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Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3237 views

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Animal Farm (AFARM) 50605 7.94 (-0.26)          The Catch (TCATC) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 16.10 (+3.29)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 16.10 (+3.29)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 217.05 (-5.78)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 16.10 (+3.29)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 40000 156.41 (-0.19)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 10000 362.28 (-0.47)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 50000 152.76 (-1.48)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 25.66 (-0.03)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 40000 86.08 (+1.01)          The Catch (TCATC) 40000 50.00 (0.00)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 40000 48.17 (-0.42)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 5 35.79 (+0.11)          Hokum (HOKUM) 149902 16.10 (+3.29)          Painter (PANTR) 5 6.26 (-0.02)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 186 11.06 (-0.10)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 1350 1.55 (+0.02)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 107492 217.05 (-5.78)          Carnival: At the End of Days (CAEOD) 210 9.41 (-0.03)          Cleopatra - Paramount (CEOPT) 8 4.36 (+0.03)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 336 6.70 (-0.02)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 4 29.47 (+0.04)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 65 29.58 (-0.06)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 5 17.74 (-0.07)          Moral Capacity (MORLC) 50 5.11 (+0.24)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 20576 217.05 (-5.78)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 529 30.39 (-0.47)          Sweat (SWEAT) 5 8.47 (+0.01)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 84160 217.05 (-5.78)          Tangled (TANGL) 5 117.11 (+0.45)          Switzerland (SWITZ) 20 1.02 (-0.02)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 220 7.06 (-0.03)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 4 22.27 (-0.07)          The Saint (TSAIN) 350 4.99 (-0.08)          Logan's Run (LOGAN) 8 3.20 (+0.02)          Losing Earth aka The Statement (LERTH) 4 8.11 (+0.01)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 4 39.75 (+0.06)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 20304 217.05 (-5.78)          Sugar Bandits (SUGBN) 4 15.94 (+0.04)          Sunny (SUNNY) 4 17.87 (-0.02)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 500 1.05 (0.00)          In Love (NLOVE) 4 16.63 (+0.02)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Stepdude aka Oh Hell No (OHELN) 450 2.71 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 272 217.05 (-5.78)          King Snake (KSNAK) 6 13.00 (-0.06)