SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3690 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 10000 27.76 (-0.03)          Playmates (PLYMT) 5000 8.00 (0.00)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 20000 27.76 (-0.03)          Tom Holland (TOHOL) 5 179.62 (+0.50)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Call (KLARA.CA) 25000 1.39 (-0.06)          Broadsword (BROSW) 15000 38.24 (-0.03)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Call (KLARA.CA) 25000 1.39 (-0.06)          Peaked (PEAKD) 60000 9.70 (-0.02)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 2 676.38 (+2.04)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 14.19 (+2.01)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 8.84 (-0.08)          Monitor (MONTR) 30000 11.47 (-0.02)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 8.84 (-0.08)          Monitor (MONTR) 30000 11.47 (-0.02)          Narcs (NARCS) 150000 22.71 (-0.61)          The Chosen: Crucifixion aka The (TCS61) 150000 11.56 (+1.48)          The Chosen: Crucifixion aka The (TCS61) 150000 11.56 (+1.48)          Arena (ARENA) 150000 3.68 (-0.32)          Fake Skating (FKSKT) 17000 17.21 (-0.02)          The Blood Countess (TBLDC) 150000 0.86 (-0.14)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 14.19 (+2.01)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 14.19 (+2.01)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 150000 2.68 (-0.18)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 150000 2.68 (-0.18)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 149999 25.20 (+1.56)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 30000 17.99 (-0.02)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 25.20 (+1.56)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 60000 17.99 (-0.02)          Wife and Dog (WIFDG) 149999 16.81 (+0.85)          Wife and Dog (WIFDG) 150000 16.81 (+0.85)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 59.80 (+3.21)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 15000 11.79 (-0.02)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 30000 11.79 (-0.02)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 149999 19.73 (+0.66)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 19.73 (+0.66)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 149999 12.91 (+1.09)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 12.91 (+1.09)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 20000 7.36 (-0.01)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 59.80 (+3.21)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 59.80 (+3.21)          Fatherland (FTHRL) 150000 2.71 (-0.03)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 59.80 (+3.21)          Clayface (CLAYF) 50000 59.80 (+3.21)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 30000 570.43 (+0.15)          Hurricanna (HCANA) 25000 0.54 (-0.01)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 27.51 (-0.24)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Playmates (PLYMT) 150000 8.00 (0.00)