SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3373 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 150000 69.32 (+0.04)          Horizon Zero Dawn (HRIZD) 50000 32.15 (+0.79)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 83.98 (+0.35)          Regina Hall (RHALL) 25000 50.82 (+0.83)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 150000 169.43 (+0.22)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 8929 323.17 (+0.19)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 150000 197.82 (+0.88)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 10000 74.31 (-0.10)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 118.33 (+0.28)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 150000 119.14 (+0.48)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 150000 255.83 (+0.04)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 58.48 (+0.16)          Who's That Girl aka Madonna biop (MDONA) 150000 5.90 (-0.03)          Who's That Girl aka Madonna biop (MDONA) 5000 5.90 (-0.03)          Artificial (AIFIC) 104913 11.64 (-0.04)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 146124 4.59 (+0.01)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 46.18 (-0.15)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 131.96 (-1.10)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 47.23 (+0.54)          Above The Below (ABELW) 150000 7.42 (+0.55)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 1.79 (+0.14)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 230.57 (-0.94)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 1.55 (+0.10)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 106.00 (-0.66)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 1303 4.59 (+0.01)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 47.23 (+0.54)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 16.69 (-0.42)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 431.43 (-1.00)          Jackass: Best and Last - Opening (JCKA6.OW) 100000 16.69 (-0.42)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 307.20 (-0.49)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 5.42 (+0.20)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 3.59 (+0.43)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 429.49 (-0.91)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 49.25 (-1.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 131.96 (-1.10)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 7.21 (+0.30)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 50000 49.25 (-1.00)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 49.25 (-1.00)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 47.23 (+0.54)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 5.42 (+0.20)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 7.21 (+0.30)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 9.34 (+0.10)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 4 4.02 (+0.01)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 8 25.40 (-0.20)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 3 10.68 (+0.02)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 29 201.54 (-0.85)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 80 19.02 (+1.30)          Voltron (VOLTN) 3 20.94 (-0.02)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 82.76 (+0.50)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 4 8.55 (-0.03)