SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3445 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



What Happens At Night (WHANT) 10000 47.03 (-0.06)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 1000 6.56 (-0.05)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 104.48 (+0.69)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 150000 169.85 (+0.05)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 1000 7.27 (+0.01)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 150000 12.60 (+0.20)          Ink (INK) 150000 9.58 (-0.85)          Ink (INK) 150000 9.58 (-0.85)          Tomorrow Is a Drag (TIADR) 150000 14.30 (+0.42)          K-Pop: The Debut aka K-Pop Super (KPOPM) 150000 36.72 (-1.41)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 10000 47.03 (-0.06)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 10000 47.03 (-0.06)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 16000 104.48 (+0.69)          The Mummy Franchise (MUMY5) 25000 107.17 (+0.43)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 25000 43.19 (+0.22)          Donkey (DONKE) 25000 113.73 (+0.45)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 10000 8.48 (-0.05)          Who's That Girl aka Madonna biop (MDONA) 16000 5.03 (-0.11)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 27000 169.85 (+0.05)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 10000 45.80 (-0.07)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 258.44 (+1.97)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 50000 67.50 (+2.03)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 50000 107.13 (-0.84)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 10000 45.80 (-0.07)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 9000 47.86 (-0.10)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 11000 17.56 (-0.06)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 5000 29.99 (-0.07)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 10000 64.86 (+0.11)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 4000 30.36 (-0.13)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 620 0.40 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 30000 77.69 (+0.30)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 50000 67.50 (+2.03)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 10000 47.14 (-0.06)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 50000 107.13 (-0.84)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 22000 98.48 (+0.19)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 20000 246.25 (+0.22)          Runner (RUNNR) 9899 17.06 (+0.09)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 10000 62.04 (+0.05)          Runner (RUNNR) 78001 17.06 (+0.09)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 16000 137.49 (-0.14)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 25000 199.01 (+0.75)          Runner (RUNNR) 7992 17.06 (+0.09)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 10000 4.29 (-0.05)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 20000 31.69 (-0.16)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 15000 34.69 (-0.11)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 3000 75.59 (+0.15)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 50000 67.50 (+2.03)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 15000 37.21 (+0.11)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 10000 25.92 (-0.07)          By Any Means (CI34) 14000 29.35 (+0.17)