SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3639 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Adria Arjona (AARJO) 25000 11.94 (-0.30)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 124.29 (-4.86)          Werwulf (WERWU) 1500 70.72 (-1.76)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 499 5.21 (-0.01)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 20000 276.21 (-1.14)          Toxic (TOXIC) 150000 2.06 (-0.05)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 25000 41.95 (+5.51)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 150000 1.16 (-0.44)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 30441 41.37 (-1.22)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 150000 1.16 (-0.44)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 24.15 (-0.14)          Wildwood (WILDW) 20000 22.35 (+1.46)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 24.15 (-0.14)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 40000 96.19 (+0.19)          Broadsword (BROSW) 75000 38.59 (+0.24)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 25000 208.61 (+1.02)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 91999 37.86 (+0.01)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 150000 41.95 (+5.51)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 30000 262.48 (+0.87)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 83 167.62 (0.00)          Jane Levy (JLEVY) 10000 15.00 (0.00)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 57.76 (+0.05)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 47.27 (-1.17)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 57.76 (+0.05)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 150000 1.16 (-0.44)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 47.27 (-1.17)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 150000 32.32 (-0.17)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 150000 60.03 (+0.09)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 10.92 (-0.02)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 6.30 (-0.07)          World War Hulk (THLK2) 150000 31.31 (-0.16)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 150000 34.71 (-0.10)          Terrifier 4 (TERF4) 150000 19.52 (-0.04)          Swamp Thing (SWAMP) 150000 16.22 (-0.10)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 150000 1.16 (-0.44)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 150000 29.27 (-0.05)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 150000 1.16 (-0.44)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 2.90 (-0.01)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 150000 96.37 (-0.06)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 150000 21.18 (+0.04)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 150000 27.62 (+0.03)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 150000 2.49 (+0.01)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 22.35 (+1.46)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 22.35 (+1.46)          Jungle Cruise 2 (JUNG2) 150000 12.16 (0.00)          Harold & Kumar 4 (HAKU4) 150000 11.86 (-0.08)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 150000 51.24 (-0.15)          Last Friday (FRID4) 150000 4.85 (0.00)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 150000 15.58 (-0.04)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 1480 41.95 (+5.51)