.25)          Turpentine (TURPN) 25000 7.76 (+0.73)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 3.80 (-0.02)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 2 99.33 (-0.25)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 2 163.24 (-0.13)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 2026 0.36 (0.00)          Summoner (SMONR) 150000 17.50 (+0.08)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 2000 126.86 (0.00)          Minotaur (MNTUR) 10000 0.46 (-0.02)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 50000 32.72 (+2.72)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 2050 110.19 (+0.88)          Donkey (DONKE) 2 159.97 (+0.03)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 5000 32.72 (+2.72)          Clay (CLAY) 2 117.26 (-0.20)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 87.37 (-0.25)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 92.93 (-1.70)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 150000 81.45 (-0.17)          If I Go Will They Miss Me (IGWTM) 12026 0.97 (0.00)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 150000 32.72 (+2.72)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 150000 90.74 (-0.33)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 150000 99.33 (-0.25)          Clay (CLAY) 12028 117.26 (-0.20)