SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3539 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Constantine 2 (CNST2) 25000 30.85 (-0.05)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 49999 228.65 (-0.66)          Gatto (GATTO) 51053 145.38 (+0.33)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 50000 228.65 (-0.66)          Jim Caviezel (JCAVI) 25000 44.39 (-0.16)          Gatto (GATTO) 98947 145.38 (+0.33)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 101.43 (-0.33)          Onslaught H$10 Call Fri-Mon (ONSLT.CA) 25000 1.96 (-0.04)          By Any Means H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CI34.CA) 25000 1.95 (-0.05)          Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 25000 5.99 (+0.10)          Jessica Chastain (JCHAS) 25000 5.99 (+0.10)          Jesse Plemons (JPLEM) 20000 49.65 (-0.13)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 149999 2.85 (+0.17)          Jesse Eisenberg (JEISE) 25000 48.23 (+0.33)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 150000 2.85 (+0.17)          Jesse Eisenberg (JEISE) 25000 48.23 (+0.33)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 50000 30.85 (-0.05)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 50000 228.65 (-0.66)          Jermaine Fowler (JFOWL) 25000 3.50 (-0.05)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 149999 11.84 (+0.44)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 11.84 (+0.44)          Jeremy Strong (JSTRO) 25000 19.10 (0.00)          Jeremy Renner (JRENN) 25000 123.98 (-0.33)          Jeremy Irons (JIRON) 25000 75.86 (-0.25)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 43.68 (+0.16)          Jayme Lawson (JLAWS) 25000 90.92 (+0.50)          Jayme Lawson (JLAWS) 25000 90.92 (+0.50)          Jeff Goldblum (JGOLD) 25000 140.22 (-0.33)          Jeffrey Dean Morgan (JDMOR) 25000 26.06 (-0.12)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 150000 15.92 (+1.30)          Jennifer Connelly (JCONN) 25000 83.70 (-0.50)          Jennifer Garner (JEGAR) 25000 35.71 (-0.12)          Jennifer Lawrence (JLAWR) 25000 57.81 (+0.16)          OASIS: Don't Look Back in A (OASIS) 150000 14.67 (+0.97)          The Road Home (TRDHM) 150000 3.74 (+0.27)          OASIS: Don't Look Back in A (OASIS) 150000 14.67 (+0.97)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 11.84 (+0.44)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 14.35 (+0.52)          Jenna Ortega (JORTE) 25000 74.44 (-0.50)          Jenna Ortega (JORTE) 25000 74.44 (-0.50)          Jena Malone (JMALO) 25000 5.85 (+0.05)          Jeff Bridges (JBRID) 25000 53.46 (+0.16)          Jaume Collet-Serra (JCSER) 25000 79.43 (-0.25)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 52027 15.92 (+1.30)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 1 1.87 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 18.51 (-0.71)          Jason Segel (JSEGE) 25000 23.62 (-0.12)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.34 (-0.76)          Jason Schwartzman (JSCHW) 25000 5.65 (-0.05)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 55.82 (-0.49)