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Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 3126 views

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The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.16 (-1.00)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 2000 185.29 (-0.44)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 25555 41.16 (-1.00)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 150000 148.27 (-1.87)          De Noche (DNOCH) 149999 5.41 (-0.59)          Hexed (HEXED) 20000 105.70 (+1.17)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 149999 4.00 (0.00)          Broadsword (BROSW) 13500 57.33 (+0.19)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 150000 148.27 (-1.87)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 20000 5.37 (+0.40)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 30300 56.70 (-0.17)          Helldivers (HELDV) 20000 91.08 (+1.24)          Protector (PRTEC) 150000 2.14 (+0.26)          Protector (PRTEC) 150000 2.14 (+0.26)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 7000 236.60 (0.00)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 149999 50.31 (+3.59)          Dolly (DOLLY) 150000 1.85 (+0.12)          Dolly (DOLLY) 150000 1.85 (+0.12)          Helldivers (HELDV) 44 91.08 (+1.24)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 5000 228.73 (-0.13)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 12299 50.31 (+3.59)          Dolly (DOLLY) 150000 1.85 (+0.12)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 9899 50.31 (+3.59)          Dolly (DOLLY) 150000 1.85 (+0.12)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 1.55 (-0.17)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 25655 50.31 (+3.59)          Mr. Burton (BURTN) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Protector (PRTEC) 150000 2.14 (+0.26)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 19999 41.16 (-1.00)          Protector (PRTEC) 150000 2.14 (+0.26)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.16 (-1.00)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 2000 232.15 (+0.78)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 5.37 (+0.40)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 5000 228.73 (-0.13)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 5000 248.43 (-0.63)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 112 56.70 (-0.17)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 143874 50.31 (+3.59)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 41.16 (-1.00)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 5000 138.22 (+0.01)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 37500 55.71 (-0.02)          Undertone - Opening Weekend (UNDTN.OW) 100000 5.52 (-0.16)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Undertone - Opening Weekend (UNDTN.OW) 100000 5.52 (-0.16)          The Napa Boys (NAPAB) 150000 0.37 (+0.02)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 90000 50.31 (+3.59)          De Noche (DNOCH) 150000 5.41 (-0.59)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 5000 295.81 (+0.02)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 150000 50.31 (+3.59)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 150000 50.31 (+3.59)