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Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3413 views

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The Jetsons (JETSN) 30000 64.12 (+1.37)          42.6 Years (426YR) 1 13.38 (-0.01)          In Love (NLOVE) 20000 15.57 (0.00)          The Odyssey - Opening Weekend (ODYSE.OW) 100000 118.50 (+1.01)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 20000 11.53 (+0.03)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 1 26.10 (+1.10)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 4000 263.14 (-3.39)          Colony (CLONY) 4000 2.35 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 10000 90.05 (+3.39)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 10000 26.25 (-0.09)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 20000 26.42 (+0.13)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 318.78 (-0.80)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 1.04 (-0.01)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 10000 28.67 (0.00)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 15.43 (-0.13)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 10000 60.20 (-1.77)          Artificial (AIFIC) 95000 15.43 (-0.13)          Gears of War (GEARS) 150000 0.15 (+0.05)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 25000 60.20 (-1.77)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 4000 492.03 (-0.56)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 26.10 (+1.10)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 105.40 (+0.48)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 105.40 (+0.48)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 25000 26.10 (+1.10)          Don't Look Back in Anger ak (OASIS) 100000 16.36 (+1.24)          Don't Look Back in Anger ak (OASIS) 150000 16.36 (+1.24)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 25000 26.10 (+1.10)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 50000 7.79 (-0.21)          Not Alone (NTALN) 10000 90.91 (+3.74)          Hope (HOPE) 2000 9.07 (-0.03)          Scary Movie H$105M Blockbuster W (SCAR6.BW) 25000 8.26 (+0.26)          Moana H$100 Put (MOAN1.PU) 15000 5.05 (+0.60)          Young Washington (YWASH) 13088 46.08 (-3.05)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 34.08 (+4.26)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 41360 318.78 (-0.80)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 34.08 (+4.26)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 90.05 (+3.39)          Don't Look Back in Anger ak (OASIS) 150000 16.36 (+1.24)          Don't Look Back in Anger ak (OASIS) 150000 16.36 (+1.24)          Disclosure Day H$105M Blockbuste (SKIES.BW) 25000 5.66 (+0.66)          Don't Look Back in Anger ak (OASIS) 150000 16.36 (+1.24)          Don't Look Back in Anger ak (OASIS) 150000 16.36 (+1.24)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 318.78 (-0.80)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 34.08 (+4.26)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 150000 34.08 (+4.26)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 150000 15.90 (-0.09)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 26.10 (+1.10)          Gundam (GUNDM) 1500 11.92 (+0.16)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 1000 18.71 (-0.15)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 720 41.48 (-0.47)